COMMON HAND SHAPES
Most people learn about points first when playing bridge but now that you’ve been playing for a while, I want you to think about hand shapes. There are thirty-nine possible hand shapes (from the flattest 4333 up to 13000!) but only thirteen have a probability of occurring more than 1% of the time. These are
4 4 3 2 – balanced hand (over seven times more frequent than 4441), 21.5% probability
5 3 3 2 – balanced, open 1NT if 12-14 points, even with a five-card major, 15.5% probability
5 4 3 1 - unbalanced hand, considered three suited, 13% probability
5 4 2 2 - unbalanced (except for some 2NT openers or NT rebids), 10.5% probability
4 3 3 3 – balanced hand, 10.5% probability too, has no ruffing potential
6 3 2 2 – 5.6% probability (the six-card suit shape best suited for NT)
6 4 2 1 - open the longest suit, usually rebid four-card suit – 4.7% probability
6 3 3 1 – 3.4% probability, usually open and repeat suit
5 5 2 1 – Michaels and Unusual NT type shape - not so common only 3.2% probability
4 4 4 1 – the 10th most common shape, 3% probability. 90% of hands are these ten shapes
7 3 2 1 – 1.9% probability (seven times more likely to hold one of the above six-card shapes)
6 4 3 0 – 1.3% probability, plan to open your long suit and usually rebid the four-card suit
5 4 4 0 – 1.2% probability, truly three suited! A void in partner’s suit can be bad news.
The three balanced hands account for 47.5% of all hands. All the other ten shapes above with over 1% probability also add up to 47.5%. In a session of twenty boards, you will pick up on average only one hand that does not fall into one of these patterns. Unless opening 1NT or 2NT, which define your point range and limit your shape options to the balanced hands above, you must have a rebid plan as opener to tell your partner about your shape and your points, which we will return to later.
- 35% of hands have four cards as their longest suit
- 43.4% have five cards as their longest suit
- 15% have six cards as their longest suit
A void is likely in only 5% of all deals. In 54% of deals a doubleton will be the shortest suit; 30.5% a singleton. Holding exactly 4333 will occur the other 10.5% of the time.
Long suit odds are an 11-card suit 2.7 million to one; 40,000 deals to see one 10-card suit. Even an 8-card suit is 0.47% likelihood with a 9-card suit 0.037%.
LEARNING TIPS
Concentrate on learning these most common hand shapes because having a strong understanding of how to bid each shape, combined with your points, will help you bid better and, when defending, recognise what shape hand your opponent holds too from their bid. Knowing their shape and counting distribution will help improve your scores.
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