HotD-thu : Monday Swiss Teams : 01feb21 : B6 |
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This hand from Monday was a borig heart game at the majority of tables, but when that happens we should not ignore it and move on. In this instance we need to ask why nobody bid the easy small slam in clubs (when a grand slam in clubs is playable too - about a 33% chance).
The start to the bidding should be as shown whatever system you play. North could claim to have 9 hcp but the singleton queen must be downvalued and it is never right to suggest no-trumps with three card trump support and side suit singleton. So 2♥ stands out. This is how it started at exactly half the tables, with five others upgrading the responding hand to be worth 1♥ - 2♣ (which in a way enhanced the chance of reaching the best contact - but only one of those tables ever suggested clubs as trumps and they later passed 4♣, which was a disaster).
After that the key is for opener to take their time, but the majority failed to do that. Three of the six tables leapt to 4♥, more keen to kide their hand from the opponents than to expose their hand to partner. One produced a jump to 4♦ over which partner should have continued but did not. So we had jsut two tables did continue as suggested by showing their spade suit. What happened then? Both Norths at this point bid 3♦; your continuations at this point are of course subject to partnership agreement, but where the queestion of the right denomination must be the first concern, surely bidding out your shape should come first. After the 3♦ bid South never considered clubs as a potential trump suit.
Did anybody bid slam? Yes two tables did but they to 6♥; and this contract was playable but with a sure trump loser it depends on the club finesse - so today they went down. The two tables which did bid slam both started 1♥ - 2♣ - 2♠ but their difficulty - again the same issue, rushing too much - was that partner bid 4♥ at this point, leaving no room to explore. One table avoided that rush by rebidding 3♣ at this point, and they were set for the jackpot except when partner raised to 4♣ they passed. This should not happen as after a 2-level response a reverse as with 2♠ here ia a game force.
Maybe next time we can report on some good slam bidding!
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HotD-wed : Monday Swiss : 01feb21 : b1 |
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Not every pair managed to stop in 1N on this board - West has to judge whether the QJ-douleton is pulling its weight in deciding whether to continue. One factor to bear in mind is that when partner opens an 11-14 one no-trump, the probabilities favour the lower end (14-count comes only 20% of the time). In practice NT ranges affect the choices and we found four pairs stopped in 1N, three in 2N and one could not stop before 3N.
On lead against a no-trump contract, two Souths were put off by an opening bid of 1♣ and gave declarer a gentle heart lead (they should really have ignored the bid) but the remainder all led a low club at trick one. Every declarer ducked this in dummy and North won with the jack, and here is where the interesting question comes up. Should North continue clubs or switch to a different suit to allow partner to lead clubs again?
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The answer depends significantly on how you think declarer will play the next time a club is led. If declarer had no guess (say North held only the ♣J and South the ♣AQ) the it would be nornal for North to return cubs, so when North does switch declarer will expect North to have ether ♣QJ or ♣ AJ - the question is which? In practice two Norths switched to hearts and three switched to the ♠Q. Only one continued clubs. Of the times when North switch, three times South continued later with ♣A and another which saved declarer from any guess, while two Souths continued with a small club and declarer guessed wrong, losing to the queen and getting no club tricks at all.
So should declarer have guessed to play the king on the second round of clubs? The answer, imho, is yes and the reson is this - if North held the ♣AJ then South has less HCP and might well not have enough entries both to lead the suit again and to get in later. North would therefore not dare blocking the suit and would bash out a second and third club to set up South's winners.
But if North knows that East will reason like this, then sitting back with the ♣AJ will gain when the above logic makes declarer choose wrongly. We are now moving into game theory, and if both declarer and defender are cognisant of this, then a mixed strategy is appropriate. It could be a case of bluff and double-bluff, but we need to factor the question of how many tricks the defence needs.
Defending 1N and defeating it will, with such a strong dummy, depend on declarer mis-guessing - so against that contract it is right to keep open the losing option for declarer.
Defending 2N is more nuanced. Clubs will at best provide fur tricks, but on this layout that is enough to beat the contract, as declarer must lose a heart to set up that suit and the spade ace is a sixth defensive winner. So a club continuation is right. |
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HotD-fri : Pairs League 2.2 : 25jan21 : B17 |
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This was the wildest hand from Monday's game and the swings produced were enormous. What's the secret to doing well on these big hands?
The first three bids at almost evey table were the same - East opened diamonds and South showed at least 5-5 in the majors. The routes chosen by West now diverged, but the clearest path is the one shown which establishes diamonds as trumps and shows a shortage in hearts, and seeks partner's opinion on what next.
What should North be thinking at this point? Two things come to mind - the fact that there is a massive heart fit here, and the fact that the singleton they hold in partner's other suit might well offer some defence to the opponents' contract. The opposition are about to bid game in diamonds - is North going to defend against that? The enthusiasm being shown by West suggests partner has a void in diamonds and partner won't have much in the way of club tricks - so it seems inevitable to sacrifice in 5♥ over their 5♦, so why not do that now? Paul Denning chose 5♥ at this point which left the opposition guessing as to what to do next. East passed it around to West who found a wining choice by bidding 6♦ but when this came around to South, it was clear to bid 6♥ and so it was that this table in Division One ended in the par contract on the hand, 6♥ doubled down one.
There was only two other tables bid up to that contract, which means that at the other ten tables either NS or EW received a score which was well above par, and the other a score well below par.
What led to the disasters eight pairs experienced?
- There were three cases of letting 6♦ play - which was NS assuming that the opponents had bid a failing slam, as a heart sacrifice was known to be cheap. Was this insulting the EW bidding?
- There was a more understandble choice to defend 6♣ doubled by West, but North failed to find the crucial diamond lead to beat that slam.
- There were three cases where East-West defended 5♥ doubled making; a minor suit game had been bid in all cases, but West failed to recognise that their hand was roughtly a 4-loser hand and they had not engaged partner isnthe search for a slam.
- There were three cases where East-West were allowed to play peacefully in game, and there twice North never supported hearts and at the other table did so minimally. We should expect such behaviour to lose out.
There is an element of being willing to trust the honesty of the bids being made around the table on hands like this, but the age old adage of "if in doubt bid one more" rings particularly true on this hand.
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HotD-thu : Pairs League 2.2 : 25jan21 : B10 |
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This hand proved very difficult for some on Monday, but easy for others. The auctions where East had only disckosed hearts tended to get a club lead, and when the ace appeared declarer needs only to duck a diamond, or take a double heart finesse to make the game. The aucitions where East showed real clubs got a diamond lead and had a more challenging path to find.
As always the first step is to count tricks, and there are 7 sure tricks with potential extras in the form or a spade finesse, a double heart finesse, a fourth diamond on an even break and and extra club by fiding the ace onside. The difficulty in the heart and club suits are that you need two entries to the West hand for each suit, and there are only two entries overall. This means you cannot go for both of these, and therefore you need an extra trick from either diamond or spades. And clearly better than choosing between them is to go for both - and the easy route for that is to duck trick one. After doing that you win the next diamond with the ace (and you might at this point diagnose that the diamonds are breaking 3-3) and choose either clubs or hearts.
You must also as you proceed be keeing an eye on how many winners the other side have. If you play hearts they will have at least a trick in each red suit, so you must be careful they do not get three black winners - and you must play clubs yourself at some point so there is a danger there. The issue is that if you take a losing heart finesse, East can return a spade and now you might have to cut yourself off from a spade winner or cash the AK and leave them the possibility of two defensive tricks in that suit. This makes leading up the top clubs attractive, as if the club ace is onside you will only ever lose one club, one diamond and at the worse two spades. In practice, with the club ace onside all lines deliver nine tricks, but the fact is that all declarers with a diamond lead stumbled.
Meanwhile all six declarers who did not get a lead of the suit breaking most favourably for declarer all got to make their contract.
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HotD-wed : Pairs League 2.2 : 25jan21 : B1 |
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The opening board on Monday proved to be a trap for four pairs, and they all fell into the same trap. It's worth noting what the trap was. Every table had a minor suit lead, and the first thing to do after that is for declarer to count tricks.
With five clear tops outside trumps, you have to look at the expectations from the trump suit. If you drw trumps with a 4-4 fit like this, you hope for one loser and therefore three tops and an extra trick from the spare trump at the end making 4 tricks. That adds up to nine, One more is needed!
The options are either to set up a side suit, or to get an extra trump trick. Whichever route you choose, the answer is not to play trumps as soon as you can. Yet that is exactly what these four declarer did. The others didn't.
It's much easier to be successful at this game if you count your tricks!
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HotD-fri : County League 6 : 18jan21 : B8 |
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It was interesting to look at the opening calls by West on this hand from Monday. There were three choices of opener - one opened 2♠ (rather specialist showing 5♠+another and 8-13 hcp) but the rest were divided between pass and opening 1♠.
Opening with a 10-count is not without dangers, but the plus factors for this choice are that it is first in hand (ie not after a passed opponent, increasing the chance that they own the hand) and that the suits are in a very convenient order to bid. The downside of passing is that you might never get a chance to bid, and in practice this only hapened at two tables, where West passed and over North's 1♣ opener, South showed spades.
What were the outcomes? There is game there for East-West and nothing for North-South to make; exactly half the field got to game (or equivalent penalty) and half didn't. All six of the Wests who opened reached game level, and only one of those who didn't managed it.
Game is not certain to make but with a sure club, diamond and spade to lose - there is no choice but for declarer to take the heart finesse, and with North bidding and showing up with a void spade the odds on its success are quite high.
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Hotd-thu : League 6 : 18jan21 : B14 |
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This was another hand from Monday where it was open to a pair to win the hand in the bidding. It mostly came down to East's choice at this point. What would you bid?
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The winning answer was found at three tables - they bid 3N. Despite the low point count, 3N is a very respectable contract, being certain if the opponents fail to attack diamonds, and still have a decent chance if they do. In practice declarer could be induced to go off, but the ♠QJ92 proved too appealing to South and that was either the opening lead or the trick two switch.
What does a 3N bid mean in this position? With a balanced hand, many different contracts could end up as the right answer, and a 3N bid leaves no room to check that out. For this reason, we don't want to use it that way, and so organise that a 1N rebid here shows 15-17 (or 11-14 if you are playing a strong NT) and that means 2N covers 18-19 and with more than that you open 2N. So there is no need for a balanced hand to bid 3N, and it is therefore agreed by most tournament players to show a long good suit and some stoppers outside. An ideal description of this hand. It also means that West has no inclination to return to playing in hearts.
Nearly everyone else bid 3♣ at this point, and of those who did only one managed to move on to 3N.
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HotD-wed : League 6 : 18jan21 : B20 |
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As often the slam hands produced big swings on Monday but there was only one real slam hand and it was this. The slam bid by two pairs on B22 was distinctly poor (27%) but this time the cards were lying favourably and it came home, and there was a system mis-understanding which led to the slam off two aces on B23. Back to this - it was actually a flat board in two matches, one flat in 4♥+3, and the other flat in 7♥=. What should have happened?
The auction on diaplay was a common start (6 times) equal with three passes around to South's 1♥ opener. The two exception were one player who opened 3♣ (and might well count -800 when doubled as a success) and the case where East responded freely to the 1♣ opener. How did these choices fare?
- Letting South open the bidding resulted in two opponents playing game, three playing a small slam, and one playing a grand slam.
- Opening 1♣ and passing round to South resulted in one instance of game for North-South, one small slam and four grand slams.
- Opening 1♣ and a response from East resulted in one instance of game.
Before working out if there is a message in this we need to check what contract we'd like to be in. Yes, the grand slam makes but it depends on roughly {hearts 2-2 and diamonds 3-3/4-2} or {hearts 3-1 and diamonds 3-3} and when you add this up it comes to about 52% so it is a playable contract but not good enough odds to bid a grand slam when there is a serious chance (even in Division One) that your opposition stop in game. So the contract of choice is 6♥. The best performance therefore as North-South came from the case where East-West let the other side open the bidding, and the worst performance for North-South came from the (admittedly solitary) case where both West and East bid before South had a chance.
There's the message!
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HotD-fri : Pairs League 2.1 Div3 : 11jan21 : B15 |
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This hand from Monday was a good candidate for planning but nobody managed to find the winning path. The contract needs some luck, but you can identify what that luck needs to be. It is inevitable that you lose a club, a diamond and a spade. Your missiion is to avoid losing a second spade or a heart. How should you proceed?
The defence start off with the ♣Q which you win. You play a diamond to give you an entry to dummy, and they play a second club, North following with the jack. Now is time for a plan for the remainder of the hand .....
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Let's do the trump suit first. The best play to avoid a loser is to lead small to the queen, and you will need one entry (a diamond ruff) to dummy to do that. Easy.
Now the spade suit. One option is that a spade might be discarded on the fourth round of clubs. The other is that you make two spade tricks by force; on a random layout; there's almost a 40% chance of doing that if you know the right sequence of plays. This is one to learn and remember - best is to lead the ten and run it unless covered; the next round is again led from dummy but finessing the ♠8 is your best choice now if the ten had been covered earlier. Leading small initially to the ♠8 is not far behind (losing 2%). To play the spades this way you need two entries to dummy.
That comes to three dummy entries, and you can see two diamond ruffs as candidates and the third will have to come from leading a trump to dummy at some point.
The sequence is therefore dictated by these requirement : ruff a diamond and play to the ♥Q and then cash the ♥A. Now you must test the clubs by playing the third round - that fails and you ruff the fourth club. Now comes - ruff your last diamond and play ♠T (covered by the queen and ace) and then back to dummy by a heart to the ten to lead a second spade. and the eight forces the king.
The cards are lying exaclty as you want them to be, and you wrap up 10 tricks. Neat! |
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HotD-thu : Pairs League 2.1 : 11jan21 : B10 |
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This was a tricky play hand from Monday, with only 5 out of 9 declarers successful in their 4♠ contract. The defence in all cases started off with two top hearts but the key question is what came next?
All three suits were played with four Souths switching to the ♣5, three playing the ♦5, leaving one to lead the ♦ 8 and one led a spade.
Now let's consider this from East's perspective. There are eight top tricks and two more are needed from the clubs and diamonds, and there are options in both suits. Four diamond tricks solves the problem, else you need three in one minor and two in the other (without losing two tricks).
With a diamond switch, the key point for declarer to register is how foolish it would be for South to lead from the ten or the queen in this position, and so those cards can be placed with North. The only chance to gain is to play low on the diamond switch (or cover the ♦8) and doing this generates three sure diamond tricks, which with the club finesse gets you home. Although only Anne Swannell got this right, all declarers with a ♦5 switch got home. With a club switch, it was more tricky; two declarers were tempted by the chance that South had led from ♣J and they played small - fatally as a club trick and the inevitable diamond trick defeated the contract. One declarer played the queen (the winning choice) but later continued clubs giving the defence a trick there. The fourth rose with the ♣A. All four of these declarers by giving up a club trick left themselves dependent on the ♦Q being well placed - and were off. The declarer who had the spade switch at trick three had least to go on and drew trumps and tried ♣Q and ♣A and a third club, and that was fatal.
What is the best line of play? The diamond switch tells declarer they have a diamond loser, and therefore they need the club finesse to work - so they should always succeed. The club switch does suggest that the club suit will break 4-2 and that North has a club honour (South should lead the J from any ♣KJ holding). Running the club switch round to the ten is playing for South to have given away a trick with this switch; there is no doubt that can happen but if you trust South not to be giving away tricks, there is a strong case for playing the queen on this switch and then giving up the suit. On this play you will make the contract. The spade switch gives declarer fewer clues as to how to proceed; finessing the club queen and the diamond jack are necessary steps and the key is which suit will break 3-3 and give you an extra winner if one of those finesses fails. But you cannot allow two losers - so sdiamonds is the only option..
Looks like the game should make after all.
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HotD-wed : Pairs League 2.1 : 11jan21 : B1 |
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The first hand from Monday (in three Division) was this, and it was a very tricky hand to bid, with only two pairs out of nine reaching a comfortable contract.
Of the Easts who had the problem, six of them chose to open 2♣ on this hand while two opened 1♠. After the 1♠ bid, the problem passed to West who in both cases was constrained by the fact that a 2♣ response was game forcing. Both Wests chose that auction but their paths diverged over East's 2♥ response. One jumped to 5♣ while the other bid 3♣ (and then 4♣ and then 5♣). In both cases East proceeded to bid the slam in clubs. This was playable (needs Kx or Jx in clubs for one defender, and a winning guess by declarer) but on this layout was doomed.
Over the 2♣ openers, West was pleased to be able to reply with a positive 3♣ ad to rebid that suit over 3♠. All but one of the Easts bid 4♥ (the other a less ambiguous 4♠ avoiding the concern that 4♥ might be a cue agreeing clubs). What should West do now? Two chose 6♣ , two chose 4N ace asking, one chose a 5♦ cue bid - but only Dan McIntosh found the winning answer of giving partner preference to 4♠. This last one was the only plus score from the 2♣ openers.
So how should this hand be bid? The first question is show high can East force the bidding; try this approach - if partner would pass 1♠, say averaging 2335 3-count, how will East fare? If spades break evenly, and they lead a diamond setting up the KQ, then that is nine tricks - so as well as all that luck partner must have something else to contribute. By no means a certain game and partner could have something less or less well fitting. That makes a decent case for opening 1♠, but it's hard to argue with either opening bid - so let's work out what should have happened after that.
The start after a 2♣ opener has to be 3♣ - 3♠ - 4♣ and it is hard to reists 4♥ at this point (although who offers a new trump suit at the 4-level?). Over 4♥, there is a good case now for the winning choice; the warning bells are there - this sequence could easily find opener with 6-6/6-5 in the majors, but it is hard to give up with two aces. The 5♦ cue is appealing (but not if partner leaps to 7N in response, as happend at table 8) and is less ambiguous if opener had rebid 4♠. Still if West's ♣Q was the ♥Q then 6♠ is the contract you would want to be in. So slam is hard to resist.
After a 1♠ opener there is a better chance of avoiding the slam. West does start with 2♣ game forcing, but the choice of 5♣ on the next round sends a very definite message. It tells of long clubs (8 or 9) and specifically rules out 3N as an option. This must say something about the quality of the club suit. A solid suit, or a one loser suit with an outside entry really ought to bid differently to allow for 3N. There must be a good case for passing 5♣ despite the enormous extra strength East holds. This might be the best chance of stopping in game.
But there was a second table which stopped in game on this hand; this happened after North opened the bidding instead, with a weak two in ♦. There is a flaw in the hand (holding a decent heart sut) but otherwise it does look like a good candidate for an obstructive bid; here the effect was unlucky, as now East could show a atrong hand but not as clearly as with a 2♣ opener, and they came to rest in 5♠. It is quite uncommon for the more active bidders to suffer this way.
The bid question from all this is - will any of us change the way we would bid the same hand if it came up tomorrow?
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HotD-fri : Monday Swiss Teams 2.1 : 4jan21 : B1 |
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A lot of North-South pairs collected an unnecessary minus score on this hand from Monday by an inappropriate pre-empt. It's all about the opening bid on this hand.
What the biggest cuplrits did - and there were five of them - was to open 3♦ on the hand. It won't always hit an unfavourable distribution like this but there are multiple reasons why a pre-empt is not the right choice on these cards
- The hand is a positively contructive one, rather than being obstructive. if you hit a diamond fit, the losing trick count could call it a 6-loser hand - better than many opening bids!
- The hand has good defence to any opponent's contract, with three possible defensive tricks.
- The hand is playiable in hearts and clubs as well as diamonds.
The next most common opening bid on the hand was 2♦; this worked out a bit better - all four Souths now bid 2♠ and the two who were allowed to play there got a plus score, but most people play 2♠ here as forcing and North was reluctant to pass and so moved on to a minus score.
The third most common opening bid was pass - and the twice that occurred there was no probem with South playing the hand in 2♠.
The final table saw North open 1♦ and take fright later in the auction and pass partner's forcing 3♣ bid.
What will we all do next time we are presented with this North hand?
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HotD-thu : Monday Swiss Teams 2.1 : 4jan21 : B6 |
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The South hand here was the "big hand" from Monday's game. Holding 27-hcp only happens about one hand in every 20000 hands, which means playing 4 sessions a weak of 25 hands would give you one of these every four years. It would be no surprise that many were not prepared for this - but still a number did cope.
There were six tables who opened 2♣ and rebid 3N which did show what they had and one which opened 3N to show this hand; this left no space to explore and when the robot pair tried to explore (the others all passed) they found themselves propelled into 6♥ which could not make. There were two tables which improved on that, allowing South to rebid 2N with GF-balanced, and over that North was able to transfer into hearts and then show spades. Both Souths here felt that had a little to spare (did they?) and showed this by jumping to 4N. One North (having actually shown 4-7 hcp already) passed this natural bid, while the other - unsure as to what was going on - gave a Blackwood response and that led to 6N (a playable but doomed contract, given to declarer on a play that should have been avoided).
There was one odd table where West - despite the vulnerability and the poor quality of the suit - decided to intervene at the three level, offering 800 to the other side. Gallant as always, NS refused but they were in unexplored territiry and they stumbled into 6♣ after that (making).
Two tables found an innovative and winning answer to South's dilemma. Having a hand they felt too good for any NT bid, even after starting with 2♣, what they did was rebid 3♣. They immediately found the only fit and were soon in the best slam, and duly collected +920.
How should one handle these hands? The tables which started with a forcing 2N rebid were clearly in the best space, and that gave North time to explore for a fit in either major. With partner showing 45xx shape what should South be doing? Despite the high cards in South, it is far from clear whether any game will make opposite a really weak North hand. There is likely to be much more flexibility playing in hearts than NT, which makes that the natural choice. Neiother South with the option went for that. :( Unfortunately hearts is not where you want to be - playing in clubs on thsi layout is significantly better (as the fourth spade might take care of the third round of hearts).
Can we get to clubs on this hand? Suppose we go through the motions described above and after North has shown two suits, South bids 4♥. On the basis of exactly that North hand and assuming that South holds 24+ balanced with three hearts, a selection of 20 random hands (only 3 with as many as 26 hcp) showed up the following - 6 cases with two cashable winners for the defence (so no slam), 8 hands where slam was an easy make (seven in hearts, one in clubs), and 6 hands where slam is around the 40% space. Across the 14 slam hands, there were only three where clubs was preferrable to hearts. From another perspective, North might have a much less appealing hand - so it is clear to make a further move. What should that move be? Sorry - no easy answer. A natural bid of 5♣ would be ideal, but this is unexplored territory for most partnerships.
What are the lessons from this? The first is that auctions which go blah-blah-3N are genrally uncomfortable, and better avoided; playing a system which allows a GF 2N bid is much better (as exemplified by the auction at table 11). The second is that a shapely 4-count is a powerful hand opposite a very strong balanced partner, even when that partner might be weaker than the hand held here. Slams need to be explored, even if you cannot be sure that a slam is there.
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HotD-wed : Monday Swiss teams 2.1 : 4jan20 : B2 |
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This hand from Monday was played in 4♥ seven times, and only three declarers made their contract. One table had the auction shown; the lead was a top club and at trick two East switched to the ♦7. North knew from the bidding that East would only have a doubleton diamond, so he put up the queen, forcing East to take the ace. After that, there was the ♠A to lose and the contract made in comfort.
When the game went off, the play started with a top club and then a diamond switch. In these four cases declarer played a low diamond from dummy and the ♦9 forced the king; when East later got in with the ♠A they could play a second diamond and that was four tricks for the defence.
You might think that it all came down to fact that West bid diamonds at the first table, and indeed it was staightforward there - but could the other Norths have worked out the winning play? The big uncertainity declarer needs to consider is who has the ♦A? Playing low from dummy is the winning choice if East has the ace or if West has a doubleton ace. Two things come into play in deciding; the first is West's signal at trick one and the second is how much you trust East as a defender.
With a singleton in dummy in a suit contract, most players have agreed that neither attitude nor count is very important, and the card played by third hand is suit preference. In practice, at all four of the tables concerned, West played the ♣3 at trick one. This was a strong sign that West held something in diamonds. The other question is how would East have defended holding the ace. Even without a signal a diamond switch is not unlikely, but that switch could come from a varity of holdings. Is there any ace-high holding where East would lead the seven? The only candidates are ♦AT7 and ♦A97 as with ♦AT97 the lead would be the ten, and with ♦AJ97 the lead would be the jack. But even with ♦A97, leading the ace might matter if partner has ♦KT842 (to avoid declarer scoring with a doubleton jack). Or is could be a non-ssytemic lead from say ♦A72. When we add these factors up, the odds strongly favour it being a lead from ♦74 or ♦72.
So do we tink the contract should always have made?
It was actually rather trickier that suggested at two tables; it was curious at these to see East lead the ♦2 rather than the ♦7 at trick two. This could well confuse partner (if a 1♣ opener, West might diagnose a singleton diamond and rise with the ace) but in practice it encouraged declarer to releax, fatally.
[The other tables which made 4♥ both had a top club lead; one had a heart switch at trick two and the other had a second round of clubs. Neither troubled declarer.]
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HotD-fri : Christmas Pairs : 28dec20 : B23 |
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Today's hand from Monday was a battle between declarer and defence, with 18 pairs playing in the normal 4♥ game (and two in 5♥ when South got too excited - balanced 18 opposite less than an opener does not make slam). That left three pairs playing in 3N and one who stopped in a part-score.
Against 4♥ what should West lead? The danger of leading out aces is evident on this hand; either ace being led gives declarer an extra trick, so all but one avoided that, settling for leading the doubleton club. This is useful for the defence as the threat of a ruff will push declarer to draw trumps, but if declarer draws four trumps then the extra trick a trump suit usually delivers will vanish. Declarer should try the ♣7 at trick one but that gets covered and the king wins (if the queen is well placed, the jack can be finessed later). Looking to ruff a spade, declarer can count on one spade trick, five hearts, one diamond and two clubs - so it needs only one more trick. This can come from finding the ♦A onside to get two tricks on that suit, or from developing an extra club trick.
The natural sequence of plays is to win the ♣K, play to the ♥Q and then to the ♥K - at which point the bad trump break emerges. Declarer must now pay attention to getting a spade ruff, and play a spade to the queen and duck the next round. This leaves East on lead. It would be normal for East now to play a diamond and when the king loses to the ace, declarer knows they only have one diamond trick. Whatever gets returned now (except a small spade to the king) declarer has to resort to the club finesse and when that fails the contract is one down.
But in practice six declarers succeeded; how did that happen? One table saw the ♠A rise when declarer led towards the queen; this gave declarer two spade tricks, and a diamond could be discarded on the ♠K and a diamond was ruffed. At another the ♠A was used on the ♠Q but that West now cashed the ♦A giving declarer an extra trick in that suit. At two tables West got to beat the ♦K with the ace but promptly played the ♠A, giving declarer an extra trick in that suit. The commn theme on these was rushing to cash aces; the restraint was there at trick one, and it should be easier to be restrained later as if there was a way it might vanish, declarer should already have taken that option.
At another table East discarded carelessly and in the endgame after the club finesse lost they had to play back into dummy's ♣A8 to give declarer a discard for their losing diamond. And the final table making 4♥ East pulled out the ♣Q by mistake on the first round, gifting a trick there.
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HotD-thu : Christmas Pairs : 28dec20 : B3 |
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This hand had more potential than any others for swings in Monday's game, with both sides able to make game. The direction in which the hand moved depended a lot on the bdding choices made by South.
One choice was to open 1♥ and this is the option which traditional bridge teaching suggests. One table which started this way proceeded 1♥ - 1♠ - 2♥ - end (with EW silent). This went down, which was poor in comparison to the table which started 1♥ - 1♠ - 2♠ which then got to the spade game. This start to the auction was also the path to the East-West game at one table, where it went 1♥ - P - 1♠ - 2♣ - 2♠ - 5♣. That's three different denominations from the same start.
The other regular choice as an opening bid from South was 1N; this is very much the preferred approach today, which treats any 5332-shaped hand as balanced. When North hears that opening bid the path is very clear - the target is 4♠ and the sooner it is bid the better. It's not very many HCP in the North hand but a 6-6 shape makes it worth trying to make game and with a known 8+ fit in spades, that has to be the best choice. Where North took it slowly by transferring into spades, it gave East the chance to double the transfer to show hearts. The best East-West result came after this start - East doubled 2♥, West showed their clubs and East was able to raise to game. That scored +600 for EW.
The par result (both sides bidding optimally) on this hand is North-South sacrificing in 5♦ or 5♠ over the opponents 5♣ game, and losing 100 points (when doubled). The closest to this was 5♠ undoubled. The par result on this hand would score about 20% for NS and 80% for EW which reflects the fact that achieving the optimal result happened on this hand to be much more difficult for East-West.
What would be the recommended auction on this hand? Opening 1N as South seems a clear choice as it does so much to describe the hand. Over this North can bid 4♠ on the logic exposed above. Can East now bid? It's hard to say yes or no here. North could very easily be stealing the hand, so there is a good case for a takeout double. This would lead to West bidding 5♣ (the making game), but North would see the danger of that making and offer 5♦ as a sacrifice to partner. When East now doubles, the par result is achieved. Wow!
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HotD-wed : Christmas Pairs : 28dec20 : B10 |
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There were four hands on Monday where slams could be made - three for North-South (this and B6 and B12) and one for East-West (B18). Although they could make the others were not as sound propositions as this one was; board 6 depends on diamonds not 4-0 plus a spade finesse (decent odds but a tiny bit odds against) and the other two were rather more fortunate makes. Only three pairs (from 72 chances) bids slams on those other boards.
As well as being the best slam this one was the slam most often bid. But even then it was only bid at 5/24 tables, which isn't very many. There was one bidding sequence to 6♠ which happened twice and which has a lot to commend it. It is illustrated here, and there are a couple of interesting points to note
- North is showing some positive values by raising the bidding level with a 2♥ bid.
- Over this positive bid, South knows that 3♠ is forcing and can bid this to hear more from partner.
The combination of these means that South knows of values and spade support from the 4♠ bid, and can now proceed to check on aces before bidding the slam. Well done to the Martels and to Ferguson & Jarman for producing these sequences.
But bidding it was only part of the story. The slam is a Good Slam, with 12 top tricks provided the spades break 2-1 (as then you can unblock the ♥K and cross to the ♠9 to cash three hearts in dummy) and when they don't you need a favourable position in diamonds to cocmpensate. Today the slam is actually doomed, except that - as so often - the defenders come to the rescue. Here, and with some justification, three Wests started off with the ♦A at trick one, and that meant declarer could survive the bad spade break and make the slam.
Bidding slams pays!
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HotD-sat : League 5 : 21dec20 : B2.8 |
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This was the most interesting hand from the second half of the match on Monday, and there were two bidding decisions worth discussing.
The first was the opening bid by West whio held enough HCP for a "normal" opener, and a good suit, even the boss suit so that you will not be easily outbid. It was a surprised to find that only 2/12 Wests chose to open this with 4♠, the remainder starting with a quiet 1♠ bid. In practice the two results at the tables of the two 4♠ openers were both towards the extreme, the case of the mis-interprettion of the 4N overcall resulting in the largest penalty seen yet in the league this year. So these results here do not tell us much; what better measures the effectiveness of the bid is the comfort level of North after hearing 4♠; over a 1♠ opener North has space to describe their hand, and room to hear from partner. After a 4♠ opener that have not, and both Norths chose to gamble with a 4N bid without any certainty as to which side owned the hand. They landed in a sensible spot but more will lack a 10-card trump fit. The 4♠ bid has a lot to commend it.
The other auctions all started with 1♠ and the next decision was up to North. There are two schools of thought on 5530 hands - some people treating them as two suiters and some as three suiters. The advantage of showing a 2-suiter (here by bidding 2♠) is that a partner with say ♠987 ♥K98 ♦AT86 ♣A75 will get excited over a Michaels Cue but less so over a takeout double. The advantage is showing a 3-suiter is that partner might turn up with something like ♠987 ♥K9 ♦AT8632 ♣A7 and now your chances of making 6♦ are better than those of making game in a rounded suit. In the event, the choices came down as 7/10 for showing a 2-suiter, and 3/10 for showing a 3-suiter. Because partner gets enthused with a big heart fit in either case means that either choice worked this time. Next time - who knows?
Where do we want to get to on this hand? If you look at just the EW hands, then you will make 6♠ most times that the diamond finesse works, while they will make 5♥ most times that the diamond finesse loses. This says that for sure you want to play the hand (in spades). If we just look at the NS hands, we expect to make 5♥ most times the diamond ace is lying with West, and to average about three tricks when defending a spade contract. This justifies bidding up to 5♥ but no more. How many tables matches these expectations? The majority of NS pairs (7 out of 12) bid up to 5♥ while only 4 EW pairs bid as far as 5♠ (one voluntarily, three over 5♥). The common advice "if in doubt bid one more" might well have led to a better result at many tables.
A quick look at the Law of Total Tricks, in vainalla form, suggests 20 total tricks and here it turns out to be 10 tricks in hearts and 12 tricks in spades. Why? The extreme shape of the West hand drive that difference (and the fact that the diamond length in West fitted diamond strength in East).
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HotD-thu : League 5 : 21dec20 : B6 |
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This was a very respectable slam bid at six tables on Monday (there was also one table in 6♠ which was not a good choice). All six players in 6♥ went down, and it is worth looking at how and whether they might have done better.
Three tables received a club lead, two had the ♠J, and one had the lead of two rounds of hearts. There is clearly only one top loser, so we need to count winners to make a plan. The default expectation from the heart suit is three winners plus a ruff for four tricks, to which we can add six outside top tricks. The best source for tricks is the spade suit and one or two spades ruffed will usually set up two long tricks there and make the slam comfortable. Five of the six tables in slam were happy with this approach - one preferred to go after diamonds as a first choice. What happened next?
Two of them had received the ♠9 lead and won the ace and took a ruff with the ♥2. This was a bit lazy as a higher heart could be spared and they were dead when that was over-ruffed with the ♥4 and they were one off. Cue stories about sending a boy to do a man's work! A third table took the ♠A and tried (unnecessarily?) to cash the king immediately and that got ruffed - and again they were doomed.
The table whiich started with two rounds of hearts was in a better space, but they won the ♥K and cashed only one spade before taking a spade ruff. They won that trick, and had discovered that the spades we not going to work out - but they had used up an entry to the diamond hand in the process and that stopped them taking two diamond ruffs and still drawing trumps. Unlucky but perhaps a little careless - the second top spade might have been ruffed but if that was happening the contract was never making anyway.
The fifth table had the best chance. Here Peter Shelley won the club lead and played a trump at trick two to the ♥K (fair as he can afford two rounds of hearts being played) and then played ♠A and ruffed a small one. All South could do now was over-ruff with the ♥A and play a second club. He continued correctly with ♦A and ♦Q which held. There were five trumps left between the two hands, to go with the ♥K, two top spades, two diamond tricks and two club tricks. He needed either five trump tricks or a minor suit trick and four trumps. He went for the ♣K and when that got ruffed he was off. Could he tell? North was known to have five spades, three hearts and had shown up with two in each minor. It was all down to whether that thirteenth card was a club or a diamond. It's always hard to tell, but - because they cannot tell whether or not it will matter later - the defenders are often honest in the count signals they give in situations like this. If you are willing to trust that, then the ♣8 then the ♣2 might well have been an indicator (and you can add to that South is more likely to lead a sixth best than a fifth best club at trick one).
The analysis suggests that every declarer might have done better. What does this tell us? Maybe the reason we don't bid enough slams is that we are not making the ones that we do bid and should make?
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HotD-wed : League 5 : 21dec20 : b4 |
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This was the first interesting game hand from Monday, with ten out of the twelve teams playing in 3N and only two succeeding. The crucial question was the opening lead from North, after West had shown hearts and a balanced hand. What should be the thought process at this point?
The two strongest rationales in choosing an opening lead are (a) setting up tricks for your side, and (b) not giving declarer tricks they do not deserve. The balance between the two depends on your assessment of whether or not declarer is about to have an easy time, or is going to be struggling. The answer to this is sometimes clear from the bidding, but here with East forcing to game opposite an opening bid, there isn't any certainty as to how many HCP each side has. The other piece of information you have is about the suits which have been bid. You know declarer has hearts and you know these do not split well for declarer. You might (some auctions were 1N-2♣-2♥-3N) know that dummy has spades and - because they have not chosen to play there - partner has four spades too. This "bad news" for declarer gives you a tendency towards being cautious in the opening lead department.
With a holding of ♦KQ64 there is always uncertainty about which to lead. It all depends whether or not one of declarer or dummy has four in the suit. If that is the case, leading high can harm your chances. [Sometimes when faced with such a dilemma the best answer is to lead another suit] There is no certainty on any hand - so let's look at what happened here on the lead of the ♦4. This happened four times, and on one occasion declarer was asleep at the wheel and played small from dummy, but the others were awake enough to put up the jack and win trick one in dummy. This gave declarer seven top tricks, needing two more to make the game. Clearly the best source of two more tricks is spades, and crossing to the tpo heart to run the spade queen seems to be clearly indicated. Yet it was only one - Judy Sanis - of the three declarers who managed to do this. The other two started playing clubs and tried to go down (although only one of them was given the contract back later).
On a top diamond, or any other suit lead, the contract was doomed as South had an easy play of diamonds as soon as they gained the lead.
This does look like a case where caution rather than attack was the right answer.
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HotD-fri : Pairs League 7 : 14dec20 : B16 |
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There were two part-scores (reasonably) and one odd ball choice (of 4♥) on this hand from Monday, but the vast majority played in 3N as North on an auction very like that which is shown. There were two instances of unprovoked club leads from East (why lead your weaker suit when it's also the suit the opponents are more likely to hide in the bidding?) and it was curious to see that - when the lead offered declarer four tricks in the suit, both declarers refused the free gift and played the ♣J at trick one, limiting themselves ot three tricks. They did however pick up the message that the clubs were not breaking 3-3, and so went after diamonds and made their contract eventually. So a club lead did in fact cost.
The more common, and more demanding lead, was a spade by East. North won the king either immediately or just aftter and could then start counting tricks. Clearly exactly five tricks in the majors, so a successful 3N needs four tricks in the minors. One option is four tricks in clubs and since it is very difficult not to lose two tricks in diamonds (creating a minimum of 5 defensive tricks), everybody went for clubs. It was curious to see that of all the declarers with a spade lead, only Peter Swales found the best play in the club suit - he started with small to the jack, which would net him four tricks if West had ♣T9, while all other declarers started with the ace, which would gain instead on a singleton offiside ♣Q (both less likely a priori, and more so given no club lead or discard from East). Today it made no difference, and on either route the queen shows up as onside and the key decision now comes.
With eight tricks in the bag, and the spades lookine to be splitting 4-4 (clearly for some, rather less so for others) declarer has a choice. if the clubs are 3-3 then cashing the king makes the contract, while if they are not cashing the king sets up the fifth trick for the defence. Is there an easy answer?
Not really. The key information you have gained in cashing the hearts is the discard from East of the ♦6 and then the ♦9. Absent anything else, once the clubs are not 5-1 and East has at least three clubs the odds favour a 3-3 break. The fact that the hearts break with East a doubleton swings things, but swings it to making a 3-3 break and a (losing) 4-2 break identical odds. Any more hints? Answers please on a postcard. None were found at the table, and everyone cashed the ♣K to go one down, where running the ♦J would have made the contract.
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HotD-thu : Pairs League 7 : 14dec20 : B4 |
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There were only three pairs played in 4♥ on this hand from Monday but it illustrates well the importance of counting your tricks and the evidence is that none of the three did that.
The spade lead was the most common (and least helpful). How should declarer proceed? There are two basic options in any suit contract, either draw trumps and develop winners, or you aim for a cross-ruff - and that could be ruffing some winners and then cashing out or cashing some winners and then cross-ruffing. What are the options here? In terms of high cards, there is not a lot of prospect of side suit winners apart from ♠A, ♦K and ♣A. If that is the total then 7 trump tricks are needed. Is that possible? If we win ♥ A and two ruffs in East, that means four trumps in West. That would be one heart under the ace (surely they'll lead trumps when they can), and making all the remaining four trumps in West - ruffing diamonds and spades.
Are there any alternatives? We clearly cannot draw trumps unless a side suit can be set up - drawing trumps would generate four trump tricks, and we would have to find ourselves four spades tricks and two outside (or four club tricks and two outside). This would need spades 3-3 and trump behaving - but are there entries? If North plays a trump honour at any point the ace needs to win, and now there might be no entry to dummy.
So there seems to be only one line available - ruff a spade and play a diamond. The ace goes up and now you win the ♥A, ruff a diamond, ♣A and a ruff, diamond ruff, club ruff, spade - and at this point West has only the ♥Q left - but it is good enough as long as South holds the king - the spade break doesns't matter.
None of the declarers managed this line :( One did succeed however when the opposition failed to playa trump when they got on lead. Is this such a difficult game?
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HotD-wed : Pairs League 7 : 14dec20 : B1 |
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There were a few interesting points arose on this hand on Monday. One key issue was the choice of bid by South at this point, and what was key was the space left to West to show diamond support. Some players chose 3♥ at this point, and this left West few choices and the only way of showing primary support for partner was to bid 4♦ and it was a close choice then from East, with a pass being the winner here. It was quite different when South chose to bid only 2♥. This led to a different outcome as West could bid 3♥ to describe this hand and now East was able to bid 3N. This is clearly a viable (maybe uncertain) contract and much preferred to 4♦. This re-iterates a common theme - taking away bidding space does make life more difficut for the opponents - so well done the 3♥ bidders.
The play in 3N is quite interesting. South at the two tables playing 3N started off my playing hearts from the top. East won the queen and now had 8 top tricks. There were two options for the ninth but it was not certain which would survive. If South had the ♠A then clearly you need to go for the club finesse as the ninth, but it's not 100% who has the spade ace, as South would bid the same way with ♠63 ♥AKJT932 ♦8 ♣Q42. Attributing most of the HCP to South does bias you in favour of the clucb finesse - but there is a much better answer. That answer is to cash five diamonds and see what happens. When one East did this, South discarded three clubs. Now which line do you take? Not a guess any more! The general point here is where you have a choice, you should delay it when you can, and cashing your winners can often inconvenience the opponents and tell you a lot.
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HotD-fri : Swiss Teams 4 : 07dec20 : B11 |
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It was curious to see how many declarers went wrong in the diamond suit on this hand from Monday (5 out of 7) and we need to ask why?
The bidding almost uniformly started with 1♥ from South and 2♦ from West; One might postulate that the next bid determined the fate of the likely 5♦ contract, but the evidence suggests otherwise!
Every North showed heart support, with equal numbers bidding 2♥ and 3♥, and one bidding a Bergen 3♣ (although his partner might not have been on this wavelength). East has of course a massive hand at this point, and some doubled (to bring spades into the equation) and some cue bid to show good support, but it was surprising that nobody produced a jump to 4♥ to show support and the heart shortage at once. It is hard to blame people for ending in a slam, although with AQ in clubs opposite a void it is poor odds. More of a surprise was the player who deemed the East hand worth only a simple raise - he must have seen some terrible 2-level overcalls from his partner in recent time to justify that.
Anyway back to the play in 5♦ where after losing the ♥A and having a strong expectation of losing a spade, all declarer's energy should be focused on how to avoid a diamond loser. The issue is a 3-0 break and the question is which opponent is more likely to hold a void. There are 16 hcp missing and held by a pair which opened the bidding and made a raise; Where North raised to 2♥ you might think they had shown little to get excited about and therefore a void diamond was unlikely; where North raised to 3♥ and there were so few hcp around, you might expect North to be more likely to hold the void.
What happened in practice? In all cases where North raised just to 2♥, declarer started diamonds with small to the king (catering for North having a void) and in the cases where North bid 3♥ two declarers played South for a void and one played North for a void. So only one out of six followed the above logic (and they were in 6♦ doubled, so it only saved an undertrick).
There must be some other logic - but what is it?
[I can report that one declarer who played North for a void after a 2♥ overcall was too focussed on making 12 tricks and was punished for that]
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HotD-thu : Swiss Teams 4 : 07dec20 : B18 |
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This hand from Monday gave a swing in every match; in each match there was one table in 3N and one table in 6N. There two instances of the hand played by West, but the remainder were by East.
Should the slam be bid? There are 24 hcp opposite 8 hcp, so in theory it is just enough. What is often crucial is which cards are missing; clearly missing two aces is a killer, and here the missing AQJJ is not as bad as missing AKJ or AQQ. It is the combination of the suits which matters, of couse, and here there is a guarantee of 10 tricks plus extra chances, each of one trick, in spades, hearts and diamonds. Two out of three chances working comes to roughly 50% but here you don't really have a free hand to test them all. On the other hand, the defence are often helpful - particularly with the opening lead - and that might justify bidding the slam.
It is interesting to look at the play and defence in 6N. The advice in defending against 6N is always to make a passive lead, and in practice only one defender found a passive lead - the five Souths on lead all gave away something with the opening lead. The two spade leads went to the ace and now declarer had the comfort of testing the hearts, with the diamond finesse in reserve. Easy. The one heart lead cleared up the heart suit and brought declarer to 11 tricks, and they had the choice now of the ♠A onside or the ♦Q onside. They played a spade first and could not go wrong after that, as playing safely in diamonds meant they saw North show out on the second round and they knew to give up that option; so they survived. The diamond lead actually gave an immediate trick but left more uncertainty. Declarer now had 10 top tricks plus one guaranteed in spades; both declarers played a spade early, but rather than risk a second spade they both tested the hearts next; when the jack fell they were home but they would have gone down unnecessarily if North hed the spade ace and four hearts to the jack. The club lead (from North) gave the sixth 6N declarer more to think about; he played a spade to the king which held (and it was very easy for South to duck with ♠KQ in dummy here). He played a second spade up at his next chance and was home when the hearts came in.
Any conclusions we draw from all this? At first 6N seemed quite reasobable but even with a favourable lead the play suggested it was a bit shaky. While people spray tricks with opening leads against 6N, it's probably worth bidding, but once they cotton onto what a safe lead really is (and that has to be a club from this South hand) Ithe odds must favour playing in game rather than slam.
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HotD-wed : Swiss Teams 4 : 07dec20 : B17 |
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We had a robot team again on Monday and they were doing quite well (lying equal second after three rounds) when they crumbled on the last round, and the crumble was very much to do with a known weakness of the robots - one you can sometimes take advantage of!
This board (and B19 is another example) illustrates the problem they have. The problem is that they cannot read or understand the announcements bidders make, and so simply assume that everyone is playing the same system as they play. The key point is that they believe EVERY 1N opener is a 15-17 balanced hand, and they judge their actions accrodingly. Here East doubled to show points with the aim of getting North out of a comfortable 1N, and when West later bid 3♦ there was no way that East - believeing North had 15+ HCP - could see game making. This was just a part-score battle, and so East passed.
If you look at B19, you will see that after 1N-P-P the robot passed with 20 HCP; this was because, from its perspective, the vast majority of the missing strength was sitting over these 20 points, and all finesses etc would be wrong and no contract would make for EW. That was very wrong.
The team playing against the robots on this round collected 20 VPs to win the session on Monday !
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HotD-fri : League 4 : 30nov20 : B10 |
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It was interesting to see the same (or a similar) auction happening at multipe tables on Monday with dfferent outcomes. The difference was generated by the choice of opening lead and it was the one peson who was listening most carefully to the bidding who obtained the best result.
The key thought which should be in South's mind in deciding on the opening lead is this - what sort of hand does East have? When East has bid two suits and then bid NT with no encouragement from partner, where will East's weakness be? The answer has to be in fourth suit - and it was only Ollie Burgess who got this far in the thinking and pushed out the ♥J at trick one. The jack was a combination of displacing honours from dummy but still retaining control of the suit. He was multiply rewarded when declarer showed up with a void, and when he won the ♣Q at trick two, he could clear the hearts and set up three winners for his partner. The other declarers were not presented with two heart tricks, but the other tables all ended up with 9 tricks while this declarer only managed 6 tricks.
The other situation where this approach is very common is when a 2♣ opener shows an unbalanced hand at first and then bids 3N when the weak hand bids a suit - that suit is usually the reason declarer did not bid NT on the previous round, and is often the best place to attack.
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HotD-thu : League 4 : 30nov20 : B8 |
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It was surprising on Monday to see that there were five tables played this hand in 3N by East and that in only one case did the defenders manage to cash their club tricks.
At one table South led the ♦4 and given West had opened a weak two in that suit, it is hard to see why. At another table South led the ♠2 and there was a small reason for this as East had opened the bidding with 1♣ at that table. But there were three tables where South led clubs - what went wrong at two of those?
At all three tables a top club was led from South. At one table, North overtook the ♣Q (led from KQ because K is a strong lead) and switched to spades - and that killed the defence. The other two tables encouaged as North and South cotninued with a low club. One North won the ♣A and returned a third club which South won with the ten, and now the suit was blocked. At the third table Alan Wearmouth found the right answer - winning the second club with the jack. Now when he returned the suit partner could win the third round and the ace took the fourth, giving an entry to cash the fifth. So easy !
Since the contract is so easily defeated, why should people be bidding this game? Two pairs did better - one bidding 5♦ and the other bidding 4♠. For the former the auction was 3♦-5♦ but reaching a major suit game is more tricky. A straightforward Acol sequence might be P-1♥-2♦-2N-3♥-3♠ which highlights the club weakness and West will return to 4♥. Nobody actually reached 4♥ but it worth noting that it is quite possible to bid to the optimum contract. The strong&5 brigade have a more difficult time, and at the three tables where East opened 1N, two Wests pushed to 3N while the third put their side into 3♦.
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HotD-wed : League 4 : 30nov20 : B7 |
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There were two slam hands for North-South in the first half of Monday's match. There was an above 80% slam available on board one; one pair did make a slam try (rather pointlessly bidding 4N as South) but nobody bid that slam. This was the other hand.
Making 6♠ on this hand is strightforward if the trumps break 2-2 or the singleton king drops - and if that all fails then a club finesse will usually give you 12 tricks - so we are looking at about a 75% slam. This was bid only once to slam, and that sadly failed when trumps broke 4-0 and the club finesse was wrong (although declarer mihgt have guessed better and made it). What's worth considering is why so few managed to reach the slam level here (and ditto for board one).
The first question is whether or not West opens the bidding; it is a close call here - the extreme shape calls for disrupting but second seat is not as effective as first seat, and this is only a 1-count, vulnerable. In the event two of the ten Wests had the opportunity to open 2♥ showing hearts and a minor, and duly did so. There is usually considerable value in denying the opposition a free run in the bidding, but the fact is that it was over one 2♥ opener than a pair bid slam (X-P-3♠ and onwards) while the other 2♥ opener could not keep quiet on the next round and the cost of that was -1700. Here there were zero out of eight North-South pairs got to slam after West passed - so maybe that was the right choice here!
After a pass from West there were three pairs opened with 1♣ and the other five opened a variety of things all geared towards showing 20-22 balanced. The three 1♣ openers all got different reactions from East, one case of 1♦, one case of 2♦ and one case of 3♦. The simple overcall allowed South to bid spades, but now North's jump to 4♦ (splinter) cramped the auction and it finished with South's rebid of 4♠. Where there was a jump overcall, it was passed around to North who made a takeout double over which the two Souths - having passed already - made minimal responses. With a decent five card suit and an ace, this was understating the hand. North could hardly get into trouble by making a slam try but both just raised to game. Opportunities missed all round.
The 2N openers might have had more success, except than in three of the five cases East came into the auction, again in three forms bidding 2♦ once, 3♦ once and 4♦ in the other case. Only one South bid at this point (3N closing the auction) and the others were passed around to North who make a takeout noise and passed out South's simple game bid (3N in on case, 4♠ in the other). As in the most cases over the 1♣ opener, South had bid the same way they would have bid holding ♠5432 ♥432 ♦J432 ♣32, when they had a much better hand.
There were two cases of no intervention over a 2N opener and here South was able to bid 3♥ showing spades; in one case North bid 4♠ to show a commitment to spades, but South added 8 HCP to a maximum of 20 HCP and decided that was enough. In the other case North accepted the initial transfer and then when partner bid 3N to offer a choice of contracts, they had a golden opportunity to show slam interest in spade by cue bidding 4♣ on the way there - but they didn't, simply converting to 4♠ where matters rested.
In fact there were opportunities at every table (except the 1700) to do better on this hand, but it was perhaps the last sequence discussed where the failure was most glaring. Which does restore the faith in the value of disrupting the opponents' bidding.
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HotD-fri : Pairs League 6 : 23nov20 : B16 |
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Transfers are sometime thought of as protecting declarer from an attacking lead but on this hand from Monday, the fatal spade lead was easily found from North but just about impossible from South. But in practice it did not work out that way - only two out of the eight Norths found the spade lead - and one of those two was a robot! In fact declarer had to be rather nimble to avoid two down on that lead. Here's what happened ...
After the top spade won trick one, North continued with ♠Q and another (trusting that partner had not started with ♠Ax inwhich case they might have overtaken at trick one) and after winning the third trick South switched to a diamond. This ran to the king and a diamond came back, setting up a ruff for the defence. This declarer set about trumps but lost two trumps and the ruff on top of three spades and a diamond - down two.
One other declarer face the same problem but he diagnosed that the diamond king was offside and rose with the ace; he led a club to the queen and a heart to the queen. He was now ablt to ditch two diamonds on the ♣AK and then play the thirteenth spade to ditch the last diamond while the defence ruffed. Well done by Val Constable. She did have the advantage of having stopped in 1♥ - with essentially the same sequence but with the 1N hand opening 1♣.
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HotD-thu : Pairs League 6 : 23nov20 : B12 |
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This was the "big" hand from the second match on Monday and it was handled in a variety of ways; we consider here whether the wisdom of the crowds is a good guide.
Almost all tables opened 1♣ - the exception being a 2♣ opening whose effect was primarily as a preemptive bid! Over the opening it is clear than North will bid spades - but how many? Every level got chosen, but 1♠ and 4♠ only once, and the majority came down in favour of 3♠ (6 takers) rather than 2♠ (with 4 takers). Does it mean anything that three of the 2♠ bidders and none of the 3♠ bidders were in the top two divisions? The vulnerability is key to the decision here - at this vulnerability the emphasis has to be on a making contract as opposed to being obstructive. If the vulnerability was reversed, we would expect a large majority for a 4♠ bid, and if both vulnerable then that would be too much and 3♠ would look correct. There is an argument that adverse vulnerability should pull that back one level, which leaves the argument in favour of a 2♠ overcall.
But in practice all that made no difference as South now (in all but two cases - the 4♠ overcall and one 3♠ overcall) bid game in hearts. It was natural for West to bid again at this point and everyone chose 5♣. There was one North who volunteered 5♠ at this point and got a -1100 penlaty as a reminder not to bid her hand twice, but the other tables all put the spotlight now on South. As Garry pointed out in the discussion, there is a common label for an nine card suit - it's called "trumps" - but there were only three Souths felt that calling - the other seven in this position all passed. Is it right to bid or right to pass? You are only dealt a 9-card suit one hand in every 2500, which means playing one session a week it will happen for some player at the table on average twice a year. Here there are two reasons to consider bidding - one is that you might make (a singleton heart with partner and two aces makes it odds on), and the other is that the other side might make (almost half playing in 5♣ did make).
Neither of these possibilities came to pass but the fact is that the 5♥ bidders actually scored well; one played there losing 100 and collecting 3.4 on the cross-imps, one heard the opposition bid 6♣ and collected 300 and 10.7 cross-imps, while the third is looking at -1100 and asking her partner how many times she has to bid hearts to get out of playing in spades. Those who passed 5♣ scored an average of +2.7 cross imps.This is only one hand but the bidders did come out on top. Remember that the next time you have a nine-card suit.
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HotD-wed : Pairs League 6 : 23nov20 : B1 |
This hand from Monday was a non-event for most pairs as all but three tables played in game in spades, but there were interesting points in the bidding and the play.
The first question was the opening bid and we saw one pair open a strong club, three pairs open a strong 2♣ and the remaining nine opened 1♠. Of those nine, one got a pass, one got a 1N response (where 2♠ would have shown more strength) and seven got a simple raise. The question is how excited should North get after a simple raise from partner? We are taught to give up if it take perfect cards from partner to make a slam, but here a single raise with ♠432 ♥65432 ♦A32 ♣A2 makes a grand slam in hearts trivial. When perfect cards make a grand slam, it is surely worth checking out whether a small slam might be on. But of the seven who could only two offered hearts as a trump suit. And it is here we see some of the extra value in opening 1♠ rather than 2♣; those who opened at the two level were a level (or two) higher when they found the spade fit, and could not investigate hearts. Today all routes converged on 4♠ apart from the table where North drove straight to slam.
Looking at the North-South hands, slam is clearly odds against. You expect to make the slam if both major suits break 3-2 and the diamond finesse is right - which is about a 25% shot. But we have all been in worse slams than that, and when we are, you do want to make the slam 25% of the time. Here Deep Finesse tells us the slam cannot make, but when we look closer we find that East must lead a top club to beat the slam - and no East did. So the question is - should the slam be made on a trump lead? On a trump lead most declarers won that, cashed a top heart and ruffed a heart. There is no way to come off dummy to ruff another heart because the necessary 3-2 spade break means whoever wins the club can play another trump. So declarer plays a trump to hand, draws the last trump and cashes one more in the hope someone will discard a heart. When nothing happens (East ditched a club and a diamond, West a club) out comes another top heart, but this exposes the bad heart break. Do you give up?
You know at this point East has ♥J6 and you need East to have ♦K and that is still not enough unless East is under pressure in clubs - and this is not totally unlikely. Provided you have kept ♦AJ6 ♣T97 in dummy you can succeed. Look what happens if you play three rounds of diamonds ruffing the last. East must discard on that last trick and cannot afford a heart - so away goes a club honour. Now East has two hearts and one club, and declarer can exit in clubs and the defence is helpless - East can win and lead a heart into the ♥Q7 or West might get to overtake but then the top clubs in dummy become winners.
It doesn't always look the right thing to do, but the extensive simulations done of leads against a slam do suggest that leading an ace when you have one is the most effective choice.
From declarer's side, it is amazing how often, when there is only one option in a poor contract, that option actually works out if declarer can find it. A key point is that, in a contract you'd rather not be in, you must not give up until trick thirteen.
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HotD-fri : League 3 : 16nov20 : B2.2 |
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This hand from Monday had a number of interesting points in the bidding and the play. We must note first that all but two tables ended up in game and although two made their game, the game was seriously odds against and better avoided. In the two successful games the opponents had easy options to beat the contract.
Looking at the bidding first, the two tables which stopped out of game were the cases where North could open a forcing bid at the 1-level, to which South was obliged to respond; when they gave South the option to stop out of game, South accepted. For the rest the plurailty choice (6 times) of opening bid was 2N showing 20-22 hcp; one cannot deny that the hand contains 20 hcp. It is wrong however to imagine that a singleton ace carries the same weight as say KJx. If you imagine how it combines with partner's Qxx the stiff ace gives you one trick from the combination while KJx gives you a guaranteed two tricks. Singleton honours need to be downgraded. This makes the choice of the other six tables a preferred choice. Why could they not stop out of game after opening 1♣ or 1♦? The answer is that South could not keep quiet; with 5 hcp and a 4333 shape there is every reason to keep quiet, but failure to do so meant North could not stop. There are many occasions we encourage bidding, but two of the reasons - to give partner another chance (not necessary where East overalled 1♠) or to block the opposition (who had both already passed) - can hardly apply here.
Playing in 3N as North the lead was always a spade, and when played by South it was a spade in all but one case (In the other case a diamond lead gifted the contract). All declarers proceeded by attacking hearts first - primarily because the other suits were better led from South. West beat the heart queen with the ace and continued spades, giving declarer an entry to the South hand. Having thrown clubs on spades, there was a choice now of two finesses - diamonds or hearts? In each case finding the missing honour onside and a 3-3 break would gain a trick, leaving you the option to play the other red suit from the top, hoping to drop the missing honour. The crucial difference is that a heart finesse and dropping the ♦Q will get you nine tricks, while the diamond finesse and dropping the ♥J also needs the diamonds 3-3 to get the ninth trick. But all declarers went for diamonds. The one successful declarer was the one who gave up a legitimate chance to play for a mis-defence - he led the ♦T which was not covered, a play which would lose a trick if West had held ♦Qx That gave four diamonds tricks bringing the total to eight - so how did he make? His ability to cash four diamonds put the screws on East who was squeezed out of a winner.
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HotD-thu : League 3 : 16nov20 : B2.10 |
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This little hand from Monday saw 12 pairs play in 1N and four of them went minus (and anotehr four should have); we remember the big swings after a match, but it is on the accumulation of hands like this than the results often depend on.
It was curuous to note first that only two Easts saw fit to open the bidding; this was a surprise, Not for the weak NT-ers (1N vulnerable on 11 is dangerous) but for the those who could open 1♣ and had the prospect of finding a spade fit, as well as disrupting the opposition bidding.
The bidding shown was common, and others started with a minor from North and hearts from South to get there. After a spade lead found at all 11 tables, North can see three tricks in the majors and everything depends on finding the diamond queen.
While you might imagine that knowing something about the missing high cards and shape - which can be very meaningful when both East and West have passed - might help you make a winning decision in diamonds, nobody took the investigative route. Every table went straight for diamonds after winning the opening spade lead. On the two occasions where East led the ♠3, declarer had an extra spade trick and guessing the diamonds wrong didn't matter - but in all other cases this was the vital choice on the hand.
In practice only three of the declarers guessed the diamonds right - the other eight lost a trick to the ♦Q and after that sensible defence would have beaten 1N, but it did so in only 4 of the 8 cases. Should declarer have found the ♦Q on this hand? A little more information would have helped them on their way. One option for that is to pick up the spade distribution, from the opposition carding and by ducking one round if necessary. If you can uncover that the lead was from a four card suit, and deduce from that that East lacked a five card suit, then vacant spaces tells you that East has more diamonds than West (on average), and now you play the diamonds by cashing the ace and running the jack. Another alternative would be for declarer to play clubs at trick two, and again clues may arise from the actions of the defenders at this point.
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HotD-wed : League 3 : 16nov20 : B1.2 |
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There were a bundle of slam hands again on Monday with four (plus one where a pair had illusions of a slam) in the first set of 12 boards. The fact that the respectable slam on B1 went off (when a bad spade break combined with a losing club finesse) the five times it was bid was not encouraging and in fact fewer than five reached the optimal level on the other slam hands. It was interesting to note the differences in approach on the board shown, which ended with just one pair in slam, and three pairs stopping in a part-score.
It all depended on the approach North took to competing over the 1♠ opening from West. In practice 8 Norths bid 2N at this point, while 4 Norths doubled (and two Norths faced a 2-level opener and didn't have the same choice). The key diffference that makes is that 2N by North competely rules out the heart suit from the bidding and this cannot be right on a hand whiere a heart slam is playable. It is surely rtight to treat a 5530 hand as a 3-suiter rather than a 2-suiter.
After 2N the choices made by East now varied; the two who passed over 2N reaped great rewards when South selected 3♣ and the auction finished there. This brings out another difficulty with the 2N bid - the range; the North hand is a lot stronger than it might be, but bidding on over 3♣ could generate a minus score. Some Easts chose 3♠ and that was enough to buy the contract once, but twice South thought it worth making a lead directing 4♦ bid and found themselves pushed up to game. Other Easts bounced to 4♠; one was able to buy that contract and escape for -150 (as happened after 1♠-X once). After the bounce to 4♠ two Norths continued unilaterally with 4N and escaped to their making game.
The cases of 1♠ - X where more interesting. Here every East bid 4♠ and South faced the key decision; one passed, one doubled and two bid 5♥ and it was just one of these that got raised to the slam (the other took 800 from 5♠-X).
The best line of play in the slam - after a spade lead - is still being debated. In practice declarer drew trumps and took the winning club finesse.
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HotD-mon : RealBridge Teams Trial : 15nov20 : B8 |
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The GCBA ran its first event using RealBridge on Sunday and it went very well. Sixteen teams turned up and with help from Shirren Mohandes at RealBridge we were abe \to run a multiple teams event in a astyle we have missed since the bridge clubs all closed in March. The event was won with a decent margin by Malcolm Green & Mike Liews, Mike WIgnall & Roger Williams. This board was their largest gain.
The bidding to 6NT by North was very natural and the contract can actually be beaten but only by the right combination of leads; first East must lead a spade, and then when in with the ♦K, West must lead a club. That one combination gives declarer an unsurmoutable problem with entries and the 12 tricks are not cashable. The opening lead when played by South is similar - West must lead a spade or the doubleton club to set up two tricks for the defence. Malcolm got the lead of a heart and played out the diamond ace and another to quickly set up 12 tricks.
In the other room the contract was 6♦ which has exactly the same tricks to cash - but East found a way to get declarer to go wrong, How? What he did was made an early discard from his doubleton spade. When declarer came to cash the spades, Roger now showed out on the first round and declarer (having paid insufficient attention to the discard) registered that the spade suit was breaking 5-1; so after cashing the top four spades he gave up on the suit and played clubs instead. East's maneouvre there is one that has been seen before - and of course it should not work, but it did!
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HotD-thu : Pairs League 5 : 09nov20 : B9 |
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It was curiuous to note that there were only three tables missed the game on this hand from Monday. You might wonder how a 20-count sitting West let the opponents buy the hand at the 2-level.
It happened twice and it was because the same situation arose at exactly those two tables - that situation was that both opponents had already bid before West got a chance. After 1♥ - P - 1♠ both Wests chose to double and then never bid again. It must be admitted that game is far from certain - and if the defence happen to start on declarer's shortest (combined) holding with a diamond lead, then there aren't even enough dummy entries to pick up the heart queen (unless doubleton) and still lead up to the top club. So sympathy to the pair who bid to 1N but lost a bundle of points.
Do the two pairs who kept West out of 3N deserve credit or mockery? They managed to keep the other side out of the "normal" contract, which as we noted might be a Good Thing or might not. It will lose sometimes, but on average any bidding activity - and in particular opening before they do - will pay for the side that bids more. Here there are three points which encourage opening as North - first is the position (much less advantage if one of the opposition have already passed), the vulnerability (less to lose, more to gain) and the convenience of the suit order (if partner bids your singleton
The answer is credit.
It's worth noting that there were four other instances of bidding by North-South but where only one of North-South bid, it was easily swept aside by West who just powered into game as the best bet on the hand.
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HotD-wed : Pairs League 4 : 09nov20 : B15 |
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The boards on Monday were noticable for the appearance of a numebr of slams; there was a 63% slam on B2 (going down on a bad diamond break) and a 50% slam on B7 (nobody bidding close to this) which were flat boards but the slams on B1 (bid by 7/13 all making) and the slam on B5 (bid by 7 but made by 4) and the slam on B15 (bid by 5, all going off) generated a number of swings.
In the case of B1/B5/B15 the decisionmaking was all up to the pair with the big hands, but curiously as the movement went, there were only two pairs (MR & JC, BH & RH) who never had control of any of these auctions - and our sysmspathy must go to the pair whose opponents chose the winning option on all three hands.
Board 1 was just an issue of evaluating the opening bid with six solid diamonds opposite partner's 18-19 balanced - and there should have been no hesitation in pushing to a slam. Board 5 was a much more iffy contract with 29 HCP and a minimal trump fit; those in 6♠ found a decent lie of the cards while the three pairs in 6N were clearly OTT. Boiard 15 was a decent but uncertain slam and it was interesting to see how the play unfolded.
The lead against 6♠ was a heart four times and a club once. The spade suit by itself offers a 10% chance of 6 tricks by running the queen, and if you plan on a diamond finesse should that fail you get to about a 55% chance of making the contract. Of the four with a heart lead, three won trick one and ran the ♠Q and found that they could not make the contract even when the ♦Q dropped under the AK. The fourth started with a spade to the ace and a spade to the queen and was also doomed.
The one declarer who had a club lead got closest of all. He won the ♣A at trick one and ruffed a club to lead the ♠Q. This lost to the king and a spade was returned. He continued with a second club ruff, leaving his spades as J9 over West's T7. The contract can now be made if he can cash winners and then be in dummy to lead through West. He failed to spot the one option that would give that - which is the ♦Q dropping from East. This allows declarer to cash the jack and then cross to the ♥K to run diamonds through West. It was the only possisble line - and the cards were lying perfectly for it!
Could the others have done better too? The answer is yes - if they had played a club and a ruff at tricks two and three before running the ♠Q. There is a slight risk involved in that but here it would set the timing right for a trump reduction and lets you make the ocntract. Shortening trumps like this falls under the category of "good technique" so it is worth watching for cases it might help. Here it makes a big difference.
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HotD-sat : MOnday Swiss Teams : 02nov20 : B1 |
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The intiial choice made here by North on Board 1 generally mapped their path through the rest of the bidding, and there were two options.
- There were five who opened 1♠ and they all heard a response from partner, with invititational or more values from all except the 1N response. Four showed no ambition beyond game, even with nine solid playing tricks, while one (Paul Denning) got a hint of spade tolerance and then pushed to slam.
- There were seven who opened 2♣ and duly showed a near-game-force in spades and left the rest to partner. Ignoring the mixup at one table (playing complicated responses to a 2♣ opener) we saw two Souths drive on to a slam, while four were happy to stop in game despite holding three card support and an AK.
Clearly slam is where you want to be on this hand - so which path is preferred? Given so few got it right there could be flaws with both paths. Let's consider them in turn
- After opening 1♠ and hearing something positive, it is criminal with 9 top tricks not to make some move towards a slam. For sure partner could have an unsuitable hand but making a move is not a commitment to slam. If North does make a movement to slam, South will surely cooperate and if that happens momentum will carry them to the right contract. So this path should always work.
- After hearing partners' 2♣ opener, the failure of South to make any move towards slam must show an expectation of partner having a much weaker hand than this. Why would that be? The answer must be in the expectations from a 2♣ opener; these Souths must have been expecting partner to bid this way on much weaker hands. There is a need for partnership calibration here.
Conclusions? There seems little excuse for not bidding the slam whichever way the bidding starts. It was odd to see that the partners of many 2♣ openers expected a weaker hand from their partner than that which others deemed to be only a 1♠ opener. With nine clear playing tricks and a decent set of controls, the auction is much more comfortable if North opens 2♣ and then leaves the driving tio slam up to partner. The only pair whose auction we get close to recommending is that of Alan Wearmouth and Tony Hill.
Bidding to the right contract is only part of the game. The Great Shuffler on Monday did give the defenders a chance, alrthough it was only at one table that the winning defence was found. When David Atthey had bid 2♠ over a 1♠ opener, and led a heart against a spade contract, Alison Pritchard recognised the failure to lead a singleton club as significant and found a club at trick two to give partner a ruff and hold declarer to 11 tricks.. Well done with that defence.
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HotD-thu : Monday Swiss Teams : 02nov20 : B18 |
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This was the auction at three tables on Monday (and a few others started the same way but passed over 3N) and each of these tables got the lead of ♥7. You have only 6 top tricks but prospects of three more in spades, which leaves you one trick short if you are playing in 4N. A second heart trick is one possibility but there is a danger of having four losers. How should declarer proceed?
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One easy answer would be to win the ♥Q at trick one, and that is tempting but before you play a high heart from dummy you need to look at the opening lead and imagine what hearts South holds. The key options to consider are ♥KJT7(x) or ♥7x. In terms of the odds of these holdings there are three doubletons, three five card suits and one four card suit which means that the odds on South having length is greater. There is also the possibility of ♥KJ7 or ♥KT7..
The key question however is whether South would lead the ♥7 from a ♥KJT7 holding, and and the answer is (generally) no, You should therefore expect that the leadmust more likely to be from two small cards than from a four/five card suit. Playing the queen is not appealing.
So you play low and North plays the ten (ruling out a lead from KT7); your choice now? It is important now that you stick to your first judgment; if you win then the defence might get to run the heart suit later, but if you duck then they cannot continue the suit and you will be protected from a heart continuation. Because the heart entry has been preserved, declarer now had a valid option of coming to hand in spades, giving up a club and using the heart ace entry to cash the club suit.
On the layout from Monday this is the vital play. Well done to Toby Roberts getting that right, while the two Advanced Robots playing in the same contract won the ace at trick one and - despite the good news in clubs - could no longer make their contract. |
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HotD-wed : Monday Swiss Teams : 02nov20 : B7 |
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This hand from Monday produced some of the biggest swings and a lot of problems stemmed from early decisions in the auction, notably at this point.
It's worth noticing first how awkwardly a strong minor suit hand bids after a 2♣ opener; the first step in describing this hand comes with a bid of 3♦ - even if there is no intervention to cope with. However with 24 HCP nobody could resist and all twelve tables opened with 2♣ (or for two, an equivalent 2♦). It was encouraging to see almost all Norths came in with a 2♠ bid at this point; the value of bidding is clear when you look at the auction where North passed. At that table it proceeded 2♦ - 3♦ - 3♥ making the best trump suit visible and bidding a slam was straightforward.
After a start of 2♣ -2♠ there were only two Easts who bid; one was with a double to show some values and create a game force and the other was a bid of 3♥; the latter choice made bidding the right slam trivial and that produced the second successful auction. There was also one table where the auction started with 2♣ - 3♠ and at that table East bid 3N which ended the auction. That leaves eight tables where the auction started as shown. What should West do now?
There was a curious choice by the two robots who were in this position; the both upgraded their hearts to be a five card suit and bid 3♥; they were raised to game and played there. We cannot recommend that. The mainstream choice was between X and 3♦. Two Wests in this position (and the West whose partner doubled 2♠ to show values) bid 3♦ now and heard partner bid 3N. Amazingly all three now jumped to 6♦ and that contract drifted off when there was a diamond to lose as well as the space ace.
Double, found four times after 2♣ - 2♠ - P - P, had a much better chance but there were four different responses from East. One choice was a pass by East which did not fare wll as North always had 7 tricks available. Another choice arose when North bid for a second time with 3♣ which got a 3♠ bid from partner and a second double by West. East chose to defend and when declarer misplayed the hand that collected +1100 (which should only have been 500).
That leaves us with two auctions where after the double East bid 4♥ and West bid 6♥. This was a very simple way to get to the best slam, and was rewarded with a score of +1430. Could you ask for a simpler auction?
Once again we see an enormous number of ways to bid any hand, and here only a minority of paths reached a successful ending place.
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HotD-fri : Pairs League 4 : 26oct20 : B15 |
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The South hand in today's deal was handled in two different ways by the various players on Monday. Clearly you expect to play this hand in hearts and the one concern you might have is that the opposition have a spade contract and can outbid you.
The opening bids were divided into two camps - there were four who opened at the 1-level, and nine who opened at the 4-level, and of those nine there were eight instances of a 4♥ opener and one who could open 4♣ to show a solid heart suit. One could argue for opening at either level, but the fact is that the 4-level openers all felt happy that they had bid their hands with one bid, while two of the 1♥ openers could not contain the urge to bid 5♥ (offering 800) on the next round. Everyone who played in hearts - and all but one was doubled - went off, which is not what you are looking for at this vulnerability.
There was only one table where East-West were silent on these handsand they did collect +200 but that was the worse East-West score of the night. Was West right to pass? In fact there was only one other tables where West was silent, and that resulted in the best East-West score of the night - when East "sacrificed" in 4♠ and partner pushed to a slam for +980. There is a lot to admire about that auction. There was some variety in the interventions by West but most Wests doubled whatever the opening bid was; the exceptions were one instance of a 2♦ overcall and three cases where West bid 4N over 4♥.
What is the best East-West action over 4♥? The style has moved these days very strongly to a double being takeout oriented even at the 4-level, but the catch is that over 4♥ it strongly encourages partner to bid 4♠ and in three of four cases of 4♥ - X that is what happened, The uncharted nature of these auction was evident in the three different choices made by the Wests in these cases - one passed, one bid 5♦ and the other bid 4N intended as "pick a minor" but read as ace asking! The case for passing improves.
In practice every East-West contract made, so what does all this tell us? The key point is a reminder that people are bidding up these days, and so more and more auctions start at the 4-level. We will struggle to do well with uncharted territory in common auctions, so partnerships need to talk about what the various bids mean in sequences like these, as next time there might only be one rather than three denominations in which East-West can be successful.
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HotD-thu : Pairs League 4 : 26oct20 : B8 |
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It was slightly unusual to see on Monday all 13 tables make the same opening bid on a balanced hand - but that's what they did on this board. Then it diverged.
One divergence was because North at table 1 opened a 16+ 1♣ and East was able to bid an artificial 1N showing the majors. This did not stop that North getting to play in 3N along with most other tables.
Over a natural (or just balanced) 1♣ opener the field split, with 6 bidding 1♥ (one bidding 2♥) and 5 passing. It's a very weak hand on which to overcall, but bidding can often have a good effect. Here bidding was effective in a couple of odd ways. The consequence of the overcall at three (!) tables was that North-South stopped in a spade partscore. With 25 HCP and a 4-3 fit that is not expected to be the right contract. The reasons they struggled are not clear but competitive bidding does generate a lot more uncharted territory than non-competitive bidding, so we must put down some of the gain to the fact of an overcall.
At the tables where East passed, most (all but one) North-Souths bid up to 3N and that's the interersting contract to play. [The 5♦ bid by one pair is in some ways a safer contract - so well done to them - but was a different play problem] Against 3N all Easts led the ♥Q and when that was ducked (everyobody did duck) they continued with the ♥J which was covered by the ♥K and the third heart was won by the ace. With 7 top tricks declarer must find either two more in spades, or set up the diamonds. The danger with the diamonds is that the defenders can cash one or more hearts together with the ♦AK to beat the game. Do you go for the diamonds or the spades?
For the diamond play to succeed you need to find both top diamonds with a three-card heart suit; for the spade play to succeed you need to find ♠Qxx sitting under the ♠AJ8. Which is better odds? Ignoring other issues both diamonds honours in the one specific hand is about 25% while spades behaving as nicely as this is just under 18%. What we need to factor into the first of these numbers is the question of the hearts breaking 5-3, and here it is a judgment call based on what has happened so far. With an overcall there was near-certainty, and even without there are good reasons to expect a five card suit was led. Most importantly West could not afford to play the king on the jack with four, in case the lead was from QJT tight, and if West had five again they would have held back the king lest the lead was from QJx. With a little help from vacant spaces the odds are actually more biased that the earlier figures - 29.4% for both diamonds with West, and 18.1% for the spades.
With this in mind two of the Norths (two out of eight tables facing the problem - the ninth had a nonsense defence) played on diamonds to make the contract while the others all played on spades and that didn't work. Why did so few choose the better line? I can offer two reasons : one is that they did not think through the calculation of the odds on the spades behaving, The other is the second reason why the heart overcall helped - the fact of East bidding persuaded declarer that both diamonds with West was impossible.
It all goes to show that bidding pays.
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HotD-wed : Pairs League 4 : 26oct20 : B2 |
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The choice of opening bid on today's hand had some surprising effects on the final contract.
Over the years the attitude to opening a weak two bid with a 4-card major on the side has changed from being never done to being done frequently. This reflects the move in the game today to bid as often and as high as you can. But is it right?
For any weak two opening you are performing two functions - you are being obstructive to the opponents and you are informing partner about your hand to allow your side a constructive auction. The balance between the two functions changes with vulnerability and seat, and for most people in this seat and this vulnerability the obstructive aim dominates enormously. Consider this hand; it is 8 HCP but with a fit in a major it is a 6-7 loser hand, which is usually an opening bid. The side major is a strong major and is not a suit you want to lose in a constructive auction. This all argues that the hand is not a weak two opener.
What did people do in practice? There were 13 tables in play and 5 of them opened the bidding; at four tables West responded with a raise whcih made life difficult for the other side. Two raised too high and ended in 4♠x going down, one played 3♠ making (with a silent North!), and one raise pushed the opposition to 4♣ (a contract one should alwys be happy to defend). The fifth - where West passed the opening bid - was a failure for East-West as it gave the opposition room to find their way to 3N by South - the best game for NS to bid. What do we learn from that? The opening bid did prove disruptive as this time North-South did own the hand - but it was only disruptive enough when raised by West to the three level.
How did passing on the first round work out? For three Easts there was no second chance - North upgraded their hand to open 2N in fourth seat after three passes, and were raised to game. East led a top spade and the defence cashed six tricks. Silence is golden sometimes!
This leaves five tables where East passed on the first round and came in later. The instance where East-West later bid to 4♠ (doubled, down two) was not a success, nor was the instance of bidding only 1♠ (and then defending 3♣) - but the cases where East came in with spades later and West supported to the three level did have the right effect.
What's the verdict? East-West have a 9-card spade fit and bidding to the level of the fit generated a successful outcome whenever it was done. And you can get there even if you pass on the first round.
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HotD-fri : County League 2 : 19oct20 : B2.1 |
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There were a variety of leads and results on this hand from Monday and it is interesting to look at the pattern.
The first curioisty was the choice of opening bid by North; there were five whose system led them to open 1♣, six whose approach led to a choice of 1♦, and two who opened 1♥ (plus one who upgraded the hand to a 2-level opener.) All Souths (who could) responded with one spade - and that was the only suit bid at all tables.
All four suits got led but the heart only when South was declarer; when North declared we saw three lead ♣Q, five lead ♠J and four led a diamond, You would expect to see these leads correlate to the opening bids, and indeed the most common combinations were a 1♣ opener and a diamond lead, and a 1♦ opener and a club lead (each three times). But there were spade leads against all opening bids - which is why that choice dominated.
The hand looks straightforward - declarer can make three spades, three hearts, two diamonds and a club. The catch is that in setting up the red suit winners declarer has to lose the lead twice and the defence can set up three club tricks to beat the contract. This involved the defence playing clubs, so you would expect the opening club leads to be successful, but only one of three was. Why was that? In one case it was because declarer won ♣K at trick one and played back a club which East ducked; this blocked the suit and cut off the fifth defensive trick. In a second case East later switched to a heart away from the queen. Which left one successful defence.
The analysis tools tell us that any red suit lead from East lets the contract make, and any black suit lead beats it. Why is that? In the case of a heart it clearly costs a trick; in the case of a diamond it is more subtle - it is because it gives declarer their second diamond trick cheaply (without giving up one) and the defence now only had time - when it wins ♥Q - to set up the clubs and it doesn't get to its diamond trick. After the ♠J lead the contract can always go down but nobody found the winning defence and most declarers actually went down themselves rather than were defeated by force; the reason for this is that the sight of ♣T876 in dumy put East off the crucial attack on clubs.
Defence can be difficult.
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HotD-thu : County League 2 : 19oct20 : B8 |
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As last week, it's a small 1N contract that is most amenable to analysis - but not enough Wests did the analysis. They may claim that they were actually playing for a defensive error, but we suspect there are many cases of autopilot around.
There were 11 tables played this hand in 1N (all but one was a strong NT opener) and one had an easy time after a heart lead but the remainder were faced with the lead of the ♣3 to the ace and a club back. You might thing there was nothing to this club combination but there was; two declarers failed to make any club contracts and can offer respectable reasons why. What happened? After the ♣A South returned the ♣3 and declarer stopped to think about where the jack was. With the ten in dummy, the opening leader might have held ♣K973 and in that case South's return of a low club would be almost criminal - giving declarer a trick they did not deserve. Why would they not return the club jack? Because they didn't have it - so up went the ♣Q and the defenders had four club tricks and the contract had no chance. This dilemma was presented five times and three declarers did play small to preserve their club tricks. Three declarers missed the problem because South returned the jack, and two declarers avoided the issue by playing the ♣T from dummy at trick one - after which the ♣9 on the second round was clearly better odds. After the first three tricks, eight declarers of the ten declarers facing a club lead still had the chance to make their contract.
Now look at declarer's problem; with one club trick and four heart tricks, it will take both pointed kings to make 7 tricks. From the other side the potential losers are three clubs, two aces, and then the queens once the kings are released. There is no choice about what declarer's winners should be, and so attention needs to be paid to what the losers (ie the defensive winners) will be. The key here is that once you win the ♦K the defence has two diamonds and a spade to go with its clubs which is fine, but after you win the ♠K they have three spades and a diamond to cash and that is one too many. So diamonds must be played before spades. The answer is to cross to the heart jack, lead to the diamond king, and now lead to the spade king. Easy seven tricks, but a sequence of plays only found by two players - well done Harry & Alison. [Two other declarers were allowed to make on a misdefence]
Is this really such an easy game?
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HotD-wed : County League 2 : 19oct20 : B4 |
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This was the most spectacular hand from the first set on Monday evening, and the very natural bidding sequence shown here did actually happen (at only one table athough two tables managed the first five bids but passed the hand out in 3N!).
This does look like the contract you want to be in with 10 top tricks and possibilities from the ♠9, the long diamonds, the ♣QJ and even from the heart suit. The lead is the ♦J. How should one proceed?
The first thing to note is that if the diamonds break you are up to 12 tricks immediately, so your only concern is when they don't break. If they don't break you can lose one diamond to reach 12 tricks and then will choose to rely on ♠T falling or the club finesse. Finding out about the bad diamond break and having an entry at the right time to cash the spades is awkward.
The two declarers in 6N won the first diamond in East and crossed to the ♦K to get the bad news. This forced them into cashing the spades now. One declarer threw a club then a heart and then a diamond. The other threw two hearts and then a diamond. On the fourth spade they both threw a diamond. When one North discarded a second heart on the next diamond, Jim Grant was able to make the contract by playing three rounds of hearts, leaving North to lead away from the ♣K. The other 6N declarer having thrown a club had less flexibility, North kept his hearts, and now in a similar position he had an extra winner, so 6N failed.
A more popular contract than 6N was 6♦ by East. Here the good news was that no South led a safe diamond - so every declarer had some good news to start with (although advantage was not taken when the ♠8 was led by playing the nine, and that declarer went off). On a club lead declarer could afford to give up a diamond and enough winners were cashable to make the slam easy. It was curious to see that the extra element of control mean that declarer in diamonds had an easier time (even without the lead) than declarers in 6N.
With one exception - that was when West played in 6♦ at one table and rose with the ace on the initial club lead. Now after two diamonds showed the bad break, there were only 11 tricks in sight. He started by cashing three rounds of spades, at which point a light dawned. With South holding a 6-4- shape there were only three cards outside. He left the ♠J9 stranded, ruffed a club and drew the last trump. Now came the top hearts and South had no answer; when he didn't ruff he was thrown in with the top diamond to lead a spade to the J9. Contract made.
A little surprising how more flexible the suit contract turned out to be.
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HotD-fri : Pairs League 3 : 12oct20 : B17 |
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This was a much less exicting hand than the last one discussed but with five plus scores for North-South and five plus scores for East-West on the traveller there were plenty of swings and these part-score swings can quickly accumulate.
The first thing to note is that 7 of the 10 tables saw South open a strong 1N - not a pattern we would have seen in years gone by. Against all of these 1N contracts the lead was a spade, but the results were down two, down one (thrice), making (twice), and plus one. Why is there such variety?
Two instances of the contract making must be attributed to lunacies by West who led the ♠7 on the first round and played the ♠8 on the next round of the suit thereby making South's ♠6 into a winner. The other successful 1N happened when West abandoned the suit, switching to diamonds on winning the ♥K and setting up a trick for declarer in that suit before the defence returned to spades.
The most sane results all started with two rounds of spades after which declarer played ace and another heart; one West rose with the king but the others all ducked - this being very necessary to cut off the fourth round if declarer had started with only three hearts. What should declarer do when the heart is ducked? The answer is that it is even money whether or not to play the queen and in practice more ducked than won. When the heart was ducked and West won the ♥J, the third round of spades was played and now the ♥K was dislodged. West could cash one top spade and then had to decide which minor to play. East's discards were important - with absolutely no interest in the suit it was natural for East to discard two clubs and this is what happened. In making two discards East can tell partner more than just about the lack of interest there, the informative partner also shows the count in clubs. West needs to look now at the hand as a whole; the count in clubs shows that South started with ♣KQ doubleton and it is here you must remember that partner's discards were information and not commands - partner might be suggesting you play a diamond but West knows better, and playing ♣A and other now sets up the ♣J for the defence where a diamond would set up a diamond trick for declarer. Only one defender found this line, to put 1N two off after South had misguessed the hearts. If South chooses the winning option in hearts it is more tricks but it is still settig up the ♣J which beats the contract.
Being on the right side of these little hands is a winning strategy.
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HotD-thu : Pairs League 3 : 12oct20 : B13 |
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The hands on Monday were not generally exciting but this hand was an exception - at least if you were sitting North. Bidding after a 2♣ opener is notoriously difficult, so it's worth going through this auction in detail.
It usually starts with 2♣ - 2♦ - 2♥ and the next choice is partly system dependent. Many today play 2♥ in this sequence as a two-way bid, either hearts or game-forcing balanced, and over that 2♠ is a waiting bid to find out which option. After 2♠ here the 3♦ continuation (slam is good odds opposite just four small diamonds and nothing else, and skipping the 2N bid which would show the game-forcing balanced) promises the opener has hearts and diamonds. South is still not excited, and the most neutral bid that can be made is a preference to 3♥. This is preferred to a 4♣ bid as that would exclude playing in 3N which might be the right place. There is quite a wide range of hands that South could have at this time, so it is important for North to take it easy. Here that is best done by a continuation of 3♠ and that doesn't tell you much but when South now bids 3N (natural, a stopper in clubs) North can tell that (a) the heart support was only a doubleton, and (b) partner's values are in the wrong place. This allows a stop in 4♥ which is much safer than the higher level reached at 8 tables (out of 12) on Monday.
One pair nearly reproduced the sequence shown but their final bid was not 4♥ but 6♥. At four tables West produced an overcall of 3♣ on the first round; all Norths at this point bid 3♥ where a takeout double would have netted a score of up to 1400. There is a good case for double as after 3♥ South will be forced into bidding 4♥ on an enormous variety of hands leading to a missed diamond or spade slam (and all four tables bid 4♥ on this hand).
Having said that we want to stop at the 4-level, we have to report that three of the five pairs who bid the slam actually made it. The first making slam got a spade lead, and when West won the ♦A at trick two back came a spade rather than a heart. This allowed declarer to cash two diamonds discarding dummy's losing spade, and then a spade ruffed with the low heart and the diamond ruffed with ♥8 (phew!) was enough to make 12 tricks. It should have been clear to West that there was never any hurry to play spades - where could a quick spade loser go? A heart switch means one less ruff and the slam goes down, The second making slam came from East leading a diamond despite West having overcalled clubs (now declarer needed one less ruff), and the third making slam came where East preferred at trick twelve to hold onto the thirteenth spade rather than the winning ♦8. Who says overbidding doesn't pay?
Most of the pairs in 5♥ had an easier time, but at one table Richard Harris found the winning heart lead at trick one. Declarer could lead a top diamond now but when Betty followed her husband's example with a second heart, declarer was held to ten tricks. And that is why we want to stop at the 4-level.
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HotD-wed : Paris League 3 : 12oct20 : B3 |
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This hand from Monday was subjected to inadequate analysis by most (was it all?) players on Monday. The contract was always spades, for some it was 1♠-P and for others North responded and the result was 4♠. In either case the same questions arise.
In all case West was on lead with no guidance from parter as to which suit to lead. Three chose a spade - with some rationale if North had indicated preference for the suit - and four chose a club and two chose a diamond. The diamond lead allowed declarer to go to ruff one heart, win the spade return when West rose with ♠T and continued the suit, and ruff another heart. Easy ten tricks. Those with a spade lead, or a club lead to the ace and a spade switch, were not going to be able to do that. But they tried anyway, playing three rounds of hearts with West ruffing the third and playing a second spade - so that the fourth heart was another loser and declarer was held to 9 tricks.
Could declarer have done better? As soon as one spade has been played the only chance for avoiding a heart loser is the suit breaking 3-3 which is only a 35% short. But in fact the heart suit is worth a lot more than that - if you ignore the idea of a ruff, you can get 4 tricks in hearts a full 61% of the time. Can you see how?
The key is not to waste the ♥T or the ♥9. starting the suit with a heart to the ten works when the suit breaks 3-3 and when it doesn't but either both honours or a short honour in hearts is with West. Here, the play gains because West has ♥Q7.
It's not quite as simple as this as the 3-3 break could get you 11 tricks if all suits break, and sometimes the heart over-ruff is with a natural trump trick - but it is worth noting how best to play this heart suit, and if you are playing in game where making 10 tricks is paramount, then that's the line to take.
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HotD-fri : Monday Swiss Teams 2 : 05oct20 : B6 |
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This looks a straightforward hand to play in 4♠, a contract the the majority of tables reached on Monday, There might seem to be little excuse for going down - but at two tables South laid a trap into which an unwary East fell. Here's how the play went ...
The opening lead was the ♣K and declarer won that with the ace and took a spade finesse. Since declarer has six spades, South knows the full layout of that suit, and what Waggett & Watson both found was a duck on the first round. Declarer thought it safe now to cross to the ♥A to take another finesse and duly did so, but now South won that and played a diamond. North was able to get in now and play a heart to give the fatal ruff.
One other South found the duck of the spade, and declarer did cross to the ♥A but, when in with the diamond, North failed to give the ruff. Would you have avoided the trap laid for East?
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HotD-thu : Monday Swiss Teams 2 : 05oct20 : B1 |
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There were some interssting points on the very first board from Monday's game. The opening bid depended on what style of NT opener was being used, and we saw half the field open 1N showing 11-14 and the other half all opened with suits (mostly hearts). This was unfortunate for the NT openers as South lacks the values to bid and when South passed West was able to bid diamonds and bought the contract there. Not all NT openers were doomed, as two Souths dredged up a 2♣ Stayman response and when it went 3♦ - 3♥ - P to them they were well placed (and one bid game while the other passed).
In total we have eight tables found the heart fit and only two of those stopped ourt of game. Over one 4♥ game West sacrificed in 5♦ (losing 300) leaving five declarers to play in 4♥; only one succeeded. Four Easts were on lead and three led a diamond in response in resoonse to partner having shown that suit; the fourth led a spade despite partner's suggestion. The key question is how do you play 4♥ on the lead of a diamond to the queen, king and ace.
You can see three black suit losers and you also have the ♥K to worry about. What do you do first? Two declarers won the diamond, ruffed a diamond and came back to a top spade. Next was a losing heart finesse and the defence had no problem setting up a spade to go with two clubs and the contract was off. The opening spade leads (one from East, one from West) both got a heart finesse at trick two and another spade doomed the contract.
Clearly a spade lead gives declarer no chance with the ♥K wrong but can the contract make on a diamond lead? The answer is yes, and here's how the fifth declarer in 4♥ did it. Diamond ruffs and heart finesses are tricks which will wait but the one thing that cannot wait is trying to dispose of the spade loser. This declarer played a club at trick two, running the ♣8 to the ace; he ruffed the diamond return, crossed to a top spade and played another club. East could win and play a second spade but now declarer was in control. He won that trick, ruffed a diamond and led a top club. What could West do? Declarer's plan was to over-ruff if necessary, cross to ♥A and ruff another club to set up the fifth. A diamond ruff would give the entry to cash that and discard the losing spade. It was not fool-proof but was good enough on today's layout.
The key message was to be doing something constructive, something which could not wait, at trick two. The big candidate was disposing of the spade loser. Miss that and your contact is doomed.
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HotD-wed : Monday Swiss Teams 2 : 05oct20 : B20 |
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This hand was played in hearts at three tables on Monday, and at very different levels. One table got to overcall 1♥ and hear P-P-2♣ and now their 2♥ bought the contract while East continued to doze. The other two tables started 1♣-X and found themselves introducing the heart suit for the first time at the 4-level; one got to play there and the other ended up bidding 5♥ over the opponent's 4♠ bid (necessary if the East-West hearts split 3-1).
All the other tables played in spades - four at the 3-level, four at the 4-level and one at the 5-level. The defence in each case started with the ♥Q and the number of tricks made was 7 (once), 8 (four times), 9 (three times) and 10 (once). How can we see such variance?
North had an easy task at trick one to overtake the heart and could see from the dummy that the only tricks to chase were in the red suits. Many Norths played ♦A at trick two and the best Souths signalled their pleasure very clearly by dropping the king. At this point North must remember that partner might have led a singleton ♥Q, in which case it is important to cash the second heart. If this is followed by a second diamond South will wiwn the fourth defensive trick. After that there isn't anything to try but a third diamond and when North ruffs with the ♠Q that is the fifth defensive trick. So the optimum outcome is 8 tricks.
What went wrong at the other five tables? Seven tricks was an aberration by declarer who failed to over-ruff the third heart when it was played after the above start. Nine tricks happened in three different ways (a) North played a second diamond before the second heart (b) South won trick four and tried a club rather than a diamond, and (c) one North cashed two hearts and (defending 4♠ which gives some justification) underled the ♦A in case declarer had a guess in that suit and now the wrong hand won trick four.. Ten tricks came when South failed to signal strongly enough on the ♦A and partner presumed no future there and tried playing three rounds of hearts.
So the play was not without interest but what is most curious about this hand is looking at the double-dummy contracts which can be made; it is rare that you see that whichever side plays the hand in no-trumps will make ZERO tricks; that's an enormous advanatage for the defence from being on lead. There's a similar variation in suit contracts - North/South can make only 7 tricks with diamonds as trumps at the same time as East/West cannot make any tricks (on best defence) if they play the hand.
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HotD-sat : Pairs League 2 : 29sec20 : B14 |
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This hand from Monday was interesting because the natural bidding chosen at this table was so amazingly descriptive. It didn't happen this way at many tables however; the first difference was that not all Souths opened the bidding - and the five who passed all ended in a part-score on tbhis hand (where it says you can make 13 tricks!), Everyone else (including the one who opened South as 3♣) ended with one side or the other in game. Should one open? There are big advantages to getting in first and the vulnerability is favourable - but it is only a 9-count. The margin of 6/12 opening at the one-level reflects how close the choice is.
Cleary from West's perspective hearts is a better suit than spades, and you usually want to play there. The issue with just bidding 1♥ is that you need so little from partner to make game, and you don't want it to go three passes. At the table we saw two choosing 1♥ while the other four all showed a two-suiter. And here North doubled to show values and East showed a preference for spades. At this point paths again diverged and two Souths bid clubs again, while two passed (one over 2♠, one over 3♠). West's 4♥ bid is now very descriptive, and must be either 56-- (occasionally 57--) shape. North knows to bid the club game when South bid clubs twice.
The play in 5♣ (or indeed the 6♣ reached at one table) is very interesting. West starts off with a top heart and declarer starts by taking a ruff and then cashing ♣A. Suddenly you know that West is 5620 shape and that means you can always cash three diamonds. With one heart and all your trumps in hand that guarantees 11 tricks and if you can get in a second ruff in dummy that's 12 tricks. Two things are important here - to use your small trumps with spade ruffs, and to cash the diamonds. If you go about the ruffs using the diamonds as entries the good news is that the ♦J appears setting up an extra trick for you there. Your ending is ♠97 ♦43 ♣Q in dummy and you are in hand with ♥T9 ♦Q ♣KT and now you cash the diamond queen, ruff a heart and sit back for your two trump tricks. Sadly of the four players in 5♣ two made only 11 tricks and two made 10. Not a good day.
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HotD-thu : Pairs League 2 : 28sep20 : B9 |
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When today's hand was played on Monday there was only one pair in a part-score (the auction shown except West passed) and two pairs bid to 5♦ as East-West, leaving the majority to play in the (odds against) 4♠ game. Against that game there were three instances of a heart lead, two instances of the lead of ♦K and then a heart switch, and four instances of the lead of ♦K and a second diamond (mostly where North had bid hearts).
On the play of diamond - diamond there was no way declarer could succeed and those declarers all went off. With a heart lead, or a heart switch, it all depended on what West played on the first heart. In practice, all five players in that position covered dummy's card, giving declarer the chance to draw trumps ending in South to take another heart finesse and make 10 tricks. If they had not covered, there is no line of play by which declarer can succeed. Should they have known to duck?
It is very easy to be on auto-pilot and play "third hand high" without thinking. The first step you should take in third seat at trick one is to consider what partner has led from. An honest heart lead from East must be either ♥K75 or ♥54 or ♥43 or ♥5. Given the knowledge that East has a diamond suit biddable at the 3-level vulnerable (and supported), a lead from the heart king is too dangerous to make any sense, so that option can quickly be discounted. If the lead was from a doubleton there is nothing to do in the suit as declarer has AK7 - so we are left with the (very likely on the bidding) lead of a singleton. Placing declarer now with 55 in the majors, you have three defensive tricks in the minors and need one more.
Goven the scenario described, you need to think through how the play might go. You will see that with a 55xx shape, declarer cannot deny you the one heart trick you are due as long as you duck the first round.
The key learning point is to avoid auto-pilot, always stop at trick one to work out what holding partner has (or might have) led from, and act accordingly.
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HotD-wed : Pairs League 2 : 28sep20 : B1 |
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This innocuous hand from Monday offers a number of points of interest. The auction at all 12 tables started with the same three bids (1♦ - P - 1N) and the fourth bid was the same (2♥) at all tables except at the one where East-West were using their defence to 1N openings (after any 1m-P-1N) and bid 2♦ to show a single suited major hand. The first question is what does North do over a 2♥ bid, and it was here that the community split. After the first round of bidding, North knows that there is a 8-card fit available in one minor, but will bidding 3♣ suggest more values than just a 12-count and lead to partner bidding too much? Seven of the twelve tables thought so while five pushed on with 3♣.
Was bidding 3♣ justified? Probably not, and for those well enough organised there was a way around : this is the use of the "Good/Bad 2N bid" (you can read about it here) and this was exercised by exactly one pair on Monday; unfortunately they got mixed up about it and ended (uniquely) playing in 3♦ going well off. One other pair could (and did) show a limited 3♣ bid and that was Keith Sharp who was able to pass over their 2♦ bid (mentioned above) and then back in with 3♣ on the next round. That strategy, plus the immediate 3♣ bid, all led to East supporting hearts and South continuing then with 4♣. That was enough to end the auction four times but twice West thought they had enough extras to bid game and duly did.
Both 4♣ and 4♥ should be defeated but in practice only one pair defeated 4♣ and nobody defeated 4♥. The failure in both cases was - curiuously - the same. The defence's suit was led and the suit continued even though it should have been apparent to all that it was about to be ruffed. In the case of defiending against 4♣ declarer was able to set up the diamonds to discard losing spades, and in the case of hearts, declarer escaped the diamond ruff and now with the spade finesse onside could make the game. Should the defence have been found in both cases - the danger is very apparent defending 4♣ as if partner lacks the ♠A they will need to provide both the ♠T and the ♠9 to beat the contract making ♠A better odds. In the case of 4♥ it is more difficult, but one could argue that to get 4 defensive tricks North needs partner to provide two tricks in the majors or just ♦A - which looks less to ask for in the sight of dummy's major suit holdings.
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HotD-fri : League 1.2 : 21sep20 : B3 |
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This hand from Monday generated plenty of swings with just under half the 13 tables playing in 4♠ making that contract. All but one table played the hand as North and ten declarers had a club lead. How should the play develop?
In order to make a trick from the clcub queen you need to duck this, and West wins the king and returned a club which you win. The hand looks straightforward and you continue almost on auto-pilot, starting with the ♥A and a ruff before coming back to hand in trumps. When West shows out you see a problem. as another heart ruff will generate an extra trump loser and so does not benefit you. You win the ♠ A. You can afford a heart loser as long as you don't lose a diamond trick - and an easy option presents itself for that. So you take the diamond finesse and ditch your losing diamond on the club ace. The position is now
NORTH : ♠J432 ♥Q opposite SOUTH ♠Q9 ♦542 and South is on lead
and you need three more tricks. East is known to hold ♠KT8 and two other cards. Can you see what to do?
The answer comes by a process of elimination; if you lead a spade you give East two spade tricks to go with a top heart, so you must lead a diamond. When you do this and West plays the ♦J you go through the same process. If you ruff low then East will overruff and you still have ♠K and ♥K to lose. If you ruff with the ♠J it does not work for East to overruff but if East simply discards a heart what can you do - nothing works? Ergo you must discard the ♥Q. If you do this you find that the defence has no remedy. - they can only make one more trick.
There were other successful lines on this hand - and the majority of successful declarer did in fact tackle diamonds early, and when the king was onside and they broke well, that turned out quite advantageous.
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HotD-thu: League 1.2 : 21sep20 : B2 |
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It was surprising that only 5 tables reached 3N on this hand, with 24 HCP between East and West, stoppers in every suit and a good diamond fiit on the side. This was the auction at one table.
In the bidding here, 1♦ was always an unbalanced hand, 2N showed an invitational raise in diamonds, and 3♣ was a range enquiry showing some interest in game. After South's double West felt that the onside ♣K was enough to justify bidding 3N and against 3N a club was led, covered by the jack and king. Over to you now to play this .....
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The key issue on this hand is how to play the diamonds. With no further information the default play in diamonds is to cash the ace and king, succeeding 58% of the time. Here however you might have some extra information - you have the fact that RHO is keen on clubs. If you make the assumption that South has at least 5 clubs to justify asking for the suit to be led, then the odds change. It is now better odds to play the short club hand for three diamonds - and your chance of success moves up to over 66%. Filip Kurbalija duly did this and collected when North had started with ♦Q73.
In practice only two tables made the game; one was a gift from the opposition and the other was this table. The other tables in 3N bid the game against silent opposition and had no useful inferences to draw, so they got the diamonds wrong and went off. Silence can be golden! |
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HotD-wed : League 1.1 : 21sep20 : B8 |
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This hand from Monday illustrates a number of interesting plays as well as bidding developments. In traditional Acol the West hand would be a 1♥ opener but only 3 of the 14 tables opened 1♥ here; there were two opened 1♦ (playing 5-card majors) and the remaining 9 opened a strong(ish) 1N. Over the suit openings we find three Easts responded 1♠ (raised to 3♠ by the heart openers) and two Easts responded with 2♣. These all got to 4♠. For the 1N openers, every East investigated the spade fit; in almost all cases South showed hearts and that led two EW pairs to play in 3N and a third to doduble South (in 3♥). So the majority did reach 4♠ but there were 12 distinct auctions took place (only 2 auctions were repeated and one of those involved a slight variation).
Of those playing in 4♠ six were by West and four by East. The real interest is in the play, and across the ten tables all suits were led. North led the ♥J three times in response to South's bid and declarer could now count a certain 5 tricks outside trumps. There would always be 5 trump tricks on a 3-2 break but the one cautious declarer played safe by ruffing a heart at trick two and engineering another heart ruff later to go with the AKQ to make five trump tricks. The other two declarers played ace and another club and in tne end needed helpful defence to make 10 tricks.
The two cases where South led ♦A were times when West had opened 1♥ and declarer had no knowledge as to where the ♥K was. They both refused the heart finesse and went down. Is that a minus for the 1♥ opener? The two cases of North leading the ♦8 also led to a refusal of the heart finesse and the contract was off at both tables until one defender returned it to declarer. With a bad trump break, the heart finesse was more necessary that realised.
Three leads left : on the ♥7 lead declarer rose with the ace and went about clubs; to make ten tricks now he had to pick up on the fact of the 4-1 trump break and he didn't, so one down. On the ♣J lead (despite dummy having bid the suit) declarer had an easy time setting up the clubs and made 10 tricks. Finally we get to the ♠9 lead by South. Declarer won and started clubs but ducked the ♣J. North played a diamond to the ace and a diamond came back. Declarer drew two trumps and ruffed a club which was overruffed. He won the diamond return and now cashed his winners in the process of which South, holding ♥KT9♣K, was squeezed out of a winner and the last three tricks were dummy's three hearts.
What do we learn from all this? Firstly that even a simple looking hand offers an enormous number of bidding sequences even if most ended in the same contract, and a large variety of lines of play. On the bidding, the three tables which started to investigate spades but missed the suit after South overcalled hearts need to work out how to find spades the next time. The pair who bid 6♠ need to calm down a little. On the play, we must admire the simply approach taken by the declarer first described, two heart ruffs and nothing can go wrong. For declarer in general - with only two losers outside trumps, there should be an increased alertness for the 4-1 trump break, as it can be handled. And what about the defender whose partner was squeezed for the tenth trick - he needed to count declarer's winners, for he could foresee the ending and he can counteract it by playing a heart into the AQ when he wins his last trump.
Will we ever get on top of this game?
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HotD-sat : CBC Imps Pairs : 18sep20 : B17 |
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This hand from last night's game was dropped on the floor by the three tables who bid as shown (or veyr like as shown) to 3N. At the fourth table South did not overcall and after 1♣ - 1♥ - 1♠ - 3N, North chose to lead a diamond and that made the game very easy.
When South bid hearts, the lead was the ♥6 covered by the jack and queen. What should declarer's plan be?
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Thee are six top tricks in the majors and three more need to be developed from clubs and diamonds. And this before the defenders can set up five tricks.
The big danger is the defence running heart tricks and the best way to avoid that is to cut off the heart suit. By ducking at trick one and winning trick two, declarer will exhabust North of hearts and provided South has only one of the key cards in the minors, the heart suit can never be set up.
One sequence of play is to duck the heart, win the next and lead the ♣T which should be covered by the queen and king, Now is the time to lead a diamond (through the hand likely to be short in the suit); if the ace rises you can set up two tricks on diamonds to make nine, and if it doesn't North will beat the jack with the king. When a diamond is next led towards the queen, declarer must duck to allow South to win the doubleton ace. The odds on all this working were not great, but it is clearly the best line and all the cards are lying nicely for declarer - but only if declarer takes advantage of them.
In practice all three declarers won a top heart at trick one and were now doomed and went off. |
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HotD-thu : Pairs League 1 : B17 |
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The bidding options on this hand are discussed in the commentary with thr results, but the play is also of interest and is covered here.
The auction took p;lace as shown and the lead was the ♠2 to South's ace and he continued with the ♠Q which was ruffed. How should West continue?
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The answer is going to depend on how alert West was.
On this hand you have eight diamonds between the two hands so setting up some diamond tricks looks best; on an even break you will lose one diamond and ruff one, making four tricks in that suit. Add that to one heart and you need just six club tricks to get home. If the diamonds break 4-1 and you need to ruff two of them, you get one less diamond trick and need a seventh trump trick (which is easy if trumps break 2-2). In both cases your best start is an immediate ace and another diamond. But how will the diamonds break?
The answer lies in the opening lead. This was NOT a fourth best lead. It must surely be telling partner (who in practice noticed nothing) something about diamonds - and the most likely is that opener has a void diamond. Now what can declarer do? The answer is nothing with the diamond suit - attention must be switched to the heart suit. What could be done there? Cashing the ace and taking some ruffs might set up a trick or two there; it will be a second heart trick on most 4-3 breaks, but you get two extra tricks if you find the short heart hand with both the king and queen. If you want to set up the hearts, you need to start on that suit first.
You need to judge this well. Declarer was strongly expecting that void diamond but didn't back that judgement and played diamonds. Playing on hearts at trick three would have results in 11 tricks. Declarer's choice saved South considerable embarassment but damaged the East-West score. |
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HotD-wed : Pairs League 1 : 14sep20 |
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This was the first board from this week's new Pairs League, for which there were 21 pairs taking part. It is a hand on which only one pair got close to the optimal contract (7♣ rather than 7N), three were one step removed from there (6♣ or 6♠), another six were two steps removed (playing game) and one was even two steps further away than that.
The last one first is worth noting, and it is a problem we will see more often. North at that table opened 2♦ showing in theory a bad weak two in either major, but with an expectation that it was quite often only a five card suit. East doubled and South passed showing diamonds. West decided that they could descibe their hand better once North had exposed which major, but in this case North had a very suitable hand to play in 2♦ and passed it out. The defence slipped and allowed 8 tricks to make. The key error was not realising that after South has passed to show diamonds, you need to defend as if partner has made a takeout double of diamonds - to avoid this danger.
Back to constructive bidding which at all tables (except the twice North opend 2♥) started as shown. How should it proceed? The majority choice was fourth suit forcing with 3♦ (4 times) and there were two tables with inexplicable choices (2N and 3♠) but it was another option still which led to the best seqeunce, and that bid was 3♣. Only two pairs had the confidence to know that this showed 3 cards support and game going values - which can be the case as long as you have agreed that over a reverse you bid 2N on any bad hand (Lebensohl style). One of the tables which bid FSF 3♦ managed to get back to play in clubs when West was able to jump to slam in that suit, but all the others converged on spades. The catch with spades is that you are missing the queen and so can never bid the grand slam comfortably.
How did it proceed after a 3♣ choice? In one case East continued with 3♠ and over West's 4N jumped to 6♣; there the robots stopped. The other pair continued over 3♣ with 4♦ asking for key cards. When West showed two, East continued with 5♦ promising all the key cards; West bid 5♠ to show the king and East ccould tell that the only possible losers were in hearts, and so took a chance on bidding the grand slam. That was the only route taken to 7♣.
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Hotd-fri : BBO Swiss Teams 1 : 07sep20 : B14 |
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This hand from Monday offers traps to the unwary. The first point of curiousity is that at two tables North did not bid - but all the others overcalled with a weak 2♠ at their first chance. The overcall led two teams to play in 3N and both made this despite having five top clubs to lose if the suit were led. The others all played in 4♥.
The reason the two 3N contracts made, and the reason why one of the 4♥ contracts made was because the declarer listened to the bidding. The fact that the spades are splitting 6-1 is a key peice of information, as it changes the odds on how to best play the heart suit. With seven vacant spaces in North and twelve in South, the best (but not guaranteed) play in the heart suit is to cash one top honour and then to run the jack, The three who did this notched up their game.
Four tables went off in 4♥ - and three of those made the defence too easy. Those three all started with a spade lead and declarer bashed out the top hearts. With the prospect of a heart and two clubs to lose, these declarers continue by testing the diamonds, hoping for the 4% chance that they could avoid losing a trick there. In doing so they set up a defensive diamond trick. The fourth table started with a diamond lead which made the defence easy.
The other three declarers looked at the diamond suit and recognised that this was a suit they wanted the defence to lead. So they played on the other suits. At one table South ruffed an early spade and played a club to the queen and king. North switched to a diamond won by the king, but declarer crossed to dummy and led a club towards hand. South needed to - but failed to - resist rising with the club ace and now he was endplayed (ducking would let North win and play a second diamond). At another table South refused to ruff, and when clubs were played (there was a club lead at trick one too) North did find the diamond switch but now South got endplayed with the ♥Q. The third table failed to find the necessary diamond switches and again South got endplayed.
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HotD-thu : BBO Swiss Teams 1 : 07sep20 : B13 |
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There were a number of interesting points on the defence to 3N on this hand from Monday. All tables got to 3N, except the one where East was playing a strong NT opener and West was assuming a weak NT opener. 3N was played by West at one table, and at another, East played 3N after North has overcalled in hearts; these two tables had a heart lead and that doomed the contract.
The other eight tables played 3N by East on a spade lead. It is surprising to note that three different spade pips were led - four led a fourth best ♠7, three led the ♠2 (presumably because they thought partner might misread the 7 as second best from a bad suit), and one person led the ♠9. You might not think it mattered but it did!
On the spade lead a few declarers were very lazy and played the ♠4 from dummy but most tried a high spade from dummy, and now the spotlight was on North. If we look at the actual layout, playing the queen at trick one gives declarer two tricks in spades - while if North ducks trick one then the spade king will shortly fall under the ace and the queen will make, depriving declarer of a second trick in the suit. Surely you should therefore duck? Not so simple - as
If the opening lead was from ♠AK97x or ♠AK87x, then North must not duck as there are five defensive tricks to cash. How can you tell? The bidding might be an answer this time, but more generally the answer is to make a different lead from ♠A987x and ♠K987x - the top of the interior sequence (♠9 here). If you do that North will know when to cover and when not to cover.
Curiously the defence goes more easily of North does cover. Declarer plays a club to the king and ace, and North returns a second spade ducked by South, and when declarer gives up the ♣J there are three spades to cash. Only in practice that didn't happen - either North went after the heart suit or South took the ♠A rather than duck. If North does duck trick one, declarer plays a diamond to hand and a club to the king and ace. North can play a second spade to the ace and get the ♠Q as the next trick, but the defence are now stuck and only get two tricks in each black suit. So if you deprive declarer of a second spade trick, you let the contract make!
But it actually gets more complicated than that. On the best defence of spade, club, spade ducked - declarer can still succeed. Can you see how? Declarer must play a third spade and force South to take those winners. In doing so, North gets squeezed and declarer makes either an extr heart ot drop the club jack. Tricky game this!
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HotD-wed : Last Open Teams : 16mar20 : B22 |
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This hand from Monday was a flat board at the three tables who played in 4♠, and at some tables it was made easy, but there was one interesting point hidden away.
After the auction shown happened at (at least) two tables, all Norths found the lead of the ♥J and there was a mix of continuations or overtake and club switch. West got on lead at trick two and led a spade to the king and then another spade. The key question now is whether to play for the ♠T onside by finessing the nine, or to play an honour which wins on a 3-3 break or when North has the ten?
The answer comes from the opening lead, and your ability to diagnose that the lead was a doubleton. The time that playing the queen or jack of spade gains is when North started with ATx or Tx or Txx in spades; we can rule out the last two as South would have won the spade ace. In the remaining case that North has three spades and if North has three spades then surely that means a singleton (or void) in a red suit. That suit would surely have been led or played - so we deduce that North lacked a short suit and is very likely to be a 2227 shape. Therefore finessing for an onside ♠T is indicated.
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HotD-sat : CBC Pairs League : 11mar20 : B14 |
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This looked like a routine hand on which sensible bidding and play was rewarded - but then I started to delve a little deeper.
Looking at the bidding first - it is hard ot imagine divergence before we reach 2♠ as shown, but most lessons don't discuss what to do next. The best answer is to keep everything natural - any bid should show the location of extra length, so that 3♣ would imply a 5413 or 5404 shape , and similarly 3♦ would show short clubs, 3♥ would be 5-5 and 3♠ should be 6-4, leaving 2N for 5422 shapes. Here 3♠ describes the hand well. The only uncertainty is about whether or not 3♥ is forcing; on the basis that the bidder could jump to 4♥ (unfortunately by-passing 3N) most players will treat 3♥ as a non-forcing game try. Here once North learns of a 64xx shape, there is no doubt that both the ♥Q and ♣A will be useful cards, and the hand can justify a raise to game (for some it could also justify stopping in 3♠). In practice 6/16 pairs bid game, 8/16 stopped at the two-level and two ended in 3♠.
Against 4♠ the opening lead was three rounds of diamonds; declarer ruffed and drew trumps and then had to play the hearts for one loser. Ideally you would tackle that with a double finesse leading twice towards the AT95 but here there is only one entry to dummy. It feels close to a double finesse to test initially for West having the jack by leading to the ♥8, and when that loses crossing to the club ace to lead the queen - testing now for the king with East. That might feel like a 75% shot but I was surprised when I checked with the SUITPLAY software to find that this wasn't and that the optimal line only had a 59% success rate. How could that be?
The answer lies in how the defenders play. Suppose you started with a heart to the eight and it lost to the king - how would you proceed? It seems natural to assume the jack is with West and to ruff the fourth diamond to lead the ten next towards the queen of hearts. That works fine if East was not too devious - but if East had started with KJx or KJxx hearts then winning that first heart with the king would have put you on the wrong track and you would lose two hearts. So on best defence you cannot cater both for KJx(x)(x) with West and for KJx(x) with East. In fact, after the ♥8 loses to the king, it is a tiny bit better to play East for both the king and jack by now crossing to the queen and finessing East for the ten, but even better than that is the combination of crossing to the queen and then cashing the ace picking up all 3-3 breaks and neither xx-KJxx or Jxxx-Kx.
Do we thing such a defence could ever be found? Think first of the case of ♥KJx with East. East should have been preparing for how the heart suit will go on this basis : declarer surely has the ace and with ATxx or less opposite Q84 then the best play is clearly to lead to the queen. So when declarer plays to the eight, the hidden hand has to be AT9x in hearts, and that means that if you win the jack declarer's only sensible line will be to cross to the North hand and play the queen to pick up your king. So winning the jack is a doomed effort, and you should try something else. Clearly ducking never gains, so the answer has to be winning with the king.
I often say that this is a simple game - but I cannot say so this time!
BTW the best play in the heart suit - against perfect defence - is to cross to the ♣A and start by running the ♥8, which works when the jack is onside or East holds a short K-holding. But in practice you need to assess your opponents before deciding on the best play at your own table.
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HotD-thu : Spring Swiss Pairs : 9mar20 : B3 |
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There were plenty of slam hands again on Monday. There was one 91% slam bid at only one table (B9), one 89% slam bid by nobody (B10), one 85% slam bid by nobody (B3) , one 73% slam bid by nobody (B17), one good grand slam bid at only two tables of nine (B5), and one poor slam - a balanced 31 count - bid at three tables (B14). There is obviously a lot of potential there to improve. It is worth bidding each of the hands mentioned off-line with your favourite partner to confirm you have a decent and successful sequence available on each.
This hand was the one 2♣ opener in the set, and brought out a few interesting questions. The first was what South should bid at the point shown. The big danger (admittedly at its lowest at this vulnerability) is that West bounces with diamond support, and therefore the most important message for South to get across is that the hand is playable in all the other three suits. You would like to have a takeout double, but double is an illegal bid. What is the answer? It is to have agreed (as a few of us have) that XX here is for takeout. If you do redouble, the bidding could proceed 3♦ - P - P - 3♠ - P - 4♣ - P - 6♣.
In practice most Souths bid 2♠ and North - to shut partner up - raised quickly to game and that was the final contract. Your 2♣ openers are your most previous hands, and it pays to have considered how to behave after the opposition interfere.
Notice how with preparation the position was recoverable - but from East's perspective - would not a 3♦ overcall have taken away a lot more space from the other side? In all cases except this vulnerability that would have been a worthwhile choice, and this issue is sufficiently common that using 2♣-X and 2♣ -P-2♦-X for some hand other than the suit shown (most commonly both majors) is well justified.
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HotD-wed : Spring Swiss Pairs : 09mar20 : B13 |
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This was an interesting play hand from Monday. This contract - probably on this auction - was the one most commonly played, and it was natural for East to lead their longest suit - diamonds. [There were two 3N contracts by South and they both had gentle leads, and were not so interesting]
From declarer's perspective there are plenty of tricks to set up but also the need to lose the lead in clubs, and probably lose the lead in each of spades and hearts. Losing a trick in all three of those - and expecting the opposition to set up some diamonds en route - is not a winning choice. The question is how to set up enough tricks without letting the opposition cash too many diamonds.
The key is losing tricks to the safe hand at the right time. Working on the assumption that the opening lead will have any extra length in the suit (by no means a given on this auction) you would select East as the danger hand, and importantly West as the safe hand. Looking at the three suits you might play, you can see that spades is the one suit on which you can surely restrict the defneders, so that only West might win a trick.
So spades get postponed. Since the club ace is always an entry for whoever holds it, the danger is that the long diamonds has that card - so playing clubs first becomes the only option. East does best to win the third round, and continue diamonds. In order to exhaust West of diamonds you now need to duck one diamond and win the third round. This gives you seven tricks outside spades, and you come to hand with the ♥A and take a spade finesse. You need to be careful after the ♠T holds. It is necessary to cash the other top heart and the last club at this point, before finessing again. When you do West will grab thei king, but be left with bothing but spades and giving dummy the last two tricks. Plus one!
You might survive with an early spade finesse, but only if West decided to duck the first round - and they should not! If during the play of diamonds you became convinced that West rather than East held the length - you might still recover by going for your extra tricks in hearts, running the ♥T after winning the third diamond. Watching the opponents' play in the diamond suit becomes very important.
The other candidate contract is 4♥ and looking at the North--South hands, you would rather be playing there as you have decent prospects of 11 tricks. Should South have bid 4♥ instead? It is hard to tell, as if North held a singleton spade and three diamonds the picture is rather different. On the day however, 4♥ was made by all its declarers - while three in 3N went off for a worse score, and three made an overtrick for a better score.
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HotD-sat : Spring Teams : 2mar20 : B16 |
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This was an interesting slam from Monday, bid by very few but actually quite a respectable contract. From West's perspective if East has a K-KQ combination rather than a K-K-QJ combination the slam becomes a certainty.
The interesting point was the play. Looking just at the East-West hands - you have at least 6 diamond tricks and at least AK-A-AK outside. All you need to make the slam is one more trick, which could be either by avoiding a diamond loser, or by a ruffing heart finesse.
Playing in 6N you have no option but to go for the diamond finesse as hearts involves giving up a trick; a problem is that although you can collect from an onside king most of the time, you cannot collect from ♦K974 onside, and that happens almost 5% of the time - so your success rate is only 45%. [How two tables made 6N with the ♦K offside is a mystery]
There are better chances with diamonds as trumps, because you can take advantage of the heart king being with South. This is a 50% shot, but importantly it can be combined with some chances in diamonds. If you are using one entry to dummy to lead hearts, you only have one entry left for diamonds and you have two choices. If you start with the ace you will avoid a loser whenever there is a singleton king - that's about a 10% chance, which would raise your overall success rate to 55%. Even better is to go for hearts first, and if that option fails then go for a diamond finesse; a single diamond finesse will only deliver no loser when South has a singleton or doubleton king, but that is a 26.6% chance, so now your success rate is a healthy 63%.
This is a good advert for choosing a trump slam over a NT slam - there are often extra options when you do that. Well done to Joe Angseesing & Paul Denning - the only pair to bid it.
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HotD-thu : Spring Teams 3 : 2mar20 : B24 |
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It was a surprise that East got to play this hand so often in 1N undoubled. As you can see, the defence runs well, with five club tricks, two diamonds and two spades. What happened?
There are two philosophies to doubles of 1N. One camp looks to have confidence that the contract will go down before doubling. This means either having a clear majority of the HCP, or when making a minimal hand double, insisting on having a plan for generating tricks - usually in the form of an attractive lead. That camp passes 1N on the South hand here.
The other camp takes the attitude that 1N is a very attractive contract to play in and often generates a good score; it is therefore incumbent on the other side to get the 1N bidder out of that contract as often as possible. Doubling on less strong hands is one way of doing that; a double can result in third hand running from 1N-x, or can encourage fourth hand to take out into a suit that would not have been bid otherwise. Or, as here, it could result in a sizeable penalty.
The camp you choose to live with affects the behaviour of the fourth hand; in the first camp any fourth hand with 8+ HCP would expect to be going for game, but in the second camp the fourth hand might be more circumspect.
A single hand is no guide to the efficacy of the two methods, but there is increasing momentum behind the latter. Either approach can go wrong - which is why the weak 1N opener has a positive reputation. Because the weak NT has such limited following world-wide, there is snot developed evidence to prove which is better. Monitoring the boards you play is the best way to form your own judgment.
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HotD-wed : Spring Teams : 2mar20 : B21 |
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This was the good slam hand from Monday which proved most difficult to bid (8/12 bid the slam on B7, and the other slam candidates were only so-so, and only 4/12 bid this slam). The crucial bid on the hand came at this point. What should East bid?
It is surely right to introduce the spade suit - the question is just at which level. Some tables overcalled 1♠ ; over this North will want to show heart support and should recognise that the opponents have at least 9 spades between them and they are going to be bidding more spades. It is vital therefore to get the strength of support over to partner, so that partner can later decide on whether to bid on. The one bid which does this best is 3♠; it is a slight overbid, but shows the fact of heart support and spade shortage and firmly leaves it to partner to decide on how to proceed. At the table is went 3♠ - 4♠ and South was able to sensibly cue bid 5♦ indicating slam interest but lack of a control in clubs - and now it was easy to bid the slam.
Some tables saw West overcall 2♠; at this point there are fewer options available to North to show support - basically, in order of strength 3♥, 4♥ and 3♠; that's useful but unfortunately none of them is specific about spade shortage. In trying to help partner decide what to do over a likely 4♠ by East, it is hard to choose between 3♠ which suggests more high cards and 4♥ which suggests more distribution. When East does bid 4♠ however, the idea of spade shortage in North should come through to South and bidding on makes sense. South is likely to bid on but slam is not so visible and the position is fraught as sometimes East-West will be in a 6-3 spade fit and there will be two spade losers and possibly something else to worry about.
The key here is that West has removed bidding space from North, and as always taking away bidding spade hampers bidding accuracy.
Declarer needs to be a little careful playing in the slam. The key asset in the North hand is the long club suit, and declarer will need to play ♣ A and another early enough to be able to enter North twice to ruff out the suit, in order to make the slam.
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Hotd-fri : Winter Swiss Pairs : 24feb20 : B2 |
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This auction and contract was what happened at four tables on Monday; there were also four heart contracts played by East (2-level, 3-level and 4-level and 4-level doubled) and two contracts in black suits. But let's focus on this position.
What should North be leading against such an auction? Three suits were chosen in practice - the ♠7 twice, the ♥5 and the ♦J. In double dummy play the lead makes no difference, but you can see here that a diamond gives away a trick, and that is the reason the tendencies these days are much stronger towards passive leads than they used to be. With a singleton trump lead in danger of helping declarer more than helping the defence, the spade lead therefore stands out.
After winning trick one, it is natural for declarer to start working on trumps, and with only one entry to dummy, leading out the queen looks very attractive. When South wins and a spade comes back, declarer will be thinking that if everything lies well there might only be the top clubs and the ♥A to lose, and at matchpoints you need the overtricks, so playing a second heart looks right. When North shows out you must duck to South who will now play another spade and we hope to win that with the ace. The only chance for eight tricks now is three spades, two diamonds, and three trumps. So the line is a diamond to the queen, aiming to cash the ace and ruff a diamond and be sitting with six tricks and dummy left with ♥KT ♣Q86. But the diamond finesse fails; North can safely return a diamond and declarer gets one ruff and we reach the same ending but with only five tricks in the bag.
The result would have been different in teams, where the focus would be on getting eight tricks rather than the maximal number. The position that became the target gives a hint of the winning play. The key is getting two diamond ruffs early. Winning the spade lead and taking one ruff, then a heart to the queen and a second ruff, and then spades will get you to an ending with dummy holding ♥KT ♣Q865. It's not all over yet - you are holding ♠9 ♥4 ♣T973 in hand and it might natural to play a trump but that is fatal - the point being that is a heart works just as well late as it does now - so play the other suits first.
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HotD-wed : Winter Swiss Pairs 3 : 24feb20 : B3 |
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There are a lot of different rare events in bridge - but so many that we come across something "rare" all too often. Take this hand from Monday, 29 HCP - how often do you get that? The answer is about one hand in 100,000 which means if you play four duplicate sets a week (say 100 hands) every week, then this happens to you about once every 20 years. You might see it more often than that, as one of the other three players might hold this hand - so you might see it once every five years. But the bridge club here in Cheltenham plays more than four sessions a week - more like a dozen sessions a week, so the average wait for a repeat at the club will be under two years.
Is it worth having some system bids prepared for such an eventuality? Not really. But you do need to be able to plan how to handle these rare hands. What would you do here? [Notice that you are not guaranteed even with this holding to make 3N]
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Everyone starts here with their strongest bid - usually 2♣ and will hear from partner a neutral/negative response (as you might expect) of 2♦. What next?
There are two difficulties here - one is getting over the enormous strength to partner (and the fact that the hand is relatively balanced) and the second is getting cooperation from a partner whose hand might be pitifully weak. Clearly a NT bid would be descriptive but you need that bid to be game forcing as you are very very likely to make at least 3N on this hand. Many people use the (artificial) sequence 2♣ - 2♦ - 2♥(two way) - 2♠(asking) - 2N to show game forcing balanced and that would be one option here. That start was found by one pair, and now East was able to use Stayman to investigate a major suit fit, but the particular sequence (3♦ one major - 3♠ showing hearts) led to opener bidding 3N and there it rested as East thought the opener, though strong, might be as few (!) as 25 hcp.
Another pair started 2♣ - 2♦ - 3N but that also ended the auction and they missed out on better things.
The most common winning start was 2♣ - 2♦ - 3♦ which uncovered the diamond fit and with so few losers outside, opener could now insist on a slam - and two tables saw the 29-count put down in dummy, letting East play the handa in diamonds. But actually the diamond fit can only generate an extr trick if there is a spade ruff to be taken, so - the game being matchpoints - the more alert Wests convered to 6N at the end. Another winning start was 2♣ - 2♦ - 2♠; this shows a suit which is quite happy with three card support, and could often lead to an easier auction that a diamond rebid would. At the table, East jumped to 4♠ showing support but no high cards, and West bid the slam in spades - looking forward to ruffing some diamonds in dummy - but that was not to be. Still 6♠ made easily and outscored 6♦.
There were two noticable accidents, which meant that the pairs who felt so bad about bidding just 3N on this hand still scored 30% on the board! One accident was a 2N opener by a player whose system said that 2N was weak with both minors; partner knew the system and expressed a preference for diamonds, but this was interpreted as a transfer to hearts and the big hand decided to gamble on that being the right denomination and bid 6♥; that drifted down two. The other accident came after finding a fit and multiple cue bids pushed pair 23 to bid a grand slam in NT. If the diamonds had broken 2-2 and the heart finesse was winning, that would have been a success - but not this week.
Are we all better prepared for the next time we have 29 HCP to bid? Yes, but more importantly we might be thinking more clearly on the next game forcing hand we have, and 25+ HCP is twenty times more likely than 29+, so it will happen before we forget all this! |
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HotD-tue : Midlands League : 23feb20 : B11 |
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There was a good sprinkling of slam hands in Sunday's match, with three excellent slams (bid twice by Gloucestershire across the six tables, but never bid by Warwickshire) and two reasonable slams (five instances bid by Glos, one by Warw - and all but one made) and four bad slams (two bid by Glos, five by Warw - and one success for each team). Glloucestershire gained 161 imps across the slam hands. This was the most interesting of the good slams.
There were two common starts to the auction, of which one is shown. The key question is what to bid next; you will clearly support diamonds and for those well organised 3♦ is known to be natural and forcing. This is however not the best choice as it leaves open the option of 3N and that muddies the waters, while a bid of 4♦ declares that diamonds will be trumps and initiates a cue bidding sequence. It's not all over then - when West bids 4♠ denying a heart control, East cannot just ask for aces as the danger is partner bids 5♥ or 5♠ and you are in a slam missing two key cards. One answer is to guess to bid the slam, but a better one is to cue bid 5♣; this promises a heart control (else you would have signed off when partner denied one) and allows opener to identify the problem and bid the slam.
The other common start to the auction (1♣ - 1♦ - 3♦) faces the same sort of dilemma about how to avoid bidding a slam missing two aces; the answer again is for East to give the task to West. Over the 3♦ raise, the winning choice is a 4♥ jump - showing shortage in hearts (where 3♥ would have shown a high card) and letting West continue to slam.
The third and least common start to the auction was the one which made slam bidding most difficult. It was where North overcalled 1♠. The bid is on the aggressive side with a suit as weak as 86542, but the fact is that if you do find a fit in the spade suit you have hit the jackpot and if you do find a fit in any of your suits, this hand should work well for partner. Perhaps it's the standard picture - every time you enter the auction you seriously dent the accuracy of the opponents' bidding. After the 1♠ overcall what can East do? Bidding 2♦ is so likely to get hearts from partner that it feels doomed; and once you pass partner can double but the opponents will surely rescue themselves to 2♥. Not easy!
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HotD-fri : CBC Pairs : 18feb20 : B9 |
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This was a fun hand from Tuesday's bridge. You can see that each player has a decent suit, and in the auction shown can bid them around the table. Where would you expect it all to end?
The board was played eight times, all with plus scores to North South, but it is curious to record that
- North played the hand in clubs at three tables,
- East played the hand in hearts at two tables,
- South played the hand in diamonds at one table,
- West played the hand in spades at two tables.
All the contracts were at the same level - the five level - and the best results for NS came from playing in 5♣ (twice doubled for +650), and the next best came from East playing in hearts (down 500), follwoed by South playing in diamonds (making +440), and the worst NS came from West playing in spades going down.
There phrase oft-quoted that "the 5-level belongs to the opponents" but West here might prefer to disagree.
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HotD-thu : League 7 : 17feb20 : B16 |
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This hand from Monday raised a few interesting points. The first quesiton is, on the sequnce shown using Simple Stayman, you show slam interest in hearts. The answer is easy - you bid spades! Why does this work? We have to go back to why Stayman was chosen as a bid; it only happens when the user has a four card major and over 3♥ any bid of no-trumps (3N or 4N or more) has to show spades. This includes a bid of 5N (pick a slam) which is primarily offering the option of 6♠ or 6N. Because of this you never have to bid spades to show them, so any bid of spades is free - and here it is very useful to agree hearts and suggest some slam interest. In this case 3♠ will lead to a 4♣ cue bid by opener, and now South can complete the description of the hand by continuing with 4♠ (now a cue bid) and opener can take charge - checking for key cards - before bidding the slam. Played by North, the slam depends just on the trumps breaking evenly, and they do.
Commonly amongst tournament players, the sequence 2N - 3♣ is used to ask first about 5-card majors, and in the simplest form a 3♦ response is used to deny a five card major but promise at least one four card major. At this point again there are multiple choices; the simplest is to bid majors up the line but what happens here is that responder ends up as declarer in hearts. Does that matter? Just occasionally and you can see from the results on this board that it mattered this week. If the heart slam is played by South, then a diamond lead defeats the contract - and this happened at two tables.
The most advanced form of 3♣ ask these days is known as MUPPET STAYMAN. It focusses on making the strong hand declarer in all situations. Details on (at least one variation of) this can be found on page 21 of this bulletin.
[LATER: Patrick Phair poiinted out that on a diamond lead you can still make the slam; if you know or can guess to avoid the diamond finesse, you can aim to run the ♠J and when that holds you have two spades on which to discard the losing diamonds]
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HotD-wed : League 7 : 17feb20 : B1 |
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This hand from Monday generated some discussion on the best way to play the heart suit. Everyone (except the one North declarer) had two top clubs to start with and then a trump switch. With spades and diamond tied up, it all comes down to not losing two hearts. Most commonly it will be two losers but there are some layouts where declarer can hold it to one.
The three vanilla options to consider are these : (a) singleton honour with West, (b) doubleton king-queen in either hand, and (c) doubleton honour-ten or singleton ten in East. In the first you would cash the ace and then lead up to the jack, but you would have to draw trumps first and be left with two losing diamonds to take care of; this scenario won't work. In the second case you can cash the ace or lead small from the ace first. In the third case you must start with small towards the jack.
In order to delay the decision a little, the natural choice is to lead small away from the ace at trick four. West rises with the king and plays a diamond which you win. Now is the time to draw trumps and decide on which way to jump.
The two options remaining are to cash the heart ace (gaining from KQ doubleton), or to lead the jack (gaining from KT doubleton). A priori the two options are equal and there is some chance (Restricted Choice overtones) that with KQ East would (carelessly) play the queen so that does push in one direction. But there is another consideration - when you led the heart from dummy East did not know your problem. What would East have played at trick four holding KT8 or KT2 or KT8? The answer is that it would be very difficult to play small on any of these in case declarer held Qx. This swings the odds back, and leading the ace next is best - and works here.
[It is worth noting that would happen if East played the ten from KT - you would cover and when West wins and plays a herat back - would you not finesse?]
If you were playing the hand in hearts there is a big difference - South is dummy and when North leads a heart East is under no pressure to rise with the king. In hearts we fall back to a priori odds and would favour KT doubleton (failing here).
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HotD-fri : Gloucester BC Pairs : 13feb20 : B6 |
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It is often a bonus when the opposition make an artificial bid and you can double for a lead, but sometimes it can backfire. Look at this hand from last night ..
South's 3♣ bid showed some positivity about diamonds, but even with that North wasn't interested in trying 3N. Following the double East led a club won by partner, and West continued with ace and another spade. The defence got their three spade tricks and now switched to hearts and declarer won the ace. He crossed now to the ♦A and led out the ♣Q trumping the ace. A second diamond went to dummy and declarer got to cash two winning clubs to discard his heart losers before claiming the rest and making his contract.
Was it all down to the lead? It wasn't - the defence could still have survived if West had refrained from covering the second club. The queen would win and provide one discard but ducking the jack would be safe while partner still had a trump as declarer could not discard for free. So after that lead the contract should go one down. However that's still not best, as on a major suit lead the contract would go two down.
Should West feel guilty about doubling 3♣? The answer is yes; it is important to look at more than the suit concerned when deciding on whether to make a lead-directing double. You need to look at the other suits, and ask whether a lead of a different suit is likely to cause damage for the defence. In a case like this - with honours in all three suits - you don't mind which suit partner leads, so it is better to leave that choice up to partner.
Which is not to say partner will always lead the right thing - and leading a club here could happen - but at least it is not your fault if it goes wrong!
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HotD-thu : CBC Pairs League : 12feb20 : B7 |
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This hand from last night was the best slam going, with 12 top tricks in clubs as long as you don't lose a trump trick to the missing Q54. None of the sixteen tables bid it.
The auction above happened at table B2, and might have offered North-South a chance. Where West jumped in spades on the first round - say to 3♠ - then it might seem more difficult. But is the slam biddable?
Let's look at the auction first of 1♣ - 3♠; North might at this point consider a negative double but the question is - why would hearts ever be the right answer? With 17 HCP opposite a partner playing a weak NT and 4-card suits, the odds on partner having 5+ clubs are enormous, and the big question isn't what suit to play in but how high to bid. There is a case at this point for bidding 4♠ to show partner a good raise in clubs and some slam potential. With the 1246 shape in South, there is a possibility of rolling out an ace ask at this point and bidding the slam.
One difficulty is however than many today do not play that a 1♣ opening guarantees four - which makes the denomination quite uncertain , and a negative double necessary. After 1♣ - 3♠ - X - P - 4♣ there is still the option to bid 4♠ to show a club slam try, but there is a danger here (not so much in the previous sequence) that partner might read into that a spade control.
When the bidding starts more gently, as in the example shown, you are much less willing to commit to clubs and a negative double is inevitable. With a very limited opener South will make a minimal rebid and you reach the position shown. At the table North chose to bid 3♠ which should logically agree clubs, as a further negative double would be an easier mechanism to give South a second chance to bid no-trumps. Now it could proceed 4♦ - 4♥ - 4♠ and so to slam. But it didn't.
As always there are many more slams missed than failing slams bid.
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HotD-wed : Winter Swiss Pairs : 10feb20 : B11 |
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Sometimes it is the slam hands which are interesting, but sometimes there are few of those, and on Monday the only attempts at slam all failed. [Although board 2 is an odds on slam, bid by nobody]
This small part-score however was quite interesting; all ten tables played 1N and nine of those were played by South, and every South got the same lead the ♦3. The results show that three declarers managed 4 tricks, three declarers managed 5 tricks, and three declarers made 6 tricks. What should have happened?
On the small diamond lead, declarer has to duck in dummy to ensure a diamond trick, but East wins the queen. Aiming to set up the fourth diamond for partner, East returns a diamond and West wins the ace and plays a third round. It's not clear whether to play hearts or clubs next, and at table three declarer chose a heart to the queen and then led a club towards the jack. West hopped in and cashed the fourth diamond, and when partner threw a club, he knew to play on spades. Declarer ducked the jack, and ducked the second round to the king before winning the ace on the third round. Now a club towards the ten set up two club tricks for declarer and that was six tricks.
Could the defence have done better? Yes - the key was the fact that the fourth diamond squeezed South out of a heart - and that after winning the second spade West could have earned an extra trick by switching to hearts to declarer's now bare ace. Should this have been found? Really it should - the play of the third spade was bound to go to the ace and partner was known to have no entry.
Could declarer have done better? The defence would not have been able to set up the third round of hearts as a winner had not declarer played one round early. Declarer avoids that by never playing hearts but playing the club jack at trick four. West can win and play the diamond and spades as before but when declarer wins the ♣T he can now finesse in hearts.
Does that mean there are always six tricks? Not so - what happens if West ducks the ♣J? Now there is no late club entry to dummy to take a delayed heart finesse - and if the finesse is not taken now the ♥Q will lose to the king.
How people ended up with only 4 tricks remains a mystery.
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HotD-fri : Spring Teams 2 : 3feb19 : B28 |
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This hand from Monday was played at nine tables in 4♠ (once in 2♠) but only one table found the winning defence. How should it go?
Declarer on this bidding (which happened at a number of tables) must have a 4351 shape and dummy with be 44 or 45 in the majors. A trump lead could be useful but of more concern is the fact that you have little in diamonds, and the diamond suit may well take care of dummy's losers if you fail to attack. So either a club or a heart stands out. In practice the leads were a club three times, a diamond once, ♥K three times, and a spade twice. At this point three defenders had blown their chances but six could still beat the contract.
Let's take the club leaders first. What should North be thinking on winning the ace? When the queen drops the club position is clear; the ♣JT can be made into a trick when declarer pleases and declarer has too many diamond to discard usefully on those, but heart losers might go away. Defensive tricks have to come from hearts, and that before declarer gets to set up the clubs. A heart switch is indicated, and South needs to continue hearts if declarer ducks - but in practice the two plays were never found!
Let's take the top heart lead. Declarer, seeing this, knows that the defence are onto something. A shrewd declarer will duck and it looks like two declarers did. It is important at this point (and similarly on the king lead if dummy has only small cards) for North to signal attitude - and this must override any agreement you have that king is for count! [Any time a BATH COUP might happen, signalling to avoid that takes first priority] When North discourages, South knows that a switch is needed, and now a club to the ace lets North play a second heart. If South doesn't get a signal from North and continues hearts that gives away the vital trick. The winning play never happened - the one time that the contract went off was after South led ♥K and declarer took the ace immediately. There was no trap for the defence to fall into and North could play a heart on winning a minor suit ace.
Opening leads and defence can be difficult - but for only one of nine to succeed here (and that with kindness from declarer) is not a good show. The secret is to treat every hand like a set-hand from a text book - always to be on the lookout for irrefutable logic which tells you what to do, and to avoid playing on auto-pilot.
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HotD-thu : Spring Teams 2 : 3feb20 : B22 |
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There were three hands where slam came into play on Monday for North-South. First was the cold 6♦ or 6♥ available on B2, but nobody bid it in practice. One way you might get there is after a weak 1N - 2♠ start is if North is able to bid 4♦ as "Leaping Michaels" shows 55 or better with diamonds and hearts. This will induce South to continue over East's 4♠ and North might now take a punt at the slam. But that's still a guess. The second was the no-play slam off two aces on B15 which was bid twice(!), and the third was the cold grand slam on B30 which was never bid (but should have been). The success record for North-South was 0 out of 26 chances!
There was less going for East-West, but this was the other slam hand for them (following yesterday's hand). What is surprising here is that the hand was always played by East-West but the scores included a part-score going off and a slam making. There were in fact five pairs in a part-score and that all came about because of their choice of opening bid here. What should East open? Captivated by the spade suit, the guilty parties opened a weak 2♠ and partner declared that was high enough. The part-score should make (it didn't always); but given that game and even slam in hearts is possible, it was embarassing.
The key qeustion is whether or not to open 2♠. Here's the theory - any time you make a jump bid it delivers a combination of obstruction to the opposition and constructive bidding to your side. The proportion of these two varies with vulnerability and position. There is least value in obstruction where you are vulnerable and the opposition are not, so the emphasis on this board should have been being constructive and describing your hand honestly to partner. To describe a 6502 hand as a single suiter is a mis-description and therefore not an appropriate move.
Where East passed and West opened 1♥, East was able to jump to 4♦ showing a void and this - even opposite a passed partner - raised the possibility of slam in West's eyes. After cue bidding 4♠ and hearing 5♣ from partner, West could bid the slam. Missing ♥KQ7 meant that success was not a foregone conclusion, but of the two who bid the slam one made and the other deeply regrets his failure to cash his club winners at the right time, as by doing so he would also have made.
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HotD-wed : Spring Teams : 3feb19 : B3 |
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This hand from Monday produced a plethora of bidding decisions of which the second is the one shown.
The first decision was actually South's choice of what to open : given we would all want to open 2♠ in first seat at green with ♠QT9753 ♥72 ♦T8 ♣J92, doesn't this hand feel rather strong? With so little defence to the red suits, it is a close call whether to open 2♠ or 3♠. All we know of chose 2♠.
West's hand is too strong and too flexible for anything other than double, despite having a little dread of the double being passed out. How high should North raise at the point shown? The first question to ask is who can make what? Clearly East-West will have the majority of the HCP, and there will is an expectation of no defensive tricks in spades. How many defensive tricks will a frist-in-hand-at-green 2♠ opener provide outside spades - the answer is very few and often none. The expectation therefore it that the opponents have a slam to make, and if they do that you would be best to sacrifice in 6♠. Reasoning thus, table one's North bid 6♠ immediately and all the opponents could do was double. Others tried 4♠ over which it proceeded P-P and West had a second chance; there is some temptation to bid 5♥ but partner could have short hearts and even four spades sometimes, so double looks best.
Opposite a second double - still takeout but with extra values - East can be confident that they have a contract to make. The choice of suit is not clear, but East has a tool to deploy here - bidding 4N will shows two places to play (2PP). When East bids this it conveys a message beyond just shape to West - it suggests that East expects to make a contract at the 5-level. With a void and such good suits, West can see even better chances - the possibility of a slam. The question of what suit is as yet unclear, as the East shape could even be 3055 on this bidding, so West needs to hear about East's suits. This is handled by bidding 5N, and when this was done East bid 6♦ and West converted to 6♥, and at table three this is where the bidding finished.
Across the eight tables who played this board, slam was bid at five tables and at four of these North sacrificed in 6♠. At table three, Mick Bird took a different view and took his chance on defence. At trick one, he led a club to his partner's ace and a ruff at trick two scuppered the slam.
Back to the bidding after 2♠ - X ? As argued above the odds favour sacrificing if the opposition bid a slam, but as seen bidding just 4♠ gives them room to find their fit and bids to a contract they like. How about bidding 5♠ over the double? This doesn't stop you sacrificing if they bid a slam, but they lack the potential safety of the five level and might well be more inclined to double than to bid on. One table did get to play 5♠ (doubled) but how that came about is unknown.
There were two tables played the hand in 5♣ and curiously they were in the same match. At one table that contract failed quickly when declarer tried to ruff the opening spade lead with a heart, only to realise too late that clubs were trumps. The failure of the defence at the other tables meant that this hand was a fortunate gain for the evening's winning team,
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HotD-fri : Rank Xerox Teams : 27jan20 : B10 |
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This hand from the Rank Xerox was played in 3N at three tables, twice by North on a club lead and once by South on a top diamond lead. What should have happened?
Firstly from declarer's perspective there are no chances of tricks in spades, four tricks in hearts and surely exactly two in diamonds. Clubs are therefore needed for three tricks. The bidding makes the play in the club suit obvious - playing first the ace and then towards the Q9xx. If the opposition play spades there may be problems, but you have little other choice.
Now let's look from the defender's perspective, particularly East. You can see what is happening in clubs and have to decide on whether to switch, and if so to what? The key is partner's discard - not discard system, for it is just logic which applies here. Partner throws away a heart (ideally showing an odd number, and anyway they'd have bid the suit with four) and from that you can deduce that declarer has four heart tricks, to go with potentially three clubs and surely, having bid 1N over 1♦, there will be a diamond stopper to go with dummy's ace. That means nine tricks, unless ... yes you must switch to spades. Playing ♠AQ and another will beat the contract.
Is this too far fetched? No; the same hands were used in a Gold Cup match and against 3N, Paul Denning discarded a high heart and Garry Watson found the spade switch to put the game one off.
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HotD-thu : County Pairs QF : 27jan20 : b18 |
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This hand from Monday needed some analysis in the play, but before we get to that there are a few interesting points in the bidding. The first is South's evaluation over 1♠; this hand counts out as a 6-loser hand, and the queen is well placed, and it is so much better than J95 - AJ953 - 5 - KQ92 which would also open 1♥ and raise partner's spade response. It is therefore worth a raise to 3♠ and partner should expect about a trick more than a minimum opener and not go overboard. Here partner is expecting a 45xx shape and the key wil be whether the singleton is opposite the ace of clubs or the king of diamonds. One way to find out is to give partner space to show, and here the 4♦ bid shows a short diamond and that discourages North from continuing.
Playing in 4♠ on a club lead you first consider how to play the trumps. Leading first from dummy, finessing the ten, and returning to lead again from dummy is easily recognised as the best odds play in that suit, giving a 73.20% chance of only one loser. The catch is that if you do that you will not be able to take the heart finesse, and will need to play for the drop in that suit, hoping the queen falls. The alternative is to keep the ♥K for the heart finesse and relying on at most one entry to dummy when tackling spades (it turns out ace and another is best if only one entry). This gives a lower success rate on spades of just 61.61% but a better chance in hearts.
Which is best? Calculating it with SUITPLAY suggests that one line has an 81.95% chance of delivering ten tricks while the other is an 81.90% chance. In practice both lines give you ten tricks, but the difference is that one line delivers eleven, and that line is the second choice - and that is just random luck.
It is difficult to care which line one chooses, but in practice some people didn't have to think about this. Why was that? It was because West could not keep quiet after the 1♥ opening, and overcalled 2♦; this made West a big favourite to hold the spade king, and it indicated the second line (leading spades from hand) is best, and that line delivers an extra trick. There was little reason to bid at the 2-level with a weak NT hand; if you do that you will sometimes suffer penalties and at other times partner will not dare continue buty you turn out to have a better hand and need partner to bid. Silence is golden!
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HotD-wed : County Pairs QF : 27jan20 : B4 |
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This was the best slam hand from Monday (three of the others were about 50% and a fifth was 25% - but all finesses were onside and they all made) and it was only bid once. The key issue was how to proceed from this point in the auction.
Your basic system affects the choice; if 2♥ was forcing for only one round (traditional Acol) then you must bid game now and bidding 4♦ to show shortage there is clearly best. Unfortunately this discourages East who now sees his/her diamonds as wastage. West has however shown some extra values, so East can decude that West has some hight cards in clubs and might still push on.
If the 2♥ response was forcing to game (playing 2-over-1) then you also have the option of a simple raise to 3♥. Why might that be attractive? The answer lies in the theory of splinter bids; when you make a splinter you are describing your hand to partner and leaving them with the decision to make. For them to do that successfully the description must be fairly complete, and in particular the strength of the hand needs to be fairly tightly defined. For that reason we treat a sequence such as 1♠ - 4♣ as showing short clubs in support of spades, but just a minimum raise to game. This hand is not only a robust 14-hcp (where this shape might have opened with as few as 10-hcp) but it has a void rather than a singleton. The combination makes it too strong for a splinter in this context; it's not certain a 3♥ bid will reach the right solution, but it definitely gives more scope.
What will happen after 1♠ - 2♥ - 3♥? Many now play the lowest bid in these circumstances as limiting the hand - declaring it (via a "non-serious" bid) not to be a trick better than an opening bid. The misfit in spades is discouraging on this hand, but the losing trick count makes is a 5-loser hand, so it cannot be declared a minimum. As long as East makes a bid denying a minimum, there should be no stopping West.
You do want to bebidding the slam on this hand, but did you notice what happens in the play? If South leads the ♣2, the best slam of the day goes down - while all the other slams made!
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HotD-fri : League 6 : 20jan20 : B17 |
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Thuis hand from Monday proved a test for some, with a small majority if those in 3N failing to make it. Some Norths stretched to open 2N on the hand (not recommended) but many bid liek this - with South's delayted 1N showing a weaker hand than an immediate 1N would have shown. After a spade lead to the singleton king, how should declarer proceed?
There are communications problems, but eight top tricks and surely another can be generated in hearts. Declarer started off at trick two with hearts, and West won to play a high spade. South won this (discarding a heart from dummy) and then cashed the six card club suit. The ending is four cards and dummy has ♥J ♦K98 at the point where East has to discard from ♠J9 ♥Q ♦A9 in front of declarer's ♠T7 ♥T9 ♦T. East discarded a diamond, as did South. Now exiting with a heart to the queen put East on lead to cash the ♦A. As long as South holds onto the right card, the contract makes. This is a case where watching the opponents' discards is vital.
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HotD-thu : League 6 : 20jan20 : B12 |
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The results on this board from Monday surprised. With 25 HCP between the two hands, a majority (9 out of 16) chose to play in their 6-1 fit at levels ranging from 2♥ to 5♥ and only those at the lowest level made a plus score. The other tables reached other games, with five tables playing in a "hopeless" 3N and a mere two playing in the practical 5♣.
Looking first at the bidding, a natural start would be 1♥ - 2♣ - 2♥, although one might stretch and bid 1♥ - 2♣ - 2♠. How should South continue? The natural choice of 3♣ seems to lead to support from partner and the 5♣ game but was rarely found. The best lead against that game is a trump and when declarer wins the first trick in dummy there is something of a dilemma. Assuming you can find the ♠Q, you have ten tricks in the black suits and need another one - which will no longer come from a diamond ruffed and must come from hearts. Declarer needs to come to hand in spades and play a heart towards the KJ9 and guess right when West ducks. A close call, only managed once.
Some Souths on the second round, rather than bid 3♣, chose 2N and this North would naturally raise to game. After a diamond lead from West to the king and ace, you would expect that the defenders would cash five diamonds and the heart ace and that happened at two of the three tables who got a low diamond lead. One table didn't cash the diamonds, and at a fourth the lead was a diamond from East as North was declarer (perhaps this was a cheeky 1♥ -2♣ -2♥ - 3♣ - 3N) and now the king scored. The last NT table got a spade lead, picking up that suit and giving declarer nine quick tricks. So 3N had a 60% success rate. Does that make it a better contract than the 5♣ which only made 50% of the time?
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HotD-wed : League 6 : 20jan20 : B4 |
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This hand from Monday was played at all sixteen tables in spades by West, and excatly half made the game and half went off.
Declarer starts with only 8 top tricks, and needs to find two more. Three Norths, feeling that there was very little chance of making tricks in diamonds and with East having bid clubs, led the ♥Q and that made life very easy for declarer. The queen was covered by East and South, and declarer won the heart return. When the ♥9 fell declarer could set up a tenth trick with the ♥87 and didn't even need the club king.
The play is much more interesting on a diamond lead (the choice at 11 tables). How should declarer proceed?
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The first step is surely to win the ace, draw trumps and lead the ♦Q. There are two options now (ruff or discard) of which discarding a club is the more appealing. This leaves South on play and guarantees a ninth trick. South's best exit is the ♣Q and this forces declarer to eventually lead hearts for themselves. From declarer's perspective the contract is doomed if South has both heart honours (North will switch to hearts) but if that is not the case, declarer is now home if the clubs break 3-3 (by winning ♣K and ruffing one round). In practice declarer gets bad news is clubs and resorts to leading up to the heart ace. Down one.
An interesting position arose at table one when declarer chose to ruff the second diamond and led a club; North rose with the ace and South found a fine play of dropping the queen. If he had not done that, then when declarer ducked the next club (en route to trying for the suit 3-3), South would be endplayed and forced into leading a heart.
How the other five declarers made their game has yet to be uncovered. |
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HotD-fri : Winter Swiss Pairs : 13jan20 : B21 |
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This hand from Monday was an awkward bid for East, and this was the path chosen at table six. Where East overcalled 1N the outcome was simpler. The question on this contract is - how many trump tricks did East make?
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The answer is three, and this is how it happens.
After cashing two top clubs, East might well have switched to a trump but instead played the ♥J. Declarer won the ace and played a diamond, and East won to play a second heart. To get a diamond ruff (and to score their smll trump) declarer tried a club from dummy aiming to score the ♠3 and then take a ruff. But West popped in with the ♠8 forcing declarer to over-ruff with an honour. Now came the diamond ruff and declarer tried the same - but now West ruffed with the ♠6 to the ♠K and out came the third round of diamonds. But this time East was able to ruff in with the ♠7 and lead the ♠J to take the last trump off dummy and knock out declarer's ace. Declarer tried again but East ruffed the fourth diamond with the ♠9 and drew the remaining trumps with the ♠T and cashed a winning club.
It is just possible for declarer to get to seven tricks against best defence, but the defence must play the same game as above. After one top club and a trump switch, should declarer play diamonds, at this point East must play a second club and give partner a ruff with the third club. That will beat the contract by one trick, and any other defence on winning the first diamond will let the contract make. Seven tricks come about because East has to ruff the third heart, allowing declarer four trump tricks in hand, one ruff in dummy and two hearts. |
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HotD-thu : Winter Swiss Pairs 1 : 13jan20 : B4 |
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This was the auction which on Monday propelled a solitary pair into the heart slam, played by East. The contract went two down, and nobody playing in 4♥ made 12 tricks. But twelve tricks are there to be made. Is there a sensible line which generates 12 tricks?
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In the event, East won the diamond lead and ruffed a diamond at trick two. Unfortunately he ruffed small, was overruffed and faced a trump return.
Suppose he ruffs that second round of diamonds "high" (ie with the ♥8 or ♥9). This wins and North shows out. East can see good prospects now as one more diamond ruff, four trumps in hand, and six tricks outside will give 12 tricks.
So declarer crossed back to ♥A and cashes ♥K before ruffing again. Declarer now ruffs a small club and draws the last trump. It just remains to cash the spades but when declarer plays off the ace and king, South shows out. All dummy has left is ♠Q7 and ♣9, but look what happens when declarer exits with the club. North - who has been seen to play ♣QJT already - has to win the king and lead away from the spade jack.The slam makes!
Are there any alternative lines? The only logical variation is not drawing the second trump after the first but taking a ruff before that, so you can return to the East hand on the second trump and now draw the third round. If you get that far, you have only the danger of a 4-1 spade break to worry about. Were South to have four spades, then North would have a 1318 shape and surely you would have heard from North during the bidding (they might be forced to pass once, but can surely bid clubs naturally on the next round). So you rule that out and focus on North having a 4315 shape. If that is the case, there is just one line of play that makes sense and it is to cross to a spade, play ♣A and a ruff before playing a second spade. And now you are in the position just described.
It all depends just on ruffing high at trick two - would you have found that? |
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HotD-web : Midlands Counties League : 12jan20 : B3 |
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There were 7 hands on Sunday where slam bidding came into play, and across those there were four excellent slams and three so-so slams. We must not disparage the so-so slams as in practice they make remarkably often; that wasn't the case with this small sample where in the four instances a slam was bid across those three hands, all four declarers went off.
The record however on the four excellent slams still needs improving. One was never bid and the other three were bid 3,3 and 5 times across 12 tables. This was the first of those slams. How should it proceed?
The first trap some fell into was treating the West hand as a strong 1N opener; it is more than that, with the AJT of spade at least as good as AQ2 would be, and the good five card heart suit. We need to upgrade this and treat it like 18-hcp. When the East hand hears of partner having 18-hcp opposite their 14-hcp, and this control rich hand finds that partner has five hearts, there should be no stopping.
For the weak NT players, after 1♥ - 2♦ - 2N the West hand is still rather wide ranging (15-20 for some). A useful tool here is a 3♣ asking bid, to which the usual pattern is that partner replies 3♦ with 18-20, and with a major or 3N on the 15-17 hands. That would clarify the position here and now after 3♣ - 3♦ - 3♥ (three card support) - 4♣ (cue) is should be 4N and so to slam.
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HotD-fri : CBC Pairs League : 8jan20 : B18 |
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On Wednesday fifteen of the sixteen tables played this hand in 3N and nearly all got a spade lead at trick one - to the jack and queen. A surprising number made their contract, but it was very tricky at some tables.
Looking (after the opening lead) at four sure tricks in the black suits declarer just needs five in the reds. The concern is that you have to lose two tricks en route and on the first loss they clear the spades while on the second they cash the spades. What can you do to avoid that problem?
The answer is to get a quick trick in hearts under your belt before playing diamonds. Leading a heart through the ace is the target, as if the hand with the ace rises you might well get four heart tricks and that means you never need to give up a diamond. So declarer started with a heart at trick two towards the queen, and when that held he went back to diamonds. He played the diamonds from the top (the best option for four tricks - always at least as good as a finesse and sometimes better) and South won the third diamond while dummy threw a heart and a club. With no more spades, and all those hearts in dummy, South tried a club. Declarer won and played a heart, after which North continued spades. Declaerer could duck one and win the next one but by now South was short of discards and the ♥9 had to go. With South only holding clubs and diamonds, declarer could bash out the clubs to put South on lead at the end to lead from the ♦96 to declarer's ♦T8. Hard work but that's what was done by Division One winner Paul Denning.
In fact South could have defeated the contract by not taking the ♦Q when it was offered (question - if declarer wants you to do something, should you always refuse?). But going back another trick, declarer can alway make the contract if they play ♦A then ♦J first; not cashing the king avoids an awkward discard from dummy; there is a case for this as the second top diamond only gains when there is ♦Qx in on hand (6 possibilities) while the alternative keeps options more open when someone holds ♦xx (15 possibilities).
And of course there are easier ways to make - if you don't play hearts early you can fall back on the heart jack being onside with a 3-3 break and that delivers your nine tricks (win spade, three diamonds ditching clubs, win club, heart to king).
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HotD-thu : Spring Teams : 6jan20 : B18 |
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There were only 6 (out of 12 tables) played this hand from Monday in hearts. Admittedly three North-South pairs pinched the hand and went off playing in spades, but there isn't much excuse for playing in diamonds as East-West with a 9-card heart fit. At other vulnerabilities/positions a weak 2♦ opener might get you to stop there but in this position and vulnerability the last thing you should have for such a bid is 10 HCP and three honours outside of diamonds.
The auction shown happened at table 11, and declarer wrapped up 10 tricks. Of the six who played in hearts - with four heart leads and two diamonds leads - only two took the ten available tricks. How should the play go?
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The answer here - as in so many hands - is that the first step is to pay attention to the side suit. Andrew Urbanski, after the above bidding, showed how it should be done by the following sequence : he won the heart lead with the ace, played ♦A and ruffed a diamond, and then went back over to the ♥Q to ruff another diamond. The failure of the diamonds to break 3-3 meant another ruff was needed to set the suit up, but the even heart break meant that he could rely on a spade ruff as an extra entry to dummy. He played spades, ruffing the third and then ruffing another diamond, making the last two diamonds into winners. Finally he played a club towards the KJ and found he could not guess wrong. His third club went away on the long diamonds.
Could the contract have been beaten? The answer is yes. The key is to take an entry away from the dummy before declarer has started to ruff diamonds. Either an early club or three rounds of spades is good enough. Notice how there were the two suits nobody led! Some lead problems are just too difficult. |
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HotD-wed : Spring Teams : 6jan20 : B16 |
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This hand from Monday resulted in a number of red faces, and we need to consider whether or not we have sympathy with those who suffered.
The start of the auction is simple but how it should continue is not clear. One pair started as shown and continued 3♦ - 3N - 4N - P, and that contract was very straightforward. But their retraint was only shared by one other table and ten of the tables reached the impossible 6N contract. Against the slam, there were six instances of a diamond lead, two spades and two hearts. The last two saw the contract off quickly, but all the others left declarer with a chance.
When South led a spade, East won with ♠J to lead a club to the ten. South was now on lead and had to find the right red suit to beat the contract. And didn't. When North led a spade, the red suits in East were visible on the table, so that South had no problem picking a heart and so beat the contract.
When a diamond was led the position, the choice on winning a club was between hearts and spades. Four of the six were allowed to make.
Which means five defenders our of eight found the wrong switch. Should they have done better? On the spade lead by South and a club at trick two, there isn't much to go on - apart from the spade played by North at trick one. SInce neother count nor attitude in spades matters here, that signal should have been the ♠T as a signal for hearts. On the diamond lead it is hard to see why declarer should be allowed to make. Maybe someone will tell us!
Mark Rogers wrote in : after a diamond lead won by East, declarer played a spade to the ♠J and led a heart off the dummy. North ducked, and now declarer cleared the clubs from the top and South failed to unblock (if declarer is playing sensibly then South should unblock), and declarer had enough tricks with the ♥A unaccessible.
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HotD-thu : YEAR END PAIRS : 30dec19 : B23 |
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This was one of two hards from Monday where there were twelve tricks available; the other was B10 where - if you can see the two hands - it is clear you want North-South to be in 6♥ as the club losers can be discarded on top diamonds. But on that board there was an opposition pre-empt in first seat and bidding a slam proved too difficult for any pair. This hand is actually a less good slam, but the hand deserves a little thought as more pairs made game in the other direction (3 in 4♠), and more were in a part-score making overtricks (3 in club part-score), than played in game in the suit which can make a slam (just two).
The first question in the bidding came at the point shown. It's a close call what East should do, with a weak NT strength and a poor suit opposite a passed partner. In fact the strongest case is for passing; if you do want to bid on these hands (and it is a bidder's game, and we'd always bid if partner had not already passed) then the bid has to be a takeout double. Partner won't know you have five hearts but partner - when you double one major for takeout - will always strain to bid the other, so the worst case is you miss a 5-3 heart fit; any better fit should be found. After double South will raise, both preemptively and constructively as it happens, to game, and the next bidding question falls to West. Which suit, if any to bid? The answer is none but to let partner choose; bidding 4N here shows two place to play and passes the buck. It's not the ideal bid for East to hear - as there is a danger on this hand of choosing hearts. If East was to do this (not recommended) then the pair might actually stumble into a 6♣ contract, but it is safer for East just to bid 5♣ and that should finish the auction. Two pairs ended in 5♣.
Making twleve tricks in clubs depends on bringing in clubs (26% chance) and diamonds (70% chance) for no loser, but today the diamonds break badly. The computer told us that 12 tricks are available in clubs - but it is not obvious how. One answer is for declarer to run the ♦9 through North on the first round, picking up the diamond suit for no loser. We cannot see any player without x-ray visiion doing this. Given some pairs got to play in 4♠ as North-South, bidding and making 5♣ should be considered a sufficient success (and earned 17 msp out of 18 on the night).
The play in 4♠ is interesting too - declarer has only three losers (all aces) but to make 10 tricks, needs to take three diamond ruffs in the South hand. The defence can counter this as long as they play trumps themselves early enough. It's not obvious to do that, which is why the three pairs all made their 4♠ contracts.
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HotD-wed : YEAR END PAIRS : 30dec19 : B24 |
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This looks to be a straightforward hand from Monday, with five top losers to e cashed against the spade contract. Every one played the hand in spades by North, but half the field made 8 tricks and half made 9 tricks. What went wrong? We cannot be sure, but here's what should have happened ...
Against North's preemptive opening, there is always a danger of losers being thrown on dummy's winners, so it is "normal" for East to start off with their strongest suit, and in this position it is not uncommon to lead an unsupported ace. Leading say the diamond ace here does give a chance to look at dummy, but it will only attract a discouraging signal from partner (who does not hold the king) and partner will not know the location of the king. That makes the king a better lead here, and in all such circumstances to adopt the practice of second best from a sequence of honours. Whichever you lead, you see dummy and can sense that only the heart suit is a danger, and that the only winners you need to establish (since the diamonds either cash or don't) are clubs. So out comes a club, but you are disappointed when it goes to the queen and king (marking declarer with the jack).
There is still a trap left, if declarer cashes the ♣J and then leads a spade. This play would be completely pointless unless holding a doubleton club, so you know that declarer is heading to cash the ♣A to discard a loser. There is a slight danger (that declarer started with ♠JT876543♥Q♦xx♣ KJ) but you cannot afford to take that risk and should rise with the ace. It is clear to you that clubs are dead, and that you need diamonds and hearts to beat the contract. You cash the other top diamond and lead a heart to partner; partner can now cash the ♦Q to hold declarer to eight tricks.
It doesn't need any special system in defence here - simple logic leads you to the winning choices.
Could North-South have avoided bidding too high on this hand? It is just about possible. Holding four honours outside the long suit, as here, does not feel right for a preemptive bid which has a primary obstructive element - as you are holding too much defence. There is a good case for simply passing, because the hand is also unsuitable for a constructive 1♠ opening. It is possible that if North does pass that the hand will be passed out, but more likely is that East (provided North has not taken too long to pass) will open 1N, and now when North bids 2♠ that might buy the contract.
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HotD-fri : League 5 : 16dec19 : B15 |
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The difficulty in forecasting what will happen on any bridge hand was well illustrated by this hand fom the last League Monday. Here are three auctions, which led to very different outcomes ...
The first decision point is whether or not South opens. With 11-hcp vulnerable, opening 1N is generally considered too dangerous so it comes down to the acceptability of a 1♠ opener. The plus sides include getting into the auction first, and the attractiveness of a spade lead from partner. The minus sides include poor value from QJ-doubleton, and the fact that the opposition are not vulnerable. Only one of our three stories started with 1♠ and over that opening, West will want to show the two minor suits. There are two options here - if you are willing with this shape to defend a major suit game, then 2N will be your choice but if you were always going to bid above their game, then bidding 4N immediately stands out as a better choice (would your partner treat this as minors?) as it stops North from describing their hand before deciding on whether to penalise the intervention. In practice 2N was chosen, and over this North bid 3♣ to show a good hand with spade support. This created an opportunity for East to ensure the right lead against the spade game, so he doubled. On hearing this West bounced to 5♣ and North was able to double. South was happy to defend and on a spade lead the contract went two down (it takes a ♠Q lead to put it three down).
A second table saw South pass and West had the chance to open, but a second seat opener should be up to strength (since in opening you are getting in the way of partner as often as the way of the opponents) and this two suiter can be described better later - so both of our story tables passed and that left it up to North to open. One table opened 1N showing 14-16 hcp, and over this East was keen to bid (in a disruptive sense) and chose 2♦ to shows a six-card major (bidding 2♣ would have been better). South knew his side had the values for game and jumped to 3♠ (an action which would not have happened over 2♣ showing the majors). Convinced now that 4♠ was easy, West decided to show a two suiter by bidding 4N (this could not be ace asking by a passed hand) - only to find partner misread this and bid 5♥. This was doubled but the defence failed to put this down six, and settled for a +500 score. Now you know that the 5♥ contract on the traveller was not a typing mistake!
Our third table has North playing a 15-17 NT opener, so after P-P it had to be 1♦ after which everyone bid their suit : 1♥ - 1♠ - 2♣. Notice how the diamond opening has much subdued West's enthusiasm on this hand. North supported spades (2♠) and over this South bid the spade game. West led his singleton heart and dummy won trick one. Now came ♠Q, covered twice, and back to dummy in hearts to finesse again in trumps. There are eight tricks in the majors, and in the ending West failed to realise that partner had to have the ♣A (South had passed initially) and kept diamonds to stop dummy winning tricks there, and lost the third club trick. So the spade game made!
Who could have forecast those results?
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HotD-thu : League 5 : 16dec19 : B21 |
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This hand from the lasr league session didn't really deserve to be bid to slam, but two tables did that.
Question 1 : how do you play to make 6N on this hand?
Question 2 : does the opening lead matter?
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There are four sure club tricks, at least three diamonds, at least two hearts and at least two spades - so that's 11 tricks and there are chances of more; we have all been in worse slams. The danger is that you lose two tricks - as you will if you give up the ♥A and ♦K. Left to your own devices you will take the diamond finesse (twice) and test to see if the king falls. If the finesse succeeds and the king falls the fact of four diamond tricks means you need only knock out the ♥ A to make twelve tricks. This gives you a 27% chance of making the slam (half the 3-3 breaks is 18%, a sixth of the 4-2 breaks is 8%, plus a little for a singleton king), which isn't great but can happen. If the diamond king had not dropped, you probably resort to the spade finesse, and that gives you a further 11% chance of making. So this is far from the worst slam we will ever bid.
But now what about the lead?
- If we get a spade lead into the ♠AKJ we have gained one trick and now a straight diamond finesse is all we need, making it a 50% slam.
- If we get a heart lead, presumably to South's ace, then nothing has changed from our original analysis, leaving it as a 38% slam.
- If we get a club lead, again nothing has changed and we play the same line for a 38% chance of success.
- If we get a diamond lead - we need to stop and think. Would you ever lead from a diamond king against 6N? If you wouldn't do it, why would your LHO choose to make that very dangerous lead? The answer is they would not, so on a diamond lead you should "know" that the diamond finesse is doomed, and rise with the ace. You are not feeling positive but every so often, the cards are lying like they did last week - and you drop the singleton king and now your slam rolls home.
The one West who played in 6N is recorded as getting ♦9 lead, and a swing of 22 imps depended on their trick one choice. Would you have got it right? |
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HotD-wed : A CHRISTMAS PRESENT |
There are a growing number of treasures to be found within the services offered online by BBO - are many of them remain free.
A great one - in the tradition of many of the problems presented here - goes by the name of BRIDGE MASTER. This could be your most useful Christmas present of 2019 (for which thanks to Fred Gitelman).
To get at this you need an account on BBO (bridgebaseonline.com and free of course) and then take the option labelled SOLITAIRE (which I had long ignored) and there you will find BRIDGE MASTER.
You will be offered five different levels of problem, and you can choose whichever suits you best, and most sets contain over a hundred problem. The WORLD CLASS level problems are far from easy, but at every level the offered SOLUTION steps you through the reasoning behind the best play, and you can swap between levels at will. The system tracks which problem you have tackled in the past and whether you succeeded (marked with a star) or failed (marked with a cross).
The display is in the style of BBO, and very easy to read. You can do these problems on a PC or on a mobile phone (Android) using the BridgeBase app.
Once you have done with the Hand-of-the-Day here each day, BRIDGE MASTER gives you a great way to continue and make sure that even on days you don't get a game, you fully exercise your bridge brain.
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HotD-fri : Leage 5 : 16dec19 : B1 |
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This was an interesting hand from Monday, in that game was made in three denominations, in two directions, and in all cases could have gone down. The crucial point in the auction often came at this juncture - and Norths were seen to choose three optons. Some raised to 4♠ and this East could not resist doubling and that finished the auction. Some others passed and some raised to 3♠ but in both those cases the next step was for East to describe their hand by bidding no-trumps. Where that was 3N the auction finished, but when it was 2N that left room for West to continue with 3♥ and at this point North woke up with 3♠ and East supported the hearts making 4♥ the final contract.
Against 4♠ first; this was played at 8/14 tables, and it is good to see Norths all raising to the level of the fit in the bidding position shown. Notice how a tendency to make jump overcalls on five card suits would make that raise much more problematical. After a diamond lead the first choice is declarer's; if the diamond is ducked then West can se there is no future in diamonds and should find the heart switch easily. It is therefore important for declarer to cover and now it is much harder for East to find the heart switch. After two diamonds, declarer can ruff and cross to dummy in clubs to lead spades. East will win the ♠A and this is the last chance for the defence. If West is looking now at ♣AQ then anything will beat the contract, when it can be beaten but if not that, then a heart is the only option, If instead East goes passive, then declarer can draw the last trump and give up a club, setting up the thirteenth club for a heart discard. Only two of the five defenders who led a diamond beat the game. [Two tables saw East open 1♥ and now they got a heart lead and it beat the game]
Against 4♥ by East, both defenders led the ♦5, but only one of the two Norths led back a heart after winning the ♥A - and without doing that the game gets to make.
Both major suit games should have been defeated.
Against 3N by East it is much more difficult; if South leads a spade then declarer has time to knock out the heart ace and later take the diamond finesse. Should South avoid the spade lead? There is a strong expectaiton that East has the ♠AQ so that one cannot be surprised by the fact that a spade lead costs a trick. But what else to lead? The only winner is the least attractive option - to lead a low club and for North to win the king. That choice of lead is dangerous, and North will almost inevitably play the ♣T at trick one - so I would accept that beating 3N is "impossible".
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HotD-wed : League 5 : 16dec19 : B27 |
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Monday this week was not a great day for bidding slams, although the scoresheet tells us that there were slams to be made on six out of 28 boards (21%) - which is way above the average we experience, In practice there only 13 instances of slam being bid (ie 3% of all contracts) and of those only 5/13 succeeded. Some slams (eg the 4-3 club fit on B10) were quite unbiddable and others were quite lucky (eg the 6♦ on B24 which requires roughly three finesses). The last three boards provided increasingly good slams starting with 39% chance of making 6♦ on B26 rising to just under 50% for 6♥ on B28 - but those calculations are based on best defence and that doesn't always happen. This board was the one of the three (quite reasonably) bid most often to slam, but two of the five who bid slam went down.
Against 6♠ three defenders found the (recoomened, attacking) lead of a club - without which the odds on the slam are much better. Since the ace of hearts had to be lost, this lead forced declarer to trust that the club king was on lead, and they were able to run trick one to the queen. After that it looks plaing sailing, as you expect six spade tricks, two in hearts, two in diamonds and two in clubs. There is however one danger and you must guard again it - that the spades break 4-0; if they do you can recover but only if East has the spades, and for that reason it is important to play the spade king first. When you find out the bad news you lead the ♠9-♠T-♠Q and need to go back to dummy to lead spades again. You cannot use the ♣A as this is the entry to the hearts - so you need to play hearts first and East wins the ace and returns a club, covered by the jack, king and ace. This forces you into cashing the hearts now, and it looks awkward when you play the third heart and East ruffs your winner. But you can cope with this - you can now afford to ruff a diamond in dummy, as you no longer need to lead spades through East as all that they have left is the jack. After the ruff you return to hand, draw the last trump, and claim. Well done by Jack and the others who found the winning line.
In the match between the two teams leading Division One, only one of them bid the slam and their declarer missed the winning line, as a result of which his team is now second rather than first in the league standings at the half way mark.
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HotD-mon : Teltscher Trails : 14dec19 : B1 |
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Two from the county (Richard Chamberlain & Patrick Shields) played last weekend in the trials for the England Seniors team for the Home Internationals. This was the second board. Playing in 3N, North leads a low club and you win, and cash a second club but South shows out. How are you going to find nine tricks?
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Your prospects are not great - with at most three clubs to take and at most three spades, you need a third red suit trick to go with the two aces. There is only one way to set up another trick and that is to get South to lead a red suit for you. You need to cash a third club and three spades (finessing South for the queen). Once you've done this you need to play a small diamond from each hand, letting South win. At this point South - having discarded a heart and a diamond on the clubs - is down to ♥KQ8 ♦KQT. Leading a top diamond postpones the inevitable choice, as you duck that. The best chance is then to play a top heart hoping their partner has the jack, but you win the ace and lead upo to your jack and that becomes your ninth trick. Neat, and well done to RC for finding that. |
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HotD-fri : CBC Pairs League : 11dec19 : B11 |
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This hand from Wednesday had a very natural but unusual sequence that is worth noting. The game was bid at exactly three of the sixteen tables, and was made much easier because the pairs concerned were playing four card majors.
The 1♠ opening was good news to East who lacked the values to introduce a new suit but who could happily support. The 2N game try by West now showed 17-19 hcp, and East's removal into hearts promised five or more. It was a simple matter to raise. This gets to a sensible, but not quite certain contract.
If South was to lead a top diamond, then declarer would know to duck that and in due course would lead through the jack finessing the nine and forcing the ace, to restrict the hand to two diamond losers. Then a heart break would bve enough for ten tricks. Nobody was so kind!
If South doesn't lead a top diamond - and most people led a trump - then declarer must negotiate the diamonds for two losers. The winning option - chosen by most - is to draw trumps and lead a diamond to the ♦9, gaining today when the QJ are onside, and with the intention of leading up to the king later if the queen or jack is with North and wins the first round of the suit. The option of leading to the ♦9 is not risk free and if you are forced to come back to hand with a ruff to lead to the ♦K, then an onside ace could lead you to being forced again - embarassingly as that is your last entry. You could go off with Ax or Axx diamonds onside. We are still trying to work out what is the optimal play!
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HotD-thu : Autumn Pairs : 9dec19 : B6 |
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This hand from Monday illustrated well a dilemma that can arise on any hand - namely, whether the focus is to be winning tricks or avoiding losers. After mild support from partner, East leads the ♠T against 3N and North wins the king and plays out the ♥K. You should win this as you might well cost your side a heart trick if you dond't (when declarer has Kx). But what do you play now?
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Your normal approach in trying to defeat 3N is to seek out five tricks and establish them. Here, by continuing spades, provided partner turns up with just the jack (partner would have overtaken/unblocked at trick one with the QJ, so you know declarer has the queen), you have three spade tricks and two aces - perfect.
What can go wrong? The one thing that can go wrong is declarer can run nine tricks first, which is indeed the case here as declarer has five clubs to cash - and with two spades and two hearts that is enough to make the contract. That happened at both tables where 3N was played.
The defence can clearly do better by not setting up the spade queen, but should they know to avoid that? It's not easy. The only chance is for West to recognise the fact that East will have this dilemma at trick three, and to use the play to trick two (the heart) to make a signal. Here dropping the ♥T under partner's ace (where West's length is expected as hearts were not supported) should be a signal suggesting diamonds, and if that persuades partner to lead the suit then you will beat 3N by three tricks.
This is a difficult defence, but is the sort of thing we need ot be on the look-out for. |
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HotD-tue : Midlands Leagues : 8dec19 : B3 |
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On Sunday last, three County Teams headed to Nottingham Bridge Club for our annual match against Nottinghamshire. This is the board on which we lost most imps (104 across the three teams). What contract do you want to be in and how should it be bid?
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If the spades behave you have 12 top tricks with extra chances through a club ruff, setting up some diamonds, or the heart finesse. And there might be squeeze chances. The spade break comes in at 68% which is just with the odds for bidding a grand slam. So in pure theoretical terms, the answer is we should not mind whether we play the hand in 6♠ or 7♠. The fact is however that the grand slam was bid and made, twice by our pairs, but six times by the opposition. The loss was 8 instances of 13 imps.
How should we be bidding this hand? The NS players are silent and it will surely start with 1♠-2♦. In a world increasingly playing that 2♦ here is game forcing, a 2♠ bid now shows six and instantly identifies a viable trump suit. The simplest route is now for East to raise spades, and on the next round bid 4N to check on key cards. Once these are all accounted, you can see 11 potential tricks and partner can turn up with two outside kings, or the ♦J or a KQ-holding in a rounded suit. The only worry is spades but the 68% identified above is the worst case scenario; the ♠T increases the odds on no spade loser to 73.5% and the ♠J would raise it to 96%. You just cannot tell about these cards, and of course there is a chance partner has seven spades. Which means you should guess to bid 7♠.
It gets more difficult if 1♠ - 2♦ - 2♠ - 3♠ is not forcing, as it was for some. Here over 2♠ (which might only show five) the hand was forced to bid 3♥ but now 3♠ promised a sixth and East could agree the suit by bidding 4♣, and continue with 4N on the next round - reaching the same position as the others.
The odds add up to making the grand slam a good bet, and it feels like general momentum should get you there. |
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HotD-fri : Swiss Teams 4 : 2dec19 : B20 |
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There were two contracts considered on this hand from Monday (with one exception) and these were 3N and 4♥. And in both contracts there were roughly as many succeeded as failed. What should have happened?
Let's look at 3N first - a contract reached at some tables after North opened 2♠ (spades and another suit) and East bid 3N. At two 3N tables South led a spade and declarer was able to win that and bash out the clubs (AQ and another) and come to four clubs, three spades and two or more red suit tricks. Easy game this! Two tables found a diamond lead against 3N and this killed the game. Isn't defence simple? When partner has shown a two suiter, the second suit might well catch declarer out, but the difficulty is guessing which suit it is - as if you lead thre wrong one you have seriously helped declarer. The right openign lead is very important to find, but without knowing the bidding it is unfair to critique these choices.
The game in hearts was played more often by East (7 times) than by West (3 times). Taking the latter first, the lead was most often the ♣9 and the message this gives to declarer is that the king is offside. The big danger on the hand is therefore losing one trick in each minor plus the ♥K and a ruff. Declarer could try to avoid a heart loser by coming to hand and finessing, but there is only one quick entry to hand, so you loseat least heart unless North has exactly ♥Kx. An alternative in hearts is to bash them out from the top. This avoids the ruff if the short club is with the short hearts, or if the defence lack the entry for the club ruff. A third approach is to use the spade entry to West to lead diamonds, creating more entries to West for later heart finesses.
Which is best? It's very hard to measure, but the last choice (come and play diamonds) looks like a line to make 11 tricks rather than just 10. Bashing out the hearts loses against the finesse when North (who we presume has the short club) has ♥Kxx hearts and South has an entry - but gains when North has a doubleton heart of any nature. The hand with the short club is likely to have more hearts - but roughly in a ratio of 3:2, so that ♥Kxx onside is slightly lower odds than a doubleton onside, and so bashing out the top hearts is clearly best.
Played by the other hand, that damaging club lead is never going to happen, and this could be a clear advert for the 3♣-asking systems which ensure that the strong hand is always declarer. Yet when 4♥ was played by East three declarers went off - two on a spade lead and one on a diamond lead. A key difference in these cases is that declarer lacks the strong hint that the club king is wrong, and could therefore easily take an innocent finesse and run into an unexpected club ruff.
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HotD-thu : Swiss teams : 02dec19 : B5 |
This hand from Monday was the big slam bidding challenge. East starts with a choice of openings, and some went for 1♣ while more often people opened 2N. Opposite the latter it is not often West will be looking at such a powerful hand, and few have planned their system to cater for this. Although it is not impossible for the opponents to cash two top diamonds against a slam, the odds massively favour partner having a top diamond - so you will not stop out of slam on this board. One option is to transfer first to spades and then bid 6♥; the other option is to start with Stayman 3♣ and then show a 5♠4♥ hand and see how it develops. When the transfer was chosen, over 3♥ showing spades, East broke the transfer bidding 4♣ to show good spade support and a control in clubs. West can cooperate here with 4♥ (cue bid) and the East hand is so slam suitable that opposite any suggestion it can now afford to take control.
If East bids 4N to ask for controls, West has a choice of responses here; two issues must be resolved. The first is whether or not to show the void as part of your response (some bid 5N to show two key cards and a void, others bid the "normal" response at the 6-level to show a void) and the second is whether the length in spades justifies declaring that you have the queen of that suit. On the first point, when you have said nothing about your void yet, partner - to justify taking charge - must have a control in that suit, and this will be wasted values; this argues (quite strongly) that you do not show. On the second question, there is considerable merit in showing the queen - if that is all partner lacks then his/her ♠Kxxx will be enough for slam purposes, but perhaps more usefully, when partner has the queen partner will recognise that you have extra length and that extra length is an extra trick or two - so partner will evaluate more accurately. If we make a response of 5♠ at this point, partner will know there are no key cards missing, and since West is unlimited, East must pass on this knowledge by bidding 5N. Although nominally asking for kings, the more important function of this bid is to confirm all the key cards. West will be very interested to hear this and could almost chance the grand slam.
A useful alternative is available with the more modern style of responses to this 5N bid; that style is to show the kings you have rather than to show the count of kings, as some kings might be much more valuable than others. That works nicely here as West can invent a bid of 6♦ ostensibly showing the king, which allows East to show the king of hearts, and at that point West knows to bid the grand slam.
Was the transfer break vital to get to this slam? I'd argue not and if the bidding went 2N-3♥-3♠-6♥ all it takes is for East to try to imagine what hand partner has to bid this way which - given it is missing the minor suit aces and the ♠KQJ♥K - could not have both the ♠A and the ♥A. Here bidding 7♠ is the stand-out option.
If the Stayman route was chosen over 2N, then the response would be 3♠ and at this point West should bid 4♥ to tell partner of slam interest, and the immensely suitable East hand can then take charge as before.
Not all tables had a free run after a 2N opener; some had a 3♣ overcall and when West here bid 3♠, partner could cue bid 4♣ in response and the position described earlier re-emerges. Curiously a 4♣ bid by West - while showing 55 in the majors for most - would not have worked as well, as forcing partner to choose a major will mask East's suitability for spades. Still, raising 4♠ to 6♠ should, on the argument given for no transfer break, lead to the grand slam.
Finally, after a 1♣ opener, it might take a little more time to get to a grand slam but it should be possible; one sequence might be 1♣ - 1♠ - 4♠ (balanced, 18+, sometimes not as good as this) after which 4N might be the best route to the grand.
Three tables out of fourteen earned themselves an extra 11 imps on Monday by bidding the grand slam when others didn't.
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HotD-wed : Swiss Teams 4 : 2dec19 : B11 |
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The final session of the Swiss Teams took place on Monday and team 13 (Tony Hill & Alan Wearmouth, Mark Rogers & Peter Waggett) completed their undefeated run with their two narrowest wins, which still left them 13 VPs ahead of second place. Their biggest gains of the evening came from bidding a grand slam (on B5) and from this hand (which was the swingiest of the evening). A key moment at their home table was the choice to make at this point - what should South bid?
The difficulty is that you have two things to show - the extra heart length and the club suit. Mark Rogers chose the hearts and the bidding proceeded 3♥ - 3♠ - 4♥ - end. The play was straightforward - losing just three trumps. The opposing table had a 2♠ overcall and when South rebid 3♣ it seemed normal for North to try 3N. This went two down when East led spades, and the winners picked up 11 imps.
More interrsting was the play in 4♠ at the seven tables (half the field) who played in that contract. All were doubled and every one of them got the ♥J lead. Declarer is only looking at four potential losers - two in spades and two in diamonds - and with the ♦Q sitting onside and the ♥Q available to take care of the fourth diamond, what can go wrong? It all depends on North getting some value out of the ♠3. If declarer wins trick one and sneaks a spade to the ten it is all over, but if North rises and continues hearts the defence are in control. After winning the second spade North needs simply to put partner on lead to play a third heart, and the discard of the last diamond vanishes from sight, and declarer loses two diamonds and the contract.
How would North put partner on lead? It takes a lead of a minor suit, and it must be diamonds. Here any club bid by South becomes an important part of the calculation. If South has four clubs then West has none and North will know that a diamond is the only hope of a quick entry. Can North be sure that South has the diamond ace? Yes, because otherwise South has opened the bidding in a bad suit first in hand with at most 10 hcp - and that doesn't seem right. But leading diamonds is not without danger even if South is known to have the ace, as if South has say ♦AT, then the defence has two diamonds tricks if it just waits, but only one if it attacks. Beating the contract however is paramount, so a diamond should be found.
Even on a club, ruffed, declarer is in trouble. The ♦K is vital as an entry to the ♥Q, and if the king is beaten by the ace there is no entry. South should try the ♦9 on the first round, and to beat the game by force West must cover at this point. If West ducks this and East ducks, but West covers the next diamond, declarer needs to refrain from playing the king. Perhaps too difficult!
Four declarers in 4♠ made their contract, three went down.
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HotD-sun : Squad Practice : 27nov19 : B3 |
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This hand from Wednesday's squad game was navigated successfully by most declarers, but the winning choice was not obvious.
The auction shown is fairly standard and the defence starts with North leading a singleton diamond and South playing ♦9, ♦K, and ♦A. You ruff high and draw trumps, finding North with three. You have to lose to the club ace and need to avoid losing to the club jack. How do you proceed?
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The first thing you need to do on this hand is to learn what you can about the side suits. Here you cash the hearts and find that North started with five and South with two.
This is the time to count out the distribution, and when we add up all we know then we discover that North started with four clubs, and South with three. Since one of South's clubs is the ace, South has two spaces which might include the jack while North has four. The inidcated line is therefore to finesse for North having the club jack.
And that works! |
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HotD-thu : Mixed Pairs : 25nov19 : B13 |
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This hand from Monday was played in the same contract at every table, and resulted in either 10 or 11 or 12 or 13 tricks. How could there be so many variations? It wasn't all down to the opening lead. A spade won the ace happened at five tables, and South led a club at the other two. On a spade lead and continuation, there are two equally good sequences for playing the heart suit. You will always take the finesse for South holding the queen - but starting with the ace gains when North holds a singleton queen, while starting with the ♥5 gains when South holds a singleton queen. [Take away the ♥8 and the first of these gains disappears, and starting with the ♥5 is definitely best] On this auction there is nothing to tell, and either path allows you to draw trumps in three rounds. After that you need to tackle the club suit and missing the KJ the right play is to go for a double finesse. hoping first for the jack onside and then the king onside. You need to start the suit from the West hand and this might involve crossing to ♦A before leading a club to the nine. When this wins, you go back to dummy with a spade ruff, cash dummy's two diamond winners to throw the ♣86, and then finesse again. You find you have 12 tricks, but have no regrets about not bidding the slam as it took four cards sitting onside, and a trump break to let you make so many tricks. On a club lead you don't have a spade trick to start with, but you can do even better than those who made the ♠K as a trick. The answer is to win the first club (beating North's jack with the queen) and draw trumps. Now comes the ♣T and a successful finesse against the king, and you can collect five clcub tricks. This lets you throw both of dummy's losing spades and you will be able to ruff dummy's losing diamond and collect 13 tricks. Is it that easy? Not quite - North's play of the ♣J at trick one was very helpful to you, as now you needed only one later finesse. If North - who should recognise the lead as a singleton - correctly plays small at trick one, you will still need two entries to dummy to pick up the clubs and that means you must use a trump entry and a diamond entry for that purpose. You'll be fine if you played ♥A first and drew the third trump with the jack. Curiously it is a diamond lead, taking out the entry to the West hand, which makes you work hardest for your tricks. To get 13 tricks from that start, you need to play at least one round of clubs before drawing trumps. |
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HotD-wed : Mixed Pairs : 25nov18 : B10 |
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There were plenty of slam hands on Monday but a couple of them presented stories we don't usually hear. Standard stuff first - B6 was a playable slam bid by no-one, B13 was game values with four finesses working and allowing a slam to make, B16 was a great grand slam bid only by two pairs, and B19 had slam on a finesse bid by one table out of seven.
The two other relevant hands were B3 and B10. On B3 the East-West hands have 33 hcp and a very respectable play in 6N but things lie badly and there is no way to make that contract. Commiserations to the four pairs who bid sensibly to 6N here.
B10, featured, was of the same (unusual) nature. Looking at the two hands you expect most days (90% of the time) to make seven diamond tricks and six outside, and will make 7N (or 7♦). Monday was part of that other 10% and the grand slam cannot make. The "problem" is that no pair managed to bid to that excellent contract. Should they have reached a grand slam? The answer is yes everyone should, and the key issue comes up at this point in the auction.
At this point West knows that together the partneship has over 30 HCP and a long and respectable diamond suit. It is imperative therefore to support diamonds, so that slam can be investigated. There are two paths over 3♦ - one is a simple raise, and the other is to bid a new suit at the four level. This latter choice does not make sense as a trump suit suggestion, so it always shows support for the last suit bid, and slam interest. When it happens over a major suit it is a general slam try with no more implicaitons, but over a minor suit - when a raise is forcing - it also shows a control in the suit bid. The bidding here should proceed 4♣ (diamond support, club control) - 4♥ (cue) - 4N (key card ask) - 5♦ (zero or four out of five). At this point West can stop to count; if East has seven diamonds then there are 13 top tricks, and if East has only six then a trick out of any of ♠J, ♥K, ♣Q would suffice and if none of those are available then ruffing out the long spade must be an option. The odds enormously favour now bidding a grand slam, and because of that last mentioned option we have to allow 7♦ as an alternative to the optimal 7N.
Easy game!
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HotD-fri : Tollemache QF : 17nov19 : B25 |
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The County team played last weekend in the major inter-counties championship - the Tollemache Cup - and survived the first round, for the first time since 2013. The team which won the qualifying heat (the top two go through) was Berks & Bucks, who would have beaten the Gloucestershire team 20-0 had not our team gained points on this hand. The opening bid by South rather propelled West into 3N, and the opening lead was ♣4 to the ♣A, after which South switch to ♦K(ducked), ♦Q(ducked) and ♦7. Over to you as declarer ...
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The key issue now is not to lose a heart trick to someone who can cash a diamond. There are two scenarios to consider; the first is when South holds a fourth diamond in which case you cannot lose a trick to anyone, and the second is when South holds only three diamonds in which you can afford to lose a trick to South.
In the first case, South will have just 3 major suit cards, while North holds 8 major suit cards; here the odds on a singleton 9 or singleton T with South are better (about 18%) than the odds on a doubleton queen anywhere (about 17%). The winning play is to run the jack.
In the second case, South will have 4 major suit cards, while North has 7 of them, but this time you can win by running the jack and then finessing again if covered - which works unless North holds all of the QT9 or you lose two tricks to South, and you are home about 38% of the time, while dropping Qx is only about a 33% shot.
Both cases are remarkably close, but our man went for the winning line by instinct rather than calculation, and was rewarded on running the jack when the singleton ten appeared and he was able to collect five tricks in hearts and make an overtrick.
It is worth noting that where South did not open the bidding, the lead was either a diamond or spade from North, and in those cases the best play in the heart suit is different; it is to play the ♥AK and hope the queen drops, with a 27% success rate - and that results in the contract going one down, The 4♥ game also faces three losers and should take the losing line in hearts. |
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HotD-thu : League 4 : 18nov19 : B4 |
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This hand from Monday was the only real slam hand, and it proved too difficult for most pairs. [There was also a slightly against the odds slam on B3 bid at three tables, a hopeless slam bid once on B12, the luckily making slam bid once on B16, and the poor failing slams on B17, B18, B20 and B25]
This was the bidding by the one pair who reached the excellent grand slam. Worth noting in that auction is the fact that 2♣ was game forcing, which allowed the East player to continue and hear partner bid diamonds for a third time. At this point he leapt to 4N to ask for key cards (which many would treat 4N as a natural, slam-invitational bid) and he heard of ♦AKQ from the 5♠ response. He continued with 5N to ask for kings and heard from partner about the ♣K (bidding specific kings is now the favoured was to answer 5N) and that made it easy for East to bid the grand slam. Well done to Mike Letts & Andrew Urbansksi for showing us how to handle this hand.
Without 2-over-1 game forcing, it is only a little more difficult to bid the grand slam. It would not be out of place for the bidding to go 1♦ - 2♣ - 2♦ - 2♠ - 3♦ at which point, if the leap to 4N is asking for key cards then the same sequence could be produced.
Why did 10 pairs only get to game on this hand?
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HotD-wed : League 4 : 18nov19 : B8 |
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This hand from Monday had some interesting choices to be made, both by declarer and the defence. It was played in the spade game at 7 tables, and in 3N at 8 tables (2N at one).
Playing in 4♠ happened from both directions; the two instances from West benefited from a heart lead into the KJ7, after which declarer could afford to lose two spades - and so was under no pressure. A positive benefit is seen here from the use of transfers. Played from East the opening lead against 4♠ gave nothing away and - with a diamond weakness visible and a possible heart loser, declarer will want to play the spades carefully. The optimal choice is small towards the ♠AJ9 and putting in the ♠9; followed by a second finesse. When the lead is made from East, South traditionally rises with the ♠K on the first round to give declarer another choice, but the odds still favour finessing the nine on the second round. The spade game always succeeded.
When 3N is played by West, a key choice is made by North on the opening lead. In practice all four suits were led at different tables, and the only lead to give declarer an issue was diamonds. Should this lead have been found? North - on the bidding shown - has a fairly even choice bwteen the red suits. Current wisdom says that the weaker suit is less likely to give away a trick (true here) but when it comes to majors and minors which nobody has bid, we need to factor in that the declaring side would often investigate a major suit fit, and often ignore a minor suit - and this pushes North to leading a major. Perhaps there is no surprise that equal numbers led each red suit.
The trick given away by the heart lead makes the contract easier but still not certain, so spade have to be tackled. The diamond lead created worries, but declarer must duck twice and then win, and again tackle the spade suit. The interesting thing about the spade suit when playing in NT is the limited entries to the East hand. Playing for the KT(x) or QT(x) onside gives a 40% chance of a second trick - and this uses both dummy entries. And using both dummy entries leaves you no way to take the heart finesse. Which is best? Surely the latter. You can actually combine both chances by using the first entry to try a spade towards the jack - which will succeed with KQ(x)(x) onside, and use the second entry to take a heart finesse.
In practice, sadly, playing purely on spades would have succeeded, while taking the heart finesse was a losing option. All three defenders on a diamond lead were held to eight tricks.
CBC played the same hands, and there six declarers succeeded in 3N on a heart lead, and four failed in 3N on a diamond lead.
If only we could find the best opening lead every hand!
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HotD-fri : CBC Pairs League : 13nov19 : B21 |
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This hand from Wednesday proved difficult for many to evaluate - with only 3/16 reaching the excellent slam. The bidding often started this way, with a sequence where South shows game forcing heart support and then North shows a hand with extras but no shortage to declare. The key question was what South did next. A number of Souths felt contrained at this point by the limited nature of the hand, and their 4♥ bid finished the auction. The fact remains however that this is a 7-loser hand, and that would be true if we replaced the ♠K and ♥J by small cards. It therefore deserves a more positive view and here the least you can do is offer a cue bid in clubs, aiming to stop at 4♥ unless partner insists on going further. An alternative, played by some, is that 4♣ here shows a basic opening bid (non-serious slam try); this is attractive as it doesn't overstate the hand but allows North to bid 4♦ (Last Train) to show continued interest. Hearing that was enough at one table to propel South into slam.
Playing in 6♥ by South on the club queen lead you must pause at trick one as you have a choice of plays. Can you see what possibilities you need to balance?
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You have no shortage of tricks on this hand - so the issue is not losing two tricks. You have two concerns
(a) there could be a 4-0 trump break and in order to cater for that happening either way around, you need to start hearts by leading the queen.
(b) but if you run the ♥Q at trick two, you could run into a club ruff at trick three.
Which is more likely?
The calculation comes out as follows : missing four cards the odds on splits are 40% for 2-2, and 50% for 3-1, leaving 10% for a 4-0 break. Starting with the ♥A would lose out therefore in 5% of cases (East holding ♥KT54). In the club suit, missing seven cards, the odds on splits are 62% for 4-3, 31% for 5-1, leaving 7% for a 6-1 break. Running the ♥Q only costs when it loses to the king and that hand has the long clubs - roughly a 2% chance.
The correct choice is therefore to lead win the ♣A at trick one, and lead the ♥Q. After you see ♥K-♥A the contract is safe. On the next round do you rise with the jack or finesse the nine? The trade-off here is against East holding exactly ♥K or exactly ♥KT. In every situation a single more balanced break of the cards is more likely that any single less balanced arrangement, so the odds favour rising with the jack. You end up with 12 tricks. |
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HotD-thu : Autumn Pairs : 11nov19 : B16 |
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This hand from Monday had two curious aspects to it, quite unrelated.
The first set of questions arise around the bidding. Those sitting East and playing the (newer, and generally recommend) 2-over-1 game force, had to respond with 1N to partner's opening of 1♥. Over this one South chose to bid 2♥ (still a Michaels cue bid in this position, showing 55 spades+minor) and North quickly bid 4♠ to end the auction. The contract succeeded and everyone put their cards away, oblivious to the fact that East-West had a game on in diamonds, and also in hearts if the defence wasn't on its toes. Could anyone have done differently? Nothing suggests itself.
Where the 2-level response is not game forcing, it would be natural for the auction to go 1♥ - P - 2♦ and then South has a choice of actions. While showing a two suiter might appeal, the opposition have surely found a fit by now, and that makes it best to make an obstructive bid in spades. Over any spade jump, West is unlikely to support diamonds, but might try 4♥ with suich a good suit. North can bid 4♠ and the spotlight falls on East. Bidding 5♥, as chosen at one table proved a winning action when North with two aces doiubled but failed to find the diamond ruff his partner needed.
Three pairs bid on over 4♠ on this hand - well done to all of them. It turns out that in all three cases South bid just 2♠ on the first round, giving West much more space in which to describe their hand (two showed the sixth heart while the third showed diamond support). South had made it easy for the opposition and suffered as a result.
On the play side there was actually a curiosity when North played 4♠. After the lead of ♥A and a diamond switch, declarer drew trumps in two round and set about clubs. After leading the ♣7 he paused, noting that the contract was guaranteed as long as the king of clubs didn't lose to a singleton ace - and on the bidding that was not impossible. It looked very like the ♣A would be offside, so he duly ducked in dummy. As East had played the ♣4, the seven forced the ace and that meant only one club loser, so a bonus overtrick. The dilemma for East is that while inserting the ♣T does guarantee a second club trick, if there was a singleton ace and declarer had ♣J76 and played the king, then the defence would have three club tricks and would beat the contract. Which way would you have jumped?
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HotD-wed : Premier League D1 : 09nov19 : B12 |
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The team of four locals (John Atthey & Garry Watson, Richard Chamberlain & Patrick Shields) struggled in the top division of the national league over last weekend, winning only two of their seven matches. There was only one bad loss however (42 imps over 16 boards) so they managed to retain their position of seventh in the table quite easily. The eventual winners were the first team they played over the weekend and our locals beat them by 11 imps (they lost only one other match). This board was flat in our match but saw a swing in others; it looked reasonable to bid a slam here, and three tables did while five stopped in game.
When we sat East-West the auction was 4♦(weak) - X - P - 4♠ - end. Notice how West was willing to give up on a potential heart fit, since obstruction has so much to gain at this vulnerability, and East avoided raising to 5♦ as South's action over that would show positive values (unlike the sequence which occurred) and that might well propel the opposition into slam.
When we sat North-South the auction was P - 1♥ - P - 1♠ - 4♦ - 4♠ - end. Again the intervention was nicely timed, taking away all the space where North could show the strength of the raise. South knew that North could have a wide variety of hands and felt he had to pass.
At both tables the defence started with ♦A and another, ruffed. Declarer was able to continue with ♠A and the ♠K; when the ♠J9 had appeared declarer came to hand with ♥ A and a heart ruffed, ruffed his last diamond, and then returned to hand with the ♣K. He was able to draw the last trump, discarding dummy's ♣T and make 12 tricks whoever had the club queen. Both North-South pairs felt disappointed in the result and apologised to team-mates for missing the slam.
Two tables bid to 6♠ by South and at a third table it started 4♦ - X - 5♦ - X - P - 6♥ - end. It's not often you play a slam with fewer trumps than the opponents, but this is what was done. With trumps breaking it looked like it depended just on finding the club queen; unfortunately (for declarer) East's ♦K was allowed to win trick one and he found the club switch to beat the slam. And what about the 6♠ contracts? Both we played by South and at both tables West led the ♦2. When East won the king, the club return was obvious and was found. Slam down one.
So there was no need to apologise for missing the slam after all!
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HotD-sat : CBC MIxed Pairs : 5nov19 : B17 |
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This monster hand turned up on Tuesday evening and curiously rings a bell with Wednesday's hand of the day. Can you see how to decide on the right level to which to bid? It clearly depends on one card.
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The key card is the ♥ K - so the question is how you can ask partner about that card? We have three styles of asking on offer - ace asking bids like 4N, cue bidding for controls (aces and kings), and trump asking questions. Which might work here? The winning answer is the third of these, but in order to make a trump ask in hearts we must first agree hearts as trumps.
The easiest way to do this is to continue at this point with 3♥ (natural, forcing) which partner will then raise to game. After 3♥ - 4♥ you can invoke the Josephine convention described a few days back, bidding 5N. Partner's response of 6♥ shows one of the top three honours, and you know which that is. You can now clearly bid 7♠, and trust partner to pass this,
Was this sequence too fanciful? Nobody found this at the table but various people suggested it off-line. The small slam was bid at neary every table. There was one table did bid the grand slam, but the auction cannot be repeated on an open forum - it was too horrible! |
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HotD-thu : Swiss Teams 3 : 4nov19 : B26 |
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This hand from Monday provided rather an unbalanced beast to handle, and a number of declarers didn't get to the contract they desired, while a number of defenders also missed the boat. The bidding as shown was the slightly pushy auction at table 10 (after a most surprising pass from East on the first round). Notice that South doubles 2♣ before bidding diamonds for two reasons : one is to bring the possibility of hearts into the game, and the other is that double then 3♦ sounds stronger than 2♦ and a possible double later.
The question is should the contract make?
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The answer is yes, and indeed of those in spades three made 11 tricks (impossible without help), three made 10 tricks and four made 9 tricks.
The best defence starts with a club ruffed at trick one. If declarer draws trumps then when the defence get in with hearts they can force the last trump and when they get in with diamonds they can cash clubs. That line fails. So declarer cannot draw trumps.
As so often, it is best first to set up some outside tricks. Here the top heart looks good at trick two,and West will win and should continue clubs. Declarer needs to ruff, and again - need to lose the lead again in diamonds - trumps cannot be drawn.
Declarer must now go about setting up the other suit wanted - diamonds. After ♦A and another, what should East do? If it is anything but a club, declarer will ruff and play a third diamond - so you either play a club now or a minute later. Decalrer takes a third ruff.
Declarer now has no outside losers, so uses the last two trumps held to draw some of the opponents' trumps. It's then about cashing winners, and whether declarer plays on hearts or on diamonds - the contract falls into their lap. If East uses the last trump, dummy can over-ruff and continue with hearts.
Maybe the bidding was justified! |
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HotD-wed : Swiss Teams 3 : 4nov19 : B28 |
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This hand from Monday provided too difficulty for the community, with only one pair reaching the best contract.
This start to the bidding is worthy of comment - you need to know that a change of suit by responder is always a one round force (bidding too many hands becomes impossible otherwise) so that it is safe for South, with this powerhouse, to bid a simple 2♥ on the second round. It is a slight surprise to see partner support, but havibg recovered from that, you must decide on how to proceed. Clearly the most important card to you is the heart ace. What next?
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The answer comes from one of the oldest conventions on our books. FYI, the oldest three that we would recognise seem to be
- Blackwood, which was first published in 1933 - but today this has been generally overtaken in tournament circles by the variation known as Roman Key Card Blackwood.
- Josephine, which was first published in 1936 - invented by Ely Culbertson but publicised by his wife, Josephone.
- Stayman, which went into print first in 1945, but was actually invented earlier and by two others (Rapee & Marx says the wikipedia entry).
And the winner is Josephine. This convention is a jump to 5N after a trump suit has been agreed, and it asks aboput how many of the AKQ of trumps are held. The answers are always 6♣ with none, something above six of the trump suit with two or more, and something in between these options with just one. Here 5N would get a response of 6♥ promising one of the top three hearts, which can only be the ace - and this allows South to bid the grand slam with confidence.
No table found this approach. :(
As with many conventions, we only get to use this one once a year (or sometimes less) but if we lack these tools we are forced to guess on hands like these and we lose out as a result. It is therefore worth while having a good set saved away,
[Guy wrote in with, and others have mentioned, another suggestion - using 5♦ over 3♥ as Exclusion Blackwood; this would also work perfectly as long as partner was on the same wavelength. The danger is that partner thinks your heart bid was not a proper suit, but angling for partner to bid NT with a club stop] |
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HotD-sat : Trial for Europeans : 1nov19 : B25 |
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The trials have started for the English team for the European Championship, and four members of the county team are taking part. None of them are currently above average, but there are 112 boards to go, so lots of time. Here's a hand from the first day, just to illustrate that even at this level people find ways to go wrong. What do you think happened next?
At the table East chose to bid 5♦. This got doubled by North and the East-West pair let that go. [A rescue would have saved them a fortune - perhaps North should have let 5♦ be passed out] South led a heart to the bare ace, and declarer tried a trump, which North ducked. Then came a club which North ruffed, and after three more rounds of trumps, declarer was left with only the ♠A to cash and the penalty was -2000. I trust you could avoid that!
More interesting was the play in hearts; four pairs played in 5♥, all doubled and one pair bid to 6♥ (missing two aces makes this a BAD contract). Against hearts by North the leads were a heart six times, the ♠A once, and a club twice.The heart leads were attempting to stop diamond ruffs and two instances did hold declarer to ten tricks. For this to happen, West needs to win and play spades, so that East can play a second trump. Most failed at this step. Theclub suit lead also holds declarer to ten tricks; after ruffing in, declarer tries a top diamond and a diamond ruff, takes a ruff back to hand and a third diamond. West will over-ruff with the ace, but that makes the ♥J into a trick - to go with a spade. The spade lead allows declarer to make 11 tricks via one diamond ruff and then a trump - as West cannot organise for a second round of trumps to be played.
But the best East-West score didn;t come from defeating a heart contract - it went to the pair who were allowed to play 3N by West. There are ten top tricks here and declarer had no problem taking them. SO the range of scores was from 2000 to one fortunate North South pair, to 600 to a fortunate East West pair in the otehr direction.
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HotD-thu : Knock Out QF : 28oct19 : B16 |
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There was one set of boards on Monday with three slams there for those sitting North-South. Admittedly the slam on Board 17 depended on two finesses working which is only a 25% chance, but we have all been in worst contract than that at times. The others were better slams with 13 top tricks in three denominations on Board 16, and a grand slam available in clubs on Board 18. How many slams were bid - there were three instances from 8 tries on Board 16, and only one out of 8 tries on Board 18. We'll look at the first of these, where the crucial point comes after the bidding illustrated. What comes next?
Here is another place where some conventional agreements do help - and here the useful extra is an agreement that 2♦ after the 2♣ rebid is a general game force. Without this you are forced into guessing the final contract, or inventing a bid and hoping partner does not pass. In fact there is one natural offering that might work - and that is a raise to 4♣; common sense suggests that this should be forcing and it sets up the ability to cue bid to slam, but how many have checked this with partner?
After a forcing 2♦ bid we might well find the bidding continues with 2♥ or 2N or 3♣ from North, but after all of these the most useful continuation from South is 4♣, promising four card support and slam interest, and that puts all the different sequences in the same position. Can we cue bid to the grand slam from here? Try this ...
North cues 4♥, the only control they have and now South cues 4♠, and with no diamond control North must sign off in 5♣.No choices so far. South will of course continue and there is little point in bidding 5♦ at this point as any continuation from South (other than 6♣ which must end the auction) promises the ♦A. Why? Because anything here is a grand slam try and so must promise the top diamond as partner has denied any control there. So over 5♣ South can continue with 5♥ telling partner about both ♥K and the ♦A with one bid. This is very good news for North as four heart tricks are now in sight and it is clear that partner needs exactly AAAK outside hearts now to make the grand sensible. The key question to ask is whether partner could be making grand slam tries opposite a 2♣ rebid with anything less. The worrying hand partner might have is ♠ KQJx♥ Kx♦ Axx♣ Axxx where the spade ace opposite makes such a great difference. North's only chance to keep options open is to bid 5N which at least shows grand slam interest but denies the spade ace; how South will interpret this is not clear, but there is a chance still.
In reality, the answer is that we don't know enough to bid the grand slam. So we settle for the small slam instead - but that's not all bad news; anyone who bid 6♣ on Monday would have found that they had earned 11 imps from doing that. Well done those who did bid it.
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HotD-wed : KO Qualifying : 21oct19 : B9 |
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This hand from Monday offered nice opportunities for each hand to describe their holding; let's look at the sequence.
The first choice is for North whose hand is in the strength for opening 1N showing 11-14 hcp, but could also be opened 1♥. The key question when you have both options is how the bidding will proceed. When you don't know who will finally own the hand, a priority is to help partner understand how far to compete. The strength of the heart suit argues that a 1♥ opener will have positive value if the opponents compete, and makes that our first choice.
From East's perspective next, the hand is a strong two suiter and there is one way to show that easily is to overcall an unusual 2N. There are times when partner will expect a weak hand intent on obstruction from that bid, but when you are vulnerable against not, the emphasis changes and being constructive comes first. This hand matches the constructive intent, and with a little to spare. Nothing else gets close and again; we cannot be sure who owns this hand, and letting the opponents bid spades at the 2-level cannot be in your interest - and that's the main issue with a 2♦ overcall. So 2N does look like just right.
South now is forced to come in at the 3-level. Bidding 3♥ would be expected to be a stretch in any competitive sequence but the catch with bidding 3♥ here is that when 3♥ is the contract you want, partner will be expecting more from you and bid on. Bidding spades is an option, but you need to have firm agreements with partner here that a bid of 3♠ is not forcing, and that you will cue bid one of the minors if you want to make a forcing bid with spades. There are two pretty close options here - either pass and bid a major on the next round if the bidding is not too high, or pushing the boat out with 3♠. Neither could be criticised.
From West's perspective life is simple; if West doesn't have to bid the answer is pass, and if West does have to bid (when South passes East's 2N) then the standard pattern is to bid the lower of equals, so 3♣ here.
North has already bid their hand, so next comes a pass.
East now has a second chance, and there are two things that East might like to show - the extra strength and the extra diamond. Neatly there is one bid that does exactly that - correcting 3♣ to 3♦ promises both of those things and does complete a full description of the hand.
And now South can come to life again and show the spade suit by bidding 3♠.
At this point everyone should feel comfortable that they have told partner about their assets, and will be comfortable to let the bidding stop. Looking at just the North-South hands now there are three sure losers and you then need to avoid losing a heart and a second spade, and have hopes that one of those might work out. So 3♠ is where you want to be (for sure in preference to defending 3♦)
Now let's look from the East-West perspective, seeing only their hands. There are two clear losers (missing aces) and potential losers to navigate past on the third round of diamond and the third round of clubs. With no certainty about any entry to the weak hand, you might need both the ♦J and the ♣Q falling to make game - but one of these might happen, so you'd be willing to take a chance in 4♦. Could this contract have been reached? It is hard to say.
Supposed East did get to play in 4♦; South would normally start off with the ♠A and on seeing dummy has so many hearts South would know not to play that suit. A second spade goes to the king and East is in dummy for the only time. To make 4♦ now declarer must take a first round finesse in one of the minors - and playing a small diamond to the king is fatal. So in practice East is unlikely to 10 tricks. [The case of 4♦ x making arose because North had bid 3N over 3♠ and advertised their diamond stop]
Which leads us to feel thart South playing in 3♠ making a fortunate overtrick when West didn;t know to lead a heart, is a very fair result. And of course, it never happened!
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HotD-fri : GCBA Squad : 23oct19 : B1 |
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This hand was bid uniformly to 3N. What should South lead?
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Souths chose three different suits in practice. Given no investigation of major suit fits, South should have preferred a major suit lead, and steered clear of diamonds. Of the majors, both are cases of trying to set up the 8 as a trick - but there is a positive danger with hearts of giving away a trick if declarer has ♥K and ♥Q in different hands. This makes a spade the clear winner, but only one table found this way to beat 3N. In practice declarer on the diamond lead gained a tempo but when South got in with the ♣K he worked out to lead spades after which the contract was doomed. South did well to find that spade switch given the holding in dummy. The heart lead was a gift.
Worth noting also is that in clubs, declarer should consider leading small towards the queen on the first round, as that enables a second club trick if South has a stiff J/T/9 which is better odds than North having a stiff K. You do however trade that against sniffing out a doubleton king with North and ducking the second club to set up the queen. |
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HotD-thu : Everett Cup : 19oct19 : B6 |
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The Everett Cup took place last Saturday and 22 pairs put their names into the hat to be drawn for team-mates. Winners were the combination of Andrea & Stan Powell with Linda Barrett & Steve Tedd.
This hand from Saturday provided opportunities for declarer to shine and for the defence to shine. The bidding was straightforward, and it was natural for South to start off with a high spade. From East's perspective there are plenty of tricks to be had, probably four spades, two diamonds, two hearts and a spade. The only concern is the other side getting five tricks first. Since it is not clear who might win a club trick, and the spade suit is the big danger, it looks best for East to duck trick one. It is important for South here to have received an attitude signal from partner, and to know not to lead a second spade (else declarer gets an easy time). Playing "low for like", North should have dropped the ♠7 on the first trick, and this strongly suggests to South that East holds at least ♠AJ4. So South knows to switch and the key thing is which suit to switch to.
Playing your short suit is most often playing declarer's long suit and so it is to declarer's advantage. That makes a club look wrong. The diamond position looks very unattractive given dummy's pips are so much stronger than yours, and here again you might help declarer - by finding a missing jack or queen. What about a heart? Given the layout you see (South and West) there is little prospect of giving away a trick, and if partner can win the king that's great. So we try a heart.
On a heart switch if declarer might let this run - hoping to win the jack, and setting up three tricks in the suit if North wins the king - only to find that North will get in and play through a spade. This sets up three spade tricks for the defence and given a heart trick has been lost, this means declarer cannot set up the clubs - else the defence have five tricks. There are eight top tricks on the spade return and prospects do not look good. But on Saturday declarer could still succeed, but only by taking the winning view in the very fortunate lie of the diamond suit.
There was a better answer for declarer. When South switches to a heart here, you should know where the heart king is - and it is not with South. For if South held the heart king, switching to a heart would give away a trick so often, it would be avoided like the plague. Since North is the danger hand, the answer is not to let North in - to rise with the heart ace and play on clubs, aiming to lose a trick in that suit to South. Here a club gets ducked to South, who continues hearts. North can win now but when the spade comes through declarer can rise and cash four clubs, two hearts, and after the first two diamonds suddently there is an extra diamond trick to be taken. That comes to 10 tricks, and the contract has made.
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hotd - weds |
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It was surprising to see only three tables try for a penalty on this hand from Monday, as the auction shown looks very standard. The important thing when you choose to defend is to defend accurately. The three tables who defended resulted in down two, down three and down four. What was the "correct" result?
The answer is the last of these - the contract should go down four. The key on hands like this is to ensure that the declarer doesn't make too any cheap tricks - and cheap here means tricks with small trumps. When Joe Angseesing & Keith Stanley defended, the defence started very naturally with one top spade, and then the club ace and a heart. West was on lead and returned a club and then won the third round. The carding suggested North had no more clubs, so now it was time to switch, and the defence cashed two diamonds and a spade. At this point declarer was down to ♥QJT85 and nothing else. When the next card was ruffed, declarer had to lead hearts and West, with ♥9632 had to get a trick.
At the companion table, the defence played a fourth club too early and declarer - when on lead - was able to get out with a plain card and in the end position was sitting with the ♥T8 over the ♥96.
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HotD-thu : Autumn Pairs : 14oct19 : B19 |
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It was curious to look at the traveler on this hand from Monday and see that everyone who stopped in game made exactly 11 tricks, while the two pairs who bid slam both made the necessary 12 tricks there. Here's how the 11 tricks emerged at one table ...
South was on lead and started with a top club; partner showed an odd numbe. East's bidding made it far more likely that it was East with a singleton, and South therefore switched to spades. Declarer won that with the ace and focussed on the fact that dummy had a losing spade and it could be discarded on diamnonds. He drew trumps (in three rounds) and cashed the diamonds throwing away that spade. He had a trump left in each hand and that brought him up to 11 tricks. Could he have made 12 tricks?
The answer is yes and the approach it to focus not so much on what losers you have as declarer, but on what winners. With five diamond tricks and one spade trick, to make 12 you need six trump tricks. That means two ruffs, and that must happen before drawing all the trumps. What you need to do is focus on ruffing two clubs; the winning line is - after the ♠A wins, ruff a club and go back to dummy with ace and another trump. When this confirms that trumps are not 4-1 take another club ruff. Now back to dummy with the ♦K to draw trumps and you are home with twleve tricks - the losing spade and the last club going on the diamonds.
This line of play is only frustrated by a spade lead, but unsurprisingly no South found that.
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HotD-wed : MCL match : 13oct19 : B31 |
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This hand from Sunday's match was the most interersting play problem. A few tables ended in NT and not all bid game, but the big swing depended on the outcome of this spade game. The defenders annoyingly start off with a diamond - over to you ....
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With four red winners, your concern is to avoid losing two tricks in each black suit. The awkwardness on the hand is that you have only one entry to the North hand to allow you to lead towards South.
Looking at the spade suit in isolation, leading from North and picking up KT/QT doubleton onside or KQx onside gives you a 13.6% chance of success. If RHO follows small you can rule out the first option and play the jack - but if anything higher appears you play for doubleton ten (somewhere, playing the jack as early as you can). SUITPLAY provided this figure but you can get close to it by recognising that these layouts are 4 of the 10 doubletons, and the doubleton will be the right way round only half the time, and the 3-2 break is around 70%. So multiply 70% by 1/2 by 4/10 and you get 14% which is pretty close.
Looking at the club suit in isolation, leading from the North hand you will succeed with Qx or Kx or KQx onside (and if RHO splits with KQxx). SUITPLAY tells us that gives you a 25.7% chance of success. You get at this figure by seeing this as 1/4 of the 3-3 breaks (a quarter of 35%) plus on the 4-2 breaks we gain on 6 of the 15 doubletons (Hx onside), and the shortage held by East (so a fifth of 50%), plus the singleton honours with East (a sixth of 12% for a 5-1 break) and KQ-doubleton in either hand (a fifteenth of the 4-2 break) - which comes to 24% in round numbers.
Clearly the answer is to play clubs, but in practice that option was not chosen; the declarers we know of led spades. It is important now for East to recognise that playing the ten gives declarer too easy a time - and inevitable success. It is therefore standard to rise here with the honour from HT-doubleton. Richard Plackett duly did this and declarer won the ace but then erred by playing him for KQ-doubleton - ducking the second round to the ten to go one off. Maybe he deserved to go down by chossing the wrong suit to play! |
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HotD-fri : CBC Pairs League : 09oct19 : B26 |
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It was disappointing to find that on this hand from Wednesday that there was only one table played in slam, and that was in a 5-1 fit and that wasn't best.
The sequence shown is how the bidding should have started. After the takeout double from North, South invokes the Lebensohl mechanism whereby 2N forces partner to bid 3♣ after which 3♥ shows a heart stop and a 4-card spade suit. A direct 3♥ bid would have shown four spades without a heart stop. The use of this approach allows you to avoid bidding 4♠ and then finding that partner has onlt 3 (or fewer) of the suit. After the spade fit has been confirmed, South can start cue bidding and surely the slam is now biddable.
The play is also interesting as exactly one line of play stands out, whether the contract is 4♠ or 6♠. Having won the heart lead, declarer can see the heart losers being thrown away on the top diamonds but first should draw trumps. After the ♠K drops the queen, the spades can be identified as breaking 4-1, and that means drawing trumps leaves declarer with only ten tricks. The answer to that problem is to take two ruffs for additional tricks. So the play should be a diamond to dummy and a diamond ruff, over to a top spade and another ruff, and finally over to the ♣A to draw the remaining two trumps.
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HotD-thu : Swiss Teams 2 : 7oct19 : B7 |
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This hand from Monday produced enormous swings when four pairs went off in slams (two in 6♣ , two in 6♥) while three others made slams (two in 6♣ and one in 6♥).
The best line in either slam is not clear, and the entry position is affected a little by the opening lead. The 6♣ slam played by East got three different leads, one spade, two hearts and one diamond. The expectation is that the slam is trivial if the clubs break, and you mustn't go off if they do - so it seems right to start with two rounds of clubs. Which to choose should be driven by concerns of a 4-1 break, which on this bidding is more likely to be length with North. If there is a bad club break, declarer will need to bring in the heart suit. Again a 3-2 break is trivial, ruffing in the East hand; if the clubs are 4-1, you want to be able to ruff one heart then draw the last trump - so starting with ♣A,♣Q seems right as after a heart ruff you can then return to the ♣K and run the hearts. So as long as one of clubs or hearts break evenly, then you are home.
But it doesn't work out that way. After two top clubs you try two top hearts and find the suit doesnt break. When South wins and puts you back in, you draw the last trump and set up the hearts and then cross to West to run them. This works as long as there is an entry to West at the end of the hand - and the only suit in which that is guaranteed is spades (a diamodn lead with the jack covered by the queen compensates, if North is so kind). Which is why the opening lead is actually crucial here - the defence can alway beat 6♣ on a spade lead, but cannot beat it on any other lead.
The 6♥ slam is also dependent on the opening lead. On a spade lead declarer can play out trumps and find a loser there, ruff the spade continuation and test clubs. When there is a loser in clubs the diamond finesse becomes a necessity and if declarer has prepared sensibly (ie thought about a 4-1 club break before deciding that the possibility of that drives you to cash the ♣A♣K as your first two clubs) then the diamond finesse can be taken and the third diamond trick reached. If the ♣Q had been played too early, then North could block the dimaond suit by covering the jack on the first round. This highlights the vulnerability of the 6♥ slam to a diamond lead; declarer does not know at that point that both hearts and clubs will have a loser, and will view the diamond finesse as an unnecessary risk; refusing the finesse at trick one - or if North leads a diamond after winning ♥Q - will mean the slam goes down.
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HotD-wed : Swiss Teams 2 : 7oct19 : B16 |
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This was the most spectacular hand on Monday - it's not often you get what looks like a 1-loser hand (East here), and on this particular hand there is a conventional opening which solves all your problems for you. In practice few remembered to use it and the one we know did got the wrong response from partner! It's a bid that only comes up once every three years, but when it comes up it really helps.
The bid is a 4N opening, asking partner to show exactly what aces they have. The responses are 5♣ with none, 5N with two, and bid the ace you have if you only have one (three is probably an excuse to bid 7N unless one of the aces is a singleton). Here the 5♦ response will get you to the grand slam with confidence.
Some of the 2♣ openers as East did manage to get to the grand slam; one such instance was team 2 who bid 2♣ - 2♦ - 2♠ - 3♠ - 4♣(cue) - 4♦(cue) - 7♠. This was not without risk as partner's diamond cue might have not been the ace (but it was).
Not all the 2♣ bidders had it so easy. A more common start to the auction saw South overcall and the bidding went 2♣ - 3♦ - X - 5♦ - ?? and at this point East could only bid 6♠ and there matters rested.
Another grand slam bidder had a harder time, at their table North opened the bidding, so it went 3♣ - 6♠ - P(after some thought) - 7♠. West had deduced from the pause that South was thinking of sacrificing, and therefore had enough clubs to show that East had a void. In that case the ♦A was probably working (but not opposite ♠AKQJ8652♥KQJT9) so he raised to the grand slam.
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HotD-sun : Premier League M4 : 5oct19 : B28 |
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A Gloucestershire team (John Atthey, Richard Chamberlain, Patrick Shields, Garry Watson) was promoted last year in the Premier League and started their campaign in Division One yesterday. This was an interersting hand from match four. The opening lead was a top heart and declarer ducked that, won the ♥Q continuation and played a third heart to put East back on lead. East switched to the ♦K and declarer could win that and now returned the suit, and that went to West's ♦J. Back came the ♠5.
You have lost three tricks in the red suits and surely have a spade loser and the ace of clubs to lose. Can you avoid losing to the club jack? If North has it, then you can lead up to the club queen and finesse on the way back - but on the bidding it is much more likely to be with South. Can you make the contract if South has the jack?
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The answer is yes. You need to endplay East to do that. You might consider played three rounds of trumps, but that fails if East has a red suit card left to play (here the ♥2). The winning choice is to win the first round of spades with the ace (or king) and to lead out the ♣K. East has to win (or you make a second club by leading to the queen) and after winning there is no good choice for East. A club would run round to the ten, a spade would be won by the jack, and if East plays a heart you can ruff with the spade jack and discard the ♣T. John Atthey found this play which none of the other tables (including the World Champion at the other table in our match) missed it. Unfortunately he was in a higher contract and all this did was save him an undertrick.
Three interesting points. Firstly note North's keenness not to tackle either black suit - putting East back on lead with the inevitable red suit losers maximised the chance of a gift from the defence. None was forthcoming here because East worked out to play diamonds rather than clubs when in with the third heart. The second point is how to know to play diamonds? Because of West's signals; West's first heart card gave the count in the suit but there was a choice of two cards to play on the second round, and on tricks two and three West played high-low which indicated (if anything) a preference for the higher suit. That didn't promise diamonds but it did guarantee that West did not hold anythign useful in clubs, so East tried diamonds. Finally, why was North too high? The answer is that West opened a weak two bid in diamonds and the bidding proceeded 2♠ - 3♦ - 3♠. Of course 3♦ was going down, but without the opener from West, North is not under the same pressure and that pressure is what wins matches. |
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HotD-thu : League 2 : 30sep19 : B20 |
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This hand from Monday needed a little forward planning. On a trump lead, you can see four diamond tricks and need only two ruffs to get you six trump tricks. The problem is entries. If you start on spades and they lead another trump, you will need to win that in dummy to ruff your first spade, then back to dummy with a diamond to take the next ruff. If you go back to dummy with diamonds again to draw trumps, you have cut yourself off from the third and fourth diamond. That won't do.
You need to go for a different ten tricks. If you only get five trump tricks and four diamonds, you also need a club trick. The answer is to win the heart in dummy at trick one, and lead a club. With the favourable lie in the suit, you will be able to set up a trick there and taking one club ruff in dummy to get your fifth trump trick will make the game. Careful timing is needed even at the end.
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HotD-wed : League 2 : 30sep19 : B28 |
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The last board on Monday produced double figure swings in all matches but one. There was game making in both directions in a minor suit (only bid three times by North-South and twice by East-West) but also viable trump fits on each side which would fail. The other big scores came from a double part-score making and a 5♥x contract which suffered a 5-0 trump break.
The auction shown, from table three, seemed "normal" but there were a number of decisions en route which are worth discussing. The first is the opening bid - to open 1♣ (longer suit) or 1♠ (higher, more preemptive suit). The key point to make is that if you open 1♣ you are committing yourself to bidding spades twice to get the hand shape over, and doing that with such minimal HCP is too much for some (and if the opponents compete you might never get the chance). When you add to that the fact that for some a 1♣ opener could even be a doubleton in a weak NT hand - which means it provides very little lead directing or cometitive advantage - the 1♠ opener becomes the more attractive.
After the takeout double, there is a very strong take-up these days by tournament players of transfers, starting with 1N showing clubs and here exhibiting 2♥ showing good 3-card support (weaker bids 2♠ directly). Now for South, who is clearly going to game on this hand but needs to work out which suit is best; partner has implied hearts with the takeout double, but might only have three. Bidding 2♠ to create a game force here looks the right thing to do.
Although the West is a relatively weak hand in some way, passing here would leave partner with an expectation of perhaps a boring 5332 minimum hand, and the hand is much more than that, especially as a spade fit has been now uncovered. It seems natural therefore to show the club suit; it will help partner judge the hand and if defending could help the defence. North had an easy pass at this point. The club bid was appealing to East, but whether than justifies a jump to game, having already shown a good raise, isn't clear; a bid of 3♥ to give partner the choice might have been prudent.
South now had to do something. Partner had not taken the chance to bid over 3♣ and this tells South that North has no strong suggestion of the best trump suit. This makes diamonds a standout, so South's bid of 5♦ is the obvious choice. East's double when this comes round seems unnecessary. West started off hopeful, as all it takes is partner to get in and deliver a heart ruff to put the contract in doubt. He led the ♠Q, trying to avoid giving away a cheap trick but encouraging partner to win the ace and work out what to do. The effect was unfortunate; winning the ♠A, drawing trumps and continuing spades allowed declarer to set up a spade trick to take care of a heart loser, and the diamond game was home. [South can organise an endplay on East even without the help in spades]
At table one the bidding died in 4♠ after West had opened 1♣ and then bid spades twice. North led the ♦A and could see from dummy that partner was going to be very short in clubs. His club got one ruff, and when in with the ♠A he was able to lead a second club and get a third trump trick to beat the spade game. His team-mates had also opened 1♣ (which silences North given North's short spades) and ended in 5♣. It takes a very good view in spades to make this game, but North started by cashing two aces and then it was an easy make. Bidding the right game in just one direction was good enough for a double figure swing.
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HotD-fri : World Championship SemiFinal : 25sep19 : B21 |
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England had four teams in the World Championships and all four of them reached the knock-out stages (by being in the top 8 of the 24-team round-robin). The Open team went out at the quarterfinal stage, and the Womens and Mixed teams went out at the semi-final stage - but the Seniors team didn't and will now play against Denmark for the Gold Medal. In their semi-final the seniors were behind for a lot of the time but this board - in the fourth stanza out of six - was the point where they drew level and after that they never looked back.
The key decision was for Alan Mould sitting East at the point shown - what do you return after partner leads the ♥4 to your ace?
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The big danger looking at dummy is the (looks like it is) running diamond suit, so it is important for you to cash your winners quickly. Partner on this auction is known to have four spades, and if they include the king then there are four spade trick to cash. If they don't then you need to play hearts.
Can you find out? Easily - Alan played the ♠A and looked to see whether partner encouraged or discouraged. When he got an encouraging signal he continued the suit and they cashed out. The other table played back a heart at trick two and declarer cashed out. The gain was 13 imps, to bring the teams back to exactly level. Over the remainder of the set, England gained 56-6 imps.
In the Womens match, both England and Sweden returned a heart to give declarer 12 tricks. In the Mixed teams the English pair bid up to 5♦ down one, but Graham Osborne (for England) defending 3N found the ♠A and continuation to beat that game. |
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HotD-thu : CBC Swiss Pairs : 24sep19 : B9 |
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It was curious to note that when this hand was played on Tuesday, half the field played 3N-1 while half played 3N-2. Why the difference? Here's a couple of stories.
With a top club lead, declarer ducked ducked and won. There were now six top tricks and two potential tricks in diamonds but to make the contract at least one heart was needed, so declarer played a heart. South could see five tricks for the defence, so he leapt up with the ace and cashed the clubs. Declarer now had eight tricks and was one down.
After a similar start another declarer tried a heart but South played small and the queen won the trick. The contract was now in sight and declarer turned attention to diamonds. After cashing the top diamonds it seemed safe to give North their diamond trick to set up the fifth diamond (equal to setting up a heart) but when this was done, North won and played to partner's heart ace to beat the contract by two tricks. Sneaky defence!
BTW : the English Senior team has just qualified for the final of the D'orsi Bowl (Seniors World Championship) in China. The final is 96 boards over Friday and Satruday and can be viewed on BBO.
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HotD-wed : Ladies/Mens Pairs : 23sep19 : B28 |
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The GCBA Ladies & Mens Pairs Championships took place on Monday. The turn-out was the smallest for as long as our records go, and as we often see, the scoring in the Mens Pairs was very flat. The Ladies event was won by Val Constable & Alison Pritchard, pulling away from the shared lead with Corrie Bowyer & Gill Wilkins at the very end. In the Mens Pairs there was nothing to separate two pairs in the end, both scoring 53.57% (exactly one top above average over 28 boards), so it all came down to the boards played by Tony Letts & Allan Sanis against Richard Harris & Patrick Shields, to determine which pair wins the trophy. This was the deciding hand ... it illustrates a couple of aspects of the pairs game that we all need to remember.
After a weak NT opening from North the question is what should happen. Let's consider first what happens if East passes. South will now take out into spades and playing in two spades declarer will have AK to cash in both minors and will always make three trumps tricks and should make no more - and that scores 100 for East-West. The alternative to East passing is for East to use one of the popular NT-defence conventions; the most convenient here, as is often true, is bidding 2♣ to show the majors but if you are playing an alternative such as Asptro then it pays to bid even if partner is going to expect a 5-4 shape in the suits you show. On this hand Tony chose 2♦ showing spades and a second suit and when Allan bid 2♥ to find out the second suit, that bid was passed and they were in the best contract. That scores +140 (beating 2♠-1) which turned out to be a complete top on the hand, and was enough to win the trophy. The message from this is to bid over their 1N opening, because otherwise you are leaving them to reach an optimal contract.
The reason this score was a top was because it was the only plus score for East-West. All the other EW pairs had overstretched and played at a higher level and went down. This illustrates another key message for all matchpoint pairs games - and the message is that plus scores are good, so that it pays to go low in pairs games to ensure that.
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Hotd -fri : World Championship China : RR15 : B7 |
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England have four teams in the current World Championships taking place in China. After five days of play the teams are lying 5th in the Open Teams, 7th in the Women's teams, 1st in the Mixed teams and 2nd in the Seniors Teams; this is very impressive and the top eight out of the 24 in each event will qualify for the knock-out stages which start on Monday. You can watch on bridgebase.com (in the morning).
This hand was an interesting one to watch although England lost out on this in the Open teams and the Mixed teams (and in the Womens, but gained in the Seniors). Against 4♥ the lead was a spade to the queen-king-ace, and the Norths fell into two camps - some returned a spade immediately (as if they were trying for a ruff) while the others led a diamond at trick two.
In the Mixed teams, our North tried diamonds and East won, cashed a spade and exited with a second diamond. The best chance for declarer now was to avoid a club loser, but when she led ♣J to the king, there was an unavoidable heart loser and the game was off. In the other room, declarer returned a spade at trick two won by the ten, and East played on hearts. In again with the ♦A, another heart picked up the suit and game made. Loss of 13 imps.
In the Open teams, our North stopped in 3♥ after a very controlled sequence in which North had shown six hearts, four clubs and about an ace above an opening bid (he was on the strong side for this). That made +140. In the other room North was in 4♥ and tried a spade at trick two. East (having led the jack) was brave enough to duck this to partner, who could win the ♠8 and lead a club. This went to the king and East cashed the ♦A and played a second diamond. This didn't give away any tricks but it gave declarer a vital entry, and he knew he needed to play hearts for no loser, so he led ♥5-♥8-♥T to make his game. Loss of 11 imps.
It is a difficult game sometimes.
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HotD-thu : League 1 : 16sep19 : B25 |
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The best bidding test from Monday was on this hand. It is very easy to see that 13 tricks are there in either of the two major suits - with two clubs ruffs adding to the top 11 tricks in spade, and two diamond ruffs (most easily) adding to the top 11 tricks in hearts. The only pair to bid the grand slam went off, but we have not yet uncovered what accident happened in the play there.
Most tables had a quiet run as East-West in the bidding, and it always started (from East) 1♠ - 2♦ - 2♥; now a lot depended on your style of system. Those playing that 2♦ (2 over 1) was game forcing could just raise to 3♥; the others were fortunate also that they could bid 4♣ to agree hearts and show slam interest. At table five after the raise to 3♥ the bidding continued with 3N as a serious spade cue bid, and 4♣ cue from West and East might have won the day with a jump to 5♦ as Exclusion Blackwood but wasn't sure partner would be on the same wavelength. This choice would have been dangerous as West has so far only promised an opener by bid with a club control. In quencethe real world East will cue bid spades and West might now continue with 4N but even were East to jump to 6D over that (showing an odd number of key cards and a void diamond) West cannot identify enough tricks to bid the grand slam. So no sequence has been identified yet as a candidate for bidding the grand slam confidently.
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HotD-wed : League 1 : 16sep19 : B28 |
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This hand from Monday was the most interesting play hand. There were two tables not in 4♠ and of the others 10/12 declared the hand in 4♠ as North.
The key issue for East in making the opening lead is to recognise that partner cannot have much in the way of values on this auction, and because of that the lead of either red suit is very dangerous. Only one East fell into the trap of leading a heart. Although it might sometimes cost a trick, the club combination is reasonably safe and seven of the remaining nine led a top club (the others a spade). Declarer can expect five spade tricks (four winners, one ruff) and four outside, so is only one trick short. After a black suit lead declarer played trumps and West was in with the ace; in practice, the choice now determined the fate of the contract.
Returning a club might seem natural but this gives declarer an easy answer - win the second club and draw trumps before exiting with the third club. East is on lead and must lead a red suit. [A ruff and discard would in fact not give declarer an extra trick, but on this layout East has run out of clubs].
Returning a diamond leaves declarer a winning option which a number of players missed. The winning option is to play the nine (or lower) and when West wins this trick (s)he is endplayed to give the tenth trick. Most Norths played ♦Q instead and East won the king, and returned the jack. The contract can still be made but in practice North drew the last trump, ruffed the third diamond and now tried to end play East in clubs. East could exit with the ♦T and wait for the heart king to beat the contract.
Returning a heart gave the defence the best chance, although when the finesse loses to East only a heart return doesn't give away a trick and East might not realise this. Actually a heart return isn't enough to beat the contract if declarer squeezes East out of the long heart (by drawing trumps) and eliminates hearts before exiting in clubs. But in practice this won't happen.
Of those who got a spade lead, one made 4♠ and one didn't; of those who got a club lead, three made the game and four didn't.
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HotD-fri : CBC Pairs League : 11sep19 : B12 |
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It's not often you see a 7600 shaped hand and it is even more curious that we were able to report on one last week (B13 from 02sep19) and we have another one from this week.
Almost everyone started the North hand off by bidding the longest suit first, and this is the generally recommended pattern with extreme shape. The first crucial decision came at this point - what should South bid?
Where South chose 3N, North expected South's values to be predominantly in the red suits (where it is almost half and half) and continued the description with 4♠ which for some finished the auction.
Wheere South here chose 4♣ North felt more enthused and a few from that position pushed into a small slam in clubs. We prefer 4♣.
Only 2/16 tables managed to bid a slam on these hands, but more worrying is that 3/16 tables played the hand in a part-score!
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HotD-thu : Autumn Pairs : 9sep19 : B17 |
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This hand was a potential slam on which most played in game. A consequence of that is that the defence becomes even more important. The auction shown is that of table nine. 2N showed a good raise to at least 3♠ after which South signed off to show a minimum before cue bidding in hearts.
The lead was ♥2. Should the slam be made?
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There is clearly a trump loser, and declarer must avoid any other loser. The two options with which you start for avoiding a heart loser are ruffing out the diamond ace, and discarding South's hearts on winning clubs and then ruffing a heart in South. In both cases a major concern is the club suit.
Playing West for the king could prove successful if West has doubleton or tripleton king. Playing East for the king with a ruffing finesse will generate the club winners desired if East has Kxx or Kxxx. It is best therefore to take the ruffing finesse and this was done. Once the club king was gone, declarer played trumps and West won and tried a diamond to their partner's ace. But declarer ruffed and cashing all the black winners squeezed East in the red suits and the slam made.
On winning the spade ace, West needed to play a second heart, to break up the squeeze. In situations like this you sometimes have to trust that the opponent's bidding is honest. |
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HotD-wed : Autumn Pairs 1 : 09sep19 : B14 |
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This hand from Monday produced a problem for East-West and a variety of results. A number of pairs started with a strong or strong-ish 1N opener from East; if South passes , what should West bid?
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Clearly 3N might (as always) be the right contract but you could be wide open in hearts and need to avoid no-trumps. Making 5♣ is another option but might that be too high?
Rather than have West guess, the real answer is for West to describe the hand and let East decide; for some pairs this can be done via 2♠(transfer to clubs) - 3♣(quite liking clubs) - 3♥(shortage) after which West should respect East's decision. On this occasion it is a close choice and if East chooses 3NWest cannot argue as the heart stopper might be ♥KQT. This was not however the most common route to 3N - that route was a 1♥ opening bid by East followed by a NT rebid; West did not feel inclined to challenge this but whether South still led a heart or instead led a diamond, the contract was doomed. Two declarers (one on a spade lead, one on a heart lead) got to make 3N.
When West shows clubs and a decent hand, East might take a different tack - with some club support and a very suit-suitable hands and a ruffing value in diamonds - it looks good to support clubs. Those who did ended in 5♣ and that contract was unbeatable. In fact 6♣ is a very respectable contract, having a similar chance of success to 3N but scoring a lot more. Nobody bid 6♣.
It is much more difficult to explain the fact that two pairs, with a 25-count and a 10-card fit, stopped in a part-score. [One pair actually heard a 14-16 NT from East and West was concerned therefore that they might have only a 23-count between them; a bid to show clubs and invite would be useful but lacking this West took a pessimistic view this time] |
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Hotd-fri : Swiss Teams : 02sep19 : B6 |
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Here's an excllent slam to be in from Monday's teams. You get a club lead at trick one. Do you start the hearts by leading the king or by leading the ace?
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Before you decide you must count your tricks. With three in spades, one diamond and three clubs, you need only 5 trump tricks. That will come about if you keep yourself to one trump loser but manage one ruff in the short (West) hand. The important thing is you don't lose two trump tricks.
So the answer to the original question (whether to lead the ace or the king) is neither. You should start the hearts by leading small toward either hand, and if the second hand plays low you insert the 9/T. You will never be in trouble with a 3-1 trump break, and this play keeps you to one loser with a 4-0 trump break (a 9.6% chance). You run a danger of finding a 6-1 spade break (a 7.3% chance) and a ruff, but accept this is lower odds. |
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HotD-thu : Swiss teams : 02sep19 : B16 |
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This hand from Monday generated disappointment for some and relief for others. There were 11 pairs played in 3N and 6 of them made the contract while 5 went down.
The key issue is how you play the club suit, needing at least 4 possibly 5 tricks from the suit, with only one dummy entry outside clubs. On a red suit lead, how do you proceed?
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There are two options to consider in clubs - one is playing them from the top and the other is leading up to and finessing the ♣T. All options work when the suit breaks 3-3 or when there is any doubleton from QJ9 sitting onside.
Playing from the top gains when there is ♣Q9 or ♣J9 or ♣ QJ offside which is three useful doubletons.
Playing up to the ten gains when there is ♣95 or ♣93 or ♣92 offside which is three useful doubletons.
It is a tie, and one should not feel bad (just lucky or unlucky) therefore from choosing either line. It is important whichever you choose that you continue next with top clubs. One might break the tie in favour of the second line as with ♣QJ9x SOuth might decide it is better (lest declarer has two clubs) not to split the honours on the first round.
It was the first line which succeeded on Monday. |
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HotD-wed : Swiss Teams 1 : 2sep19 : B13 |
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This hand from Monday was one of the most awkward hands to bid that has been seen for many a year. There were a number of different starts to the auction, of which the one shown was the one reported most often. The 3♦ bid will usually have some high cards outside, but if all East's points are in spades and diamonds then 4♥ might be the limit of the hand. Today, with East holding the ♥A and ♣AQ, you want to reach either a small or grand slam in one of hearts or clubs. Is there any way to tell? Answers please on a postcard.
From the event itself, we can report
table 1 : started with 1♦ - 1♠ - 2♥ - 4♠ at which point East doubled and that was the final contract. It went for -800 but still represented an above par result. The spade overcall was rather pushy, but if the auction does start 1♦ - P - 1♥ then North might well bid 1♠ and disrupt the conversation - but few did at this point.
table 2 : started off (East-West only bidding) 2♣ - 2♦ after which West ended as declarer in 5♦ and North led out the spade ace to beat the contract.
table 3 : the bidding was 1♦ - 1♥ - 3N(long diamonds, too good for 3♦) - 5♣ - 5♦ - P and here South failed to lead a spade. Winning the heart, cashing two diamonds and then crossing to play hearts allowed declarer to throw away enough spades to make the contract. A fotrunate guess as playing out clubs is almost equivalent (but fails on a 4-1 club break, while all lines fail on a 4-1 heart break) and on that choice the defence get to ruff with a small diamond and not the queen, and defeat the contract.
table 5 : possibly had the best chance for successful bidding here as this pair were playing an "Unbalanced Diamond" system so that after 1♦ - 1♥, East was able to bid 1N (not needed for balanced hands which all open 1♣) showing a 16+ hand with no easy choice of bid, and over that West was able to create a game force by bidding 2♣ (showing 8+). Unfortunately they did not use the space to good effect and ended in 5♣.
table 6: here it went 1♦ - 1♠ - 2♥ - 3♠ - 6♦ - end. The 6♦ bid was a reasonable evaluation but it was not catering for the hand be by West, but who could?
table 8 : West saw the auction above and settled for a "pragmatic" 4♥.
table 10 : started as shown, and over 3♦ West bid 4♣ and over 4♦ West bid 5♣ . This was enough for East who passed.
table 12 : the auction was reported as (East-West only bidding) 2♣ - 3♥ - 3N - 6♣ - P and this got the best score of all the tables.
table 14 : the auction started 1♦ - 1♠ and West chose to double (!) to show the other suits. Over North's raise to 4♠ East bid (only) 5♦ and West converted this to 5♥ and that finished the auction.
A different approach at every table (of the nine we know)! Across the field of 14 tables, five tables played in hearts, five tables played in diamonds, three tables played in clubs, and one in spades.
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HotD-sat : Gold Cup QF : 29aug19 : B2.7 |
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The bulk of the County team played their Gold Cup Quarterfinal match this week. The match was lost but by only a respectable amount. The visitors to Cheltenham got lucky in the first stanza, bidding a slam needing to play AT542-J63 as a trump suit for one loser, and this 37% chance came home; if that had gone down the match would have been tied. This hand from the middle of the match was well played by Garry Watson.
After the bidding shown North led a low club which immediately gave Garry the message that North had a diamond void. So he rose with the ace and drew trumps in three rounds. Expecting South, on the bidding to hold both the ace and jack of hearts, there is the potential for five losers and it will take two endplays to recover.
Garry started by exiting with a club and since South had failed to unblock at trick one, that produced the first endplay and South played a heart round to the ten. After continuing hearts, declarer was put back in with the third round. But he could now continue by ducking a diamond from both hands leaving South on play and endplayed again. Neat!
Could South have done better by unblocking at trick one? Yes, North could then have won the second round of clubs but there is still an answer. When North plays through a heart, declarer must rise with the king, forcing South into an impossible position. Contract makes.
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HotD-thu : Summer Pairs : 26aug19 : B3 |
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There were three good slams to bid on Monday but on only one of those (not this one) did anyone reach slam, and that was only 2 pairs out of 8 in slam. This hand offered a chance for some very natural and elegant bidding that was not taken up.
The start depends on whether or not South decided to open the bidding. The hand is either a pass or a weak 2♦ opener; is it worth opening? The hand has more going for it as defence (the ♥A and ♣Q) than it has in attack (a poor suit and minimal shape). This argues for passing, but being non-vulnerable against vulnerable, and being in first seat argues for bidding. It's a close call but taking away bidding space is always a Good Thing, so bidding is recommended while passing cannot be criticised. In practice South passed.
Now left to themselves, the bidding started for West and East with 1♥ - 1♠ and West now had the first real choice to make - the choice is between rebidding the hearts or bidding clubs. On weak hands with this shape it is normal to rebid 2♥ and there is extra strength here but we'd prefer to have more to rebid 3♥. When you cannot choose between 2♥ and 3♥, it becomes very appealing to bid 2♣ instead, and that is the best choice here. Over that, it is natural for East to continue with a game forcing (fourth suit) bid of 2♦; West can now bid 3♥ and the ball is back with East.
Partner is expected to be a -6-4 shape at this point and to have extra values, but the best game to choose is not clear. East can however continue with a natural 3♠ bid. What should West do over this? Clearly partner has six spades here, so spades will be the right denomination, and we want to tell partner. West could simply raise spades and that is likely to end the auction, but there is another way of showing spade support - and that is by introducing a new suit at the 4-level, which logically and by convention shows a good hand with support for the last bid suit. Here it hints at a spade slam. The fact of spade support on a -6-4 shape also implies short diamonds. This should raise the possibility of slam in East's mind and be enough to ancourage the use of a 4N ask before bidding the slam.
But nobody did - maybe next time!
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HotD-wed : Summer Pairs : 26aug19 : B16 |
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This hand from Monday had a number of interesting points to it. The bidding at some tables proceeded as shown, and South led ♣4 against the spade game. North won the ace and returned a club; declarer now had to figure out the club position. In the bidding South has shown at least 5-5 shape with hearts and a minor, and North has shown enough support for both minors to make it worth bidding to the 4-level. Unfortunately, South has not had the chance to show the second suit.
If the lead was ♣4 from a five card suit, then declarer must not finesse or it will lose to the queen and a club ruff will follow. If the lead was from a short suit then declarer must finesse to avoid a loser in clubs. In practice most Norths led back the ♣3 at which point declarer should look at the pips played so far. The return marks South's club as his/her lowest and so wouldn't usually be from five. Finessing the club is then best; the remainder of the hand is about whether to make three tricks in hearts to get a trick from the ♦K. The very informative bidding means that it is really no contest - if South has five hearts then three hearts are guaranteed, and so declarer is making the spade game. [Perhaps South would have been better off not bidding]
If North returns a less clear cut club, say the ♣7 - can declarer get it right? The answer is no - it is a guess and you could go either way. Suppose now that declarer goes wrong and plays the ♣K and it gets ruffed. South plays back a heart. Can declarer find 10 tricks any more? The answer is yes - they can get to ten tricks by cashing all their spades and watching what South plays. In the end position South has to discard from ♥QT9 ♦AJ in front of dummy's ♥KJ8 ♦T2. If South ditches a heart, declarer ditches a diamond and takes three heart tricks (to go with ♥A and six spades). If South ditches the ♦J declarer ditches a heart from dummy and then leads a small diamond away from ♦K7 to set up the king, to take that with two (more) heart tricks and make the contract. A squeeze without the count!
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HotD-fri : Summer Teams : 19aug19 : B33 |
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This hand from Monday was a comedy of errors, but as so often at brcidge, there are useful things to learn from these errors.
In the play at table two (which had the auction shown) South started, naturally, with the singleton heart won by the ace; declarer played ♦A and a diamond ruff, heart ruff, diamond ruff, heart ruff, and then led a club from dummy. North won the ♣A and now had to decide whether to play for a spade ruff (with some concern it might get over-ruffed) or play a top heart to gain a trump promotion if partner had started with ♣87. The latter choice was made but declarer ruffed happily, drew the last trump and led to the spade king to make the contract.
Should North have done better? Yes. If South held two clubs then (as the red suit layout had been disclosed) South would have a 4162 shape, and with three card support why would East have run from spades? So the desired club position cannot occur (and if it did a spade ruff first would not cost).
Could South have helped? Yes - in two ways. As North already knows that South has good spades, signalling (discards on the hearts) should focus on shape and if South could discard spades to promise an odd number, North 's worry about a spade being over-ruffed would go away.
Could South have avoided the problem altogether? Yes - doubling four spades was a bit greedy - passing would have resulted in a sure plus score. One must be very circumspect when doubling with five trumps.
Was West right to offer South this choice? No. While it is right (almost mandatory) to overcall at the 1-level in your major when you have five, as the bidding gets higher suit bids becomes more committal and you should prefer a takeout double when you only have five of the major. Here a double would have received 5♣ immediately from East.
North's opening bid was impeccable.
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HotD-thu : Summer Teams : 19aug19 : B2 |
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This hand from Monday proved intractable for everyone, and would have resulted in bigs swings in more matches had not some of the disasters applied equally to teams playing against each other.
The North hand is clearly enormous after partner opens 2N, but what is the best way to tackle it? On overall values you have no doubt that you want to be in slam, and the issues are whether to stop in a small slam or go for a grand slam. and whether to play in no-trumps of one of your suits. Given the overall values, your worries are about missing a cashable ace, or - on the hand where it is vital - missing the ♥Q.
Where the bidding has reached the point shown, it is tempting to investigate a club fit, but the big danger with that is commiting to clubs and finding that you are missing ♣JTxxx - something that would make a grand slam in clubs borderline. You'd want to play in clubs if partner had five, but with four it is uncertain. This argues that you settle for playing the hand in hearts (or NT if partner does show distate for hearts).
An approach you can take on such powerful hands is - because there are so few of them (only 5 hcp max missing) - to work on which cards are missing. In particular, if you found out that South was missing the diamond ace you would know you were missing at most one jack as well as that, and you could bid 7♥ comfortably. Today's style of cue bidding however doesn't usually distinguish between aces and kings - and in any case there isn't much space for that.
There are two paths - neither ideal - which might get you to the grand slam. One way to find out about the key cards (♠A,♥Q,♣A) and if the knowledge of those cards is enough to decide things for you (the flaw is it might not be), then what you can do is over 3♥ a jump to 5♦ as Exclusion Blackwood (asking for aces but ignoring the diamond ace). That would tell you that the opening hand has all of those key cards. Is that enough to bid the grand slam? It is necessary, but is it sufficient? [Probably yes, given so few HCP are missing]
The other approach is - if you are playing in this style - to transfer to hearts at the 4-level and to continue with 5♦; depending on the meaning of this (shortage, control ask) you might be able to find out whether or not the diamond ace is missing; if missing you can easily bid the grand slam, but if partner has it the grand slam could stil be cold (say you are missing only ♦KQJ).
There is a lot to be said for just bidding a small slam here, but if you have more ambitions than that - the route of transfer then Exclusion Blackwood is really the only option.
What is most important is that you avoid these disasters which occurred at the table
> one table bid 2N-4♣ asking for aces, and mis-interpreted the response and bid the grand slam in no-trumps. East doubled but that gave West a dilemma. There is a good case for leading diamonds (your best/longest suit is the suit declarer is most likely to be able to make 13 tricks without touching), but a club was chosen and the doubled grand slam rolled home.
> another table started 2N-3♦-3♥ 4♣-4♥ ; at this point South had promised a good doubleton heart and when North tried 4N to ask for aces, South took it as quantitative and passed.
> two other tables played in 4♥ and in 4N, but we have not embarassed the people concerned by asking what the exact sequence was.
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HotD-wed : Summer Teams : 19aug19 : B19 |
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This was quite an unusual hand from Monday. What would you like to open the bidding with in first seat?
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There are two obvious options to consider, namely 1♣ and 2♣.
At table 5 the latter option was chosen and the bidding proceeded 2♦ - P - 3♦ after which South chose to close his eyes and bid 6♣. Today partner put down three trumps and short spades and that was just perfect.
At table 10 the choice was to open with 1♣ and the auction proceeded 1♦ - 1♥ (cheekily) - P and South could now bid a game forcing 2♠. North gave preference to clubs and South was able to make a grand slam try before settling for 6♣.
Which auction felt more comfortable? Clearly the second, and that is because it started describing its suits at the 1-level while a 2♣ choice meant that the earliest possible description came at the 4-level. The only reason to open with a strong artificial 2♣ is that a 1-level bid might be passed out and prove embarrassing. With only one red card in the South hand, and space for everyone to bid at the 1-level, that is just not going to happen on this hand. |
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HotD-fri : Summer Pairs : 12aug19 : B7 |
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This hand from Monday was a good example of why attitude signals are important. There were five pairs who defended 5♦ and had to decide, on the lead of a top heart, what to do next when partner followed with the ♥8. Do you try to cash another heart?
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The answer is that you just do not know who has the missing ♥Q, but in fact hearts is not the crucial suit here. The missing ♠A and ♣K are the cards that matter and the big danger is not that a heart trick goes away if not cashed, but that one of dummy's club or spade losers might vanish. You need therefore to cash the ♣A and watch carefully whether or not partner encourages. Sometimes it will be difficult to tell, but sometimes it will be easy - as on this hand where partner has a wide choice fo clubs to play. When partner encourages you know it is best to play another club and that will beat the contract. If you do not cash your clubs, a club loser will go on declarer's winning spades, and the contract will make.
Three of the five declarers were allowed to succeed in 5♦. :( |
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HotD-thu : Summer Pairs : 5aug19 : B4 |
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There were not many pairs bidding the game on this board from Monday, and that was because few opened the bidding with the North hand. In a weak-NT system it is indeed dangerous to open 1N with an 11-count as even when they don't double you can loose too many points; but when you are playing a strong NT, that danger is less and you add the prospect of quickly finding a 4-4 major suit fit, and that makes the bid well worth while.
When we looked at the hand initially, it looked like a poor game to be in - but actually it is quite reasonable. What you need to note is that this feeble club collection (Qxx opposite Jx) will actually deliver you a trick at least 50% of the time. You will benefit when both the ace-king are in the one hand (50%) plus also sometimes when West leads from the king, and also sometimes when you can find East with an Ax or Kx holding. On top of all that, you have the chance of a heart lead giving you a trick, or of a very favourable lie of the hearts which saves you a loser there.
Looking at the computer analysis of the hand - which shows that only 9 tricks are available - might lead you to disagree with this assessment. In one way the computer analysis is right, with the actual layout of the defensive hands the game goes off - but that is only if the defence start with three rounds of clubs, ruffing the winner that would otherwise take care of a heart loser. Otherwise the game makes and it's the sort of game we want to bid.
Nobody found the defence to beat the game, but a number of declarers failed to make ten tricks by not spotting the opportunity that the club suit offered.
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HotD-wed : Summer Pairs : 12aug19 : B26 |
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This hand from Monday has some interesting points for declarer and for the defence. It was suprising that only four of the seven pairs who held the East-West hands managed to identify that they had 33 hcp between them, and therefore bid the slam. The sequence shown should have been replicated, possibly with a Stayman enquiry before the 4N bid to make it easier to find a heart fit.
Against 6N there is one principle on the opening lead which dominates all others - and that is to avoid giving away a trick. That makes one suit (hearts) a stand-out choice on this hand - but only two of the four defending pairs found this, the other two leading a diamond.
Now switching to declarer's perspective, there are four top tricks in each major and AKA in the minors, so the lead of a diamond into the KJ gives declarer an easy 12th trick. Having received a twelfth trick, declarer should not stop there - this is a matchpoint game and the focus needs now to shift to a possible overtrick. Can it be done? Yes - there is a double squeeze there if you simply cash your spades, the ♦K and then the hearts. The ending has ♦A8♣J in dummy and the ♠3♣A7; when the ♦A is cashed, South must hold onto a top spade (and therefore only one club) and now declarer can discard ♠3. North has already discarded down to a singleton club in order to keep two diamonds, and that means that after cashing the ♣A that the ♣7 is the only club left. This line was followed by John Arblaster to get his ovretrick and a score of +1470.
Another table got a low heart lead and declarer didn't spend long considering the options; he just assumed that spades would deliver five tricks and it was just a question of how best to arrange a squeeze for the overtrick. Cashing hearrts before spades looked more attractive so he played hearts and everyone followed to the first two rounds, but South had to discard on the third and fourth. It was trivial to spare a spade on the first discard, but what comes next? It looks natural to spare another spoade but that proved fatal - giving declarer five spade tricks where there were only four before. A diamond discard would have beaten 6N.
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HotD-fri : Summer Teams : 05aug19 : B7 |
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Five tables defended this contract on Monday and only one of them managed to defeat it; it should go down, so what went wrong?
The first hurdle was for East to find the right lead, and here the one way - spotted by four of the five defenders (that's good!) - was to lead a spade. West can tell what is happening in spades as North has denied four cards in the suit, sothe nine must be a doubleton (and not a singleton). At table nine, West therefore ducked to keep communicaitons open, playing the ♠5 (low to encourage). Declarer won the ♠K and played ♣A, ♣6 and East won the trick with the ten(!). This only happened because West had played ♣J and then ♣4, to indicate a holding of three trumps. The problem was that East did not appreciate that the ♠5 was encouraging - there were two smaller ones missing and two larger ones. East played a diamond and declarer won and played a third trump to secure the contract.
Should East have known whether the card was encouraging or not? The answer is yes. East's concern was that North held ♠AKx and on another spade lead would be taking the last trumps out and then get to discard a diamonds loser (say from ♦Ax) on the fourth spade. Apart from the fact that this venture would only save an overtrick and never beat the contract, East should have reasoned as follows : in the worrying case, West will always have a spade capable of giving a stronger signal than the ♠5 (something higher or lower) and didn't. So the worrying case doesn't exist - and a second spade at this point is correct and would have beaten the contract.
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HotD-thu : Summer Teams : 05aug19 : B27 |
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When you get a very strong hand you are usually in the business of trying to find out what partner has, so that you can choose the final contract. Sometimes it goes the other way around, and with a very strong hand you can describe that hand well to partner and let partner make the decision.
After this start to auction on board 27 from Monday, what are your tactics going to be on this hand? And suppose partner had bid 1N rather than 2♠?
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Your hand can be described quite easily - great hand with both majors and only two key cards missing - the king of spades and the ace of diamonds.
Can you find out about those missing cards? The answer is you can if your are playing the "right" convention. What you need here is a 5♣ bid of "Exclusion Blackwood" asking partner about key cards but saying to discount the ace of clubs. When partner shows one key card you "know" you can make 6♠ but you do not expect to make the grand slam. Sometimes bidding is easy!
Not all Norths responded with 2♠, which makes life more diffciult as now you don't know which suit is trumps. What do you do after 1♠ - P - 1N - 2♦ ? Exclusion Blackwood is no longer an option.
First thing you must do it get partner to choose between the potential trump suits. You will have to bid to the 5-level to get your strength across and there are two options - either bid 3♥ now and then 5♥, or bid 5♥ immediately. Do we know the difference? I doubt it and any distinction might be arbitrary, so it is hard to apply logic with confidence. You might not be surprised that the first choice - keeping the bidding lower and give more space - might work out better, as when partner bids 4♠ over your 3♥ you are a bit more enthused and will now insist on a slam.
[LATER]
Reports from table 5 : here it started 1♠ - P - 2♠ and South then bid 4♣ as a slam try over East's 3♦. North's 4♠ bid denied the ace of diamonds, so South settled for 6♠.
Reports from table 9 : here is also started 1♠ - P - 2♠ - 3♦ but now South bid 3♥ and heard partner cue bid 4♣ (useless of course). East decided to sacrifice in 5♦ and over South's slam try with 5♥ North was happy to bid 6♠. East showed amazing confidence in the North-South bidding by sacrificing over that in 7♦ for only -800 and a 5 imp gain. |
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HotD-wed : Summer Teams : 05aug19 : B2 |
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This hand from Monday provided a good reminder to think before you bid - and to think about what you are trying to achieve with this bid. It is important to bid as much as you dare, and to take away bidding space from the opposition as often as possible, but you also need to be thinking about the context-specific (potential) benefits and losses. If you are thuinking of an obstructive bid, particularly when you are vulnerable against not, you need to be aware that a penalty against you will have its biggest cost, while the loss for the opposition if they miss a game will be minimal. You need therefore to be circumspect about pre-emptive bids, and the theme of pre-emptive bids at this vulnerability changes from being obstructive into being a constructive description of your hand. A long time ago, back in the days when people didn't pre-empt as much, we all learned the "rule of 500" in making preempts. That approach is over-cautious in many contexts today but the one time it applies in full in when vulnerable against not. The result of bidding 2♠ on the hand shown, was that the auction proceeded P-P-X-end, and even through two declarers escaped with an extra trick, that was still two scores of -800 and one of -1100 which had to be reported to team-mates. Should South pass on this hand? There are dangers in doing that - you can always overcall 1♠ if you want to, and this might also be penalised, but it is more difficult for the opponents to do that and you are a level lower. When people describe pre-emptive bids as "weak" thatr leads people into the thinking that the alternative (simple overcall) is therefore "not weak" but that is not the case. The alternative bid is simply not suitable for a pre-empt, and that can be for a number of reasons. |
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HotD-fri : CBC Pairs : 30jul19 : B21 |
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This hand from Tuesday provided a curious sort of trap into which some fell.
What would you call at this point in the auction?
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There are three options and by far the most natural seems to be to bid your longest suit. If you do bid 1♥ then it goes P-2♣-P to you again. What now? It seems it must be 2♥, but just look at what a disaster this is. Another option is 1♠ which works nicely today, but hurts you rather when partner's major are swapped. Mike Wignall found a third choice which worked rather well - he passed.
Now let us look at West's options over a pass. Clearly you must bid a major and it seems natural to bid the more robust hearts. So we have an auction of 1♦ - X - P - 1♥ - P and it is back to East. Hoping to learn more East chose 2♦ and heard a repeat of the heart suit from West, and then raised that to game. South knew what to do and the doubled netted 1400.
Could East have avoided that disaster? One alternative over partner's 1♥ bid would be to bid 1N or 2♣; the former comes with concerns about spades, and if anyone has long spades on this auction it is South, so that is a real concern. The second possibility is 2♣, which is descriptive (too good a hand to overall 2♣ on the first round) and with a working 18 hcp, that seems a perfect description. The third choice, the 2♦ bid, is a general force most commonly used on a hand with 3-card support for partner's major and extra values. This too is descriptive but does enter - for many - uncharted territory in terms of West's continuation. It is worthwhile filing away a convention scheme for this situation which goes by the tag of HADAC - Herbert (negative) after double and cue; the agreement is that the lowest bid after partner's cue here is a negative, showing just 0-3 hcp and nothing about the suit bid. This might have been enough to persuade East to settle in 2♥. |
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HotD-thu : Summer Pairs : 29jul19 : B10 |
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Most North-South pairs missed out on the game available on this hand - five stopped in 1N and one in a 3♥ part-score. The auction shown was one of the successful auctions - what happened to the others?
It's hard to say but the issue might be that the point-counters looked at the North hand and counted to 17 HCP. What got missed was that the long diamonds make the hand worth a couple of extra tricks, and this needs to be reflected in North's rebid. The losing trick count takes account of this when evaluating hands in suit contracts, but too often the value of a long suit - as opposed to a 4333 shape - is not noticed.
But it might not have been that - for at this table West was amazingly silent. On the first round West might well have opened 1♣ and on the next round West might well have doubled 1♥ and both of these actions would have made it much less comfortable for North to bid 2N. At the table where West bid 2♣ (on the second round) East doubled the 3N game and North was too frightened to pass that - so he ran to 4♦. That was all set for a bottom except that East now doubled that and it made to give a top to North-South.
The play in 3N is quite interesting. Declarer won the opening spade with the king and played a diamond to the king, and learned of the bad break in that suit. The contract can still be made, with five diamonds, two spades, and two aces. The dilemma comes if two rounds of diamonds are won in the South hand. Declarer has the choice of a heart to the ace and bash out diamonds - to guarantee the contract, or to finesse in hearts rather than lead to the ace - which could result in defeat if it lost and the defence played the right black suits. The choice should depend on the judgment as to how many would be bidding game on this hand; declarer was saved from going wrong on the hand when East won the second diamond to play the ♥9. Declarer could cash his winners and set up a third heart trick for two overtricks.
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HotD-wed : Summer Pairs : 29jul19 : B5 |
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This hand from Monday was a good illustration of the importance of keeping control of the trump suit.
It is hard not to bid game with a 4-4 fit and 25 hcp between the two hands, but it is clearly a hopeless game to be in with a minimum of two trumps and two aces to lose. In the event, three tables managed to stop out of game, and at least one of them counts as well judged - this was the table where East opened 1♣ and West responded with an artificial 2♦ showing 4+hearts, 5+spades and a hand short of invitational values opposite a weak NT opening. From that information, the KQJ-K which East holds in the minors looks like bad news.
But the key point is the play; the lead of the ♣A was common, and then East got the lead. Even though the herat game is doom,ed declarer needs to concentrate on not losing unnecessary tricks. The greatest disasters arose when East played ace and another trump. North said thank you and drew the remaining trumps before reverting to paertner's suit. In one case the defence got to cash three hearts, the diamond ace, and four clubs to put a 3♥ contract down four.
In the heart suit, clearly ducking one and then cashing the ace would have been better - but what is the optimal play in this heart suit? The answer is to lead the ten on the first round; this caters for every layout except North having the KQJ8(3) and in that case there is no answer.
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HotD-fri : Ross GP Swiss Teams : 21jul19 : B47 |
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This hand from Sunday produced a lot of swings, including a vital one pushing the best local team back into fourth place. Making this 3N would have let them win. The sequence shown illustrates today's favoured form of checkback, in which the 2♣ bid forces South to bid 2♦ after which 2♠ shows a hand with invitational values and five spades, letting South choose the final contract. There were only 11 pairs bid to 3N on these hands, but that is definitely where you want to play.
Of the 11 declarers of 3N, ten got a diamond lead and could win that in the South hand, and be confident of a second diamond trick later. Clearly clubs is the primary source of tricks and the plan is to hope that East holds either of the jack or king, That would deliver four (five on a good day) clubs to go with three hearts and two diamonds. Meanwhile the defence only have a club, a diamond and two spades to cash. But of those eleven declarers, only four made the contract - so what went wrong?
The most common error was this - to win trick one and cross to dummy in hearts, and then lead the ♣T round to the ♣J. After either a diamond or heart cotninuation, declarer won a second heart trick in dummy and led the ♣7 and were forced to overtake it with the ♣8 and now it was impossible to pick up East's king.
Could declarer have done better - yes, and very easily. All it takes is for declarer to start with the ♣7 on the first round, or when leading the ♣T to drop the eight or nine underneath it. That means when the ♣7 is led, the six can now be played and the lead remains in dummy to lead another club for the final finesse. Easy game this? It's what the winning team had to do, and they did it.
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HotD-thu : Ross GP Swiss Teams : 21jul19 : B3 |
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This hand from Sunday was an early test for the East-West pairs, reaching them just after 11 o'clock that morning.
There were plenty for opening 2♣ on this hand, but the danger of 1♣ being passed out is almost nil, and that makes starting with 1♣ a preferred option, letting you show two suits with the second bid. The auction shown took place at table 9, while at table 29 the auction was 2♣ - 2♠ - 3♣ - 3♠ - 4♣ - 4♠ - P, which shows that it is possible to stop in game after a 2♣ opener - but most of those who opened 2♣ found that too difficult to do.
There were 21 pairs bid a slam on these hands, but only 6 of the make their slam. For
(a) those in 6♣ any lead but a helpful spade was going to beat the slam, and the one pair in 6♣ went off.
(b) for those in 6♠ by East, it was vital for South to cash the ♥A at trick one, else with careful play declarer can draw trumps andd throw losing hearts away on clubs. [Three declarers who had been gifted a diamond lead were not careful enough, and went down two]. Of those in 6♠ five made the slam on a diamond lead, and four went off on a heart lead.
(c) for those in 6N, the key was for South not to take the ♥A as once that happens, North is going to be squeezed in three suits - and that squeeze will generate declarer's twelfth trick. Four of the declarers in 6N got a heart lead, and four got a diamond lead - but only one of the eight made the contract. In fact only an impossible-to-find club lead defeats 6N.
The remaining 13 pairs all played this hand in game, making easily.
Where would you rather stop? A sure game, or a 6N where the defence needs to find a next-to-impossible lead but then you have to play well, or perhaps in 6♠ where everthing depends on the killing opening lead (and only 1 in 3 found it). Seems pretty even money ....
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HotD-wed : Ross GP Swiss Pairs : 20jul19 : B45 |
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This hand from the last match on Saturday, provided a top for the winners and could so easily have provided a top for the other pair.
What happened was the auction as shown. North-South got doubled in a game that could go off, but the normal opening lead lets it make, while East-West failed to bid the excellent game available in their direction.
What should have happened?
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It is hard to critice the opening bid here - it will be difficult to find a heart fit after starting with 2♠ but the hand is much more an obstructive than a constructive hand, and has the right suit quality for a vulnerable bid. After the opening, East's only option for intervention is double - although you might consider pass, as normally either partner has spades and you'd rather not bid, or the other side will outbid you in spades. This isn't quite what happens here. South can see that 4♠ is the best place to be, so we cannot criticise that bid either. The fact that South will bid 4♠ on a big variety of hands is what makes the choices difficult for East-West..
Which leaves us with the more interesting question of the final double - a double not found at many tables. There is an expectation by West of owning half the (HCP) pack at this point, and that hints that 4♠ might go down - so there is a case for saying something. This hand - just two kings and one might not be working - is just a bit weak for a double, particularly when the pass from East indicates that it was read as strongly suggesting defending. It feels like there was a disconnect between East and West on this auction.
But there is an alternative outcome - and that is for West to bid 5♣. It seems natural to bid a 6-card suit in response to partner's takeout double, but the issue here is that the likelihood of making 5♣ is not great and when you are making it there is a danger of partner raising to the slam. Should West have bid 5♣? It's very hard to say; two things come to mind. The first is that when it is not clear who can make what, then bidding on often pays (it loses only if both contracts fail). The second is that sometimes when you bid one more, the opposition do also. The most we can really say is that this is one more example where bidding on works, and it is probably right for us all to bid on a little more than we have been doing.
BTW : the one instance tracked down where North-South played in 5♠ (going off) was a case where North did not open and East-West found their diamond fit early and bit to 5♦.
BTW, the one instance tracked of East-West playing in 5♣-doubled, arose when after 2♠-X, South decided on a wait-and-see policy. This allowed West to bid 3♣ and hear support from East (4♣) so that when South now bid 4♠ , West could continue with 5♣. Wait-and-see is not to be recommended. |
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HotD-fri : Summer Teams : 15jul19 : B23 |
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Everybody played this hand from Monday in spades, but at three different levels (two tables in 2♠, four in 3♠ and four in 4♠). The number of tricks made also varied a lot with every instance of 8 to 11 tricks occurring. Why so varied?
The starting point was West's opening bid after South had passed. The 7=2=2=2 shape will always bid spades, but the question is how high, in second seat when both sides are vulnerable. The spade suit quality is very acceptable vulnerable, but the outside jack and queen are vey much defensive values are are unlikely to contribute in a spade contract. Our expectation for a weak two bid is six cards, and for a weak three bid is seven cards. Which bid is best here?
Of course there is no perfect answer guaranteed to always be right, but it is generally the case that a 7222 shape is much less useful than a 7321 hand and this argues for a downgrade. The fact of being in second seat moves the empahsis on an opening bid away from obstructive and to the constructive end of the spectrum. The fact of being vulnerable, means there is an expectation of not going too many down. This all argues that 2♠ is the right level at which to open this hand. Over that opening, East is only likely to bid if the opening is specifically a sound weak two, but in that case the hand is minimal and stopping in 3♠ should be the outcome. We can only postulate that the game bidders bid 3♠ - 4♠, which shows that East did have a expectation of something a little better from West.
The game is not unplayable; there are two sure losers and a possible further loser in each suit - and you need to keep that to one loser across the four suits. The key suit there is clubs, and the most common opening lead (six of ten) was the ♣6 which on this hand is difficult for declarer to read. When the first trick is lost to South it's not all over - at least until South returns a diamond and that sets up the fourth trick for the defence. The lead of the ♥A looks to be a neutral lead but both instances of a heart lead saw declarer make 10 tricks - because it is so natural for North to switch to a diamond at trick two. Can that be avoided? On that heart lead, since the heart suit is now dead to the defence, South's signal should be a suit preference in the expectation of a switch. Here that signal should have been the ♥2 and the key message that gives is to expect nothing useful in diamonds from South. After a club at trick two, the defence should manage their four tricks. No explanation is yet forthcoming for the instances of 8 or 11 tricks.
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HotD-thu : Summer Teams : 15jul19 : B25 |
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This hand from Monday produced a mix of games and small slams, plus one large penalty (which scored roughly average) and just one pair in the extremely desirable grand slam.
This was the start of the bidding at table six - what do you do as South? Caroline Hartley found the answer - she raised to 4N just as she would have done if there had been no intervention. Her partner was on the same wavelength, and with a maximum continued to 6N and claimed 13 tricks as soon as the opening lead was made and dummy appeared. It is very difficult to find a better bidding sequence after a 3♠ overcall, as were you to bid clubs you would get a raise from partner and still not know what to do.
It was a different story at table two however, where the overcall in second seat was 2♠. This allowed South to bid a forcing 3♣ for now, and when partner supported clubs and had cue bid, it was easy to roll out 4N as a key card ask and find out that the aces and club honours were present. There was also one other difference at table two - here the opening bid had been a 14-16 1N (rather than 12-14) which meant that South could count that East had at most 8 hcp. Since it was already possibly to count 12 tricks from the 11-hcp which partner's response to 4N had shown, there was bound to be multiple chances of a thirteenth, and that brought out a bid of 7♣ and that earned the top score on the hand.
Notice how much difference the jump overcall makes; with a virtual lock on 7 tricks, the East hand should pre-empt to the limit at its first opportunity - if partner has nothing the score is roughly a game away, but if partner turns up with just one or two tricks playing 3♠x will be more profitable that the opposing game.
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hotd - weds |
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This hand from Monday was a make in 3N for most of the tables which played there, but not at all. It is commonly the case that the computer analysis suggests a declarer could make more tricks than happened in practice, but here it tells us that 3N should go down. What should have happened?
This auction was not replicated at all tables, but when it happened at table three East knew what to expect in dummy. Any suit could have been the right lead, but any suit could also be wrong - so East chose the only suit of length and led a spade. It looked normal to lead the second best from this holding, in order to give partner the right understanding of what was held, so out came the ♠6. This went to the queen-king-ace and declarer tried a heart to the king, which West beat with the ace. West returned the ♠2, covered by the ♠5 and (by necessity) the ♠T. At this point East regretted the choice of which spade to lead (will he lead ♠2 next time?), but recognised that another spade offered a serious chance of helping declarer, so he had to switch - but to which suit?
The answer came from declarer - as declarer had to discard from the dummy (South) on the second spade. When that discard was a club, playing clubs became the safe bet and after that switch the defence were always going to get one trick in every suit plus a second one in hearts. So 3N went down.
Table two saw South play the hand (there were four instances of each of NS declaring) on a less informative auction (1♦ -1♠ -1N - 3N). The club lead at trick one was ducked and a second club was played. Declarer is now getting very close to the contract, with three club tricks, three diamonds and two spades - even when both of those finesses fail. There is a difficulty with entries, which makes a heart to the king appealing after winning the ♣K; West can win with the ace, but needs to (a) attack spades (leading the king) to set up the fifth trick for the defence, or (b) lead a diamond and have partner duck. Both options are too difficult.
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HotD-fri : Summer Pairs : 08jul19 : B4 |
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The bidding on this hand from Monday took a very straightforward path for once. South led the ♦7 at trick one to North's ace, and back came a small heart won by the ace. The drop of the jack from South makes it look like trumps might be breaking 4-1. How should declarer proceed?
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First thing to do is count the obvious tricks, and you can see five hearts and two spades, so there is some serious work to do. Ruffs in the short hand are possible but there is no easy way back for a second ruff, so counting on only one ruff will limit you to six trump tricks. Two more tricks are needed and there are possibilities in all three side suits.
In spades it could be a successful finesse or even running the suit, but the defenders could so easily cut you off by covering the first spade, or by winning the queen and playing back a second.
In clubs, you could find the ♣AQ onside and that would give you enough tricks - but that's giving points to the hand with short hearts which did not bid. Definitely a possibility, but against the odds.
In diamonds, you need to draw the implications of the lead of the ♦7 and North's play of the ace. False-carding in North's position here is dangerous a partner will count declarer for a trick in diamonds if North wins the ace from ace-king and could misdefend as a result. So that false-carding rarely happens; the lead of the ♦7 is therefore going to be from ♦ KJ87(x)(x) or from ♦K87 or ♦KJ7. The odds must favour the first of these, and in that case and the third case you can set up a diamond trick by taking ruffing finesses through South.
The combination of one extra trick in diamonds and then guessing the clubs right looks a good bet, and declarer set about this plan. Trick three was the ♦9 casually led, and when South played low a club was thrown from dummy. This was one trick in the bag, and when a diamond was now ruffed in dummy the layout of the diamond suit was confirmed. Declarer drew trumps now, needing to come down to a singleton trump to draw all of North's hearts.
What's the best guess in clubs at this point?
Declarer didn't guess clubs - here's what happened on the hearts - South discarded two spades and a club. South surely hasn't discarded from four spades here or come down to a void, and so started with either five or three. Declarer went for the latter and played off the top spades and led a third one on which North played the queen. Now came the twist - instead of ruffing this and guessing the clubs, declarer discarded the remaining losing diamond. North had nothing but clubs left at this point, and had to give declarer a club trick now matter where the ace and queen were. Neat!
This was only one line adopted, as can be seen by the fact that the results on this board (everyone in hearts) were evenly divided between making 9 tricks and 10 tricks and 11 tricks. |
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HotD-thu : Summer Pairs : 08jul19 : B2 |
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A number of tables on Monday faced this problem - what do you do opposite partner's 1N opener with a singleton but no suit to run to?
People's choices will often be based on past, most often, recent experience - but we all see so few of these how can we be sure? Some simulation studies have been done on these situations (admittedly against a strong 1N opener but the same principles apply) asking when is it right to take out partner's 1N bid.
What do you suppose comes out best on this hand?
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The great surprise on this hand is that the answer is to transfer into hearts!
On the 500 hands analysed, with a 1=4=4=4 shape opposite 1N and any hand short of invitational values, you are more likely to be better in 2♥ than you are in 1N.
When the hand turned up on Monday, you could not ask for a stronger validation - here 1N goes off even when the spades are favourably divided, but playing in hearts South can make 10 tricks. [In practice, some of the declarers in 1N, despite a spade lead, were allowed to make their contract, even with an overtrick, but 100% of the matchpoiints went to the one pair in 2♥]
You can read more about the outcomes of these simulations at Ted Muller's website here. |
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HotD-wed : Gold Cup round-of-16 : 5jul19 : B22 |
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A local team played last week against the current holders of the Gold Cup, and came through by 17 imps to reach the last eight. On this hand, John Atthey sat South and Garry Watson sat North. At the other table the auction had started the same way but South simply raised to 3♣ and that finished the bidding. At this table there was rather more at stake.
Zia made the opening lead of the ♥J which was won by the ace. John continued with a top club from dummy and then the ♣A revealed the bad break in that suit. He now switched to spades and Zia rose on the first round with the king to lead another heart. John ducked this and when the third heart was now played, he now had three heart tricks, bringing his total up to seven. After cashing the fourth heart he was able to continue with spades; ducking did West no good, and when the spade queen won, he was put on lead with the third spade. After cashing the fourth spade Zia had to lead away from the ♦Q to give declarer a ninth trick. 3N made! Well done.
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HotD-fri : Summer Teams : 01jul19 : B14 |
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A question that often comes up is this one - when partner has opened 2N showing 20-22 hcp, should I raise with a 4-count?
What do we need to think about here?
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Two things factor into the answer - one is how many HCP is partner likely to have, and the second is how many points do we want (on average) to make 3N a decent cotnract?
Looking first at partner's opening, what we need to know is that the relative frequerncies of 20/21/22 hcp in partner's hand are roughly 52%, 31% and 17% respectively. So more than half the time, partner will be a minimum. (For a strong NT opening the relative frequencies are 15-count 43%, 16-count 33% and 17-count 24%; for a weak NT the relative frequencies are 11-count 30%, 12-count 27%, 13-count 23% and 14-count 19%).
Now to question two. The succes rate of 3N with say 24-hcp will vary depending on whether the HCP-split is (say) 12-12 which is best, through to 24-0 which is worst. Simulations suggest the best case gives a 41% chance of success but this drops to 29% when the HCP are split 20-4. With more HCP between the two hands we get a 47% chance of success with 21-4 hcp, and a 66% chance with 22-4. Putting all these numbers together gives a 42% chance of being able to make 3N on this hand. That makes respectable odds even non-vulnerable, and you need to factor in the fact that sometimes when 3N goes down, 2N goes down also.
The verdict is that it is worth raising to game on this hand.
Other studies have shown that a KJ 4-count is better value in 3N than a QJJ 4-count or a JJJJ 4-count. That fact together with the existence of the five card suit and the supporting club cards, making this an above average 4-count - another good reason for bidding game!
On the day, it looks like 8 out of 10 Wests raised to 3N, a contract which should make and did make in all cases but one. |
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HotD-thu : Summer Teams : 01jul19 : B28 |
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The best result for East-West on this deal came from a most unexpected contract of 2♥-doubled by West, which could have rolled in with two overtricks but declarer settled for making that contract. This was obtained after an auction of P - 1♣(clubs or weak NT) - 1N - P - 2♥ - X - end. North's double of 2♥ to attract a lead was not justified, and when East passed the double to deny three card spade support, West decided that hearts looked a good prospect.
More interesting is the play in the 4♠ contract reached by half the field (three others were spade part-scores, and two played in diamonds as NS).
The most common, and the most demanding lead was a top diamond. For some players it looked too easy - they ruffed and set about drawing trumps - cashing dummy's top two trumps and then ruffing a diamond to draw the last one. Next came a heart to the jack and a second heart, but when North won and played a second diamond, suddenly declarer was out of trumps. All that could now be made was the top two clubs and that meant only 9 tricks.
The secret here - and this comes up a lot - is to tackle the side suit before trumps. Clearly the side suit that matters here is hearts, and if you play on hearts you give the defence a dilemma - if they force you then would will embark on a total cross ruff, and if they don't you have time to set up your second suit.
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HotD-wed : Summer Teams : 1jul19 : B26 |
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Most pairs on Monday ended in the "wrong" contract on this hand from Monday, but a number got away with it. The bidding started as shown at most tables - but how should it then continue?
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There were two difference choices found at this point - some bid 3♥ and some bid 3N. The latter choice finished the bidding, but after 3♥ and South bidding 3N, North had another call to make. In practice all Norths passed (not reocmmended) and so it came about that 3N was as a result the contract at eight of the twelve tables. [The pair in 6♠ have declined to discuss the hand, and we dared not ask about the 3♥ contract]
The one table to reach 4♥ had the sequence 1♠ - 1N - 2N - 4♥. There is a lot to be said for the 2N response, as it better describes the value of the hand - the game forcing jump to 3♦ being a stretch when you cannot guarantee game. Well done that pair.
The play in 4♥ is straightforward, but in 3N the result is not a foregone conclusion; the success in practice depended almost entirely on the opening lead. Having heard spades and diamonds bid, one East led the ♥K and continued the suit after the king held (partner's signal was count - so he couldn't tell who had the jack). This was fatal. The majority of others (5 out of 7) led the ♣3 and for this declarer was very grateful; after winning the club queen, declarer could bash out the spades and with four spades, one heart, one diamond and three clubs (on the repeated finesse) make nine tricks.
Two tables defeated 3N, and those were the two table who led diamonds.
How should East have been thinking about the lead on this hand? What the bidding suggests is that North has hearts and clubs, while South has the other two suits. Given the honours East holds, the cards are not lying nicely for declarer, and when that is the case declarer will struggle for tricks and the primary concern for the openign leader should be to avoid giving away any unnecessary tricks. A passive lead is therefore your target and that means keeping away from clubs and hearts. The diamond has a slightly more constructive air than has a spade, as declarer surely has five spades and will be setting up that suit at some point. And that is the logic that led two defenders to the successful lead. Maybe next time it will be more than two!
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HotD-fri : CBC Swiss Pairs : 24jun19 : B13 |
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This hand provided an instructive point as well as a trap, when it appeared on Tuesday. A lot of people settled far to readily to play in 3N, but after a sequence that starts like the above, the South hand should be thinking about a slam - and the question is how to express this and to proceed?
With the North hand as it occurred, slam is almost hopeless (needs ♦HT-doubleton or ♦KQ onside) but if you move either of North's side suit kings to be the ♦K then you actually have a play for a grand slam - which is surely an indicator that you want to be in a small slam. South cannot tell what North has, so they have to find a way to get North involved to make a sensible decision - can we find one?
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The answer here - as so often when you cannot decide - is to describe your hand further to partner and hope thay can decide. Here South simply rebids diamonds to tell partner of some slam interest and a 5-5 shape.
Over to North : on that bidding North's ♥AK ♣AK are clearly overkill against South's three cards in clubs and heart. Clearly there are wasted values and North signs off.
If you give North the ♦K in place of one of the kings above, then North can tell there are no losers in South's short suits, and holding ♠KJ♦K must be quite a respectable holding in support of South. At this point a cue ebid should be enough to let South take control, but North could almost drive to slam themselves, as partner inquired and ♠KJ2 ♥A62 ♦K83 ♣AK82 would be hard to improve on. |
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HotD-thu : Summer Pairs : 23jun19 : B26 |
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This was another hand from Monday where making the contract looked easy - but you need to be on the lookout for overtricks if you want to win at matchpoints.
The opening lead was the ♥8 and when North wins and plays one back you feel confident that North didn't make this bid with A9542 and so finesse the jack. Even if it loses, the ♥K can take care of a club loser instead later, so it is no cost. After that gets ruffed South could return either minor, so let's say the ♣T comes back. Declarer wins and starts with a top trump but then finds the bad break. Doesn't look a great hurdle - cash ♦A and ruff one, finesse spades, and ruff the last diamond. In this end position there is still the ♠Q out, and dummy has the ♠KJ, but declarer has no trumps left and you are in the wrong hand to draw the missing trump. You have to play either clubs or hearts and you can no longer avoid a loser.
Wind back and see what happens if after winning tricks three you take one diamond ruff. Then you play a spade to the ace to get the back news, ruff the second diamond, and now take a spade finesse. At this point you have no trumps left in hand but you are in dummy and can cash the ♠ K to draw the last trump, bevore coming over you your winning club(s) and the ♥A. That makes 11 tricks - a feat nobody achieved.
That (good) practice of taking simple (and they must be safe) ruffs early is surprisingly often an important play to make, simplifying various aspects of the hand later. While the full analysis of the hand was more than we can ask for, following the technique of early ruffs will usually pay dividends and would have been enough here to earn a top.
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HotD-wed : Summer Pairs : 24jun19 : B7 |
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This hand from Monday was bid to 4♠ at most tables. Four of the five tables in spades got the lead of ♥6, and in most cases that was covered by the queen, king and ace. After winning trick one, you can see you have ten top tricks. You could settle for the ten top tricks you have now, or you can try for more - what's your preference and where might extra tricks come from?
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The obvious chance for an extra trick is finding the dfiamond ace onside, so you must ensure you can get to lead a diamond towards hand at some point. The other opportunity - which got missed by most people - is the chance of an extra trick in clubs. Cashing the ace and king is the first part of that check, but you give yourself an extra chance if after doing that and drawing two trumps, you (safely) ruff the third club high in hand. This sets up the jack and now you can draw the last trump and finally cross to the ♥J to take the discard on ♣J.
There is a stronger defence available - East could avoid covering the heart queen; this is generally a better approach, although it does mean that East can no longer lead hearts. Ducking the heart does not however kill the overtrick; the only entry for the club jack is the second trump and you could try winning the heart queen, cashing two top clubs, ♠K, club ruff, ♠Q and then cash the ♣J while the hand with the long trump follows suit. Taking this line however risks not being able to lead up to the diamond king, and if the onside ace was a reaonable prospect that risk is probably not acceptable.
At Monday's event only 1 out of 5 declarers managed an overtrick. |
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HotD-fri : Summer Pairs : 17jun19 : B16 |
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This 3N contract by North was reached by 8 out of the 10 tables on Monday and at all those tables a top club was led by West.
At table five, after the bidding shown (a strong 15-17 1N opener), declarer ducked the lead of the strong ♣K and when East played the 5 (in an unblock, overtake, or low from even position) declarer was known to have a protected club jack. East now pondered how the defence were going to beat the contract.
He came to the conclusion that if declarer had the ace of hearts, then with six tricks in clubs and hearts, and declarer holding at least 10 hcp in the other suits, there was no way of deferating 3N. The only chance had therefore to be that partner had the ace of hearts, and if that was the case then it becomes vital to cut off dummy's heart suit. East therefore continued with the ♣Q, giving away one trick to the jack but planning to save three tricks by cutting declarer off from the hearts. As you can see, partner didn't have the ace of hearts but nevertheless this cut declarer's heart tricks from five to one (an even bigger bonus) - and after that had happened declarer had no chance and even had to produce an end-play to escape for two down. Four of the eight tables in 3N suffered the same fate but four tables managed to make 3N.
The coup performned here - giving away one trick in removing an entry, to save many more - goes by the name of the Merrimac Coup, and is a favourite with textbooks but is not often seen in regular play. It even has its own wikipedia entry!
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HotD-thu : Summer Teams : 17jun19 : B25 |
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This hand from Monday was one of the most difficult to bid to the right contract - but here is how the the pair in the winning team bid the decent grand slam (there is a different slam - in a suit never bid - which I would rate as excellent).
East took two good views in the bidding - the first was to overcall in hearts when the hand is playable in three suits which might have been shown with a takeout double, and the second was the jump to 5♥ on a hand which was looking good but still represented a bulk-standard 2-level vulnerable overcall. East's first cue bid was a way of showing a good 4♥ bid (or better) and East's final jump was a clear choice - how could partner not have the ♥AK for a 5♥ jump? The play was straightforward.
Notice the use of a weak two bid in diamonds; this hand is eminently suitable for bidding a weak two with only five cards - first in hand, favourable vulnerability, strong ♦ intermediates, few cards in the majors, and little overall defence. A South with more experience - at a different table which also saw a 2♦ opener - found a 5♦ raise on the first round and this left the opposition no room to explore and they stopped in 5♥.
In practice, even a pass from North was not enough to allow the grand slam to be bid. At table five, the bidding was P - 1♥ H - P - 1♠ , P - 1N(weak) - P - 2♦(general GF), X - P(no ♦ stop) - 4♦ - 5♦, P - 6♦ - P - 6♥ - end.
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HotD-wed : Garden Cities Final : 15jun19 : B44 |
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The Cheltenham Bridge Club team-of-8 champions made one of their occasional appearances on Satruday at the final of the EBU's national clubs championship. They were lying first by just 1 VP when this board appeared in the last match. The contract at all four tables in our match was 4♠-doubled by West; the auction shown happened at one table, but others were different. At two tables in our match, the heart lead was won by the ace and declarer promptly ruffed a heart and pushed out a diamond. Both Norths quickly decided that declarer would not have two singletons, and they ducked; this was fatal as declarer rose with the king and now only lost three tricks.
Ducking the diamond was poor logic. If you place declarer with six spades and one heart, then declarer has at least 6 cards in the minors, and it can never hurt to go up with the diamond ace, as declarer can never throw away enough clubs on the diamonds to worry you. Ducking in the hope of a mis-guess and declarer going an extra trick down is never worthwhile when a doubled game is at risk.
Across the four tables at which we played, there were two instances of 4♠-doubled making and two instances of 4♠-doubled one down - so in the end it was a flat board for our team.
The board however was vitally important to us because of what happened to our main rivals - the Tunbridge Wells team. In their match nobody played in 4♠ - every table played in hearts. There were three tables pushed up to 5♥ going down, and importantly the team from Avenue Bridge Club in Brighton was allowed to play in 4♥ making; the Tunbridge Wells team lost 24 imps on the board because of this and with that they lost their chance to get ahead of Cheltenham.
The Cheltenham team comprised : Allan Sanis & Paul Denning, Ben Ritacca & Tony Letts, Judy Sanis & Val Constable, Patrick Shields & Richard Chamberlain.
This is the first national trophy won by the Cheltenham Bridge club since 1999.
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HotD-fri : CBC Pairs League : 12jun19 : B18 |
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The latest run of the popular Pairs League completed this week; the winners of Division One were Patrick Shields & Garry Watson, with Val Constable & Judy Sanis winning Division Two and Kate & Philip Morgan winning Division Three. [The lower Divisions complete next week]. The Division One winners were 40 VPs clear but sufferered their worst result of the series on this hand from Wednesday.
The bidding shown was difficult to avoid after East opened the bidding; not everyone would open as East but the style of getting in there first, and opening on any decent lead in first position at favourable vulnerability, is all the range these days. Given partner was known to have something, it was difficult for West for avoid doubling the final contract. And so it came that Joe Angseesing had to declare in 4♥-doubled.
The opening lead was the ♦Q won by declarer, who was much cheered by the perfect fit which the North and South hands displayed. The play continued with the club ace and a ruff, a diamond to the king and another club ruff, and finally the ♠A and a fourth club ruff - importantly not over-ruffed. By this time declarer had 7 tricks and still held the ♥T9 opposite dummy's ♥AK6. Joe exited in diamonds and East's ♦9 was beaten by West's ♦T. West could exit with the ♥Q but when declarer exited with a losing spade, West could discard the ♣K but he had to ruff the next spade and then lead a heart into dummy's honours - letting the contract make.
Could the defence have done better? Yes - it was all about who won the third round of diamonds. If East had risen with the ♦Q he would have been on lead at the important moment and been able to cash a spade and avoid partner's end-play. Alternatively West could have got rid of the ♦T on the second round and ensured that partner got it right. Both felt guilty.
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HotD-thu : Summer Pairs : 10jun19 : B26 |
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Another hand from Monday on which everyone played the same contract (3N) and all but one made the same lead (♥5) - and the outcome was 10 tricks except for one table which made 9 tricks; nobody made the 11 tricks I felt I should have made.
The opening lead whether a heart or a diamond is quite neutral to delcarer, and there should be no doubt that a spade to the ten is the better way to play that suit as you can thereby collect four tricks when South has the queen, while leading the king first loses out to South having four to the queen (gaining when South has five small) and leading to the ace and returning the jack only works if North has exactly Qxx and fails with Qx or Qxxx.
After the spade ten holds, declarer comes back in diamonds, hoping to duck a trick to South but when the ten appears you win and it seems natural to play back a low diamond (importantly the 9) to find out how they break. This leave North the option of safely playing back partner's suit or a diamond; if either of those happens declarer can cash all their major suit winners, using the ♦8 entry if necessary to end up in dummy and ready to lead a club towards the ♣KT - and when you do this you make a club tricks and find 11 tricks have landed in your lap.
It seems this happened at none of the seven tables; at my table North inconveniently switched to a club on winning the second round of diamonds, and rising with the club king would have risked the contract - so in went the ten and South made a club trick - and now declarer's total could not exceed ten tricks. :(
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HotD-wed : Summer Pairs : 10jun19 : B7 |
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It is hard to imagine a different contract on this hand and on Monday all tables did play in 3N; it is hard to imagine a different lead from East and on Monday all but one West led a fourth best club. But across the field people made either 8 or 9 or 10 or 11 tricks. How did that happen?
The 11-tricks first - this was the consequence of the lead of ♥7, which gave declarer the tempo to play on both diamonds and spades to set up tricks, before the defence could get clubs going. Given West is looking at 10-hcp, the likelihood of setting up partner's suit and getting there to cash is remote - so a heart lead doesn't look right. It got its just deserts.
One a club lead declarer might duck the first round but will soon be in, and has a choice of whether to go after diamonds or spades to develop tricks. Two aspects of creating tricks must play in; one is guaranteeing enough tricks to make the contract (which means making two tricks in spades or making three tricks in diamonds) and the other is making - since this is matchpoints - as many tricks as possible.
The spade suit can guarantee two tricks but losing two tricks might be fatal if the defence get clubs going. The best line there to get two quick tricks is small to the king and queen, but the best overall line in the suit (maximising the chance of three tricks) is to run the ten.
The diamond suit can guarantee two tricks, but making three tricks is only a 37% shot. The diamonds are therefore more likely than spades to let the defence in twice - and so allow them to set up clubs.
This settles that the spade suit the best one to tackle, but we are then faced with the question of going for two tricks (up to KQ, a 60% chance of two tricks and a third of that will deliver three tricks) or for three tricks (run the T, a 50% chance of success). The calculation of what is optimal requires using Game Theory to model what other tables will do. The two options deliver very different results - running the spade ten will cost the contract as East can win and clear the clubs (in practice it looks like one declarer did this). Leading up to the top spades will (when the spades break 3-3) ten tricks, and a number must have found this to get their 10 tricks.
Leading diamonds does get you three tricks on this occasion, but when you give up a trick to the ♦ KQ you give the defence a chance to set up clubs, and now you get no spade tricks - and this gives a 9 trick outcome.
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HotD-sat : Avon League : 06jun19 : B2 |
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There were a couple of interesting points in this hand from this week's league match. The first is the opening bid - the rationale for opening 1♣ being that this will never be passed out and so a chance to show a big hand will come on the next round. The other table opened a strong 1♣ and after the bidding continued 2♠ - P - P ; what do you bid now? The option found, was 3♠ a a Michaels bid, showing 5-5 in hearts and a minor. As a result both tables played in 4♥.
The lead was the ♦J for which declarer said "thanks" and proceeded to cover with the queen-king-ace. It was best now to cash a top club and ruff one, and lead a heart from dummy. Now came the question - with six spades on th eleft and one on the right, do I finesse in hearts or play them from the top?
The answer - a little counter-intuituively - is that it is better to play for the drop. Yes, the queen is more likely to be with East, but you need to note that the finesse gains only when East has Qxx (12% chance), but loses out when West holds singleton Q (4%) or Qx (14%).
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HotD-thu : Summer Teams : 3jun19 : B31 |
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This was the only good slam on offer on Monday, and you had to be sitting East-West to get a chance at bidding it! The "normal" start to the bidding might be as shown. Notice first how the East hand bids hearts before diamonds; this is very much the common style these days, making the finding of a 4-4 major fit quicker (and if you were passing a 1N rebid it might be the only way to find it). Notice also that the West hand does not merit a game forcing 2♠ bid on the second round, as you cannot justify game on a misfit. And finally, notice how East prefers to mark time with Fourth Suit Forcing rather than jump to 3N, as opener could still be a 4045 shape at this point. Over partner's game forcing 2♦ however, West must show some signs of life, and the most descriptive way of doing this is 3♥. How should East continue at this point? The hearts are clearly not ideal for playing in that suit, and there are two diamond stops, so it looks like 3N is the best choice. East has already promised 12+ hcp, so there isn't much extra and the diamond honours opposite a shortage does dampen any slam ambitions. This puts the boat back in West's court; should West continue? The answer is yes but that wasn't clear to everyone at the table; the 3♥ bid was a positive move but you might have bid that on a hand that was a king or ace less, which means you really owe partner another bid, and if you are willing to trust partner's ability to make 4N (as you should have a minimum of 30 hcp) then a raise to 4N looks in sorder. Over this East's best move is to jump to 6♣ and that might well be the final contract. We might prefer to end in 6N on these cards, but 6♣ would be an excellent slam even if the diamond king was replaced by a small diamond - and the reason it is such a good slam is that the card missing are all jacks and queens. How should the play go? The key is not to lose two club tricks and the best play is to lead towards the K87 and insert the 7; because the jack appears today, you win the king and run the ♣8 on the way back to collect 13 tricks. BTW - you would normally be happy to need four tricks from this club suit - did you know the odds on making 4 tricks is over 94% if you take the suggested line? |
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HotD-wed : Summer Teams 2 : 3jun19 : B16 |
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The value of getting into the bidding first can be seen on this hand from Monday; with a free run you'd expect North-South to find their spade fit and have room to judge the level, but what is the answer here? [You might think that the problem would be solved were South to simply overcall in spades and get raised, but when you have to overcall at the two level, you don't want to do it on a suit like this - think what would happen were partner say a 1525 shape. The higher the opening the more shape you need to bid and the more willing you are to double] The options facing North were a minimum bid in spades (the hand must be too good for that), or to make an invitational bid in spades (3♠ it would be, but if partner lacks four spades it's not where you want to stop) , or to make a game forcing bid showing four spades (a clear overbid). The latter was chosen and so South ended in 4♠ (as did the majority of the other nine tables). Every table played this hand in spades and every table got a diamond lead. It was surprising so many made 10 tricks. The best defence is for East to win two diamonds and to play a third. One declarer erred at this point by ruffing with the spade ten (better than ruffing with the queen) - and although West played the ♠K on that, there was still a losing club in the end. It would have been better to discard a club on the third diamond, which West will ruff. On a neutral return, declarer now has to decide whether to play West (who started with only two diamonds) to have been dealt ♠K9 (small to ace now wins) or ♠K98 (lead the queen to pin the jack). It might look a close call but it's not really - you have to factor in also that West might have started with ♠J98 (where small to ace is wanted). Since - subject to West's expected high card values - the last two options are so close, small to the ace which also caters for the first option is the winner. It was good to see that eight of the ten declarers managed to make their ten tricks on this hand. |
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HotD-fri : Welsh Cup : 28may19 : B32 |
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The county has had a presence in the Welsh Cup for many years now, but the format changed recently and that fact that Paul Denning & Patrick Shields lost an early match was no longer a killer - the competition has become a double elimination, and this was the last board from the repercharge, from which they qualified for the finals in August. The bidding here was little surprise, but the play thew up something we had never seen before.
Expecting North to be strong in clubs, East chose to attack dummy's suit and the first trick was the ♠T which ran round to the jack. Declarer crossed to the ♣A and ran the ♦T which held, and followed with a diamond to the queen. This cut off the diamond suit, so North went back to spades, leading to the ♠Q and, disappointingly, the ♠K. West continued with a spade to the ace, and for want of anything better they were given the fourth round of spades. Again conscious of North's club strength, West kept away from that suit and attacked hearts, leading the ♥8 to the ♥J and ♥K. Declarer has eight tricks at this point - two spades, one heart, three diamonds and two clubs - so the contract is getting very close.
The ending we have reached has North holding ♦AJ♣KJ8 with the lead in dummy; both defenders are in danger of being endplayed as West holds ♥QT♣Q95 while East holds ♥A75♦K9. Declarer has to play a heart from dummy to the ten and discard a club. Things are looking good for an endplay, but consider what happens when West continues with the next heart. North needs to discard down to a singleton in one minor; the winning defence is now for East to duck if North comes down to a singleton club, but to overtake if North comes down to a singleton diamond. That way a defender can always put declarer on lead to gain their partner a trick. The hand actually finished with an entry-shifting squeeze by the defence on declarer - something none of us have ever seen before!
[The defence would have had an easier time if West had led a top heart the first time he led hearts - unblocking the suit, but then we'd still be waiting for an entry shifting squeeze by the defence]
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HotD-thu : BH Pairs : 27may19 : B15 |
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It was curious on this hand from Monday to see the majority choose to play in an 8-card fit in hearts rather than a 10-card fit in spades, and to see the majority play in a part-score when a small slam looks to be excellent odds. How did it happen? It came down to a combinaiton of decisions from South first and then North. The first decision by South was whether or not to open a weak-two bid on a near-ideal heart suit but with Axx on the side as support for spades. At this vulnerability the opening is primarily constructive, so the strength seems not inappropriate, and the danger of playing in the wrong suit is real but acceptable. The next choice was then for North to make - to pass 2♥ or to offer spades. The danger of bidding is that you end up too high on a misfit, but at the same time you are expecting the opposition to have half the HCP in the pack and you have a singleton club - making it unlikely that 2♥ will finish the auction. There is therefore a good case for bidding 2♠ - and on average you will have mnore spades between the two hands than you have hearts. Over 2♠ South has an ideal hand for a 4♦ splinter and that is all North needs to hear to bid the slam. But nobody did! Notice how difficult it is to have that auction if South were to open a multi-2♦ on the hand, showing an unspecified major. It is much more difficult after that start to find a spade fit - but not impossible (you need to be playing that 2♠ then 3♠ is non-forcing with spades). This might well put you off a multi-2♦ opening when you are playable in both majors. |
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HotD-wed : GCBA Squad : 23may19 : B8 |
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This hand from last week's game proved difficult for many. Notice first how advantageous it is for South to be declarer on this hand - any lead but a club gives declarer a definite advantage, and even a club lead does set up some winners. This bonus from transfers applies particularly when the hands are of unequal strength, so particularly over a 2N opener. If you choose to break the transfer with the South hand, you should be sure to play re-transfers (4♦ here) so that North can put the declarership back with South.
Here the lead was a not-terribly helpful club (♣5), and RHO won the ace and played back a diamond. What should you try now?
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You have lost one trick and there is the possibility of losers in diamonds and hearts, and you can afford two but not three.
The first thing to register is that the odds on the ♦KJ lying well for you are not good - as with nothing in diamonds West might equally well have led a diamond as a club at trick one. So you will want to dicard some diamonds on clubs. Some declarers tried the ♦Q but this lost to the king. A second club went to the king, and declarer led the ♥A and another but East had two heart tricks and that was one down.
Although there might be some implications from the card led, a priori the odds on the clubs being 4-3 is seriously greater than 50% - which means there is an excellent chance of being able to make two discards on the ♣JT. Declarer's better line is therefore to rise with the diamond ace, cash ♥A, unblock the club, and take a spade ruff to get to dummy. Provided the third club stands up and takes care of one diamond, the fourth club can take care of the second and we don't mind who ruffs. There will only be two trumps to lose on this line and the contract makes. |
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HotD-fri : Summer Teams 1 : 20may19 : B3 |
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This little hand from Monday was played in 1N by the majority of tables, but the tables which obtained the best scores were those who played in 2♥ (as North-South) or 2♠ (as East-West), both of which contracts made exactly. These contracts are only reachable if North (playing a strong NT) opens with a minor suit.
But the real interest arises playing in 1N; after the lead of the ♠2 to the ace and the return of the ♠3, you should expect that the spades are breaking 4-4, and that means you have six top losers. You need to find the heart jack to deliver yourself three tricks there and a total of 7 tricks. There is no certainy in whatever line you choose, but what is your best play in the heart suit?
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The answer depends on who has most hearts. If you know who has most then your best play is to lead through the short hand first, winning with the king or queen, and then finessing on the way back (whether or not the ace has appeared). But who has the short hearts? There is no certainty, but if you are willing to make one simple assumption then there is an answer. The assumption is that the hand (East) which led a fourth best spade did not have a five card suit. If you are willing to go with that, then you know that West has at least two diamonds and at least three clubs (to go with the four spades). For East you only "know" there will be at least one heart, one diamond and one club.
When we now look at the hearts, West has 4 vacant spades while East has 6 vacant spaces. We therefore expect West to have the short hearts. So the right play is to cross to the top club in dummy and lead up to the heart king, later finessing East for the jack. Curiosuly enough this is also the winning line here today. But all four declarers who got a spade lead got that wrong and went off. [The diamond lead at the fifth table did not worry declarer]. |
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HotD-thu : Summer Teams 1 : 20may19 : B12 |
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The strong NT opening here makes for a simple auction, and LHO leads the ♥6 which goes to the queen and king, after which West shifts to the ♦6. It is good news that the hearts are blocked (LHO having A9763 is what it looks like). With three tricks in spades and none in hearts you need six in the minors. What's your best bet?
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There are two choices - you can go for five tricks in diamonds and one in clubs, or go for four/five tricks in clubs and two/three in diamonds. The big isssue you had was entries to dummy - to get the diamonds going you would (normally) have to cross to dummy once to run the jack, and then after unblocking the ace-king, go back to cash the long diamonds. But you lack the entries to do this - until they lead a diamond for you ....
You are therefore very tempted to let this lead run, and that is what a number of declarers did do. But East won the queen and cashed the remaining hearts for 3NT down two.
Should declarer have ducked? This is a play which would gain if West had started with exactly Qxx diamonds - it is neutral with Qx and not enough if Qxxx and loses when West has the queen. The alternative play is to win the diamond ace and play a club to the jack. This makes the contract every time West holds the king of clubs - either doubleton, tripleton, of four-carded. In itself this surely at least as good odds; cashing the top diamonds might be combined with the clubs - but when West wins the club and plays back a spade (assuming the defenders still held the ♦Q) there will be entry problems in cashing the clubs and spades (which disappear when the ♣98 drop). Still it makes on doubleton ♦Qx, or ♣K with West and clubs 3-3 (or the 98 drops). Which means the simple line in clubs comes out best.
From another perspective, West's choice after winning the first two hearts will be geared to find East's entry - and the fact that the choice was a diamond (with that length in dummy) rather than a club, must strongly suggest the diamond is offside - and even hint that the club is onside (ie with West). But of course, next time, West might try a double bluff on you here! |
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HotD-wed : Summer Teams 1 : 20may19 : B1 |
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This was thw wildest hand of the night on Monday, with a big swing result in every match. This was the auction from table one and there are a few points worth discussing.
The first is the opening bid, which was in second seat at both non-vul, and as such is where you would expect the bias in the bid to be constructive slightly more than obstructive - but the fact that three declarers ended in diamonds means is was not an uncommon choice. The suit quality and the playability in two other suits, and the fact that partner cannot bounce the bidding before their "strong" hand gets to bid - these all argue that a pass is more sensible.
The next quesiton is what West should do; the hand is very suitable for playing in diamonds and that makes the leap to ace asking attractive, so although it is not everyone's cup of tea (some prefer to show the heart suit first), it is reasonable here. After West finds there is a key card missing and settles for a small slam - it is over to North and here, as whenever the opportunity arises, one should not hesitate from producing a Lightner double (a double of a slam, asking for an unusual lead). The main catch is that this gives West a chance to reconsider. This West might have deduced that the double was a heart void wanting a ruff, and the possibility of removing to 6♥ (any heart honours are onside) should have been considered - but West let it go.
The result was not a foregone conclusion - it all depends on what lead South selects. Reading partner for a void would lead some to fish out a spade at trick one (which lets declarer wrap up 13 tricks) but Allan Sanis made a Good Move by starting with the ♣A. He could see dummy now and - importantly - he got a signal from partner with a low club, and that was enough to signal the heart ruff. That put the contract one down.
Two pairs bid the heart slam - well done to them, and three pairs stopped in a heart game. The auction at table seven was P - P - P - 1♥, 1♠ - 4♥ - 4♠ - 5♣, P - 5♦ - P - 5♥ - end. This auction had started well but faltered.
The auction at table nine was this : P - 2♦ - P - 4♥ , X-end. North had intended the double to show the other two suits and if South had been on the same wavelength then they might have been the only pair playing in spades, sacrificing over whatever the East-West pair bid. When the doubvle was passed out and a top spade was led, that was three overtricks and an unusual -890 score.
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HotD-fri : Summer Pairs 1 : 13may19 : B18 |
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It took only a slightly optimistic view by the North-South pair to over-stretch on this hand from Monday. Facing a heart lead, what is the best way forward?
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If we look at the individual suits - we have in spades a finesse and one possible loser, in hearts the same, in diamonds a finesse and two possible losers, and in clubs we have to find one of the king and jack, and that looks like a double finesse is best. It is possible that the fourth club might obviate the need for the spade finesse - which might help sometimes. If everything lay perfectly for you that might be 11 tricks, but with a weak NT on the right there will be only about 5 HCP on the left and at least one of the finesses will be wrong.
When West leads a heart, it is important that you recognise that the heart finesse is wrong for you, and so you rise with the ace and play a second heart. When East wins with the doubleton king, the return you get must help you. In practice East led back the ♣5 which you let run (he might have had ♠K♥K♦A♣K and no choice) but West wins the king and switches to spades.
Once again you should expect that to be a sign that the spade finesse is offside, and rise with the ace. When the ♣Q is cashed and the ♣T is led, you see East plays the ♣4 and ♣6. You haven't seen the jack at this point, so you have to ask yourself whether the lead of the five is more likely from ♣J654 or ♣654. Clearly the latter - so the defender in situations like this should be careful to play cards from the bottom. When your ace drops the jack, you can discard the ♠Q and lead up to the diamond king in the hope of making the contract. You know by now that it is going to be wrong, but escaping for one down earns you a score a tiny bit above average.
Notice the importance of end-playing East - if you hadn't done that then you would have been taking a double club finesse, and would have lost to both the king and jack of clubs. |
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HotD-thu : Summer Pairs 1 : 13may19 : B19 |
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There were plenty of interesting hands on Monday but curiously there were also a surprising number of flat boards. On B8, everybody scored the same 480 playing in spades as West on the same ♥K lead and making the same 12 tricks. (It is a cold slam we should all have bid). On B13 every North played in spades and it is a mystery why two of them did not achieve the ordained 11 tricks. On B16 every West played in 3N making the same 11 tricks on the same ♠4 lead. On B22 every South played in 4♠ making the obvious 10 tricks (and all but one had the same lead).
Today's hand wasn't like those hand; three tables played EW in spades and should all have gone down although one made; four tables played in hearts and should all have made 9 tricks but two tables only made 8 tricks.
After the auction shown the defence naturally kicked off with two spades, the second one ruffed by declarer. Across went declarer to the ♣A and then came a losing heart finesse. West carefully continued hearts which declarer won. He did a good thing next - cashing his top clubs before trying a diamond to the jack and king. If West had played a third spade earlier then East would be down to just diamonds and the thirteenth club here and would have to play diamonds to declarer's advantage, but here he also had a spade to play and declarer ruffed this with his second small trump. At this point he had to lead diamonds from hand and lost two more tricks in the suit.
That was all a little careless; the key point was when the third spade came - declarer should have ruffed high and then could cross to the ♥8 in dummy to lead diamonds towards hand. The diamond suit looks a priori very fragile - btu we need ot remember that it is worth a sure trick if the other side lead the suit, and if you have to lead it yourself it still makes a trick 50% of the time (when both honours are in the same hand - as long as you get to lead up to both).
Sometimes it takes a lot to go off in a contract, but people are surprisingly good at finding ways!
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HotD-fri : Spring Fours : PB FInal : 6may19 : B2 |
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The local team of John Atthey, Richard Chamberlain, Paul Denning, Richard Plackett, Patrick Shields and Garry Watson played in the Spring Fours at Stratford last weekend. Their first defeat was against the Mossop team who won the competition overall; their second defeat was to the Brock team, some of whom went on to win the Swiss Teams; their third defeat was to a Scottish team who had to run off at that point and that allowed this team to continue in the Punch Bowl (the secondary event), only to be defeated in the final of that by the winners. The final was a very close scoring match with six 1-imp swings, two instances of 3N making or not depending on the lead (10 imps went each way on those), and this hand.
The bidding shown was when the other team sat North-South; most North's preferred to double 1♠ and when this happend in the main event it proceeded 1♠ - X - 3♠ - P - 4♠ - end and that drifted one down. The other table in our Punch Bowl final also reached 3N, but after a takeout double by North. Both tables in 3N had a spade lead, won by declarer. This was the hand which swung the event - our man made too few tricks and they made more than they might. How should you proceed?
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The first step is going to be to cash some diamonds; starting with the ace keeps all option open but which honour will you play next? The concern is someone having Jxxx and it could be either. The only hint you have is that West is likely to have 5+ spades and East has only promised 3; so it seems best to cash the queen, and when you do, West shows out and you can cash four rounds of the suit. On these West keeps all his spades and discards two hearts and a club. You are now up to seven tricks, with the possibility of another in hearts or in clubs.
It is important at this point to recognise that you are going off in this contract (they have four spades to cash when they get the lead) and your job is now to minimise the damage. The best chance of an eighth trick is to play ♥A and lead towards the queen and this was the line of play chosen by the players in the main competition. Here however, declarer tried the ♣A first, and exited with a second club, hoping for an endplay. East won and played spades but West cashed from the top and then had to lead away from the heart king, so the game was just one down. If West had put East in on the fourth spade, it would have allowed East to cash the ♣Q before playing a heart through and the game would have been two off.
At the other table, our man got the diamonds wrong and basically cashed out his six top tricks to go down three. The 5 imps lost on this board was the final margin in the match. |
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HotD-thu : Spring Fours semifinal : 7may19 : B11 |
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The football results of the past two nights made the point to us all that you never know how it is going to turn out - and the same feature of bridge is illustrated by this hand from the semi-final of the Spring Fours on Tuesday of this week. The two teams concerned were the two English teams who reached the semi-finals, led by David Mossop and by Sandra Penfold.
It was Brian Senior (for the Penfold team) who prepetrated the opening bid on the South hand here - purporting to show a weak two bid in hearts. What a time to choose to do it with a 2-count, finding the next hand with a massive 21-point hand. Over this opening what can you do? Most of us would settle for a double but Tom Paske had a tool in his toolbox, and bid 4♣ to show game going values with at least 5-5 in clubs and spades. His partner had values but they all seemed wasted, so he signed of as quickly as he could in a game that might make. But his 4♠ bid could be made on many different hands, so West continued with a cue bid of 5♦. East declined again and 5♠ was the final contract. This made easily but when giving up one club tricks gets you 6N that looks like a disaster. Or, from South's point of view, it looks like a success.
But that all depends on the other room .... and here's what happened there when North-South were totally silent. West opened 1♠ and East bid 2♥ (natual and game forcing). They proceeded 3♣ - 3♥ - 4♣ - 4♦ and at this point (like on yesterday's hand) the bidder chose 5N to ask partner to pick a slam. East duly picked 6♥ and that's where the auction ended. The contract had to go down, and now the 5♠ contract turned into a success, gaining 11 imps.
The other semi-final match found it no easier - one table played in 6♣ making, while the other was in 7♠ going down three.
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HotD-wed : Spring Fours : 03may19 : B1.28 |
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The Spring Fours is the top English congress weekend, and this year had 60 teams taking part, including a number of foreign visitors. The top seeded team were English, but the next seed mixed Germany & USA, the losing finalists were German (with one Englishman), and so it went on. The winners of an exciting final in which the lead changed hands multiple times in the final set, were the Mossop team. There was one Gloucestershire team playing in the Spring Fours, and they played against Mossop in the first round. The Mossop team did bid the wrong slam on th efirst board (losing 17 imps) but then they got their heads down and won easily; this hand - bid by Jason & Justin Hackett - illustrates their bidding skills.
The 1N opening showed 14-16 HCP (that changes to 15-17 for third and fourth in hand) and the 3♦ bid was a new gadget - showing four spades and longer hearts (and game forcing values). West started by showing a spade fit, and there then followed a diamond bid showing shortage, a heart cue, a club cue, and the diamond ace. At this point came the important choice - with the diamond ace known to be in West, the West hand could nd longer contain ♠AK and ♥AQ so a grand slam was too dicey; settling for a small slam, East bid 5N to ask partner to pick which slam. Clearly the options were hearts and spades and with three (good) hearts it was easy for West to choose hearts. This slam could have been beaten if North had led a spade at trick one, but when that didn't happen, declarer was able to draw trumps, throw a losing spade on the diamond ace, ruff a club, and give up a trick to the spade king. Those who found and played in their 4-4 spade fit did not find it as easy - no matter what they tried there were two unavoidable spade losers.
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HotD-fri : League 10 : 29apr19 : B28 |
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The two teams leading Division One met in the final league match on Monday, and their respective scores meant that one of the two teams would end up league winner at the end. After 27 boards the match score was tied at 52-52 and then came this board, which decided the match.
The bidding at table one (where East-West were playing five card majors) started as shown; what should North do now? You clearly expect to defeat 1♣ but if you pass you do not expect the opposition to stop there, and when they run partner will start doubling for penalties in the expectation of rather more help from your hand. For this reason Paul Denning chose 1♥; from East's perspective, the vulnerable opponents were playing in his best suit, so he passed (where 1N would have been a winning bid) and that became the final contract. After a club opening lead, East found the heart switch necessary to hold declarer to seven tricks; two top trumps, three outside tricks and one club ruff and one diamond ruff then delivered the contract, and a score of +80 to team one.
In the other room, East had started the bidding (here playing weak NT and four card majors) with 1♥ so that was never going to be North's contract. The bidding proceeded 2♦-P-P and with so many HCP, East would not let it go; his takeout double led his partner to bid 2♥ and there the bidding ended. The fate of the match now depended on the defence to this contract. When North-South failed to get the two ruffs found in the other room, the contract was one down to give 50 to team two. That lost one imp and the final margin was that single imp. If the contract had gone down two for +100, then the score would have been 1 imp in the other direction!
The board decided the match but not the league as the other team went into the match 9 VPs ahead, and they won the league!
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HotD-thu : League 10 : 29apr19 : B3 |
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The results on this hand from Monday were surprisingly consistent, but a number of interesting options appear in both the bidding and one in the play.
The first question is how to treat the opening hand; it is 21 HCP but it has a decent five card suit, and it has no jacks. This latter point is very important when slamming with these hands, and the combination of those two features should make you want to treat the hand as a 22-count (or even a 23-count). Whether or not this leads to a change in your opening bid depends on the strength you assign to a 2N opener.
The second choice is by North on how to continue. Although there may be system constraints, for many there will be a choice of ask (with 3♣) or show (tranferring to 3♥ and then bidding spades). In general the latter option is to be preferred as it leads to a more informed conversation but if you are playing a convention called Smolen (where 3♣-3♦-3M shows four of that and five of the other major) then the ask route maximises the chance of the strong hand being declarer. If you start with 3♣ this time you are pleased to hear partner bid 3♠, but what now? You want to go slamming but your hand is unsuitable for taking charge; the answer is that while a 4♣ or a 4♦ bid would be natural, a bid of 4♥ does not make sense after opener has denied hearts, and so this bid is assigned to be a general slam try in spades. This ought to get the South hand excited enough to take charge with 4N asking for key cards (although when opener had already shown 22-24 hcp, it might well sign off). If South asks for key cards it will quickly come to light that the trump queen is missing and so the contract has to be just 6♠.
When rather than bid 3♣, North decides to start with a transfer there are options for South to consider over 3♦. Most of the County team here play that a break to 3♠ tells partner that opener lacks a heart fit (and so has at most two hearts) but has a five card spade suit. This is very descriptive and can be key to reaching a five-three spade fit when responder has a 35-- shape. The follow up question not always answered is how, after a 3♠ break, responder can show support and slam interest. Since clubs and diamonds bids need to be natural (responsder could have 55 shape or more) and hearts and spades are to play, this hand would need to bid 5♠ as a slam try; this is mildly descriptive in that it passes over the option to jump to 5♣ or 5♦ as a splinter agreeing spades (or could it be a splinter for hearts?) and so will be a 3532/3523/4522 shape.
Yet another issue arises if South make a simple transfer acceptance of 3♥ and then North continues with 3♠. Clearly South wants to show excitement now about the spade fit, so a cue bid of 4♣ looks natural, but in this position opener might want to suggest slam in hearts or suggest a slam in spades and needs to be able to distinguish the two. There is only one recongised option for that, and it is to use 4♣, irrespective of the actual club holding, to indicate slam interest in hearts and 4♦ to indicate slam interest in spades. After South shows slam inteest, North will not stop.
Across the field, there was one table played in game, and one in the grand slam, but all the rest were in 6♠. Why one table ended in 7♠ has not yet been revealed.
The play in 6♠ is of course trivial, but in the grand slam you have the dilemma of how to play the trump suit. The a priori odds are that the suit will break 2-2 and you cash spades from the top, but there is something else to consider when in a grand slam. And the fact to consider is that a trump lead is often recommended as a safe option against a grand slam. If the hand on lead has the trump queen you will not get a trump lead, but if it hasn't got the queen then you might. This is enough often to swing you in favour of playing the opening leader for the trump queen when it is missing. (Here the position is a bid more clouded as opening leader would probably shy away from leading a singleton trump also - the argument comes mostly from 8-card trump fits). Here the grand was played by North on the one occasion it happened; North duly cashed the spade king first and had an easy answer on the second round.
And we thought that responding to 2N with both majors was one of the easier bidding positions to be in!
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HotD-wed : League 10 : 29apr19 : B1 |
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This hand from Monday offered a variety of lines to choose in the common 4♠ contract, and it was a surprise to see that everyone in spades emerged with exactly 10 tricks. The different lines depended on the opening lead and defence. The eaiest lead for declarer was the ♥Q, found at three tables. With so few values, East was thinking that high cards were not enough to beat the contract, and was looking to a ruff as a fourth defensive trick. In practice this gave declarer a trivial second heart trick and the contract was now unbeatable. The most common lead was a diamond, which allowed West to cash the ace and king. At this point the contract's future lay in West's hand. Unfortunately it looks very appealing to tackle hearts, but look what happens - this sets up the second heart trick for declarer. The stronger defence at this point is to play the ♣Q. After that declarer has the problem of how to play hearts. The best odds line is not clear, but a little research shows that the best odds is achieved by leading the ten. Once that is covered and the ace wins, you cross back over and lead the ♥8 and to finesse West for the nine. You will lose out when West has KQ and East the 9, but gain in the two cases of West with Q9/K9 with East holding the K/Q. Across 10 tables, it would be a surprise not to see some declarer lead low to the jack and then lose a second trick to the K9. There were two leads of a black suit, and these both put declarer in the same position. The winning line now is to draw trumps and eliminate the clubs with one ruff, and then to exit in diamonds,. The defence can cash two tricks but they do better to cash one and then play hearts, so that East can win and lead another diamond. But again the defence have opened up hearts and given declarer a second heart trick. |
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HotD-fri : GCBA Squad Practice : 25apr19 : B15 |
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This hand from last night was only a small part-score but it proved tricky and two declarers went off. The opening lead is the ♣T and when it scores the defence continue with a second and third club. You play ace and another trump and RHO wins the KJ-doubleton and plays a fourth club which you ruff. The trumps have broken and that gives you four tricks there, two sure hearts and one sure diamond. Where will your eighth trick come from?
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There are three options for your extra trick - making a third heart, finding the dimaond jack, or finding the diamond king. The question is whether and how you can combine all three.
Given East doubled 1N as takeout of spades, you expect most of the high card points to be there, but you've already seem 11 hcp in the black suits, so you cannot be sure about any of those missing high red cards. There are a number of paths to success in practice, but the important thing is to allow any of the three options to work for you.
If you want two chances in diamonds you need to aim for a double finesse, but you lack the entries to lead twice from dummy. The answer is to lead once from hand towards then QT9, and then later once from dummy. This will succeed when East has one or two of themissing cards. Those whwo failed were those who played ♦A and another towards the ♦QT hoping for a winning guess. You can combine the double fiensse with cashing the ♥AK to give you a chance in that suit as well.
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HotD-thu : BH Summer Pairs : 22apr91 : B14 |
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Sometimes your bidding - despite all the good intentions - can leave you in what looks like a horrible spot. Today's hand is just such an example. It might have been better for West to open a weak 1N, in which case clubs would have been the contract - but here we are in 1N by East. The opening lead is a low diamond and you can see you are now wide open in both spades and diamonds. You must switch your attention from the bidding to the play. How is it best to proceed?
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You have two choices in the club suit; you can start with the ace or can come to hand with the top heart and lead towards the ♣AQ9. The latter will gain whenever there king is onside doubleton or tripleton, but you cannot cater for both. If you lead the jack and it is not covered, you need to overtake with the queen to to avoid blocking the suit - but if there is a ♣K76 holding with South you want to run the jack. The odds favour a doubleton king over a tripleton king, so the overtake looks right.
But the other thing to consider is would South ever duck with ♣Kx? Does playing small on the jack suggest that the king is with North? Now you might rise with the ace to drop the offside singleton king. The key is to play the ♣J before South knows your problem; what you need to do is to win the diamond ace at trick one, cross to the heart ace and lead the club jack; at this point it will be far from clear to South that you have this unexpected shape and the play on the ♣J will be to cover with the king and to play small without.
At the table declarer ducked trick one and North won the trick; he cashed the ♠J just to make that position clear, and returned to diamonds. When South now comes to play on the ♣J it was known that East had singletones in the two pointed suits, so playing small on the ♣J becomes easy from any holding. In practice declarer lost to the club king, lost four diamonds and - having discarded a spade on the run of the diamonds, lost five clubs. That meant only 3 tricks for declarer and a complete bottom. Playing the club suit optimally would have results in quite the opposite - with the favourable club position there are ten tricks available to declarer in 1N, and this would have outscored all the pairs who played in the more prosaic club contracts. |
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HotD-wed : BH Pairs : 22apr19 : B3 |
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It was a surprise on Monday that all but one table missed the optimal contract on this hand - so let's have a look at how it might be bid.
Let's assume that the vulnerable opponents with very few values keep quiet. Clearly South has a 1♣ opener and North a 1♦ response. It is curious to South that nobody has bid spades, but what can South do but support diamonds? And it has to be 3♦ to show the extra values. Over this North cannot rule out a 3N contract, so it seems right to continue with 3♥.
The interesting question is now what South does, having noted that North has suggested weakness in spades, and that makes it look like the hand is a good fit. The easy way to express this is with a splinter, and 4♠ at this point not only descibes the shape of the South hand, but places the final decision with North. From North's perspective, since South has a singleton spade, doesn't South's bidding guarantee ♥A ♦K ♣AK ? This makes slam trivial, and so the closing bid is 6♦.
It gets a little bit more fuzzy if East-West overcall in spades, but when the diamond fit is identified, South should aim for the same jump in spades to show a splinter. Maybe next time everyone will bid it!
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HotD-fri : League 9 : 15apr19 : B14 |
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This wasn't the strongest slam candidate on Monday (that was B26 where the grand slam was bid by five of the six teams in Division One) but it generated more swings because it was bid at half the tables (and one of those went down).
The key decision point was this; what should West be bidding on this round? Partner's 2N rebid has shown 15+ balanced and has created a game force.
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There are two quesitons you have to settle - one is denomination and the other is level. It is important to settle the denomination first, and here the issue is recognising that there are only two possibilities - and that these are clubs and no-trumps. The lovely heart suit we are looking at is an illusion as we "know" that partner does not have four hearts; for with 4-4 in the majors the opening would be 1♥ and with longer spades then partner would have bid 2♥ on the second round.
The only way to check out the denominaiton therefore is to bid 3♣, and when partner supports you are off to the races. You can see that making 6♣ depends on either finding the ♣Q and thereby avoiding a club loser, or if that fails, then taking a ruffing spade finesse. Easy slam to find, but only five tables reached it! |
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HotD-thu : League 9 : 15apr19 : B27 |
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At many tables this hand from Monday started with a weak 1N opener from West, and after a raise to game North led a heart and that provided declarer with an easy ninth trick, and time to set up a club for a tenth.
Three tables, including the one whose auction is shown (they were playing a strong 1N opener) got a spade lead. This immediately sets up four tricks in that suit for the defence, and so nine tricks must be made without losing the lead. The club finesse is an obvious possibility but on the auction shown it is extremely likely to fail.
In these circumstances, declarer's best option is nearly always to run the long suit, and this is what declarer did. For North it seemed safe to discard three hearts and two clubs. What could go wrong?
At table 4 : South had also to find some discards, and chose the ♥T early as a suit preference signal for spades. After cashing the diamonds declarer played a second spade; North won the king and played a spade to South who cashed two more winners. On the last of these declarer was down to ♥Q ♣AQ in dummy and to ♥A8 ♣5 in hand. North was squeezed and could not guard both suits - so the contract made. In fact even with the (poor choice of the) ♥T discard, the defence could have succeeded if South had won the third spade and played either side suit - as partner will gain the lead with that and lead a spade again.
At table 6 : North had showns hearts and another suit over 1N here, and East indicated a heart stop, hence the low spade lead from North; this was run to South's queen and the spade return went to the ace. North failed to unblock the ten and this allowed declarer to take the club finesse to make the contract - as the spades were blocked.
At table 3 : after a similar start North cofrrectly unblocked in spades but miscounted declarer's winners and threw too many winners and bared the club king. Because North had shown five hearts on the bidding, declarer was able to read the position correctly and dropped the king to make the contract.
It looked to be a simple flat board across the field, but it was harder work at some tables than at others.
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HotD-wed : League 9 : 15apr19 : B25 |
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This hand from Monday offered South and West a couple of tricky judgement calls. The first came after East passed; South is expecting solid clubs with partner and no aces or kings outside. There are clearly nine tricks there unless the opposition cash five spades and the defence against 3N openers (start with your strongest suit rather than your longest, and lead an ace if you can) is well known, so if the contract can go down it is likely to go down. It's a close call, as making 5♣ needs 11 tricks (with 10 in sight) and could be subject to three losers. South chose to pass.
Now over to West - who had no plans made for this situation. It is clear that North has long cubs, and any of the other suits could be the right answer. The best option to get partner involved is double and that is what West did. The double by West was recognised as a takeout double, but East passed because it looked like if South was serious that nothing would make for East-West, and if South wasn't serious South would rescue. Spotlight back to South. The stakes were now higher but there were no losers outside spades, so South braved it out and this passed the next problem back to East. What to lead?
There is a bit of bluff and double bluff going on here. For South's final pass to make sense there had to be some combinaiton of high cards and suit lengths in what was about to be dummy; the likely shortage in diamonds makes that suit more likely to be high cards, so East felt the choice was between the majors. On the basis that hearts needed less from partner (say, AQxx and an outside ace) the choice was ♥J, but declarer knew better than to try for an overtrick and rose with the ace to cash out for 3Nx+1 and a score of 550 points.
It was curious to note that this was the only North to declare 3N, and when South was declarer West managed to find the winning defence. The preemptive nature of the 3N opening paid off at this table, but where two Souths played in clubs after a 3N opener, the lead was an easy one for West to find. The 3N opening has much going for it.
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HotD-fri : CBC Pairs League : 10apr19 : B12 |
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This hand from Wednesday produced a lot of swings, and a few interesting points to discuss.
The first question is the opening bid by North; this auction from table two overcame the first hurdle which others faced, when Paul Denning upgraded and showed a strong balanced hand on the first round. Not many did that, and three of the tables who opened 1♠ played there; making the contract with overtricks was little consolation for the fact that a clear game had been missed. Once the bidding had reached West that was going to the be final cotnract, but there were two bids before that; East has minimal values but a six card suit is often worth bidding and here the hand might bid, but even if it doesn't South should really try to scrape up a response. Bidding has a very definite obstructive value, as well as the constructive value illustrated here - and that combionations makes it nearly always the right thing to do. A minimal 1N bid by South should lead to game in hearts.
As you can see, game in hearts is straightforward with two hearts to lose and possibly a diamond. The acution shown was the result of a memory lapse; the sequence of transfer and raise was actually a slam try (hence North's 4♠) - South should have transferred with 4♦ in order to stop in game. But the fact of a 5♥ contract raised interesting issues in the play, which we would otherwise miss!
The first is the opening lead; from East's perspective the opposition have made a slam try and partner cannot be expected to hold any values; every suit is therefore a dangerous lead and the target must be wichever is the least like to cost. The answer found, correctly, was the heart queen, which was overtaken by the king and the ace. Declarer now faced a dilemma - if the trumps break 2-2 then the contract is cold if a second trump is played. Can you tell? It depends a bit what you read into the play of the king. If the queen is an honest lead, then the king is known to be with West, so all West had done is play the card "known" to be held. The only two realistic options are that the lead was from a stiff queen or from a QJ or QJT combination. Declarer decided the trumps might be 2-2 and played a second round. West won the ten, and now had to choose what to play.
Defeat of the contract clearly depends on making a trick in diamonds or spades, and the question West needs to ask is whether there is a danger of a loser in one of those suits being discarded. The ♣K is not visible (although the lead gives an inference partner might hold it, for otherwise partner would have had a safe cliub lead). If we assume no ace will get lost, the question is whether declarer has enough spades to throw away three diamonds or enough diamonds to throw away one spade? Enough diamonds would imply that partner had failed to lead a singleton diamond, where enough spades does not have any negative implications. That decided the issue for West and he led a diamond. Declarer finessed and was one down.
Importantly, West had not cashed the winning heart; doing so would have enabled declarer to rise with the ♦A and cash the spades throwing diamonds - an option that was not practical when West could trump in to allow the defence to cash the ♦K. It is important when the opposition have misbid to be careful to take full advantage - we cannot relax because they are in a silly contract!
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HotD-thu : CBC Pairs League : 10apr19 : B22 |
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This hand was an appealing slam opportunity from last night's game, but whether or not to bid it was a close call. In practice there were only 2/12 tables bid the slam, and 3/12 stopped in 5♥. It was surprising that 7/12 managed to finish their investigations before stopping in 4♥. The play was easy at the four level, but was interesting at the five and six level.
Playing first in 6♥ the key question is the opening lead; both tables defending the slam started off with the singleton ♦7. The idea of leading a singleton against a slam has a good reputation, and here is was the only lead to beat the contract! Declarer won the first lead in hand and started on trumps. The most flexible approach is the ♥Q and ♥J first and at this point you learn of the heart break. The opening lead screams of the fact that the diamonds are breaking 1-5, so it looks right now to continue with the ♥K and a club finesse. It is now time to draw the last trump and - again with that diamond break in mind - you need to be looking for a twelfth trick. You can set up a trick in clubs because the break 3-3 but to take advantage of this you need to keep the ♦K as an entry for the fourth club. If you do this then a spade when the opponents win the third club will kill the entry for the long diamonds. One of the two tables in 6♥ was allowed to make.
Playing in 5♥ is a different proposition and all three tables in 5♥ received a club rather than a diamond lead. Two tables failed to make 11 tricks (and the third should have gone down too). The start to the play was similar - win trick one and then start drawing trumps. The mistake made by declarer at table one was - after that - switching to playing diamonds. The second diamond was ruffed and West played a third trump - there were only 10 tricks now. They key is to focus on the winners you need; knowing of two club tricks after that opening lead and five trumps, you need only four diamond tricks. The only layout which will stop that is West having five to the jack. The alternative which actually existed was however - given the heart break - rather more likely. The winning play is to draw all the trumps and then play a diamond to the king and a diamond to the ten. As soon as East has followed to the second diamond, this guaranteed the contract.
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HotD-wed : Swiss Pairs : 8apr19 : B1 |
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The fourth session of the Spring Swiss Pairs took place on Monday; in that session three wins and a score of 46 out of 60 VPs allowed Ashok Kwatra & Mike Wignall to move up from sixth place to first place. On this hand they earned a complete top in match ten.
The auction started as shown, and at this point a number of Easts looked at their four trumps and passed happily. On the three occasions when South played in 2♦, West led a spade - giving away a trick - and declarer won that cheaply. A diamond to the king saw West play the jack, and on the next spade South two of the Souths made the (sensible and) careful play of just covering East's card - and that limited the defence to one diamond and that meant ten tricks. This was good technique as playing the ace on the second round of the suit could never gain.
That didn't happen at the winner's table. Here Mike protected with 2♥ and when South decided to be (over?) cautious that is where the bidding finished. The defence started with two top spades and the leader recognised that a third one would be ruffed, and so switched to the singleton club. The ace won and when the ♣2 was ruffed on the next trick, South knew to underlead in diamonds (to the king) and a third club came through. Declarer has now lost 5 tricks and must find the trump queen to make the contract. Mike duly ruffed with the heart ace, and found opener with the queen and wrapped up 8 tricks.
The key point to note is that this vulnerability (neither vulnerable) is the time where it is more necessary than ever to compete; this is because the undoubled penalties are low - even down two is better than the opposition scoring 110.
Another table competed differently - with West doubling the opening bid on the first round; it proceeded 1♦ - X - 1N - 2♥ - 2♠ - P - 3♦ - end. West now avoided the spade lead and the play started with three rounds of hearts, the third ruffed by declarer. There was always a danger of losing the fourth spade to West, so declarer started with two top spades and then crossed to the ♦K to lead a third spade from dummy. If East ruffed that was likely to be with a trump trick, and if East didn't the fourth round could be ruffed with the ♦5 - and any over-ruff was likely to be with a trump trick. In practice East ruffed, and the spade ten was played; declarer felt pleased but when the remaining diamonds broke 3-1 there was still a trump loser - but at least the contract made!
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HotD-fri : County Pairs FInal : 30mar19 : B15 |
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The County Pairs Final last week took a little while to score - there was one board mis-scored and two rulings which affected the results. The eventual winners were Tony Hill & Alan Wearmouth, a fraction of a match-point ahead of Patrick Shields & Mike Wignall. This hand provided a complete top for the winners (although the auction shown is that from the runners-up table).
All tables but two played this hand in a spade game - the other contracts being 3♠ and 5♥ where the results did not trouble the scorers. The lead against the spade game was a top heart at three tables and the ♣6 at the others - which presumably reflects the frequency of the choice of clubs and hearts as the opening bid by South. On a heart lead by North, the club switch should come at trick two.
The focus is now on West and the one choice to be made is how to play the spade suit. The opening lead marks North with 3 hcp in hearts and that means there is at most 13 hcp left for South and we can be sure South holds the ♥AK and the ♣K. The other "knowledge" we have is that South did not open 1N, and if South is unbalanced, then it is odds on that South has a singleton somewhere. Clearly this could be in either diamonds or spades - but which is more likely? It has to be spades as declarer has more of them. Pushing against this is the expectation that most of the HCP will lie with the opening bidder.
But in fact we know where 13 of the hcp are, so all we have to consider is the ♠Q and the ♣J. We know that one of them is needed by North to justify a vulnerable 2♥ bid, and the other is likely to be with South to make the opening bid. Do we place the missing hcp as 4-12 or 5-11? Given any hand is more likely to be 11 hcp than 12 hcp, and a raise is likely on 5 but might be skipped on 4 hcp, the odds must favour playing North for the spade queen.
If you do so, you get a complete top - as the winners showed us. Easy game this!
Alan Wearmouth reports : South managed to bid both hearts and clubs which made the spades much easier to get right.
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HotD-thu : Spring teams 4 : 01apr19 : B9/B10 |
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The two best (ie most likely to make) slam hands on Monday were on these consecutive booards; there was also a slam on a finesse on board 1 (bid by five teams, who all lost points as a result), the slam on two finesses on board 6 (bid by none and with three teams in part-scores), a distinctly poor slam on B14 bid only by the winning team who received a helpful defence and so made the contract, a poor slam on board 18 (bid once and failing, while four tables stopped in part-scores), a potential slam on B21 which fails on two suits lying unfavourably (but bid by no-one), and an acceptable but odds against slam on B22 bid only once (and making on the only lead to let it make, while two tables stopped in part-scores). The hand shown was the strongest candidate for bidding a slam, but this was only achieved at half the tables. The sequence shown happens to propel you to a slam, but were North to bid 2♦ on the second round - and there is surely a strong case for that - then finding the heart fit is a lot more difficult. That is the reason we see two tables playing in spades, and four tables playing in no trumps. Were it to start 1♠-2♣-2♦-2♥ then it would be natural for North to rasise but many play this as trying to "right-side" a 3N contract. The alternativer shown (1♠ -2♣ -2♥) totally rules out a diamond contract, and for this reason the best choice by North on the second round is not clear. Having reached the position shown - how should North proceed? At table 9 the choice was 4N asking for key cards, but this wasn't helpful at all and this North just settled for 6♥, none the wiser as to whether or not the grand slam was good. When you cannot tell what to do, the right answer is to pass the buck to partner - which here means cue bidding and leaving it to partner to decide on which level of slam ot reach. The South hand is so slam unsuitable that after a 4♠ cue bid it will sign off in 5♥ and that will be enough to discourage North (although ♠Q8 ♥QJ96 ♦KQT ♣Q843 looks even worse and makes the grand slam quite decent). The companion board was ♠AT ♥A73 ♦KT732 ♣KJ9 opposite ♠65 ♥64 ♦A5 ♣AT86543 which makes for an excellent 6♣ contract (ruff out the diamonds for one extra trick there) but it was bid at no table. What's more, half the field stopped in a part-score. There was opposition bidding at some tables but could you bid it without interference? It might start 1♦-2♣-2N-3♣, but would opener appreciate how valuable aces are? It is hard to say. The lesson to take away from all these hands is that if we could just improve our slam bidding there is easy pickings in terms of good scores. And if you were a team who played some of these slam hands in a part-score, then you might want to work on your game bidding too! |
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HotD-wed : Spring Teams 4 : 01apr19 : B2 |
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This hand from Monday provides a few interesting things to think about. It was curious to note that there were two tables - despite four-four fits in both majors - played in 3N, and most times that would be hopeless because of an attack on the club suit but here, amazingly the clubs are irrevocably blocked. Yet neither pair made their 3N; it is hard to see how they went down, as surely declarer must play on hearts to get anywhere and when you do that they clear the clubs and what else can you do but hope for a club blockage? The most tricky game was for the two teams playing in 4♠ as they have to either suffer two top hearts and a ruff, or declarer will fail to pick up the spades and there will be two hearts, a natural trump loser, and a diamond to lose. Various pairs playing in 4♥ however were able to make game; how was that? At table one, the defence started off with the top hearts and on winning the third round declarer played a fourth. There would be ten top tricks if the spades behaved but playing the ace and then the queen showed that to be a non-starter. The tenth trick had to come in diamonds, but how? Declarer noticed that on the play of the heart, South had discarded three clubs. So he cashed his top clubs and continued with spades. South could win the ♠J but then only had diamonds left and had to open up that suit, giving away the tenth trick. The winning defence is to keep a third club - do you think you would have found that? At rather more tables, North led the singleton ♠5 at trick one; if this runs round to the ♠T-♠A, then a declarer who is watching the pips will know that the jack is with South and should pick up the suit for no loser. This gives ten tricks. To avoid making this so obvious, South should really play the jack at trick one, leaving the possibility open that North had led from the T542. This should however be discounted as then South would be 1-1 in the majors and silent, which feels unlikely. |
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HotD-fri : GCBA Squad practice : 28mar19 : B13 |
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This hand from last night had a couple of features of interest. The first question which arose was about the handling of the spade suit. The missing spades are JT32 and there are no worries unless the suit breaks 4-0; if South has such a holding you must lose a trick, but if North has it then you can bring in the suit for no losers, but only if you retain the KQ over the JT. Which means that the only logical play in the suit is to start with the ace; this was only found by 2 of the 5 declarers!
The other point of interest was the consistency of the opening lead, with all 5 defenders choosing to lead a top heart. This lead does indeed look "normal" but do check on the effect. It set up one trick but also gave away a trick by setting up the heart jack in dummy. The alternative lead is a club from the T97542; consider the effect of that - it takes away a vital entry from the West hand, and makes it (in practice) impossible for declarer to pick up the spade suit. This would defeat the contract! It was surprising not to find any deviations from the losing lead.
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HotD-thu : Seminar on slams : 27mar19 : B2 |
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You bid this hand sensibly up to a small slam, and when you see dummy you think maybe you should have bid 7♠. After ruffing the openign diamond lead, South shows out when you play a trump to the king. How should you proceed?
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When it looks too easy you must focus on what can go wrong. There are in fact only ten top tricks and you need at least two more. With the club suit in reserve, your first port of call must be the heart suit. There will be no problem if the suit breaks 3-3 or 4-2; can you cope if they are 5-1? The answer is yes, all you need to do is ruff one round in the short trump hand. That trump trick plus the long heart are the two extras you need - and if you are ruffing a winner it still doesn't cost you.
Notice that running the first diamond to the king (and ruffing two diamonds in the long trump hand) is also a valid choice - although this gives up the overtrick more often than I would like to.
[Hand from Porthcawl congress, 2017] |
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HotD-wed : Spring Swiss Pairs : 25mar19 : B20 |
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This hand from Monday produced a few interesting points. The first question is what the bidding tells South about the opening lead, and the answer is that West has shown hearts - probably four (but if 3♣ was asking about five-card majors then it might only be three). This makes a heart lead a lot less attractive. This was enough to persuade three out of eight decfenders not to lead a heart - two of them chose a diamond and one (knowing partner had to have 5 spades if the opponents lacked a fit there) led the ♠Q. That spade lead is not as weird as it looks; if they lack a spade fit then partner has 5+ spades and the queen is likely to fall under an honour anyway. [Here it takes a trick and a tempo from the defence, but doesn't give declarer any more tricks than were already available] In all cases declarer could win the lead, and then set about the club suit. With only one likely entry to dummy (the ♥A, except in the case of the spade lead) the best play in that suit needs to be investigated. Curiously the answer is to lead from East and that all options from the East hand (the king or the six) are equal in terms of delivering four tricks - but leading the king maximises your chance of 5 tricks. (If you want five tricks the clearly best option is to cross to dummy and lead towards the club king). Without the entry constraint it is different - the best line for both 4 tricks and for 5 tricks is to cross to dummy and lead towards the K76, covering whatever appears. On the diamond lead, declarer beats the jack with the king. If they next tackle clubs to best advantage (leading the king) or spades (small towards the jack) then West is on lead and has to decide whether or not to continue diamonds. It's easy to lead the queen, but when it holds can you tell whether or not to continue? It could be a guess were it not for a device known as SMITH PETERS. It covers the position where partner's play at trick one didn't clarify the layout in the suit, and says that a high card in declarer's suit says "I am better than expected in the suit partner led initially" and here either the ♠T (where East has many to choose from) or the ♣T (fortunately high) will give the message. At the table, this enabled West to continue the suit confidently and declarer had no chance. |
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HotD-sat : CBC Pairs : 22mar19 : B15 |
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This hand from last night was curious in that there was an easy slam available, but the only people who stepped towards it got themselves a bottom. How did that happen?
The key decision comes at the point shown in the bidding. The vast majority bid 3N and played there, and they all made 13 tricks when West discarded diamonds rather than spades (playing partner for the wrong jack).
The potential of the hand was not identified by those who bid 3N. Although there are stoppers in all suits, the three card club support and the good controls make the hand too strong for this. Where this was recognised, North bid 3♦ as a first (forcing) step and heard next of 3-card spade support. After that came a key card ask and the discovery that one key card and the trump queen were missing. North quickly stopped, but the 5♠ contract had two losers, and that scored a lot worse than everyone else's 3N+4.
What should have happened? North might have reasoned that even though 6♠ was not going to be good odds, that either 6♣ or 6N would have decent chances. For sure, 3N was making at least as many tricks as were available in spades, and that meant 5♠ was likely to be a bad matchpoint score. We get into the habit of rejecting a slam automatically when key cards are missing - but this is not always right.
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HotD-wed : League 8 : 18mar19 : B6 |
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This hand from Monday generated a lot of discussion afterwards. The auction shown has South bidding 2N as a passed hand to show a good raise, and North's 3N accepts the game try and denies a shortage.
The opening lead at every table was a top club, enabling West to win the ace at trick one. At this point the contract clearly goes down if the defence cash three hearts, but this was too difficult for most Wests. One did switch to hearts, but that was to the ♥2 and when East won the contract could no longer be defeated. Another found the ♥T switch, which went to the king and ace, but East was now scared to play another heart, and that declarer also succeeded.
Two other Wests led back a club at trick two, noting that there was at that point only one discard available to declarer. These two declarers won that and continued with the ♠A and saw a high spade drop from West. Both declarers knew about the Theory of Restricted Choice and now finessed the ten, but West won and now could play a low heart and when the king went up (as it must) declarer was down two.
These declarers both missed an interesting point. Although the odds on a finesse are better than playing for the drop - you still have a second chance if you play for the drop and West shows out. This would mean East has a spade trick - but this won't be fatal if declarer can keep it to one heart loser. Cashing the top diamonds, and then putting East in with the third spade, creates an end-play which makes a trick out of the heart ace.
What should have happened? It's hard to say; the winning choice by West would have been a switch to the ♥Q at trick two. After that lead, the defence cannot go wrong.
LATER: Patrick Phair points out that "Given that if a spade trick is lost declarer would prefer to lose it to East, there is a case for cashing ♠K first rather than ♠A. This is what our opponent did at my table, and she now couldn't go wrong in spades. She also got the diamonds right (is this obvious?) and made the contract."
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HotD-fri : Spring Swiss Pairs : 11mar19 : B14 |
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Today's hand from Monday brought up some questions about how best to play this particular club suit. On the auction shown, West chose to lead the ♥T, a choice which makes it look very like East has one of the top two diamonds. You cover, aand East plays the king and you win with the ace. You draw two rounds of trumps, say the ace and then the king. If you can make three club tricks the heart loser can do away, and if you can make four that's even better. How should you play the suit?
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This is one of those combinations where the best line for 4 tricks and the best line for 3 tricks are different - and this set-up is common enough that we ought to know the answers in both cases.
For four tricks the best option is a double finesse, playing for ♣Q and ♣T onside. This is about a 25.2% chance.
For three tricks the answer is different : you start with the ace and then (if nothing happens) lead towards the jack. This has a 83.85% chance of success.
These figures don't give us the answer however : we also need to know that the double finesse will still generate 3 tricks 78.3% of the time (losing to QTx/QTxx offside), while the alternative line generates 4 tricks 4.4% of the time (stiff Q, or QT doubleton with West).
At matchpoints it's the better average number of tricks that matters, and here the best average comes from the double finesse. If you went for that, then hard luck, only ten tricks.
If you started wrongly, cashing the ace and seeing the ten drop - what did you do next? You had the choice of playing for singleton ♣T or doubleton ♣QT. There is an easy answer to the odds here - any specific holding which is more balanced is more likely, and with six clubs out a 2-card holding is a more balanced split. So you should drop the queen next.
Little point - you didn't know that spade were breaking two-two and you started with the ♠AQ before going to dummy's king, When they broke, you switched to clubs. Suppose you got the clubs right? You win the third round with the jack, but how do you get back to hand when your remaining spades are the 74 and dummy has the K98? The answer is you remembered - and you just have to do this automatically in case it might matter - to unblock the ♠9 (or ♠8) on the second round. [Actually you might be starting this suit with the king to pick up JT63 onside, and then the nine to the ace]
All this on a hand where almost everyone made the expected 10 tricks - but I bet not many played ♠K then ♠9 to hand and then a third round to dummy's ♠8 to run the ♣J. |
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HotD-thu : Spring Swiss Pairs : 11mar19 : B10 |
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Today's hand is a lead problem - what's your choice?
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The answer was actually found by the majority on Monday - with four of the five defenders in this position choosing a diamond. Unfortunately that was only part of what was needed - only one table after that start managed to hold declarer to eight tricks.
The first key play was North's on trick one - it is vital for North to duck this trick, so that when South next gets the lead, two more rounds of diamonds can be played. If you do that then declarer cannot avoid losing two hearts plus a trick in each other suit. Notice how useless the club discard turns out to be - declarer can either throw the third spade (a likely winner) or the fith heart (ditto).
When it went awry at table one, North won trick one and continued the suit. This convinced South that North held only two diamonds and that declarer therefore had only three black cards. So after a club to the queen and ace he attacked spades. That made it even worse and declarer emerged with ten tricks.
Stories from other tables welcome. |
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HotD-wed : Spring Swiss Pairs : 11mar19 : B6 |
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When this hand arose on Monday the bidding at table 1 was as shown. It seemed inevitable that the play started with the ♣A and then because the king was set to win the next trick, North had a clear opportunity for a suit preference signal with the club seven. It was easy to switch to the heart queen, and this set up four tricks for the defence. East-West had done well to stop in a part-score, but the traveller suggested that oithers playing in spades had done better.
And indeed they had - but what mattered on this hand was the opening lead. When East declared there were three different suits led - the club ace here, a top heart, and a spade. Are you can see the spade lost a tempo - the heart winners were not set up and declarer made four trumps, five diamonds, the heart ace. and the club king. Two tricks different! A number of times West was declarer - presumably after a strong NT opener and a transfer; here it was much more difficult for North to find the winning lead. Both Norths faced with this problem led the ♦T; declarer could set about drawing trumps, and when North won the ace and played to the club ace for a ruff that was three tricks for the defence but there was no time for a fourth. Could North have done differently? The answer is that they might; holding four trumps your first choice must always be to force declarer because of you can do that you will set up your long trump as a winner. Here that would hint at striking out with a rounded suit - and whichever you choose should work.
The bottom line is that, for all the effort we might put into thinking through the opening lead carefully, sometimes it is just too difficult. The four suits were led on this hand, resulting in 9 or 10 or 11 tricks depending on the choice. If there is anything to learn from this it is that helping partner with the opening lead will be a worthwhile exercise (here the 2♣ bid even though you are bound to be outbid in spades). On this hand if South had opened 1♣ would North find the winning choice? [They might find the 4♣ bid which nets a better score than -140]
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HotD-fri : BBO ICL League : 6mar19 : B5 |
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The BBO Inter-Cities league (ICL) has been running for about 15 years and is a Croatian-led, mostly-European competition which runs on-line matches on a Wednesday evening. This year there are six divisions with 48 teams, and after the group stage there will be knock-outs to determine the winner. The Aberystwyth team (and yes Aberystwyth striclty isn;t a city) had its first match this week, against Essen.
This hand came up early in the match - and provided this test : after the opposition open 2♦ (Multi - weak two in a major or strong balanced) how do you proceed ?
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We'll come to conventional approach second, but first is what to do if you have limited methods. The big danger of any suit bid you make it that it might end the auction, and the trouble with double is that you might be no better off on the next round. The hint lies in those last words - if you can hold your fire until they have declared their suit you are in better space - so you pass smoothly and the bidding proceeds P - 2♠ (preference for hearts) - P - P and now everyone knows that third seat had a weak two in hearts. At this point a Michaels Cue bid of 3♠ starts to describe your hand - a two suiter with hearts and a minor.
An alternative directly over 2♦ is to have a clear agreement about the jumps to 4♣ and 4♦; fairly common amongst the organised tournament players is the use of these for two suiters - and there are two styles, the first being that it shows hearts and the minor named, the other that it shows the corresponding major plus either minor. In all cases the shape shown is at least 5-5. The first style give more instant definition, but the latter covers twice as many two suiters.
Either approach on this hand is likely to get you a 4♥ response from partner - and now comes your second choice - what do to now?
It is very hard not to make another try, as partner needs as little as ♥Jxxx to make the slam quite decent, and ♥KQx would make a grand slam possible. The only hint you have on this hand is the 2♠ bid by North. The suggestion of heart support there should act as a caution. The other difficulty with a try is that partner might not know when to proceed. Still, it feel almost superhuman to pass 4♥ at this point. You could proceed with 4♠ and see what happens - leaving it up to partner; this seems the best approach.
Anyway - the fact is that neither East could give up in time, and the result on the board was 6♣-1 in both rooms. Sad. |
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HotD-thu : Spring Teams : 4mar19 : B18 |
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It seemed normal to reach 5♦ after the auction shown, and it looks like an easy 11 tricks if the clubs behave. Can you see a way of coping if the clubs break 4-1?
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The answer lies in the spade suit. If the clubs break 4-1 then if the hand with long clubs has sole control of the spade suit, that hand can be subject to a squeeze.
The indicated line of play is to draw trumps, duck a spade, win the return and play ♠A and ruff the third round. After this only one defender can guard spades. From this point declarer should cash the remaining trumps - and end with ♣A964 in hand while dummy has ♠6 ♣KQ5. If the same hand has the clubs and the long spade - South here - they will give away a trick as they come down to four cards.
There isn't any counting needed here - beyond watching to see if one missing spade gets discards - and if it doesn't you cash the clubs. Can't we all do this?
[As AlanW pointed out : there is a good case for North bidding 5♥ with a seven card suit opposite a takeout doube, and this does indeed get a better result] |
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HotD-wed : Spring Teams : 4mar19 : B13 |
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This was the most spectacular hand on Monday and as a bidding exercise it proved too difficulty for most pairs. It was easy enough to decide to open 1♣ with the East hand but what should you do over 1♥? You clearly want to emphasise the clubs, and three routes were found: the simplest was 3♣ which is a bit of an underbid but it might be the limit of the hand if partner's values are all in hearts, and when partner continues over this with 3N your prospect improve as partner has suggested values in diamonds and spades. The difficulty is how to continue, and if you can bid a confidently forcing 4♣ then you are on your way - a cue bid of the ♦A, a cue of the heart shortage, anbd a cue of the ♠K makes it easy for East to bid the slam.
The second alternative was a natural 5♣ bid. This might get you to game when 3♣ would fail (give partner ♠K ♦J and nothing much more) but gives up on any investigation of slam; West is forced to guess to pass or bid on.
The third route is for East to reverse into 2♦; this bid should have four diamonds but it does at least promise longer clubs and it is forcing. When it was tried, West continued with a FSF 2♠ and this allowed East to jump to 4♣ to emphasise that suit; after this we are in the same position as option one.
Of those who bid slam, the only stories we know are of pairs who started the auction with 2♣; the hand is not strictly within the limits for an opener described as "strong" but that caused no damage in this case. The strong opening however led West to insist on a slam, despite all the attempts by East - after the opening bid - to back-pedal.
Do tell of any sensible and successful auctions.
One reported sequence was 1♣ - 1♥ - 2♦ - 2♠ - 3♠(suggests short hearts) - 3N - 5♣ - 5♦ - 6♣ - P, but this does smack of an attempt to play in diamonds that got corrected to clubs.
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HotD-fri : County Individual : 25feb19 : B18 |
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You might not have wanted to be in 3N, but when you show 15-17 balanced over partner's 1♠ response, you get raised to game. On the lead of a small diamond, how will you proceed?
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Clearly your best prospects for extra tricks lie in the heart suit. How do you play this combination? The answer is small to the nine first, and when it loses you play hearts from the top. You are aiming for three heart tricks and you might be surprised to find that the chances of three tricks is 45%. The play succeeds when JT are both onside (unless South has five), when any three card combination with a jack/ten is onside, and when there is JTx offside (as is the case here).
On this hand the ♥7 loses to the ♥T, and when a second diamond is played you duck this and win the third round. Now you knock out the ♥A, and a spade comes through - but you have no choice, you play the king. When the king wins, you have nine top tricks and the clubs breaking 3-3 delivers a tenth. Suddenly it doesn't seem such a poor contract after all!
In fact the line of play shows that the contract was only about a 20% shot, but if others are in the same boat, you don't worry about these things!
Could the defence have done better? The answer is yes; the defence needed to focus on where their five tricks were coming from. After the second round of diamond was ducked, North might have realised that a continuation was futile. A spade switch now will generate two spade tricks for the defence - and before the ♥A has been knocked out. The defence get two spades, one diamond and two hearts - and that is enough to beat the game.
The reality of this game is, as this example shows, that optimal defence is much harder than optimnal declarer play, and it is for this reason that we will keep on bidding games that are below the theoretically required odds. |
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HotD-wed : County Individual : 25feb19 : B9 |
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There was a neat turnout on Monday's game - exactly 12 individuals, which allowed each person to play with each other, over the 33 boards we had in circulation. It was a pleasant surprise to find that we played 33 boards and fnished before 2230 hrs, a new record for a GCBA event!
This hand was an interesting hand to play in 5♣ - which was reached at one table after the auction shown. In fact, making 5♣ was never going to be a top, as one table played in 3N when the West player treated the singleton king of hearts as a stopper in that suit, and North led a diamond against 3N, in which there were now ten top tricks. Playing in 5♣, the defence start with two rounds of hearts and you ruff the second; the trumps break 2-2; how do you proceed? [It would be too easy if the diamonds generated four tricks - they don't]
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The key here is not losing two spade tricks, despite missing the king and queen and jack. This can only happen if the defensive spades are blocked - and for this you need to find one hand with a doubleton of two honours, and embarassed when they win the second round of the suit. Before you get to that point, you will need to have removed all that defender's exit cards - so you need (after drawing trumps) to cash the diamonds and ruff the fourth round. Then comes ace and another spade and South is on lead with only hearts left. The ruff-and-discard from a heart return lets you discard a spade from West amd ruff in the East hand.
If the trumps had broken 3-1, your best line would have been very similar - drawing only two trumps, clearing the diamond, and exiting in spades hoping that the winner would be end-played. |
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HotD-fri : League 7 : 18feb19 : B20 |
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This hand from Monday proved troublesome for many. You would prefer to have found your heart fit, and if playing 4-card majors the auction would have started with 1♥ and the fit would have been found. On Monday there were 5 declarers in 4♥ and 5 declarers in 3N. When you find yourself in 3N and South leads a spade (some high, some low), how will you continue?
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Clearly you need the club suit to come in and your worry on this hand is the diamond suit. If South has the ♣K you are quite safe but if North has that card then you are in more danger. With no visible entry to dummy, most declarers laid down the ♣A and continued the suit, banking everything on the club king being with South. When North won and played a diamond through, the contract was down.
Could declarer have done better. The key word above is "visible" (alongside "entry") and the extra chance that *all* the declarers in 3N missed was that the heart queen would come down in two rounds and that the ♥J would become an entry to dummy. If you start with the top hearts you will find the queen drops and you can then cross to dummy, to take the club finesse into the same hand and clock up 11 tricks. Extra chances must be taken! |
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HotD-thu : League 7 : B19 |
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This hand from Monday produced a bidding problem for North. After partner opens and the next hand cue bids to shows at least 5-5 spades and a minor, you know that the opposition have at least a 9-card spade fit. You have some heart support but (for some at least) partner might only have four hearts, and anyway the diamonds are the real feature of your hand. Bidding 3♦ is possible but it might lead to the loss of your heart support, and there is the question too of whether or not 3♦ is game forcing. Your choice?
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There is no easy natural answer to this, but there is a solution we use in many other contexts and that is to introduce transfers. Starting at 2N, we can transfer into the minor suits with 2N promising clubs and 3♣ promising diamonds. Over the transfer request, partner with nothing special to say will accept and on this hand it offers you the chance of showing diamonds and then bidding hearts next to show three card support. If your hand was just competitive in the minor you would pass the transfer acceptance, while if your hand was game forcing you could continue with a cue bid or a new suit. It's all very convenient and allows 3♦ as a transfer into hearts to show a good 3-card heart raise. [For all these plans of course, the opponents might interfere and block your plan]
On this hand, over your transfer partner will break (positively) to 3♥ or 4♥ and that will tell you that hearts are fine as a trump suit and you can bid the heart game.
The one table which played this hand in spades had the auction : 1♥ - 2♥ - P(stuck) - 2♠, 3♥ - 3♠ - 4♥ - 4♠ -end. On this auciton it was very difficult for North-South to realise that they owned the hand, as either of them could have been much weaker. |
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HotD-wed : League 7 : 18feb19 : B23 |
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This hand from Monday was almost a text-book hand, and (not always true) one where the correct play was vital. Slightly more Norths failed on this than did succeed.
There is clearly one spade loser and one club loser in 4♠ and none in diamonds, so the hand comes down to avoiding two heart losers. Clearly the king is the card that matters and you are aiming to make a trick out of the queen. With the holding of AQx, and lacking any useful pips (AQ9 would be different) the key play is to cash the ace before leading up to the queen. In some cases this will gain because a singleton king falls offside, but the more common case is where - as in this hand - you can eliminate all the side suits before leading up to the queen, and when it loses now to a doubleton king, the defence have to give a ruff-and-discard and that solves the problem with the third round of the suit.
In fact a number of successful declarer did not get quite that far - when they cashed the ace, East could see the end-play coming, and unblocked the king (hoping partner had the queen-jack). Well done to both North and East in those cases.
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HotD-fri : CBC Pairs League : 13feb19 : B23 |
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Today's hand was a curious exhibit from Wednesday's match. The question for you is : playing in 6♥ you have 11 top tricks, and no ruffs to take. What should be your twelfth trick on this layout? |
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The answer is the ♠T.
How do we reach that conclusion? From declarer's percpective there is the simple chance of a diamond finesse, but there is no reason to take the finesse if the opponents can take it for you. So after winning the opening lead and drawing trumps, the best plan for declarer is to eliminate the clubs, and play out three rounds of spades. It turns out here that North would have to win the this spade and lead into the ♦AKJ, giving declarer the twlefth trick with a diamond. But North should see this coming, and should make sure that on the third round of spades they can play either the eight or the nine, intending that partner can win with the ten and play diamonds from the South hand. When partner lacks the spade ten, that card becomes declaerer's twelfth trick. Even if declarer cashes the top spades early, the strangeness of that play ought to wake North up to what is about to happen.
Did any declarer make the ♠T as their twelfth trick? I don't know.
It might be wortth noting that this hand is a case where 3433 opposite 3433 actually has extra chances when played in a suit contract than it does in NT. |
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HotD-thu : Spring Swiss Pairs : 11feb19 : B24 |
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There was a good general of principle came into play on this hand from Monday. After the auction shown - we start with your choice lead - which card comes first?
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The key question to ask yourself when the opponents sacrifice is "where are their tricks coming from?". The answer is usually from trumps, and when you have honours in all the side suits that message gets re-enforced. The winning lead here is a trump, because that is the only chance you have to get to play three rounds of trumps (either ace and another now and another when in with the ♥A, or one now and two later). Leading trumps will hold declarer to 8 tricks here, and anything else allows declarer the chance to get out for -300. Given you can make the game in hearts, this makes all the difference between a top and a bottom. |
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HotD-wed : Spring Swiss Pairs : 11feb19 : B15 |
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There were some strange occurrences in the first session of this year's Swiss Pairs. Board 2 saw the majority of the field play in diamonds and every one of them made a different number of tricks, while a sizeable minority played in hearts and all of them also made a different number of tricks. This was followed two boards later by all tables playing in 4♠ and everyone making 10 tricks - a consistency that is unheard of!
We usually complain here about people not bidding enough slams, but on Monday Board 12 and Board 23 there were good spade slams to bid but the few people who did bid them found that the cards were lying very unfavourably and they had to go down!
On this board it's worth looking at the lead from West's perspective. With a 4333 shape and nothing to go on, you really have to lead your four card suit; there might be a suit that works out better but you have no idea which and the odds of picking a suit that helps declarer is just too great. The second question is what spade to lead from AK96 ? In practice three Wests led low and one led a top spade. There are for sure times when low works best, but the argument is put forward that unless the suit breaks 3-3 or partner has length, then the lead will not work out well for you. In both of those cases a top spade works just as well, and importantly after one top spade, if it looks bad for you, you are still on lead and can switch if necessary. The lead of a top spade also helps enormously when the declarer has a 2-2 holding in the suit.
An odd consequence arises from the choice of a small spade. Declarer of course wins and sets about cashing hearts. Can you see how this now generates 9 tricks for declarer?
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The answer is that the fourth heart squeezes West. If West ditches a diamond then declarer can cash two diamonds and exit in spades, end-playing West. If West ditches a club, then declarer can duck a club to set up the queen. You might not think that the latter is easily read, but when it happened at the table the club discard from West was combined with two club discards from East - and declarer could not go wrong in clubs. |
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HotD-fri : CBC Mens : 5feb19 : B22 |
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Cheltenham Bridge Club helds its gender-specific pairs championships this week. Val Constable & Judy Sanis retained their title in the Ladies Pairs with a score almost 5% ahead of second, but in the Mens' Pairs the winners - a new partnership of John Arblaster & Ben RItacca - clocked up an even better score of full two tops ahead of second place. This board was one of their tops - earned by good judgement from each in turn.
One might question the opening bid, and many would surely have opened with a weak 2♥ as South, but this vulnerability is ideal for making obstructive bids and it was that fact which pushed South to open at the three level. The first good move was West's double, which is much less commital than a 3♠ bid would be, and caters for partner being short in spades and holding a decent minor suit. North raised to 4♥ but this didn't stop East bidding 4♠ and there the auction ended.
South led a heart won by declarer, who now took the right view and played South for a singleton trump, finessing North's queen successfully. After that it was time to knock out the two top diamonds; on the last of these North tried a third heart which gave declarer a ruff-and-discard so that one club loser went away, and when the club finesse now succeeded that was 11 tricks and an outright top.
Could the defence have done better? Definitely. A diamond opening lead from South would have led to a one trick defeat, as partner could have delivered a ruff on the third round. Should South find that? It is hard to say but a doubleton is appealing and if declarer was known to have a 9-card spade fit that would be a stand-out choice; South's heart lead was based on a hope that partner had four trumps and that a forcing defence was what was needed. And of course if South had only opened 2♥ it is possible that East-West might have stopped short of game.
Could North do any differently? Clearly the ruff-and-discard was an error but that only gave away one match-point as the contract was always making. What North might have done was over the double, to bid 4♦ on the way to 4♥. That way South would have no excuse for failing to find the winning lead. And North might have sacrificed in 5♥ but that would gain very little as most tables were 4♠ by West on the lead of a top diamonds, and so down one,
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HotD-wed : Spring Teams 2 : 4feb19 : B8 |
It was curious to see on Monday how three tables made 11 tricks in hearts, with a clear loser in each of clubs, diamonds and spades. How did it happen?
The bidding first - this was very straightforward, with a 2N opener from East and an enquiry about majors from West. This uncovered the heart fit and led to a 4♥ contract - or at least that was the story at six of the tables. With a 4333 shape, four Wests eschewed the major suit enquiry and simply raised to game, and this was indeed a good move as there were 9 top tricks and nothing could possibly go wrong with that contract. This judgement with a 4333 hand is quite acceptable (but we lack any analysis to confirm that this pays in the long run). There were two "accidents" - one with East ending in 3♥, and the other when East opened a multi 2♦ - P - 2♥ - ? and North poked his nose in with 2♠. East doubled to show a strong 2N opener and this was passed out, This contract escaped for down two, but could have gone down three.
Playing in 4♥ as East, three tables produced a top club lead, two produced a heart lead, and one the ♠J. The club lead would be normal in many circumstances, but a KQ9x holding generated a bad experience for some when leading into a very strong hand, so the choice of a heart instead has support. Declarer on any lead except a spade faces the prospect of four losers, and the key thing is to maximise chances in spades. Since North leading spades through is clearly bad news, the best play is to duck the ♣K, or if a trump lead to draw trumps and then lead to the ♣A4, hoping to duck the trick to South. When this happened and South returned a spade, declarer found that there were ten sure tricks, and set about the standard play of eliminating the clubs before deciding what to do in the pointed suits. The only prospect of anything "good" was an endplay and it turned out that cashing the top spades and top diamonds, and then exiting in EITHER suit, would end-play one defender or the other, and gain a ruff-and-discard to allow the other loser to be disposed of. That is the path to 11 tricks.
There is however no reason for South to switch to (or lead) the dangerous ♠J and on a more passive club or diamond continuation, East's choice should be to eliminate the clubs, cash the ♠A and exit with three rounds of diamonds. With the long diamonds in South, this play leaves the safe hand on lead and the ♠Q is guaranteed as a tenth trick. It is worth noting that while 11 tricks were available and identified as so by Deep Finesse, the best declarer play and defence results in just 10 tricks.
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HotD-tue : Spring Teams 2 : 4feb19 : B7 |
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There were two slam hands last night that you would want to bid, and it pleasing to report that 9 out of 12 tables bid the slam on board 10. This hand proved more problematic. The bidding alwayed starts off with 1♣ from South and 1♠ from North. There seems little doubt that unless you have a specific agreement otherwise, 2♦ would be forcing (as a reverse) and so 3♦ is free as a splinter bid agreeing spades. North should be very enthused by this; despite the bad fit in clubs, North holds both a decent five-card spade suit, and a good side suit in hearts. The only danger is that there are two major aces, or a major ace and the ♠K missing. Is there a way to check up on these?
Not immediately, so it is appropriate that North continues with 3♥ and over that South will bid 4♣ showing a control there. There are two paths now; North could cue bid 4♥, or if concerned that the heart control had already been shown, then a "cue bid" of 4♦ should get the same job done - the job being to tell partner that they are positiuve about a slam. After that South will take charge, ask for key cards, and settle for the small slam. But most didn't find this so easy ...
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HotD-thu : CBC Swiss Pairs : 29jan19 : B23 |
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There were two slam hands on Tuesday and they both proved problematic. The first was board 5, and at some tables there was opposition bidding but if you had a free run how would you bid this hand, starting from East ...
♠ AKQ8543
♥ --
♦ A52
♣ Q86
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♠ J6
♥ Q43
♦ 86
♣ AKJT43
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After a start of 1♣ - 1♠ - 2♣ it is very difficult to find out exactly how good partner's clubs are, and that is what matters most. It goes a bit easier if you can start off with 1♣ - 2♠ showing a strong hand, as then raising clubs is clearly forcing. Across the field only four got to 6♠, two got to 6♣, and the other three quarters of the field stopped in game. Nobody got to the cold grand slam in either suit. If you can see a good bidding sequence, do let us know.
The other slam hand (ignoring the two boards where a very lucky 12 tricks were available) was the board shown in the diagram. After this start, in standard Acol with a weak NT, you have to bid 2N (forcing, balanced) and when partner now shows spades with 3♠ you need to support clubs at the 4-level. Unfortunately, partner will not knwo to expect four card support. A cue bid in hearts might now allow you to bid 4N as a key card ask (hoping partner's spades are not QJT9), and you should then continue with 5N to show you have all the key cards. It is a close call now for East as to whether the ♠K is enough to justify bidding the grand slam, and you are forced to guess. Since showing a king would still allow a stop in 6N (which is plyable and might be best at matchpoints) it is right to show the spade king.
The slam bids a bit more easily when 2♣ is a game forcing bid, as now West can raise to 3♣ and we have suit agreement one level lower. We can proceed with 3♠ (stopper for NT) - 4♦ (cue for clubs) - 4♥ (cue, which has to be shortage) and we are in the same boat as the traditional Acol bidders. One extra to note here is that over 3♣ a minimal 2♣ bidder with a shortage in hearts should splinter with 4♥, which means that when the short heart emerges here the East hand is known to have extras (beyond a minimal game force).
Across the field performance was slightly better here - only one pair bid the grand slam, but five pairs bid 6N and four pairs bid 6♣, which leaves just 14 pairs missing out. We must learn to bid up!
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HotD-wed : County Pairs QF : B21 |
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This hand produced an interesting "vacant spaces" problem on Monday. After the bidding shown East led a diamond and West continued with three rounds forcing a ruff in the dummy. The spade finesse will come at some point - there being little expectation of a doubleton queen offside when the diamonds are 6-2 in that direction. The question is finding the heart queen - who do you think has it?
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Normally with the ace and king in different hands and missing Qxxx trumps, the odds favour playing for the drop. We learn this as "nine ever".
When you start with one more vacant space on one side then leading through that hand, after it goes A-small-small-small and you lead again and see a small card - the number of vacanct spaces is now dead even, and finesse is equal odds with the drop.
If you started with two (or more) more vacant spaces and you lead through, there are still more vacant spaces on the left and the odds swing into taking the finesse on the second round.
Here there are 4 more vacant spaces which says finesse, but awkwardly you cannot cash an honour first to catch singleton queen with West. Does that change it? Indeed it does, and SUITPLAY tells us that the odds on finessing on the first round (as you must) or playing for the drop are dead even.
But there is a flaw in the above argument - as there are not 4 more vacant spaces, only 3, for East has discarded a club on the third diamond. With three vacant spaces, and no ability to catch the singleton queen, the best play is hearts from the top. {Says SUITPLAY]
The pair who lost out because declarer finessed deserve our consolation.
We cannot expect to be able to do all of this calcuation at the table, but if you can get your mind around the first three lines above, they will prove generally useful and easy to apply. |
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HotD-tue : COunty Pairs QF : 28jan19 : B19 |
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It was a small field for the County Pairs Qualifying Round last night; the turnout has been low since we moved the qualifying round from November to January, so as to be two and not four months ahead of the final. If you have any ideas why this kill the turnout, do let us know.
Curiously there were two completely flat boards - on B23 everyone played 6N just making (have you ever seen a flat board in slam before?) and on B25 everyone played in 4♠ making +1 (and 3N would have scored better).
This hand was an interesting 3N to play as East. In the bidding shown, South's opener was a weak two in either major, and North expressed interrest in hearts but not spades. Unfortunately for East this generated a heart rather than a spade lead. There are eight top tricks and clearly you need one from a black suit to make the game. One alternative is to try guessing the spades but it is so likely that South has both the ace and queen, that option is not appealing. Declarer chose therefore to run the diamonds and decide later. This had the unfortunate effect of squeezing the East hand out of what hadn't been identified as, but actually was, a stopper in clubs. When the time came to try for a spade trick it was too late - the defence could jump up with the ♠A and cash four clubs.
Should declarer have seen this coming? Possibly yes. Was there a decent alternative? Not really - even with a successful spade guess early there was still a big danger of the defence cashing five tricks.
We have to attribute the swing here to the opening lead. There are times when an attacking lead is needed to set up tricks for the defence, but here it would simply have removed declarer's guess and made the contract very straightforward. In club bridge, the number of times a trick is given away on the opening lead, or by an unnecessary switch in the middle of the hand, is enormous. You will see, in top class bridge, a much stronger tendency towards passive leads - leaving declarer with all the work to do. [There are exceptions to this - in explicit situations such as leading against a suit slam, or against a preempt]
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HotD-fri : GCBA Squad : 24jan19 : B14 |
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On this hand from last night's squad practice, the results were 4♥+1 twice, 4♥-1 once and 3♥+1 once. You would want to get to game on these hands as there are two top losers and you have chances to avoid the extra potential loser which exists in every suit. But it isn;t clear for a 13-count with a wasted ♦K to bid game opposite a passed hand. The bidding shown is one plausible route, with West's pass over the double being more encouraging than a sign-off in 3♥.
The interesting question is how to combine your chances, after the defence starts with ♦A and a second diamond. The three tables with this lead made 9, 10 and 11 tricks. Your choice?
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There are no choices in the trump suit when low cards appear on the first round, so step number one is to draw trumps. There are three ways of tackling the spade suit - play for the drop, or finesse South for the queen, or finesse North for the queen. The location of the queen cannot be deduced from the bidding, not can the location of the spade length. But while ponderign which to chose, we note that there is an advantage in playing for the drop, as when this fails, you can (usually) put the opponents on lead with the thid spade and force them to open up the club suit. For this reason that is the clear choice.
When the queen drops you can now play someone (and surely this has to be North) for a short club holding including the ace. This is how to achieve 11 tricks.
If you finesse through North you get to the same place, but if you finesse through South you will lose to North's ♠Q. Since North is short in spades, this forces North to open up clubs and gets you 10 tricks.
How 9 tricks happened remains a mystery. [We are told declarer started hearts by leading to ♥T and losing to the ♥J. The spades were found but then declarer got the clubs wrong :( |
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HotD-wed : League 6 : 21jan19 : B22 |
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This hand from Monday produced a double figure swing in three matches and a lesser swing in the other two.
The bidding is all natural, although a cheeky South was known to overcall 2♣ on at least one occasion. North's normal lead was the singleton club and declarer won the ace to play trumps. North won and tried a heart which ran to the king and ace. Declarer was now looking at the prospect of four losers. It seemed natural at this point to discard one of them, so declarer tried three rounds of diamonds, only to find that the third one was ruffed and the contract was one down.
There was however a winning line - and it was found by some. If you read the lead as a singleton, and the play in hearts to be honest, then it all depends on who has the missing top spade. Here it is held by North and that means that you will succeed by playing a second spade, as you can then delay the discard of a club on a diamond until after trumps have been drawn.
Can you find this play? Quite possibly; on the bidding shown - if you have read the lead correctly - South has 8 HCP and North must surely have the top spades and the top heart to justify bidding.
Could the defence have done better? The answer is yes. After a club lead, North needs to lead diamonds each time they get the lead in spades; declarer will then be forced to cash the diamonds before trumps are drawn. [Not a likely choice]
There is an alternative, found at table five. Here North didn't lead the singleton at trick one, but led a heart to the king and ace. On winning the first spade he now switched to a (low) club. It was impossible at this point for declarer to judge this a singleton and place the high cards the way they were, so that declarer could only sensibly play diamonds and that failed and he was down.
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HotD-tue : League 6 : 21jan19 : B7 |
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This hand from Monday provided swings for two reasons : one was that some played only in a part-score (three out of ten), and the other was that of those in game half (actually three out of seven) went off.
It is difficult to find alternative sequences to that shown, and with 25 HCP and a 4-4 heart fit, you would expect everyone to have reached the same contract. Somehow it is never that easy - indeed in the CBC Pairs event using the same boards, there were no tables (out of seven) reached 4♥.
Now to the play - which always started off with East winning a top spade at trick one. With the risk of discards on the diamonds, it is inevitable that East will cash three winners in the black suit. Whatever comes next, here is how declarer should be thinking. There looks to be three top tricks (two in diamonds and one spade) and in that case it needs seven trump tricks to make game. Looking at the trump holding and the missing pips, the best target must be to make tricks from the Q974 and the AKJ. This means ruffing three clubs in the dummy, and on a trump at trick four can be done with careful timing. Since the ♥2 is not part of the ruffing plan, it must be played at this trick so it is important to win the first heart with the queen (although the nine works too). After that, ♦A and a club ruff, ♦K and a diamond ruffed high, it all falls into place.
An alternative for declarer is to go after the diamonds. This takes a bit more card reading. After winning a heart at trick four, entries to the South hand mean that you can only engineer one diamond ruff - and now you must guess after cashing the first two diamonds whether the suit started off 3-3 or 4-2. The spade overcall and the heart break tell you that West had 7 cards in the minors to East's 6 cards. After the ♦J brings the nine, each hand had six vacant spaces, so the odds are even on whether to ruff the suit out or go for the ruffiung finesse. It becomes a 50% game, which is why the cross-ruff approach is more appealing.
Not that the cross-ruff was a certainty but the fact that a heart switch at trick four is to the ♥8 makes the heart pips less of a worry, and no heart switch lets you retain the Q9 and you are only in trouble if the long clubs are with East and the ♥T is with West.
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HotD-fri : Midlands Counties League : 13jan19 : B6 |
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This hand from Sunday's match was a major gain for all three of the county teams, and we started off by congratulating ourselves on the obvious strength of our slam bidding.
The fact that we bid the slam when others didn't is great, but closer examination showed that it wasn't slam-bidding technique which mattered on this hand. Can you see what it was that mattered?
It was in fact South who was the most cruciual player in determining the outcome here. That was because bidding a slam or not depended on the extent to which South cramped the auction on the first round. Many of the Nottinghamshire pairs bid just 2♠ as South, which allowed West to support hearts and still leave East room to make a safe slam try. When the various Gloucestershire pairs overcalled either 3♠ or in one instance 4♠, then the options for East-West became more limited. Over 3♠ by Keith Stanley, West bid 4♥ and East declined to make even a try for slam. When Richard Plackett bid 4♠ all West could do was double and there the matter rested. "Normal" defence collected +500 which wasn't great when East-West had 1430 available in their own suit.
Two questions come to mind - should we all be bidding 4♠ and why did the defenbders of 4♠x not collect the +800 to which the computer tells us they are entitled?
Q1 : on these hands you generally have to ask yourslelf what you would do with similar high cards an a lesser shape. With ♠J987543 ♥J5 ♦64 ♣J7 would you not also want to preempt? At this vulnerability would you itch to bid 3♠? If so, you need to bid one more with a 7204 shape as your chance of a defensive trick with the club jack has gone down, and at the same time you count out as one less loser.
Q2 : this is tricky, and it comes from forcing declarer's trumps before the top clubs are knocked out. The only defence is to start with three rounds of hearts. It is difficult to give a ruff and discard so early on any hand, but it can only gain a trick when declarer ruffs in the short hand, so here with the spade king - and that is likely to return a trick in the trump suit (and would do so here). So the defence is not totally impossible to find.
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HotD-wed : Winter Pairs 5 : 14jan19 : B11 |
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There were numerous excellent slams on Monday which few got close to. Board 11 has a robust five-three fit in both spades and hearts, and 12 top tricks - but the small slam was bid only once and the grand slam (needing the ♥Q onside, but it wasn't) once. Board 13 has 13 top tricks in spades (but the ♦A to lose) and everyone played in 4♠. Board 14 we discussed yesterday had slam available in both directions! Board 15 had 12 tricks trivially available in hearts (but not good odds - a very lucky layout) and we had nobody in slams and two in partscores! Board 16 had an easy diamond slam just needing to handle themissing Q843 of trumps (a 58% shot) but we saw every table in 3N and half of them sneaking through the 13th trick. Board 21 was a making 6♦ but it depends on diamonds 2-2 and clubs 3-3, so it is poor odds (say 13%) but everything was perfect this time. Board 22 was a laydown 6♦ where most played in 3N and at those six tables all but one the defenders cashed their six heart tricks (the other two tables went minus in a 4-3 spade fit). FInally on board 25 there is 7♣ available; that grand slam depends finding the ♠Q and being able to ruff two hearts - that's too much to ask, but the small slam in clubs needing just one of these is an excellent proposition. [Excercise for the reader - with hearts 5-2 the wrong way round, how does 7♣ make?]
Is this because we are rubbish at bidding slams, or at bidding in general? I do not believe it is so, it's just that bidding is a very difficult task. The one successful slam in this list is the hand illustrated, and the final contract was only achieved after a mis-understanding! Here's the explanation.
The pair concerned had few arrangements in place - only that 2♥ was game forcing - and they had, despite playing in all five sessions of this event - very little experience in slam bidding. After 2♥ West does face a dilemma - whether to set the suit early or introduce diamonds and potentially cloud the issue. It is a trade off between simplicity and the possibility of playing in hearts with a 5-5 diamond fit on the side. After 3♥, the bid of 3♠ was a cue bid and West now felt obliged to show the (undisclosed) diamonds. East thought at this poiint there were two club losers and signed off in 4♥. The 5♣ continuation now sounded like second round control to go with the first round diamond control, and for West to be so enthused there was surely a good spade suit present. With an eye on protecting ♣ Kx of clubs against a lead through, East chose 6♠ as the final contract, and there it rested.
Notice how much more difficult it is to have a sensible bidding conversation if the opposition put in a 3♣ or 4♣ overcall.
We cannot learn a lot from that story, but it would be a worthwhile exercise for any pair to examine boards 11, 13, 16, 22 and 25 - and decide what their preferred partnership sequence would be on thse hand. Agreeing on that will provide a solid foundation for a number of hands in the future.
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HotD-tue : WInter Pairs 5 : 14jan19 : B14 |
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This was the most spectacular hand from last night's Winter Pairs, and the auction from table eight.
East's 1N opener nominally showed 14-16 HCP, but East judged the long clubs were worth an extar point. South might well have considered a jump bid with such shape, but even the 2♠ bid chosen made life difficult for West. The takeout double didn't show the fith heart but at least brought all suits into consideration. Over North's raise, it was easy for East now to show the clubs - and after that it became a battle between South and West.
South bid 4♠ in constructive vein, having heard of support from partner; when it came to 5♠ it is not clear what the intention was, and when it came to 6♠ South had become convinced that the club slam was making and that a sacrifice was necessary. In 6♠ there is no spade or club loser, a heart loser, and the need to play diamonds for no loser. The play in diamonds clearly starts with small towards the AJ632 and the jack is inserted and holds. An alert West at this point will drop a high diamond, creating in South's mind the possibility of a T9-doubleton. The reason for doing this is to encourage declarer to lead the queen next in order to pin the other high card and set up the eight. The ruse is quite well known and with West holding no spades, the odds clearly favour doubleton king (two possibilities) over doubleton T9 (one possibility) - although that does mean playing the 1N opener for two doubletons. So declarer should not go wrong.
In the event, three Souths got as high as 6♠ and all were doubled; one miscounted trumps and saw the third diamond ruffed with the spade queen, while one made 12 tricks, and the otehr went down for reasons as yet unknown.
Notice that a 6♣ slam can be made by East (as was bid at the table shown). Delcarer must play North for the heart queen, and then take care to ruff the fourth round and set up the fifth heart to discard a diamond.
LATER : the other auction to 6♠ also involved a 1N opener : this time it went 1N - 2♦ (a long major) - 3♥ (forcing) - 4♠ (pushy) - P - P - 5♣ - P - P - 5♠ - P - P - 6♣ - 6♠ - X - end.
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HotD-thu : CBC Pairs League : 9jan19 : B12 |
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The final session of the autumn series of the CPL finished last night, with Richard Butland & Paul Denning winning Division One, Wendy Angseesing & Peter Waggett winning Division Two, while Sue Evans & Graham Selby from Worcestershire won Division Three. There were seven hands (out of 25) with slam making - but one of them was poor odds, and another one was roughly 50%. Of the good slams, this was the only one which was regularly bid - but it was stil considered a failure by many as they did get to 6♥ but only to find they'd rather have been in 7♦!
Those playing 2-over-1 as a game force had the best chance, after the bidding started as above. In practice the Easts all bid a fourth suit forcing 3♣ and then had to decide what to do over partner's 3♥. The common choice was a raise to 4♥ after which West checked for key cards and bid 6♥.
How might it have gone better? The problem is that East has done little to describe their hand, and has chosen a 5-2 heart fit in ignorance of which of West's majors is stronger, and with a danger of missing a 6-2 or 6-3 diamond fit, or even a 5-3 club fit. The best chance of exploring all of these is for East to bid no trumps at some point, in the hope that West is better placed to make the decision. On this hand, were East to bid 3N over 3♥, it would be natural for West to continue with 4♦ which is rather good news for East. It is hard to see what would happen next as space for checking on key cards is sparse. There is a chance that overall momentum might get the partnership to the grand slam, but it is hard to be sure how. In fact, East might have done better to bid 2N on the previous round, as it would allow West to show three cards in either monor and ensure that a good fit there is not missed - but here it would have resulted in a 3♥ rebid and the same problem as is shown.
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HotD-wed : Spring Teams : 7jan18 : B20 |
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This hand proved a difficult bidding problem for people on Monday, with five out of twelve tables ending up with a minus score when a plus score was available. What should you be thinking at this point?
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The popular choice at this point was to bid 3N, and that was just fine when North passed, but a number of North's continued with 4♠ and four tables played there with only one successful. [Two went four down after making a slam try!]
Was 3N a good choice? It has the positive attribute that it shows something in clubs, and if 3N is the right contract then North might not be able to bid that contract. The catch is that, especially if partner is known to have ten red cards, you might find spade shortage or even a spade void going down in dummy, and your spade stop is very suspect.
The alternative to bidding 3N is simply to give preference to 3♥ on the sequence shown. In practice this works out nicely as partner then shows 3-card spade support with 3♠ and now your 3N describes your hand well. Bidding 3♥, partly because it is the lowest bid, provides the strong hand more space to describe what justified a game force, and so it has a lot going for it. Were North to bid 3N over 3♥ it even gives you a chance of getting to a 6♣ slam.
Notice that the hand is only the ♦T away from an excellent slam, and it takes a trump lead to defeat 6♥. |
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HotD-tue : Spring Teams : 7jan18 : B17 |
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This was the most shapely hand that turned up last night in the first Spring Teams game. What do you fancy at this point? You haven't got much of a fit for partner, but you know the opponents have a lot of hearts; you can bid or you can pass. Your choice?
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There's no "book" answer to this sort of problem. Have a look at all four hands, and consider these options and how they worked out at the table
PASS : this let West bid 4♥ in great confidence and unless you come in again you can write down -420.
4N : this was chosen at table four (and we are not sure what was intended by the bid), but that didn't stop West, so you heard 4N - 5♥ - P - P to you? At this point South tried 6♣ and West placed too much trust in this and sacrificed in 6♥ duly doubled for down two on a diamond lead. , [One other table ended in 6♥ doubled down two]
5♣ : this was chosen at a number of tables and of course it provoked 5♥. Since that contract is going down it looks right to pass, but when the bidding went this way North had to choose a lead and we have three instances of the ♣A lead allowing 5♥ to make. Oops.
The opening bid of 4♣ was not everyone's choice.; one table opened just 3♣ allowing that West to bid 4♥ and play there. Another table opened 5♣ and it went P - P - 5♥ - P - P to South; the choice of 5N, which was passed out and went down eight(!) for a score of -400 and that gained 2 imps when their team-mates played in 5♥ making.
We have no understanding of how one pair ended in 6♠ undoubled going down five, or of how the one successful pair bid the making 6♦ slam. Can anyone tell us?
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HiotD-thu : 3RD JANUARY BIDDING PROBLEM |
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Here's another problem, this time from a Crockford's match. You have a good hand, as does partner, but they are not fitting well. How do you proceed?
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A key question here is your attitude to the introduction of a new suit (diamonds) at the 4-level. For many, it is impractical to be looking for a fit at this level, so they will treat it as a slam try agreeing hearts. But those holding thisn hand might think it the most natural description of the hand. It is important to recognise the uncertainty, and polling suggests that the majority will treat a new suit at the 4-level as always agreeing the last suit mentioned (hearts here). That has been my rule for a long time (with one exception).
If we rule out 4♦ we have two choices - either 3♠ or 3N - or do we raise to 4♥? [The latter option should be discounted as if hearts is the right denomination then partner will bid it again on the next round - we don't need to.]
The argument for us bidding 3N is that partner will struggle to bid it with short diamonds, but the downside is that partner could instead have short clubs.
The argument for 3♠ is that it doesn't rule out 3N but the downside is that partner might raise with a doubleton. [It is important to know that this bid is forcing - we don't rescue partner from a jump rebid unless doubled for penalties]
In the event (a Crockfords’ match) the 3N choice got 4♥ from partner on ♠A4 ♥KQ98732 ♦T8 ♣KJ which was made without difficulty. The 4♦ choice at the other table led to disaster. |
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HotD-wed : 2ND JANUARY BIDDING PROBLEM |
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You are sitting in second seat here but don't have a good enough hand with which to open the bidding. After LHO opens 1♣ in third seat (promises 3+, could be a weak NT hand) and partner overcalls - do you want to get involved, and if so how?
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This question is intended to explore the expectations overcaller should have from a 1♠ bid by advancer, but it also raises the question of whether or not advancer should bid at all.
We have learned over recent decades that it is better to show shape first and values later, so a Good Hand with hearts would always show the suit and then double on the next round, so the overcall can be quite strong. East's silence encourages this view, so we don't want to pass.
There is really only a choice of two bids, 1♠ or 1N. For sure 1N shows these sort of values, but it does lack a club stop. We are all accustomed to ignoring the club suit when overcalling a nebulous 1♣ with 1N, since LHO doesn’t know when to lead a club and when not to. This position is different as the hand which does know will be on lead..
The doubts about bidding 1♠ come from a feeling that in a competitive situation suits should be five cards. The difficulty with insisting on this is that here you might misss a 4-4 spade fit. This situation should not be treated much differently from partner opening a five card major and you respondd - and in that case we would never dream of by-passing a spade suit.
When this hand occurred in the 2017 Spring Fours (R2, B11) 9/20 tables played in 1♥ despite having 25 hcp between the two hands and only 5 tables reached 3N (of which all but one succeeded). Where West opened 1♥ or 1N there was a different auction. When offered to the Scottish bidding panel, seven out of seventeen opted for 1N and only three passed.
What do we learn? Particularly when we can bid at the 1-level we should not pass out partner’s overcall; we might not know where we are going but when good outcomes are possible, we should give partner a second chance. |
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HotD-tue : NEW YEAR'S DAY BIDDING PROBLEM |
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With no Monday night game as a source of hands - here are some bidding problems from the recent past ...
Here there is a number of conflicting interests and the key question is what compromise is best. Your choice?
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The big difficulty with Pass is that partner will never expect as many HCP, and you will miss game too often (if we even get into the bidding). Moreover we know what sort of hands are opened third in hand favourable. One bonus from that fact of that is that the danger of a penalty double in 1N disappears. Double must be considered, but double of one major so asks partner to bid the other major that it feels like asking for trouble.
The alternative to bidding 2♦ is bidding 1N. Do you proceed with 2♦ and more HCP than partner could expect, or without the stopper which would be expected from 1N?
When the hand occurred, both tables in the match bid 1N (and stopped the opening side bidding their making 4♥ game), and when the hand was presented to a Scottish bidding panel, ten out of seventeen went for 1N. The rationale is two fold - firstly the closest description on offer for this hand is as strong balanced, and secondly a stopper is often as strong as it sounds (opener might well duck a heart lead to you when holding AKxxx).
A key point is that there is little Good that will happen after bidding 2♦, but a 1N bid does offer the chance of a vulnerable game.
The conclusion is that we have to make imperfect bids sometimes, but in the game of bridge there are a myriad of ways things can turn out right, so don’t worry too much when you have to compromise. |
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2018 Christmas Quiz Answers |
Q1 : which of the scores 1000, 1010, 1020, ... 1100 is not a valid duplicate bridge score? There is no way to get a score of 1060.
Q2 : which two Gloucestershire players were involved in a European Championship in Israel in 1980? Keith Stanley was non-playing captain of a Junior Team which included Garry Watson.
Q3 : which was the only winning lead from ♠986 ♥AQ4 ♦AQ54 ♣986 after (from RHO with your side silent) 1♣ - 1♥ - 2♣ - 3♣ - 3N - P when this occurred in the Teltscher Trophy in 2014? The heart ace, dropping declarer's singleton king - achieveable and achieved, on the basis that hearts will be declarer's weakest suit on this auction.
Q4 : which country lost a semi-final of a world championship only by mis-scoring a board that went six down doubled, agreeing it as -1100 rather than -1400? Canada lost out to Germany in the 1990 Rosenblum.
Q5 : when Zia played this hand in 6♦ after the bidding shown, and Bob Hamman led the ♠3 at trick one, what winning play did Zia make at trick two? He played a heart to the nine and queen. He recognised that the low spade lead indicated that Soiuth had all the clubs, and therefore his plan had to be a club discarded on hearts, rather than a heart discarded on clubs. One spade ruff is also needed, and a heart winner is needed as a way to return to hand to draw trumps. Hence the choice.
Q6 : ignoring the difference between clubs & diamonds, and between hearts & spades, but allowing for different vulnerabilities : which score between 200 and 300 can be obtained in 7 different manners? The answer is 200 : this can come from 1M+4, 2M+3, 3M+2, 4 down non-vulnerable, 1 down redoubled non-vulnerable, 2 down vulnerable, 1 down doubled vulnerable.
Q7 : in which year did the GCBA start using Duplimated boards? 1991
Q8 : when the French Bridge magazine presented this bidding problem to its experts, what bid got top marks? Vulnerable at teams, partner opens the bidding and you have ♠AQJ9 ♥QT ♦T653 ♣AJ3 and the bidding (from partner, with the opposition silent) goes 1♥ - 1♠ - 2♣ - 2♦(FSF,GF) - 3♠ to you. What next? The winning answer is 4♦, confirming to partner that you will play in spades and making a slam try.
Q9 : which Gloucestershire player represented England as a junior in the 1970s? Richard Butland played for England in 1977 and 1978.
Q10 : when Andy Robson played the hand shown, he went one off, but in a later write-up regretted his play at trick two. What did he think he should have done at trick two after West led the ♥9 at trick one? In practice he played a trump, but he argued he should have won the ♥A and played a spade towards his own hand. He "knew" the lead was a singleton and that West was about to win the ♦A and put his partner in with a spade for a ruff. The best chance of thwarting that plan is to play a spade before East reliases he must play high.
Q11 : which score in the range 700..800 can be achieved in the greatest number of ways? 760 can be achieved in 7 ways (720 can be done in 6 ways).
Q12 : which Gloucestershire pair played against Meckstroth & Rodwell in a 1982 world championship? Paul Denning & Patrick Shields in a qualifying session of the World Open Pairs.
Q13 : the auction started with 7N on your right and you double. What is your best lead from ♠KQ ♥KJ2 ♦J432 ♣QT98 ? The best lead is the ♥J. The only sensible hand for declarer is ♠A ♥A ♦AKQT98765 ♣AK and if you lead (a) a spade, you'll get in with ♦J and cash one spade for down two, (b) a diamond, you let it make, (c) a club you win ♦J and get it one down. A heart lead but not the king guarantees two down, more if parnter has the queen, and if you lead the jack you might unblock the suit when dummy has T8xx(x) to get even more.
Q14 : Cheltenham hosted an England-Wales match in 1999; can you name any of the people who played in that match? England were represented by Garry Hyett & Alan Mould, David Kendrick & Brian Senior, David Price & Tom Townsend, with Keith Stanley as NPC. [Two of these pairs played in the recent EBU Seniors Trials] . Wales was represented by Jill Casey & Filip Kurbalija, Peter Goodman & Adrian Thomas, Mike Hirst & Jim Luck, with Tony Haworth as NPC.
Q15 : Bobby Wolff reports this hand in his book "The Lone Wolff". How did George Burns sitting East defend after winning the club ace at trick one and seeing declarer drop the king? The answer is to switch to hearts - by playing a heart at trick two and another on winning the diamond ace, declarer can be cut off from the heart suit and has to lose a spade in the end game.
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St Stephen's Day quiz questions |
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Q11 : which score in the range 700..800 can be achieved in the greatest number of ways?
Q12 : which Gloucestershire pair played against Meckstroth & Rodwell in a 1982 world championship?
Q13 : the auction started with 7N on your right and you double. What is your best lead from ♠KQ ♥KJ2 ♦J432 ♣QT98 ?
Q14 : Cheltenham hosted an England-Wales match in 1999; can you name any of the people who played in that match?
Q15 : Bobby Wolff reports this hand in his book "The Lone Wolff". How did George Burns sitting East defend after winning the club ace at trick one and seeing declarer drop the king?
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Boxing Day quiz questions |
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Q6 : ignoring the difference between clubs & diamonds, and between hearts & spades, and allowing for different vulnerabilities : which score between 200 and 300 can be obtained in 7 different manners?
Q7 : in which year did the GCBA start using Duplimated boards?
Q8 : when the French Bridge magazine presented this bidding problem to its experts, what bid got top marks? Vulnerable at teams, partner opens the bidding and you have ♠AQJ9 ♥QT ♦T653 ♣AJ3 and the bidding (with the opposition silent) goes 1♥ - 1♠ - 2♣ - 2♦(FSF,GF) - 3♠ to you. What next?
Q9 : which Gloucestershire player represented England as a junior in the 1970s?
Q10 : when Andy Robson played the hand shown, he went one off, but in a later write-up regretted his play at trick two. What did he think he should have done at trick two after West led the ♥9 at trick one?
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Christmas Day quiz questions |
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For the next three days, there will be a bridge related quiz here for you to puzzle over. The answers might take you a little research, and will be revealed towards the end of the week.
Q1 : which of the scores 1000, 1010, 1020, ... 1100 is not a valid duplicate bridge score?
Q2 : which two Gloucestershire players were involved in a European Championship in Israel in 1980?
Q3 : which was the only winning lead from ♠986 ♥AQ4 ♦AQ54 ♣986 after (from RHO with your side silent) 1♣ - 1♥ - 2♣ - 3♣ - 3N - P when this occurred in the Teltscher Trophy in 2014?
Q4 : which country lost a semi-final of a world championship only by mis-scoring a board that went six down doubled, agreeing it as -1100 rather than -1400?
Q5 : when Zia played this hand in 6♦ after the bidding shown, and Bob Hamman led the ♠3 at trick one, what winning play did Zia make at trick two?
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HotD-thu : Seniors Trials : 16dec18 : B2.2 |
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Last weekend two locals (Richard Chamberlain & Patrick Shields) teamed up with two from Surrey (Graham Sadie who used to play here, and Richard Granville) to play in the trials for the English Senior team. The team came in the middle of the field, losing to the winners by only 9 imps but being hammered by the team in second place. The match against the second team included this hand, where Sandra Penfold was faced with the problem described here. (THe other table bid on to 5♠ and these hands got to defend). It doesn't look good with the ♣A out and such a flimsy heart suit. What can you do?
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How about this line, found by Sandra. Win the spade lead and draw trumps with the ace and queen. Now a small club towards the Q3 gives East a problem. When East ducked, she won the queen, crossed to the ♦J to throw a club on the ♠K and now she ruffed a club. The issue now was not to lose three heart tricks. A heart to the ♥8 - ♥Q followed, and East could win but was now endplayed. Either a spade ruff & discard or a club gave away a trick, and it remained for declarer to lead towards the ♥K94 to get 11 tricks.
Could the defence have done better by rising with the ♣A? No - that would allow declarer a discard of a heart on the ♠K and the ♣K and now a heart to the king is the only line to make the contract and that works.
Could the defence have done better earlier? Only by leading the ♥A and taking a ruff before cashing the club ace.
Was it better for East-West to have sacrificed? In practice yes, as the two declarers in 5♦ made the contract. But if declarer doesn't find this line, you'd rather defend. |
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HotD-wed : League 5 : 17dec18 : B17 |
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This was a problem faced at many tables on Monday after South had cue bid to show at least 5-5 in the majors. Do you go on?
The difficulty is that you don't know whether partner is giving preference with two small spades, or whether partner has real support. The answer - which can be applied in many situations when one hand cue bids clubs to show the majors - is to play a diamond bid as negative (Lebensohl style), so that a bid of a major in response to the cue bid promises real support. This can apply anytime that the club bid showing the majors promises at least 5-5; in cases where it only promises 5-4, then the diamond bid is more useful to ask for the longer major. Over the diamond bid, the cue bidder just bids hearts and partner chooses whether to play there or convert to spades.
Here bidding 4♠ over 4♣ would show positive support and enable South to continue with confidence. Lacking this tool, it is closer to a guess for South - so well done to the four tables who managed to bid on to the slam on Monday, each gaining 11 imps for their side.
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HotD-tue : League 5 : 17dec18 : B13 |
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Last night completed the first round robin in League Division One, and saw the two leading teams (tied for first place at the time) playing against each other. This hand was a flat board, but across the field it was 3N making half the time, and going down half the time. It takes some good card reading to have a chance of success. Here's how it was made at table two ...
The opening lead of the ♠7 was recognised as second best from a bad suit, so declarer knew the finesse would lose and rose with the ace at trick one. If the king had fallen that would have settled the contract, but it didn't. Declarer continued now with three rounds of diamonds; this has the advanatage of forcing some discards from the defenders, and when West threw two small spades, it was clear there was no threat now from that suit, so North played a top spade. This put East on lead, uncomfortably - and highlighted the advantage of rising with the spade ace at trick one.
East could count declarer for two spade tricks and five diamonds, so a heart lead was out of the question(whoever held the ace) - and in practice he switched to the ♣7 which went to the ♣9 - ♣Q - ♣A. Declarer now cashed out his diamonds and the defenders came down to four hearts and four clubs between them. Declarer had in hand ♥J8 ♣K4 opposite dummy's ♥K8 ♣54. and needed one more trick. One choice was to lead up to the heart king, but neither declarer in this match chose that. Instead, they exited in clubs and left it to the defenders to play hearts. When East led a small heart, declarer was now ready to play low and this forced the ace and gave the ninth trick. Why did they guess right? There isn't much in the choice but West's lack of interest in spades suggests a hand not looking at a heart entry and that led to declarer's winning choice.
Could the defence have done better? The answer is yes - at the final discard, West needed to come down to ♥Q♣K84 and with this holding declarer cannot find a ninth trick.
Should declarer have realised this would happen and gone for a different line? It's hard to say - as the position reached would have been a winner if West had held a top club honour to go with the ten.
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Hotd-fri : CBC Pairs League : 12dec18 : B1 |
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This hand from Wednesday offered some interersting points for declarer. Most East ended up as declarer in 3N and of these 6 got a spade lead which allowed then to win, and run first the ♥9 and then the ♥8 to set up a heart trick to make the contract. This is the best odds in the heart suit, succeeding when either the jack or queen is onside (better odds that just playing for the ace onside). Two declarers in 3N on a spade lead, however, failed. We don;t know how.
There are attractions in a spade lead even on this auction, but at some tables East opened 1♦ which further pushed South to the spade lead. The other 5 declarers in 3N had a diamond lead and that gave them more work to do. At one table the diamond lead went to the jack and the king (line A), after which declarer knocked out the club ace. South continued diamonds and when hearts were played North could win and push back diamonds - which gave the defence five tricks.
Could declarer have done better? An alternative line (line B) was to duck the first diamond, letting the jack win, and then winning ♦A to play clubs. South was then unable to continue diamonds, so declarer was back on lead with a spade and had a choice of whom to play for the ace of hearts. If South had it then a heart to the ace would make the game, but so would running the ♥9, so that line is preferred and delivers 9 tricks.
A third alternative (line C) is to win the first diamond with the ace and play on clubs. South can play another diamond to the jack and decision time comes again. If South has the heart ace then ducking and winning the third diamond is the answer, but if North has the ace then declarer must duck the second diamond.
What is best? Line A fails only when North has the ♥A. Line B fails when North has the ♣A and South has the ♥A. Line C fails when declarer guesses wrongly who has the ♥A. This makes line B the winner.
This might take too much working out at the table - so is there any pattern we can identify? It's hard to say but an earlier duck is important in a number of situations, and if the lead had been from a 5-card diamond suit that could have been vital. Small from dummy can also gain if South led small from the ♦QJ.
The conclusion has to be that we all want to make this contract next time.
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HotD-wed : Midlands League vs Derby : 9dec18 : B29 |
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This hand produced a few swings and a few regrets in Sunday's match. This auction was very common, although there is a case for (a) upgrading the North hand because of the controls and supporting tens, or (b) passing the South hand as the evidence is that this is not enough values to make game - and these sort of balance.
The first question is East's lead - passive or active? The evidence on leading against 2N openers is to go passive, but here declarer has bid your spades and a singleton is very unappealing (and may mislead partner somewhat). Leading a heart is not attractive given dummy has implied hearts, and a diamond round to the AQ looks silly.
Our defender managed to find the lead of a high spade, and when dummy went down that looked good. Declarer won the first spade and played ace and another heart. It was clear for East to cash another heart to avoid being end-played, and after partner discards ♠2, he still has a problem as to what to lead. A diamond remains unappealing, and if partner has only the one spade honour, then a spade lead costs nothing. On this basis East continued spades giving declarer three tricks there. To get to the winning heart in dummy, North now played out three rounds of clubs but West ducked each time. There was an easy answer for declarer - he played his winning spade and then his losing spade. East was on lead and now had to lead a diamond into the AQ and that gave declarer nine tricks. Every lead East had made helped declarer!
Another table saw East lead a diamond at trick one. On a low diamond lead, West can deduce that declarer must have a doubleton honour in diamonds, and could judge to play small. Now when East won a heart, they could continue diamonds in the same vein, and declarer had 8 tricks and no chance of a ninth.
I wonder what the various Easts will lead next time.
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HotD-tue : Winter Pairs : 10dec18 : B17 |
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This hand from Monday offered a tidy endplay which most declarers missed. West played in 3♦ after North opened a strong NT and South showed spades. After two top spades - how do you play this hand?
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The bidding rather marks the location of the high cards - surely all with North. After ruffing the second spade there are three losers declarer needs to worry about - the third and fourth hearts and the club. With the club king (almost) marked in the North hand, the fourth heart should not be a problem, so declarer started by drawing two rounds of trumps. When they broke 2-2, another spade ruff could follow and at this point North was down to clubs and hearts. It was an easy oiption therefore for declarer to play three rounds of hearts and suddently North was on lead. It was impossible to guess wrong, and there are 11 easy tricks. Only one declarer playing in diamonds managed this!
Alan Wearmouth adds : When North was playing a weak NT at my table, the bidding went 1♣ -P-P-X, P-1♠ -P-2♦ , P-3♦-P 3N. West can count 8 likely tricks after partner raises his diamonds and it's not obvious that 3♦ is any better than 3NT so even though the points aren't there game looks a distinct possibility. If Northdoes lead the spade ace for an attitude signal the defence will get their five tricks as the spade queen is now the critical card for South (surely North wouldn't lead an unsupported ace with the suit bid on his left) and given the bidding it right for North to look. However, North led the "safe" ♥Q and nine tricks were quickly wrapped up. A club lead would give an overtrick! |
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HotD-thu : BBO ICL league : 5dec18 : B24 |
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Last night the quarterfinal of 30th run of the Inter-Cities-League took place on BBO. A few Gloucestershire players have played in a Welsh team (by the name Aberystwth) in that league over many years. You can read about the league at http://intercity.cloudapp.net/, and I am sure a CHeltenham team would be welcomed.
This hand was the last board of the quarterfinal match, where Aberyswyth was playing against Edinburgh, and at that point were leading by 11 imps.
The auction shown was that of the Edinburgh team (the other table having bid 2♥-P-4♥-end), who because of the light opener reached the dicey slam.
The opening lead was the ♣Q which declarer won. He drew three rounds of trumps when East showed out on the first round, and then tried a diamond to the ten and was pleased to see West win with the ace. The contract still looked in trouble, but then the ♠J came back. How would you play from this point?
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The first thing to realise is that the spade king is with East. There is just no way West would lead a spade if holding the king. There are six heart tricks, two clubs and if you trust the diamond finesse, two there - and the ace of spades makes 11 tricks.
The best chance is that the diamonds break 3-3, but there is another chance, that the same hand has to guard diamonds and spades. The best line is therefore a squeeze and you can run this whoever has four diamonds - but you have to work out who that is. If East has the long diamonds, then hold back the ♠Q and run your winners. If West has the long diamonds, you want to cover the spade jack - transferring the spade control to West - and then do the same. The Scotsman chose the latter and it was the former which worked. This cost the match.
Was there an argument for getting it right? There is - as if West had the long diamonds, then there is a defence against the squeeze - West simply ducks the first diamond.
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HotD-wed : Swiss Teams 4 : 3dec18 : B20 |
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This hand from Monday's teams produced big swings in three matches, when exactly three tables tried for a slam. The bidding shown was one of the successful sequences, given a relatively easy time by the failure of West to open the bidding on the first round. In one way bidding the slam after this start was a close thing - North was worried about partner having weak hearts but conscious that ♥KQxxx and three small spades would make an excellent slam. Meanwhile, South took a good view that with such weak hearts for North to make a try after the 4♥ signoff, the rest of the hand must be enormous.
Even if West had opened with a weak 2♠, the slam should be bid as over North's takeout double South will (playing Lebensohl) bid 3♥ in response showing values, and now who could stop North?
At two of the slam tables West led the ♦8. The lead of a singleton against a slam in gernally encouraged, as if partner is obliging enough to hold the ace of that suit or sometimes the ace of trumps, you will defeat the slam. It's not quite the same when you have an ace in your own hand - as if partner gets the lead to give you a ruff, then the ruff is not needed as you have an ace to cash.
After a diamond lead - can you see how South will make 12 tricks?
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Counting the tricks, and expecting the spade ace to be offside, declarer has six minor suit winners and therefore needs six trump tricks, ie two spade ruffs. This can be done by winning a top diamond, losing a spade trick, and using two heart entries and the ♣J entry to hand to ruff two spades and draw trumps.
There are two ways West could have defeated the slam. One is by leading a club rather than a diamond at trick one - as this uses up the clucb entry too early for declarer's purposes. And a heart lead does exactly the same.
Should West have found the lead? Possibly yes, for the reasons given that a singleton lead is unlikely to be vital.
Patrick Phair notes and I agree : given that South needds to ruff two spades in the North hand I can see that a heart lead would help the defence. But the fact that a club lead is better than a diamond lead looks like pure luck -- I can see nothing in the bidding or West's hand to suggest that South has a club entry rather than a diamond entry. |
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HotD-tue : Swiss Teams 4 : 3dec18 : B3 |
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It is hard to believe many pairs actually bid this hand as shown, but seven tables ended in 2N while 3 stopped in 1N and one ventured 3N.
Curiously an auction to 2N sends a much clearer signal to the defence than an auction to either other contract. The message is that East-West are close to game but not quite there, so the HCP can be pinned down to about 23 between the two hands. The repercussion of this for North, on lead, is a change in priorities; instead of actively chasing tricks before declarer sets up theirs (say against 3N), the primary concern is that the opening lead does not give away to declarer a vital trick they could not otherwise obtain. Against 2N, it is possible that a black suit lead might be the best source of tricks for the defence, but it is rather more likely that a black suit lead will blow a trick en route to that. Many dangers exist also in the ♥J9 suit - so what is left? Diamonds. This is in fact the only suit lead which will hold declarer to six tricks. Is it findable? The answer must be yes, as two pairs did find that lead.
Are we surprised that 2N was such a struggle that nobody made it? No. The 12-count held by West is very short of tricks and opening a weak NT with this hand is extremely dangerous - it would be much safer to pass. Looking at either hand, one is reminded that a 4333 shape does not deliver as many trick taking opportunities as a 4432 or 5332 hand. Many people deduct 1-hcp from such a hand when considering raising partner, This would justify East passing 1N on this particular hand, and that contract does require very spefici defence to beat it - so one might manage a plus score.
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HotD-thu : MIxed Pairs : 26nov18 : B26 |
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This hand from Monday was played in 3N at every table, and it was a slight surprise that only one table failed to make the contract. There were three instances where North was declarer but it is hard to identify a sensible bidding sequence that leads to that outcome. Those three tables however did each receive a favourable lead and benefited from that to the tune of overtricks, while no South declarer managed more than 9 tricks.
There was also, gladly, little evidence of East having opened a weak two bid on this hand (only one heart lead from West), and that means that we had six Souths declaring in 3N on a club lead. Now let's look at it from declaer's perspective.
There are five top winners to start with and prospects of 2-3 tricks in spades once the ace is knocked out, and also prospects of 2 extra tricks in diamonds if the suit breaks evenly, and a winning heart finesse is a third option, as well as a second club trick. On the opening club lead it is "normal" for East to play the king first, with a decent expectation of being on lead to show the queen on the second trick (if that doesn't happen, you must expect partner to be confused). This abnormal sequence declares that the KQ is doubleton, and allows West to make a more meaningful signal on the second trick. When declarer sees the king, there is a threat that the QJ are sitting over the T9, and the way to neutralise the suit is to duck the first round, but cover a small club on the second - so that West cannot attack the suit any more. When East continues with the queen, South can reconsider; if South recognises the position now then ducking guarantees the contract as the clubs cannot be set up before the diamonds and spades are established - and two spades, two hearts and four diamonds go with the ♣A to get nine tricks.
Unfortuantely when the ♣Q is played, South is offered the chance of two sure club tricks and might well grab that. When declarer did that at table one, and continued with diamonds, West was able to win and clear the clubs while still holding the ace of spades, and South should now have gone down (but an accident returned the contract to her). Was declarer always doomed after winning the club ace? Not really - the play of diamonds was only setting up two tricks where three were needed, so playing on spades offered a better prospect. When the ♠T appears that give declarer nine tricks and the contract will always make.
Well done the Souths who avoided the traps on this hand.
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HotD-wed : Mixed Pairs : 26nov18 : B12 |
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This hand from Monday produced a ridiculous variety of scores - with three different denominations chosen, and some game, some small slam, and one grand slam. The first key issue arose at the point shown. The opener has shown a decent chance of nine tricks (rather more certainty than this bid usually has) and a long diamond suit, with the 3N bid, and East must decide on whether or not to sit that out. In practice, most Easts decided that 4♠ would be better and took out (although at least one bid 4♣). That created the next problem for West - should West sit that? Various Wests chose differently, with bids of pass, 4N and 6♦ all being chosen at this point. Both the pass and the 4N (when that was passed) were successful.
How one pair ended in 7♦ is not known, but please do tell the story if you know!
There are 11 tricks available in spades but neither pair in spades made 11 tricks, which suggested that both Norths concerned avoided covering the ♠T when that was led. Well done there.
There are only 10 tricks available in diamonds, and the one exception came when South pulled out the ♠Q by mistake on the first round and gave declarer an extra trick there.
There are 10 tricks available in NT but one declarer pulled out the wrong card by mistake in the ending to only make 9; how the other pair managed 11 tricks (for a complete top) is not known.
The question now is - how can one hand generate so many accidents amongst a group of such experienced bridge players?
LATER : the 11 tricks in 3N came as a result of a revoke and a 2-trick penalty!
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HotD-tue : Mixed Pairs : 26nov18 : B4 |
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The winners of last night's Mixed Pairs were John Councer playing with Suzy Lawson from Bristol. It was nice also to see Sue Evans from Worcestershire playing. Our County Competitions are open to all comers.
This was one of the winners' favourite hands. The bidding was that of the opponents, and it is not clear whether they should have been tempted to go for a 5-3 fit when they have 27+ hcp between the hands and the game is match-points. In the event, four tables played in 4♠ and six tables played in 3N, but the latter made every number of tricks from 8 through 11, so the play there might be worth discussion someday.
Against 4♠ John faced an opening lead problem : to find the right combination of attack and safety, and he found the only one which gave the defence a chance. Let's try the more obvious (more boring?) lead of a club. When West's honour forces the ace, declarer knows that a discard is needed for the losing club pronto, and that most come from the third diamond. So the only possible play is to win the club, unblock the diamonds, and play a heart towards the ♥QJ94 to set up an entry to the diamond king. They win the ♥A and continue clubs but declarer is in control - winning ♣K, crossing in hearts and ditching the losing club. Contract makes.
Now try this on a heart lead. First point is that West "knows" it is not a singleton lead as that would give declarer four hearts as well as five spades and with that they would normally have shown both majors in reponse to 3♣ rather than hide one. So West plays a low heart on the first round and North wins. The danger now, if any, is losing an unnecessary heart ruff, so declarer continues with ♠A and another. To East it is not impossible that declarer has the queen, but there is a decent chance declarer would have preferred a finesse in that case, so East judged well to duck this spade and West won the queen. West - seeing the ♠T from partner - could recognise the spade position and switched to the top club. Declarer won and now had a dilemma. The heart ace and the spade king has to be lost but which one first? The expectation was that whoever won the first would continue clubs, and the key was that whoever won second one could not cash a club. In practice the two declarers faced with this dilemma - very reasonably - played hearts, and on winning the ♥A, West was able to set up the ♣T to be the fourth defensive trick. This gave the winners a joint top, shared with the one pair in 3N who didn't manage 9 tricks.
Why might one find a heart lead here? The answer is that leading any of the other suits has the potential to give declarer a trick they could not otherwise get. The heart suit is much safer in that respect, and has the bonus that it creates the potential of a heart ruff.
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HotD-thu : Leage 4 : 19nov18 : B17 |
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This hand from Monday produced a lot of swings when half the field made 10 tricks and half the field didn't. When North opened a weak 1N, then North would end up playing the hand (this happened 5 times) and when the system was a strong NT, then South ended as declarer (which happened 7 times - is that a sign of the changing pattern?).
With North as declarer on the bidding shown, no lead is attractive, but the heart lead has the possibility of stopping a useful ruff from happening and was found at three tables, while the others found a club and a spade. With South as declarer there is similarly a set of horrible options, and the choices made were three spades, two clubs and two diamonds. It is worth noting that nobody led a trump as this is too dangerous from the king - something to remember next time you get a trump lead through the ace, it might be the right time to drop the singleton king. Since all suit leads here are dangerous, I would have favoured the ♦J as it comes with a greater possibility of striking gold from a later diamond ruff.
From declarer's perspective there are eight sure tricks with extras possible from a long spade, a heart finesse, the onside ♦A, from a club finesse, or from a club ruff. The first ones to go for on any lead are the club and the diamond and these quickly show up a dead ends. [Actually if East ducks the diamond - which might or might not be possible depending on whether the count signal from West is clear - then you are don't know this yet. Which is a good example of why East should be ready and willing to duck whenever it is safe to do so]
At this point things get a bit worrying. If the defence has continued without giving away any tricks, and the prospects in spades don't look great - this means a club ruff is necessary. And the idea must now emerge of what about two club ruffs? The best approach is for declarer to ruff a club now, come back to a top spade and lead the fourth club; when West follows it must be right to ruff with the ♥A and then continue hearts. West will win and play a second spade and this does leave you a dilemma. If West started with two spades then coming to hand with a third spade will generate a trump promotion, while if West started with two diamonds coming to hand with a third diamonds does the same. If you get to this point you have to guess right - but there was an alternative. If you had cashed the ♠A before playing the heart then this problem would never have arisen. [The Dentist's Coup]
In reality, many of those who made 4♥ were given a much easier ride. One for instance got a club lead at trick one round to the AQ, while another, as North, got a heart lead to the ♥Q-♥K-♥ A and could now ruff one club for a tenth trick. Which just emphasises the point that defending is difficult.
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HotD-wed : League 4 : 19nov18 : B19 |
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Many tables had an easier time on this hand, but this was the problem facing Allan Sanis on B19 on Monday. The opening lead - at table two after the bidding shown - was a small club from North. You need a plan for 11 tricks, over to you ...
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The first point to register, from the bidding, is that North has 10+ cards in the minors, and so at most 3 spaces for spades, while South has many more. The second point to register, from the play, is that North did not lead a singleton heart. This all points to the fact that South has four spades, and your pips are good enough to cope. The best line is therefore to win ♣A, cash the ♠Q, and now run the ♠T. This is the line found by Allan who consequently wrapped up 13 tricks on the board.
There are two points to make in the bidding. The first is the leap to 5♣, which South knew to be the inferior minor suit fit. It generated a club lead, which was much more testing for the defence that a diamond lead would be - but that was a piece of luck. The reasoning behind the 5♣ bid was to make it more difficult for East-West to evaluate the position. Were 5♣ to be doubled, South would always have a chance to go back to 5♦. The second point to make it that it was the bidding of North-South which pushed declarer into making the winning deductions about the spade suit. Had North-South not bid, then no player is likely to get the spades right (although the case remains for leading Q then T in case a careless South covers). Our commiserations therefore to those who bid 6♠ on this hand against silent opponents and went down. |
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HotD-mon : Tollemache QF-D : 17nov18 : B2.28 |
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The County Team went into this year's Tollemache Cup competition with high hopes, and found themselves in a section with Kent and Surrey as the two (other) strongest counties. The team ended in third place in the group behinf these two, with the highest score of any team that didn't qualify for the final. This hand from the match against Dorset was our biggest lost in that match and cost the team 24 imps - fortunately not quite enough to let us catch Surrey (who came second).
The bidding did vary from table to table but 14 tables played this hand in 4♠ by North (the exceptions being when a pair from Kent and a pair from Worcestershire both stole the contract in 2♥ by East). The opening lead varied between ♥K (7 times) and ♦2 (6 times) and there was one lead not known - but in our match all four tables led the top heart.
Table 1 took the first heart with the ace, and - knowing there were two spades to lose - led a small spade from hand at trick two. The defenders won this, cashed a heart and played a diamond. Now when West won the ♠A, he was able to give partner a diamond ruff and that was the fourth defensive trick - so we were down one. Perhaps we don't want to lead spades from hand?
Table 2 took the first heart with the ace, and crossed to dummy with the ♦A to lead a spade, but West hopped up with the ace and gave partner a diamond ruff, but the signal (top diamond) for a heart return was not picked up, and the ♥Q now allowed the Dorset declarer to make ten tricks. Clearly this line was also doomed if East had found the heart underlead and now gets a second ruff. Would it have been better to cross to dummy in clubs?
Table 3 took the first heart with the ace and crossed to dummy with the ♣A to lead a spade. West won the ♠A, played to the ♥Q and got a second club through. This set up a club trick for the defence while they still had enough trumps to get in, and the contract was down one. What about ducking the opening lead?
Table 4 ducked the opening lead and East continued with a heart to the ace. This declarer now tried a small spade from hand which went to the ♠T-♠6-♠J. West clearly could not lead a club, and didn't want to give a ruff & discard with a heart, so she led a diamond. Declarer won the ♦Q and tried another spade; West won the ace and faced the same choice of leads but now a diamond gave partner a ruff, which was the setting trick.
The hand records however show us that the contract is always makeable - and indeed 9 tables out or 14 (all but one of those with the ♦ 2 lead) made the contract. The answer is a combination which has not yet been tried - declarer needs to duck the first heart; if they play a second then win that and cross to dummy in either suit, and lead a spade. If they switch to the ♦2 at trick two then win that and play a spade (the defence can get one ruff but not two). On an initial diamond lead, declarer will win and play a spade but now if the defence take a ruff, there is no entry for a second ruff. So the top heart is a seriosuly more demanding defence than leading the singleton diamond.
Should the winning line be found? That is not clear - if East rather than West has the doubleton spade (likely when hearts are 3-6 or 2-7) then by crossing to dummy you could easily be setting up a ruff in the short hand for the defence - and that let's them beat the game. Playing a small spade from hand first loses when East has three spades and a side singleton - which is less likely.
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HotD-thu : CBC Pairs League : 14nov18 : B4 |
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There were plenty (8 in total) of hands last night where bidding a slam was an issue, and there was the usual pattern of too few people bidding slams but also a most unusual smattering of people bidding slams and going down (on three of these hands) and people stopping in a part-score (on four of these hands). This one was the most interresting from a bidding perspective ...
The opening bid from West was always 1♠ and it was almost a uniform 2♣ response from East (there is one known exception). West will bid diamonds next and then the spotlight goes back to East. How should East continue?
Whatever your system, there seems to be one answer - and that is a jump to 4♣. This must set the club suit as trumps and invite cue bids. After West cues in diamonds, East has no control in hearts and it is not recommended to cue bid a shortage in partner's suit, so it looks like 5♣ next.
That sequence did happen at some tables and when West passed it was all over. But there was an alternative; with a good set of controls covering all the suits, West needs to think about bidding on. The least partner should have in clubs is seven to the AKQ, which means that there are 10 top tricks - but are there 12 tricks? The reason for thinking there might be is this : with just that club suit and nothing else, it would be foolish for East to bypass 3N as that must be the most likely game. On top of that, East could have bid 5♣ over 2♦ if the hand did not have slam ambitions. WhereverEast has a stray high card - spade or hearts or diamonds - it is going to combine well with the holding in West's hand. Just a little bit of optimism is needed to come to the conclusion that 6N must be the right bid at this point.
The only instance of 6N last night was 6N played by East. The opening lead was set to make a difference of 1870 points - and this time it went in favour of declarer, when South led a top diamond.
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HotD-wed : Winter Pairs 3 : 12nov18 : B19 |
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This hand from Monday was curious in that of the six tables who did play in the "obvious" denomination, there were some chose a part-score, some chose a game, and some chose a slam. But they all made the same number of tricks and none of them made enough!
The bidding shown was that of table 6, and it concluded at this point when South made an (slightly) undisciplined pass. There are a few aspects to notice; firstly South avoided opening 2♣, easily the better choice as there is no danger of a 1♣ opening being passed out, and starting lower will give more time to describe this complicated hand. After that start, the remainder of the auction looks inevitable - which makes the fact that four tables ended in different denominations seem strange. The re-evaluation in passing 4♣ is reasonable, if dangerous, as the South hand, despite its strength, might offer very few tricks to a partner with diamonds and a club shortage.
In terms of what contract you would like to be in - the fact is that 5♦ looks best, as any 3-2 trump break and a number of 4-1 breaks will deliver declarer 6 tricks in the suit and let game make. That means you make game 85% of the time.
What happened in 4♦? The answer is that declarer relaxed and after winning the heart lead, played the ♣A aiming to ruff the next one and play trumps. West ruffed and there were three trump losers still to come and declarer was one down. Should declarer have avoided that accident? The answer is yes - you just have to ask before trick two "what can go wrong" and it becomes clear that a ruff of the ♣A will be more likely than a problem by playing a second and thid heart (after nobody has bid the suit). The fact is that every declarer lost four trump tricks.
Curiously the top two scores (for North-South) on the board came from a penalty double of 2♥ at one table (it's hard to see North passing that comfortably with eight diamonds but they did) and the South who played in 1♠. We cannot belittle that last choice, as the pair concerned went on to produce the best score of the evening! We are reminded of the question "what do you call an 8-card suit" to which the answer is trumps.
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HotD-tue : Midlands Counties League : 11nov18 : B14 |
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This hand from Sunday's match presented a nice opportunity for a pretty play, but in fact the best contract was reached at only two tables and they both failed!
This was a common start to the auction, where East has doubled for takeout. What should West be doing now? In practice more chose to bid 3N than chose to bid a five card suit in response to partner's request, which seems strange, and in 3N there was little play, as North set up the spades with the opening lead and got in with the club ace to cash them later.
With that hint about the club ace, how should the play go were West to bid 4♦ over the double and get raised to game? The lead is the ♠K.
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Playing in 5♦ you are comfortable there are no losers in the pointed suits, so it is all down to not losing two clubs and a heart. After winning the spade lead, it seems natural to start with drawing trumps, eliminating the spades and trying a club to the king. When that loses North is forced to play back either a club or a heart. You win and now know there are two club losers - so you have to avoid a heart loser. North has by this time shown up with a 7.2. shape with at least one club, which means you South cannot have the doubleton heart king.
There are two choice in the heart suit that allow you to escape for no loser. One is singleton ♥K with North, and the other is to find North with a 7222 or 7321 shape, which allows you to put South on play with the third club and forces a lead away from South's assumed heart king. Neatly, exiting at this point with the third club tells you which option to play for and in this case - when North shows out - South is indeed forced to lead from the heart king and you make your contract.
Easy game this? |
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HotD-fri : CBC Mixed Pairs : 06nov18 : B20 |
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This hand from Tuesday's Mixed Pairs was curious in declaring ten tricks were available while everyone trying for that failed. All 11 tables played in spades, with only two in a partscore and the rest in game. From the 11 tables we had eight Norths led the ♣Q and three led the ♥A. The heart leaders would likely have led the ♣Q at trick two - so over to you ... how do you play the 4♠ contrct?
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There are two options on the hand. The first - which is what people seemed to adopt - is to go for a cross ruff. On that line there is at best (unless a heart lead is giving you a trick there) three tricks outside the trump suit, and you therefore need seven trump tricks. You cannot imagine more than four long trumps in hand and that means a need for three ruffs in dummy. That can only happen if the opposition never lead a trump, and since one of your ruffs has to be a heart they always have a chance for a trump switch, killing one of those ruffs. So this feels doomed.
If you have a likely heart trick (eg because of a heart lead) you are better off, as you now need only six trumps tricks. The catch is that you will struggle enormously to draw trumps before cashing your winners. And indeed this is a problem with the cross ruff - as taking two ruffs with the AJT leaved you with Q7653 for drawing trumps - and that's not likely to work.
The alternative line is to set up the long diamond suit. So how about a spade finesse at trick two, and run the ♦K. This loses and North can see that the diamonds are breaking and you are heading for success. The best chance now for the defence is is to attack dummy's entries, by leading ♥A and another. As declarer you have a neat counter to that - you simply discard, creating two more heart winners in hand. This is enough to let you abandon the diamond suit after cashing the queen. [Is any North devious enough to lead a low heart after the ♦A?] Setting up the diamonds was not a high probability choice - needing the spade king right and the diamonds 3-3, but it was viable. Next time? |
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HotD-wed : Swiss Teams 3 : 5nov18 : B25 |
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There were 6 hands on Monday where slam came into view, but on only two of them did the majority of the field bid the slam.
Board 2 was a roughly 25% slam bid by two tables (our condolences to the defenders). Board 16 was a slam missing a cashable AK, bid and made by one pair but we cannot object to that since the defence had a clear chance to gain. Board 24 was a good slam in 6♣ but the only slam bid was 6N at table 2, which also made by dint of a very fortunate heart position; 6N looks like a 43% slam, and such slams are worth bidding as an unfortunate lead can often drastically improve the odds. And today's hand is a great slam but was bid to a slam by no pair at all. The auction shown is imagined - but might we not find it?
There are a number of bids in the sequence shown which might not be made, bvut there is a clear rationale for the choices shown. Now is it a good slam? Yes, it needs just the diamond ace or diamond jack onside - although you have to guess which. Which brings us to the play. The bidding and the first few tricks should make it clear to the defence that their only tricks are in diamonds. Once you cotton on to that, you can see that it is vital for South with the ace to smoothly duck the first round of diamonds, as to win it pushes declarer into the winning option of finessing the jack next. A smooth duck might fool declarer but a sufficiently alert declarer might spot that North has the ♥QJ and ♣ KQ and these days that does not leave enough room for the ♦A and a first-in-hand pass.
Board 12 we discussed yesterday - there was only one East-West pair left to play in a slam and that was the 6♦-1 result, while 5 pairs sacrificed in 6♠ (most, I bet, over 6♦).
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HotD-tue : Swiss Teams 3 : 5nov18 : B12 |
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This spectacular example from Monday has to be Hand of the Day/Week/Month.
This was the bidding at one table, and it is impossible to fault the actions of any player. In fact, the par contract was reached, as the 6♥ slam is making even though 6♦ goes down when North gets to ruff the second spade with the ♦T while declarer cannot over-ruff. If South starts with the spade ace and king then there is a danger of North not realising the need to ruff, and that will let a diamond slam make.
Roy Collard reports that he bid 6♥ over 3NT in case partner was void in hearts and the ♣A was taken out at trick 1. However, that did run the risk of North being void in diamonds and ruffing a diamond lead. South naturally bid 6♠ anyway.
The two tables where West started with 1♦ and South got to bid quietly, first with 1♠ and later with 4♠ in an attempt to be allowed to play there, backfired on South when East bid on to 5♥ and North doubled this. It made an overtrick in each room.
There is no great science in bidding hands as shapely as these - but it is often the case that bidding "one more" is the right thing to do.
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HotD-thu : CBC Tuesday Pairs : 30oct18 : B11 |
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This hand produced a big variety of results, from +800 to North-South at one table, to +1100 to East-West at another table - and from the same contract! How could it happen? Well - the contract was 5♥-doubled at both tables, but in one case North was declarer and in the other case West was declarer. You would expect both results to be disasters for the declaring side and that was the outcome. How did it happen?
It was the first bid by North, and sometimes the first bid by East, which determined the outcome. At table three, after two passes, Anne Swannell took a sensible view by bidding 4♠ immediately. Hands of a 7411 shape do call for an obstructive opening, which isn't alway needed when you have the boss suit, but with partner here a passed hand, the potential value in bidding slowly is much less. The key decision now was East's; at the table he chose a double, which might have been intended for penalty but these days - with so many more 4♠ openers around - most people play double for takeout and partner duly took it out to 5♥. This is how West ended up with -1100 on the card.
At table 7, North took a different view and started with 1♠. This left room for East to bid 2♣ and after South showed his diamonds (we are still wondering why) West was able to support clubs. North now woke up and bid 4♠ but that didn't stop East bidding the club game. This was a sensible game to be in, and it would make were it not for the spade ruff on best defence. When it was passed tound to North however, he would not give in and tried 5♥. This did indeed show an imbalance between the major suits, but partner's preference for hearts did not prove a success, and when forced, the hand fell apart for declarer; he made four trumps in hand, one spade ruff on dummy, and the ♠A for down five.
The par result on the board, 4♠ -doubled down two (by North) was achieved at only one of the 27 tables which played the board. North-South only have to bid 4♠ when East has found the making 3N contract, and there was only one instance of 3N across the 27 tables which played this board.
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HotD-wed : League 3 : 29oct18 : B21 |
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This hand produced the greatest number of swings on Monday, with double figure swings in all matches bar one. North played the hands in clubs once (presumably South bid 4N over 4♠) and in hearts twice (we presume in response to South's takeout double, rather than as a weak two bid with this suit quality at this vulnerability).
Defending against 4♠ everything hinged on the opening lead. The four tables to defeat the game all led the ♦T, which is surely the natural choice from the strongest suit; all the alternatives run as many risks of giving away a trick, which makes this choice best. South, on winning the ace, cannot see many sources of tricks. The only chance of defeat is therefore a heart to the ace and the ♦K and a diamond ruff. If declarer has dropped the ♦J on the first round, there might be rather more concern about whether the ♦K will stand up, but there looks to be four tricks for declarer in dummy's side suits - so what else can South try?
Here it let's you collect a ruff from partner and beta the contract. Isn't this an easy game?
One has to hope that where South led the ♥A against 4♠, in response to North's opening bid, that North took responsibility for the fact that the game was allowed to make.
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HotD-tue : League 3 : 29oct18 : B7 |
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Board 7 from this week's league match generated more regret than any other for most East-West pairs last night. If we look at the two hands, it is clear than simply an even (3-2) club break delivers 12 tricks, and there is a thirteenth trick available when North is squeezed in the red suits. Yet only one pair - Paul Lilley & Peter Swales - managed to bid to the 6N contract that we all wanted to be in.
This should not be a difficult slam to bid, but it all hinges on the first bid by East and the second bid by West. If East can and does start off with a strong 2♥ response, then West will soon learn of a balanced hand opposite and will drive to slam with these long, good clubs. If East bids just 1♥, it depends on West's rebid - and a 2♣ choice by many resulted in East just bidding game, but the 3♣ choice by Peter Swales allowed that pair to reach the slam with ease.
Playing in any contract, the play should be the same. Declarer wins the opening lead and tests the clubs. Once they are know to break, you will have the rest if the hearts are 3-3. To cater for the other times, declarer should now cash the ♦A, and come back to the top spades to run the clubs. This will squeeze anybody holding the hearts and the top diamond. You need to cash the ♦A first if it is South who is to be squeezed, but when North is being squeezed it doesn't matter.
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HotD-thu : County KO QF : 22oct18 : B18 |
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This hand produced a number of unhappy bidders, when they didn't finish in the contract they wanted to reach. The first real choice was West's response to the opening bid. Should West bid 1♦ here?
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The common choice here was 1♦, and over that North could happily double to show the majors. When East bid 1♠ South passed and West gave preference to clubs. This was all convenient for North who could bid 2♥ . East competed again with 3♣ and South now faced the crticial decision. In practice 3♥ was favoured, and that finished the auction. When 10 or 11 tricks were achieved, that felt embarassing, and North-South found themselves asking each other who should have bid more.
Contrast that with the table where West raised clubs on the first round. Bidding even just 2♣ has two positive advantages - one is it much more tightly limits the West hand and that means East can judge immediately what to do, and secondly it raises the bidding level so that a 1♥ or 1♠ overcall become impossible. Over 2♣ North doubled, as you have to with such a good hand and two suits, and East was able to bounce to 4♣. It was easy enough for South to pass at this point, but when North doubled 4♣ (who wouldn't), South suddenly had options. Clearly a major suit game would be best, but there was no way of telling which five card suit North had (if any); and the long diamond suit was appealing. At the table South tried 5♦ and even without a double from the defenders, that was -200 and a bottom on the board.
This hand is a good advert for "support with support" - don't wait until later! |
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HotD-wed : County KO QF : 22oct18 : B5 |
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The success of the common 3N contract on this hand from Monday was rather a surprise. This auction was typical, and North was declarer in 3N at all but two tables; we cannot explain the 2♦ contract chosen by two experienced performers at table 5, but the 3N played by South at table 9 was no surprise. When West was on lead against 3N, the small club lead at trick one made the defence trivial and the game went one off.
When North was declarer it turned out to be more difficult. The opening leads chosen by East were a top club four times, and a spade twice. It is hard to argue against either, although the dominance of the club lead does support the idea that it might be best to see dummy before going too far. When the top club is led, it is important for East to receive some sort fo attitude signal from West, so if the king (chosen twice) asks for a count signal then that is the wrong lead. One would expect that with an encouraging signal, and the strength of dummy indicating that West can have at most 2 hcp, we would see a club continuation and five tricks for the defence. This only happened at one of the four tables which started clubs.
When a spade was led, declarer won that and started on diamonds. It makes sense for West to duck the first round, and it looked very appealing to duck the second too - as that let's partner provide a signal on the third diamond which might help the defence. The problem however is that, if declarer is awake and can count, they will recognise that a third diamond is not needed - and they will run for their nine tricks. Can East tell?
On a spade lead, whether declarer rises or not in dummy at trick one, it should be apparent that declarer has three spade stoppers. The question is whether the queen (at most) which partner has is in hearts or in clubs, and the answer comes back to playing a top club and receiving an attitude signal.
Is this really a difficult game we play?
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HotD-mon : Everett Cup : 20oct18 : B3 |
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There were 9 hands in total on Satruday (out of 48) where slam bidding featured. Admittedly one of these was crazy (and the opposition quickly cashed their three top tricks) and one was a poor but playable slam (which went off) but all the others were good slams to bid and this was the one which provoked most interest. There are four plausible starts to the auction on this hand, although it is not clear they all occurred (please tell). The question therefore is what you would bid with the hand shown after these starts, with partner dealer
- 3♣ - Pass
- Pass - 1♣
- Pass - 3♣
- Pass - 3N(gambling)
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This hand generated a lot of interest because it was so enormously strong, but in fact the strongest combination was on board 34 where there were 13 easy tricks in hearts for East-West, and 13 possible tricks in no-trumps; on that board everyone did bid a slam, but only one pair managed to get to the grand slam. (A sight rarely seen - everyone made the same number of tricks on B34). Of the other 5 decent slams to bid, the average number of pairs to bid the board to slam was 1 out of 12; they were all decent slams but in practice two of them failed, and one would have failed if the defence had (surprisingly) found the winning lead. Well done to Mary Jones & John Stirrup for bidding the slam on B2, and to Helen & Paul Tempest for bidding the slam on B16.
Back to this hand, the choices we can report on are
(a) North bid 6♠ immediately
(b) North doubled the 1♣ opener and bid 4♠ on the next round (when thankfully, partner bid 1♦ rather than pass).
(c) North doubled the 1♣ opener and bid 6♠ on the next round.
All but two tables in spades managed 12 tricks, and for the instance where the contract was 6♠ this was crucial.
Against the slam, East wanted to lead partner's suit but could not - so most chose a trump while one chose a diamond and one a heart. It should have made no difference - as even on a trump lead declarer still has time to ruff a heart in dummy and lose a diamond towards the end.
We don't have much practice with 3-loser hands, but it would be enough for South to turn up with three small spades and a yarborough, and - with the heart finesse through the opening bidder - the slam would be excellent odds. The optimism of the slam bidders was justified.
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HotD-thu : League 2 : 15oct18 : B25 |
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It was a surprise to see this tight game made at all the tables (5) which bid it on Monday evening. It was no surprise to see some stop in 1N after a 14-16 opening, or in 2♠ after West raised East's opening. The 1♠ contract was more of a surprise, but it quite understandable after an auciton of 1♣ -1♦ -1♠.
Against 3N by East the lead was mostly a heart and this should set up two heart tricks to go with the top clubs, so that if declarer tries to set up the diamond suit there are five losers. In practice three suits were led at the four tables where East was playing in 3N - once a spade, once a club, and twice a heart. A heart was also led twice against 1N and once against 2N.
As far as we can tell, every North played the ♥Q at trick one and declarer gobbled that up, generating a second heart trick, and the defence could never now make five tricks. If North had ducked, then declarer cannot succeed - ducking a diamond gives five tricks, and playing on clubs allows South to duck the second heart safely to set the hearts up.
Was it possible to avoid the play of the ♥Q? The answer is that on the lead of ♥7 (the choice in all five cases) there is no way out, as South might well have led from ♥AK976 or ♥AK876. But there is an alterative lead here, which is the ♥9, now the normal choice amongst experts from an H98x(x) holding, as it avoids giving declarer an undeserved tricks were partner to be sitting with J32 over dummy's AT7. Would that lead help? The answer is yes if the lead of the nine can only have one higher honour (but no if it could have two), and the argument for preferring the nine to a small one only makes sense with a single honour above.
Even without the ♥9 lead, the bidding might strongly suggest that South cannot hold the ♥AK, and that might encourage North into the winning play. The more common variation of this problem is when dummy has JTx in the suit, and you need to know whether or not to cover the jack with the queen. The same considerations as above apply then.
Leading the 9 from an H98x(x) holding can cause considerable confusion if your practice is to lead the 9 from a T9x(x) holding - but such a practice has a number of downsides anyway, and is no longer recommended practice.
Patrick Phair writes : we reached 3N after partner opened a 15-17 1N, and I invited game. North played the ♥Q on the opening lead. It is surprising that this board led to a game swing in all five matches -- only just over a 1 in 8 chance if game is bid at five tables.
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HotD-wed : League 2 : 15oct 18 : B23 |
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The spade game on this board proved too difficult for most declarers. It looks very much like there are only three losers - one spade, one diamond and one club. It didn't turn out that way. Here's how it went at table 4.
The opening lead of a heart was ruffed, and declarer then played to ♦A to take a second ruff. He continued with trumps but West won the ace and - knowing that declarer would not have eschewed the diamond finesse - could underlead to partner's ♦Q and get a chance to ruff the ♥A. When the club finesse lost, declarer was one down.
What would have worked? Declarer does need to ruff at trick one, and a diamond next is fine, but when the ♦T appears, declarer needs to play the jack. This might give up a second heart ruff, but if West wins the diamond king and plays trumps, then declarer has enough control to take a club finesse, and so set up the third club for a heart discard. Still having the ♥A when East wins the ♣K is important, which is why ruffing at trick one matters.
Should this have been found? You might well find the winning line if given the hand as a problem, but the bidding shown did not suggest that East had as many as eight hearts. Were East to have jumped to 4♥ that suspicion might have come out, but even then it is not certain. But there are always bad breaks to look out for, and one of those might be a singleton diamond with East (but then playing ♦A and a second diamond would be good enough). It is hard to say whether going off in 4♠ is criminal or just unlucky.
Patrick Phair writes : I was West on this hand and the contract went down one. I was surprised to see that it could be made, and I didn't find out how until I used the analysis tool on the web. I led ♥4 to partner's bid. Declarer ruffed in dummy and played a trump to an honour in hand. I ducked, and then declarer (according to the double-dummy analysis) went wrong by continuing trumps. I won ♠A and switched to a club. Declarer finessed and partner won. Partner then found the essential return of a club, and when declarer thought for ages about overtaking the ten it was clear what the position was. After declarer stayed in hand with the ten and drew trumps we won one trick in each suit.
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HotD-tue : Leage 2 : 15oct18 : B6 |
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There was plenty of shape in last night's hands and this one proved too difficult for most. With a nine card spade fit, you'd expect most pairs to play in 4♠ but this was only achieved twice. There was a good sacrifice available, and the par contract is 5♥-doubled and it looks like this was bid at half the tables but in fact a number of the 5♠ calls were voluntary.
The auction at table 2 is the one shown, and here West initially showed a four card diamond suit and on the next round was torn between showing the extra length and strength in that suit, or showing spade support. He chose diamonds, and even were the diamonds to behave well, the contract has three aces to lose.
The auction at table 4 did not allow North-South to find their sacrifice, as it started with 2♠ from East and over this West jumped to 4N (key card ask). The response was most disappointing and here the defence was always going to get its three aces. Asking first about partner's strength (with 2N) would have received a negative response (thereby denying two aces) and West could easily have settled then for game.
At table 6 the auction started as shown, but here South jumped to 3♦ on the second round (a "mixed" raise) which allowed West to cue bid 3♥ before showing spade support. For unknown reasons South decided to double this cold contract, but West took fright and ran to the failing 5♦ game, only to be put back by his partner into 5♠, doubled again. And this was one off.
What can we say? Opening 2♠ on the East hand is a sound choice; the spade middle cards are useful protection against a penalty double, the hand has virtually no defence, and you are first in hand. The East hand, in response, must take its time to avoid the embarassment felt at table 4.
The successful auction at table 11 was the one recommended 2♠ -2N(ask) - 3♣(worst hand) - 4♠ - P. Well done by John Stirrup & Steve Sasanow.
The successful auction at table 7 started with P - P - 1♦ - 1♥ - 1♠ and South produced a paltry raise to 2♥ over which West bid 4♠. The single heart raise made a sacrifice impossible to find, so the bidding stopped there.
Patrick Phair writes : our opponents missed their spade fit after the auction P-P-1♦-2N-P-4♥-5♦.
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HotD-thu : CBC Pairs League : 10oct18 : B4 |
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There were a few curious features in the scores from last night's game. The first was that the traveller showed board 1 as played in the same contract at all 12 trables, by the same declarer, with (essentially) the same lead. They did not all make the same number of tricks, but this is the closest to a uniform traveller that we can remember. And then there was board 6, where both of pair 12 and pair 14 played in 5♣ doubled and went down five tricks, but one of them scored -1400 and the other -1100. How could that happen? [Hit ANSWER if you can't work that out]
This hand (B4) was one of a number where a small part of the field bid a slam, and in this case a number of declarers went down. The opening bid is sound, with the shape compensating for a spade suit which you would rather was stronger when vulnerable. The bidding of a slam was also reasonable - and in fact investigating a grand slam would not have been out of place. In practice, only 4 out of 12 tables bid the slam (although two also got to 5♠ in their investigations).
Against a suit slam, the advice is to lead agressively, and the reason is that it is often a race to get two tricks, while defending 6N the issue is more often declarer finding a twlefth trick, and then you want to be cautious. Here a club lead would see a not-unexpected dummy, and would regret not having set up a red suit winner immediately. From North's perspective either red suit might be better, but the only North who led a red suit chose hearts on the basis that on top of setting up partner's king, there was the chance of finding partner with ♥AJ over dummy's king.
From declarer's perspective now, whatever the lead there looks to be six trump tricks and five top tricks outside. Does the contract have any chance? There are two realistic options - one is that something good happens in hearts, the other that something good happens in clubs. The former depends on finding ♥KQ or ♥KQx in one hand (an option which would be denied you by a diamond lead) and the other is that the club suit breaks 4-4. You lack the entries to try both. If you get a red suit lead, then the heart prospects do not look good, and they were not great odds anyway. To try for the clubs behaving, you need to win in dummy, and ruff a club while drawing two trumps. Now cashing the clubs let's you discard three diamonds and the fifth club takes care of the losing heart whiwle the defence ruff with their trump trick. You clock up +1430. Easy game!
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The answer is that one pair sat North-South, and the others sat East-West - and one was vulnerable, one was not! |
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HotD-wed : Winter Pairs 2 : 8oct18 : B22 |
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This hand from Monday was a simple exercise if you played in 4♥, as one should, but a few pairs found themselves playing in 3N and had to make the best of that. You could well imagine that it would only be when West forgot to bid, that South played in 3N but that would not be true. When played by North the spade lead from East awkwardly leaves the suit blocked, and after that declarer can afford to lose a minor suit finesse to West, and if that is the club finesse then there is a tenth trick.
The more intersting contract is 3N by South on a spade lead. Where this happened East won the first spade and the suit was cleared. At this point declarer can see eight easy tricks, and just needs a minor suit finesse for the ninth. The question is which, and this is crucial as the wrong choice will generate five losers.
The key thing is that West can also see that this is the position. Against Mike Wignall, West capitulated and refused to give up control of either minor, and so had to throw a spade on the last heart. Now South could exit with ace and another club and receive a diamond into the ace-queen as the last two tricks. The key in these situations is to plan the ending early, and come down to a singleton king without any sign of discomfort. And of course partner must cooperate and not be discarding too many of that same suit.
At another table, Alan Wearmouth came down to a singleton king, and when declarer chose to go for a minor suit finesse, there were five losers and the contract was one down.
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HotD-tue : Winter Pairs 2 : 08oct18 : B7 |
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This hand from yesterday presented an informative lead problem. The bidding won't always have been this but this is a standard Acol auction. What would you lead?
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Whether you are playing pairs or teams, the feature of your hand which should be screaming at you is the weak heart suit. This strongly implies that dummy will have good hearts, and if anything hearts will be declarer's short suit. That combination means that declarer is likely to have the option to discard some losers on hearts, and it means you must get to your winners first. A minor suit lead is therefore strongly indicated.
Which minor will be best? It's very much an even call, with a king in each, which will be more effective. There is a slight push however to clubs on this basis - if you lead from a king and it turns out that declarer has the A/Q between the two hands, you will sometimes still make a trick with the king. If you started with Kxxxx, then the you will only make the king if declarer has 3 cards in each hand in the suit - not so likely. If you started with Kxxx, the same question comes up and here your chances have increased a little. And if you started with Kxx then the chances are better still. So here the ♣7 looks like the right lead - and this was found at only two of the nine tables.
When the club is led, East wins trick one with the ace. The ♣7 was the lowest out, so partner is known to have an honour but it is not clear whether declarer started with one or two in the suit. At the table East carefully continued with the ♣Q and was allowed to hold the trick. He switched to a small diamond and declarer ran this to the king before claiming the rest of the tricks.
The contract made and scores +620 but this was a bottom score, as a number of people made over-tricks. Could declarer have done better? Clearly yes - as on any other defence the best play is to try the hearts from the top in case they break 3-3 and you get even better news when the ♥QT fall, and all your losers go away. Should declarer have done better? Probably yes. The one thing you can be sure of when the defence win the second club in East and lead a diamond is that West has the king - because otherwise West would have won the second club to lead a diamond through the queen. So declarer should have risen with the ♦A and taken 11 tricks.
Look at the effect of a heart or spade lead on the hand. Declarer can draw trumps safely and then turn to hearts. When the top hearts all appear on the first two rounds, two clubs can be discarded and the diamond finesse becomes the option for 13 tricks ... a lot swings on opening leads ... |
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HotD-thu : Swiss Teams 2 : 01oct18 : B22 |
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This was an intriguing hand from Monday; it was played in the same 3♣ contract at ten tables and the contract made at seven. The Deep Finesse analysis of the hand says you can always make the contract with an overtrick, unless one specific card is led. You would never guess that this card was the ♠J! No table in 3♣ made the maximum ten tricks, and at the one table where the ♠J was led, they only made 8 tricks.
The first interesting point is the opening lead, which of course depends on the auction, but it is hard to imagine many auctions different from that shown. South must be concerned about diamond ruffs in dummy, and doesn't know that partner can stop these. It seems natural therefore to lead a trump, but only 2/12 tables did this. The others (bar the one already mentioned) led a small spade and cannot have been pleased to see partner's queen beaten by the ace at trick one.
After a trump lead (would declarer say thanks, or prefer not to have had one?) the line by which declarer makes 10 tricks is to draw trumps and give up three diamonds. This works because South runs of our hearts and is forced to play a spade after forcing declarer twice. It is not an obvious (or likely) choice and I would not expect anyone to follow it.
On a club lead one option for declarer is to win with the ace, so as to ruff a diamond in dummy with the seven, but this fails when North over-ruffs and on that start 3♣ goes down one. A more plausible line (chosen at table one) was to run the club round and win the ♣T and then take a guaranteed diamond ruff. With three outside winners, declarer needs to make 6 trumps tricks, and therefore win tricks with all of the KJT54. This looks reasonable, especially if North has withheld the club queen. So declarer took the diamond ruff, ruffed a heart, and then played ♠A and another towards dummy and won the ♠K. After that the contract could no longer be made; curiously playing the ♠T rather than the king on the second round would have left the contract a chance (the trick comes back but in this ending South can be end-played). But winning the ♠K and ruffing a second heart looks normal, and gets declarer up to 7 tricks.
Will it now make? That depends on the defence - what happened in practice next was that the ♦J was played to the ♦Q, and South gave North a diamond ruff. North chose to lead the wrong major now and East got to ruff the spade with the ♣J to make nine tricks. The ♥Q instead will allow South to over-ruff (now or on a spade at the next trick) and deny the ♣J a trick.
Defeating the part-score is hard work! It's a tricky game.
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HotD-wed : Swiss Teams : 01oct18 : B17 |
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There were numerous slam hands on Monday and it was pleasing to see that in the event (and the CBC event playing the same hands) that with not-far off balanced 30-hcp between the two hands, the majority bid the slam. The key was the strong heart suit of AKJT2. The sequence shown is the how the only pair to do so reached the grand slam. The grand slam is respectable odds, making on a 3-2 trump break or a singleton jack.
The sequence shown concluded after the ace asking response with a cue bid of the ♦K and a cue bid of the ♥Q, and this last information was just what West wanted to know. Well done to Joe Angseesing & Paul Denning.
Those who stopped in game need to review their bidding style!
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HotD-tue : Swiss Teams 2 : 01oct18 : B8 |
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This was the most interesting play hand amongst the seven (out of 28) on which a slam can be made. Two pairs didn't bid the slam (despite 34 hcp), and only one pair bid to the best contract, namely 6♦. There are many times you would make 6N with this number of hcp, but there are also many times when playing in a 4-4 suit fit can give you an extra trick or at least extra options.
Playing in 6♦, North faced the lead of the ♣T. There are 11 top tricks in this contract (as there are in 6N) and the heart finesse looks like the best option for a twelfth. There is one better option of course in hearts, and that is for East to lead the suit. Can that be arranged?
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The answer is yes - and this is how. Declarer wins the opening lead, draws trumps in three rounds, and cashed the spades and finally the last top club. At this point North and South are both down to one diamond and three hearts. The lead of the ♥9 creates a problem for the defence; if West plays small then this runs to East's ten and East has to return a heart or give a ruff-and-discard. But if West convers the nine, North covers the jack, and East can win the king, but then has to lead away from the ♥T, and that is fatal.
Malcolm Green, having opened 1♦ and later raised to the slam, played the hand exactly this way - well done! Their bidding sequence to 6♦ is shown,
There is a similar end-play (this time a squeeze end-play) possible in 6N but it depends on perfectly reading the defnsive layout. Three pairs playing in 6N making 12 tricks, but we haven't heard how the play went there. Any stories? |
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HotD-thu : Ladies/Mens Pairs : 24oct18 : B2 |
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It was curious to see such uniformity in the results when East played this hand in 4♠ on Monday. All five tables had the ♣8 lead and went down one. There were variations in the auction, with some tables overcalling 2♦ and some overcalling 3♦. At a number of tables declarer won the club lead with the ace, and led out the ♥J losing to South''s king. With a diamond discarded on the first club, South knew it could not cost to lead the top diamond, and so the play proceeded ♦K-♦A-ruff and back came the club queen, ruffed and overruffed, and another diamond got a third ruff for the defence. Declarer now had the rest.
How should it have gone?
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What declarer set out to do, in hearts, was pointless. If the king was onside, the two losing hearts were never going to be ruffed (you cannot use the ♠K for that) so there was always a heart loser.
Now think about the bidding; whether it was a 2♦ or a 3♦ overcall, at this vulnerability, surely South holds the heart king. Doesn't this make a heart towards the jack seem a much better play?
How soon do you want to do this? If South has two or three hearts, then this play will results in just one loser and the play can come later. If South has four hearts, then South still has to duck when you lead towards the jack and you can then manage ace and a ruff to hold your heart losers to one. This looks much better than running the jack.
What about the rest of the hand? The diamond position must look ominous - North has sure at most one diamond on this bidding (at most zero on the 3♦ bid). This argues for drawing trumps before anything goes wrong. The bidding here might guide - it is less clear with a 3♦ overcall, but surely if South overcalled 2♦ the odds favour cashing the top spades dropping the queen.
Doesn't this look like a plausible 11 tricks, with the possibility of just 10 tricks if you finesse the spade? But nobody found it. :( |
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HotD-wed : Ladies/Mens Pairs : 24sep18 : B11 |
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There were a lot of opening lead decisions on Monday, of which this was one. Your choice?
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B11 : the auction at table 8 here was 1D-1H-1S-3N and that cannot have bene uncommon. East had the issue of what to tackle and the confident 3N suggested that clubs were sewn up. The key question here – whether teams or pairs – is what will avoid giving away tricks and ther spades are enormously vulnerable to doing just that. The DQ lead was found at only one table and earned a complete top by holding declarer to 10 tricks.
B9 : on lead as East against 1S-2C-2N-3N, you have very little defence and your suit is weak. The consequence is, as here, a heart lead gives away a trick. This is expected, and a diamond lead - with the possibility of catching partner with five – is a clear choice. In practice the four declarers as North got two diamonds and two heart leads, and a diamond lead got 12 tricks while the other three got 10 tricks. When South played the hand, the top heart lead worked well (the only defeat of 3N) but the S7 lead is a give away – allowing declarer to spot the offside queen and drop it.B14 and B16 : there two cases saw South on lead after 1N-all pass and with a 3433 shape. The answer with any 4333 hand is to avoid guiessing the wrong three-card suit – and you do that by leading your four card suit. Most people found the heart lead, but those who didn’t suffered as a result. Hint, hint!
B14 and B16 : there two cases saw South on lead after 1N-all pass and with a 3433 shape. The answer with any 4333 hand is to avoid guiessing the wrong three-card suit – and you do that by leading your four card suit. Most people found the heart lead, but those who didn’t suffered as a result. Hint, hint!
B18 : a common lead problem is after a weak two bid get raised to game. In these circumstances the big danger is that the dummy is going to provide discards for declarer’s losers, and there it is vital to make an attacking lead. Here the five opening leads against the spade game were trumps – and they all got a joint bottom for that. |
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HotD-tue : Ladies/Mens Pairs : 24sep18 : B26 |
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The Ladies Pairs last night was won by Wendy Angseesing & Anne Swannell, who led comfortably going into the last round. In the Mens' Pairs however it was much closer and when the last round was played the leaders with one round to go (Ashok & Patrick) were sitting East-West here against the Roger Jackson & Peter Waggett sitting North-South.
This was the bidding on the last board, and it was the choice at this point which determined which of these two pairs would win the trophy. It was all quickly settled when Roger continued with 4♥; this provoked a cue bid of 4♠ and a return cue of 5♣. Fortunately South signed off, and was able to clock up +600 and a complete top for 5♦ making. Peter & Roger collected the trophy.
Why did others not bid the game? A key point was on the first round, when North here chose a takeout double over 1♠ rather than just a club bid; the latter would have left the diamond fit unfindable.
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HotD-thu : League 1 : 17sep18 : B10 |
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The board with most swings on Monday was this board, which had swings in every match - and the average swing was over 10 imps. This is the bidding from table 6, from one of only four tables which managed to find the nine card fit and play in game with 24 high card points and a bit of shape.
The 1N response at this table was an artefact of the pair playing that a lower 2-level response to a 1-level opening is game forcing; this is very much the preferred option these days amongst serious bridge players, as it maximises the space for bidding of strong hands. A slight downside occurs here (a lot of hands get bundled into 1N), but by the time of the 3♦ bid everyone knew a reasonable amount about partner's hand. South was too strong to pass, and 4♣ was just an indication of where strength lay, but it was clear to sign off over the 4♥ cue bid as the North hand was known to be of limited strength - never enough to justify a slam.
In the play West led a top heart (a singleton into declarer's suit looked dangerous and was only found at one of the four tables in 5♦) which was normal and was won by the ace. Declarer's first step was to play a trump to the king, but he then abandoned the suit, crossing to the ♠ A to take the club finesse. When that held he set about his side suit, and was not pleased by the bad break but was pleased that the spade king was not ruffed. It was straightforward now to cross-ruff to eleven tricks and a twelfth came along. When another table won the ♦K and played to ♠ A for another diamond, East was able to rise and play a third diamond and the contract could no longer be made.
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HotD-wed : League 1 : 17sep18 : B26 |
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This was one of the excellent slams from Monday which was bid by few pairs (3 out of 12 in this instance). Let's look at how the bidding should have gone ..
The 1♥ opener is a preference on all systems as experience shows that if playing a strong 1N opening (15-17), that hands with a maximum and a decent five card major will get passed out too often with a major game there for the taking. After the opening North will surely commit to at least game in hearts, and the fact that this is a (confident) value raise is best shown by an artificial raise - of which 4♣ showing shortage is the simplest.
What does South do now? Clearly the singleton club is good news, as none of South's high cards are wasted and the two losing clubs can be ruffed. The only concern South might have is losing two spades. There are two options on that. The first is to cue bid 4♦ and then continue with a 5-level bid over partner's expected 4♥ signoff. By-passing a spade cue indicates that spade control is key and North can (should) now decide to bid the slam. It can be helpful in situations like this to have one sequence which encourages partner to bid the slam with the missing control, and another which commands them to bid it with the control; in my partnerships the cue bidding sequence encouages, while a raise of the major to the 5-level (bidding 5♥ here) is the command.
The alternative approach is to reason that without a top spade (ace or king) then North has made a splinter raise with no aces and at most one working king. Would you ever do that? This reasoning shoudl lead to a 4N (key card ask) continuation over 4♣ and a stop in the small slam.
A path reported by a couple of tables did have cue bidding but nobody progressed over 4♥ and the easy slam was missed.
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HotD-tue : League 1 : 17sep18 : B28 |
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There were plenty of slams available last night - eight boards where slam could be made out of twenty eight. Across these eight boards, each played at 12 tables, there were only 14 instances of slams bid and 6 of them went down. Two slams (board 2 and board 10) were distinctly poor, and the one which was bid most often (board 12) went down on a bad trump break. Boards 14, 15 and 26 were all laydown slams but hardly bid. This slam hand was the most interesting play problem.
In a 6♥ contract, you will inevitably get a spade lead, and that will be ruffed. There are nine top tricks and there will be extras from the trump suit - and that can be two extras if you get to ruff three spades (having said thanks for the lead). Now the slam begins to look good. The twelfth trick can come from the fourth club, or the fourth diamond, or the ♦J becoming a winner. What is unfortunate is that you cannot try all the options, as once the first fails you cannot afford to lose a trick with the second one. You can combine a good break with a diamond finesse, but you need to decide which break you are going for. If a club break, you must duck a club first and if the suit is not 3-3 then take a diamond finesse; if going for a diamond break, you take the diamond finesse first and then test the suit.
Which would you go for? There is nothing in it; sad to say the only declarer in the slam chose the wrong one. :(
MW adds : I thought the slam was very decent - home if N is 6322, d finesse (well less than 50% on the bidding) plus guess whichever minor is 33 - very likely to be one on the bidding. As you say you can't do it all - but if you play for 33c but you can if you play for 33d with a d to J early. I did - sadly.
Later Analysis (vmt, MW) : there is actually a positive advantage in going for the diamond finesse first, as when that fails and you get to draw trumps there is an automatic squeeze on any hand holding four clubs and four diamonds.
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HotD-thu : Winter Pairs 1 : 10sep18 : B25 |
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This bidding problem was faced by a number of declarers on Monday, and not always solved. The problem is that you want to show clubs at this point but with seven sure tricks and two kings, you have excellent chance of making 3N, with only a little help from partner. A couple of Norths tried 3♣ even though this is non-forcing; over both of those South continued with 3♠. One table saw North now get excited and he bid 4N and then tried 6♣ but this was a disaster when South converted to 6♠. At another table North tried 3N over 3♠ but partner converted that back to 4♠.
Was there a way to avoid these disasters?
The last reported table got close but the problem was that South did not expect the North hand to be like as this.
The answer is for North to bid 3N on the second round; since 1N here would show 15-17 and 2N would show 18-20, the 3N bid is free and is best used to show a hand which fancies 3N, holding a long (usually running) suit. Ideal here, and with that sort of description, South is much happier to pass. The contract is by no means guaranteed, and here could go down two, but in practice the only table to play there made two overtricks!
An example of this approach occurred in a bidding competition recently, when a hand with ♠KQJ987 and a good smattering of points opened 1♠ and raised partner's 1N response to 3N. The 1N opener, worried about a side suit weakness, could now bid 4♠ with ♠A5, in the knowledge of a spade fit - and that was the right contract.
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HotD-wed : Winter Pairs 1 : 10sep18 : B13 |
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This hand from Monday showed everyone making exactly the same number of tricks, and all but one in the same contract - but this was actually a surprise, as there were alternatives on offer.
The first bidding problem arose on the third bid. Few pairs had any choice but to bid 3♥ at this point, to ensure that partner did not pass. This unfortunately cramps the auction enormously and leaves East with little choice. There is still one choice, but it depends on whether over 3♥ a bid of 4♦ is a cue bid in support of hearts or a new suit (I favour the latter, but am in the minority on this). In practice, nobody used this to bid the slam.
The more organised pairs have a better mechanism over 1♠ - 1N. The simplest improvement is to play transfers, so that here East bids 2♦ to show hearts and on the next round (because partner will not pass) can bid 3♣ to show a fragment there (and therefore a singleton diamond). This scheme is simple to adopt and works quite well. On this hand, a 2♦ transfer would get a super accept of 3♥ and now West will be looking slamwards.
The more complicated improvement is to play 2♣ as forcing, with either clubs or a big hand (Gazilli). On this hand it produces a slam possibility if East chooses 2♥ next, but not if East chooses 2♠.
The fact of everyone making 12 tricks was also a surprise. Look at the heart suit and the best play there. A priori the best result comes from finessing twice, but here you can see that if that is done, there will be two heart losers. The losing option was never taken. One table which avoided it was table 1 when East was declarer; what made the difference was South's "safe" trump lead - this would have been very dangerous from honour to three, so it was easy for declarer to realise North had KQ-tight, and get the hearts right. How did others avoid that trap?
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HotD-tue : Winter Pairs 1 : 10sep18 : B6 |
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Even where there are twelve top tricks, it can be hard for the bidders to realise this - but just occasionally there is the chance to count the tricks.
On the auction shown, East has opened a 14-16 balanced hand, and over partner's transfer has broken to 2N to show a fit and a maximum. Clearly West is thinking of a slam at this point, but how to continue?
This is where some system preparation helps. The key to evaluation at points like this is showing shortage. West can do this very effectively over the 2N bid, with two routes to show shortage giving a chance to distinguish a singleton from a void. The simplest scheme is to make jumps over 2N as void-showing, and for re-transfer and then a suit bid to show a splinter. If you want to make a slam try without a shortage, then re-transfer and bid 3N.
On this hand the bidding continues 3♦ - 3♥ - 4♣. This enthuses East enormously, as now all that matters is the top trumps and the diamond ace. There is no way after this splinter that East can stop out of a slam, and a 4N continuation confirms that a small slam is enough. Were West to show up with ♥AKQ ♦A then there are 12 top tricks visible and if West has anything more (a sixth heart, an extra trick in any suit) then the grand slam is easy, and even with nothing else the grand slam is playable (depending just on trumps 2-2).
In the end only 3 out of 7 pairs bid the slam, and they were rewarded with an 83% score. It seems a lot but even in a much bigger field (say 70 pairs not 7), were that propotion to bid the slam the reward would still be 79%.
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HotD-thu : Swiss Teams 1 : 3sep18 : B17 |
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If you look at these East-West hands from Monday, you would want to play the hand in hearts - but in practice only 4 out ouf 14 managed to find that denomination. The three who played in 1♠ (presumably an opening bid passed) can be forgiven, although we would recommend bidding 1N over that opening. The problems for the others arose after the 1N response - what should East rebid?
The hand feels too good for a 2♣ respponse, although if that does get passed partner will be short in spades and lack a long red suit - so why would you want to be higher? The hands is not good enough for a 3♣ response, as this is game forcing and you are a long way from seeing nine tricks in no-trumps or ten in spades.
The East hand is in fact only the tiniest bid away from balanced, which brings to mind the best bid - a raise to 2N. This gives West the next decision to make. The answer has to be hearts - but how many pairs have worked out whether 3♥ at this point is forcing or not? The few who are well organised don't have that problem - because in this position they play four suited transfers. So 3♦ here would show hearts, allowing for a 3♥ response to be passed, raised, or followed with 3N to offer a choice of games.
One table which reached the 2N point had a punt at 4♥ at this point, It's not a brilliant contract as there are three top losers and then more work to do, but it is very respectable. Two pairs reached this contract. At table one, after an initial diamond lead to the ace, South (hoping to be able to cash four red suit winners) shifted to a small heart to the king and won trick three with the heart ace. Out came the ♦2 and West was faced with a choice. There are nine top tricks and the prospects of a diamond finesse, or a spade finesse, or someone throwing away a lot of clubs - to get a tenth trick.
It looked wrong to commit so early, so he rose with the ♦K and cashed some trumps. Then came three clubs but the last one was a loser, so that got ruffed. The last trump forced South into a final discard, and then declarer was down to ♠6♦J opposite ♠AQ. It was all looking good for the spade finesse and 10 tricks but South's last discard had been the ♠J. Now there was another chance - was South being squeezed? What would you do?
In the event, ithe squeeze was too appealing and West chose to cash the ♠A. Declarer has bid the hand very successfully and played it just right until the last minute. With North having four spades ot South's two - it was just a case of playing the odds in the end.
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HotD-wed : Swiss Teams 1 : 3sep18 : B23 |
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This hand from Monday proved a trap for a few of the East-West pairs. South at most tables opened a weak 2♠ bid, enthused by the quality of the spades, despite the lack of overall high card points. The first problem arose when this was passed around to East. The East hand - with only four losers on kind breaks - is too strong for a simple 3♥ overcall, and anyway there are two suits to show. Many pairs have a mechanisms for handling such hands, with either a cue bid of the opened suit (Michaels) or a jump to 4♣/4♦ showing at least 5-5 with that minor and the other major (hearts here). Even lacking such a mechanism, East could (and did) get by through a takeout double and a conversion of partner's diamond bid to hearts. This has to show extras as well as five hearts, making a raise to game by West a clear preference. Across the field 12 tables played in the heart game - the exceptions being the 4♣ table mentioned and one table which stopped in 2♥ (but how?).
With no support from partner, leading a spade from South looks dangerous and in practice only two of the twelve Souths led one. After a club lead or a diamond lead and club switch, declarer won the ♣A and cashed a top heart. With propsects of a loser in each suit, the best line now is to take a heart finesse, and East crossed to the ♠A and led the ♥J-♥Q-♥K only to be disappointed when South discarded. The next step was to cash a second club and then ruff a small club in the West hand. This was intended to set up the club suit in and restrict the hand to three losers. But North over-ruffed and led the ♠Q, overtaken by the king, to give a second club ruff - and the contract was now one down.
There was a way of avoiding this trap - declarer needed to duck one round of spades before using the ♠A entry. That choice is not without danger as South might have opened with a seven card suit, but ducking in situations like this is fairly routine and the risk would be acceptable here. Surprisingly 8 out of 12 declarers succeeded in making 10 trick on this hand - I suspect there must have been some other routes to success. Do let us know.
GW reports : at my table declarer won the spade and led ♥J-♥Q-♥K but then played the club ruff before taking a second round of trumps. Now there is no second club ruff for the defence as North cannot beat dummy's ♥6. Well played Tony Hill.
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HotD-tue : Swiss Teams 1 : 3sep18 : B2 |
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This was an interesting play problem from last night's game, solved by a surprising proportion of the field.
After partner's 2N game forcing raise, North bids clubs (a bid that is often just lead directing rather than serious) but South surprises you by leading the ♠2 against your game.
Ten tricks would be trivial if the spades did';t break 4-0 as you could make five long spades and at least one ruff to go with four outside tricks. Here you cannot draw trumps and then ruff a club, and if the clubs are as they appear, breaking 7-0, playing clubs early loses out too.
Where are you going to find your tenth trick?
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There is a slight chance of an extra trick in diamonds (if the ten falls from a short hand) but that is outside your control; there is a slight chance of an extra heart trick if the ace is played early (but why would they do that), and there is a tiny chance of a second club trick on some misplays. But the best chance for an extra trick comes from trumps, and since you cannot ruff clubs in dummy - the answer has to be a dummy reversal - ruffing a diamond and a heart in hand, and later drawing trumps in dummy.
If you win the first trump and play out the ♦K they will win and play another trump. You unblock the diamond and now play on hearts. When North wins a club does no good as South could only ruff a loser, and you find you have enough entries to take two ruffs and draw trumps. Key to that is that when you play a club, if South were to ruff, North will lack an entry for a second ruff because you have knocked out the two red aces - so the ♣A is a useful dummy entry.
Well done all those who found the winning line. |
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HotD-thu : Welsh Mixed Teams final : 27aug18 : B14 |
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Not everything went swimingly for our locals in this event - there were three adverse slam swings in the first 28 boards. This was one, where the bidding shown led to a nearly hopeless contract.
The opening bid showed 20-22 high card points, which fitted expectations. The North hand could see 12 hcp, meaning a minimum between the two hands of 32 - which is usually enough for slam.
What went wrong?
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There are two issues to recognise here. The first is that not all 20-counts are created equal - if you shuffle some cards and changed this hand into ♠AQJ73 ♥AK5 ♦QT6 ♣A9 then it is a much better hand. What we need to remember is that although opening 2N is one option, it is not the only option and opening with a suit at the one level must also be considered.
The second issue is the fact of a hand shape being 4333. When you have this shape, the options for making tricks are always more limited that they would be on say a 4432 or 5332 shape. On average a 4333 hand will play about 1-hcp worse than the same high cards in a "better" shape. Both hands suffer here. If you were to change one of the hands to be 4432 - say making the opener into ♠ AQJ7 ♥AK52 ♦QT6 ♣A9 then the slam is playable but it is only a 50% slam, so you are quitr happy not to bid it.
A number of people regularly apply an adjustment to their evaluation for a 4333 hand, so that, for example, a 1N opener is 12-14 but could be 15 if a 4333 shape. |
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HotD-wed : Welsh Mixed Teams final : 27aug18 : B57 |
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For many years now, Paul Denning & Patrick Shields have played in the Welsh Mixed (pivot) Teams with Filip & Diane Kurbalija from Cardiff. This year the competition became a double elimination event, so that after a disaster in the first round over the range of a 2N bid resulted in a loss, the team were able tocome through the repecharge, beating the team who once beat them, to face the one undefeated team in the final. This final was initially 42 boards, but extended to 60 boards when the undefeated team was behind after 42.
This hand arose towards the end of the final. The contract was inevitable and Paul Denning got the expected ♦Q lead. There are eight top tricks and the ♥K is the obvious candidate for a ninth. Paul ducked the first round, won the second and cashed the other top diamond - in case the suit was breaking evenly - but no luck. Then came three rounds of clubs - A then Q then J. There was no hurry yet to play hearts, so Paul tried a fourth diamond throwing a small heart from his hand. North won this and clearly didn't want to play a heart, so out came a small spade to South's jack and Paul's king. South had been forced to make three discards by this point, and had discarded two spades and one heart. So at this point there were only 3 spades held by the defence and all the signs were that North had two and South only one. Paul therefore cashed his ♠A and played a third one to put North on lead and now there was a forced lead of a heart round to his king. So he made nine tricks even with the ♥A offside. Nicely done!
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HotD-mon : Welsh Cup SF : 24aug18 |
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Two from Gloucestershire and two from Cardiff have been playing in the Welsh Cup, this year as always, and had a semi-final match arranged for last Friday in Ludlow. Only on arrival in Ludlow, did we find out that the hotel venue had closed down and we needed somewhere else to play. Fortunately one of the travellers coming from the north spotted the Ludlow Golf Club - positioned just to the north of the town right in the midst of Ludlow Race Course - and they were most hospitable, letting us play at short notice and take advantage of their refreshment facilities. Our many thanks go to them.
This hand arose in the third set and provided quite a pretty problem for declarer (East). The bidding, as you can see is all very natural (with 3♣ forcing as West had not promised clubs on the opening bid) and after winning the heart lead with the ace, declarer played a trump to the ace to discover the 3-0 break in that suit. There are no immediate losers but it looks like there will be two spade losers later. The catch is that North's failure to support diamonds suggested that North has only three of them, and in that case declarer's fourth diamond is going to be over-ruffed - creating a third loser.
One option is to set up the fifth heart as an extra winner, so the play proceeded - diamond ruff, heart ruff, diamond ruff, heart ruff. When South showed out the heart option was seen to be a dud. Can you find a way to get to 11 tricks despite this?
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The answer is to accept that the fourth diamond will be a loser, and you will lose that trick to South. Can that ever be of an advantage? Yes - when South as a consequence has to lead spades. The winning line is therefore to ruff the third diamond but to come off dummy with a trump, finessing North's queen. After drawing the last trump, give South the ♦A, and another diamond if they have one, but they then have to lead from the king of spades and you make your queen - the extra trick you needed. Finding this gained 12 imps for our heros. |
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HotD-thu : Newent BC Pairs : 22aug18 : B13 |
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Declarer on this hand through she was lucky at trick one, but it turned out to be a Greek Gift.
Let's look at the bidding first. You might prefer 4♠ as your game North-South, but the jump to 3♣ (not in the modern style where all jumps are weak) did make it very difficult to get the spade suit into play. North took a good view in supporting diamonds with such a minimal hand and minimal trumps, and that was all South needed to hear.
From West's perspective there was little chance of any tricks in clubs (knowing of at least 11 of them between the East and West hands), so finding partner with the ♥A and getting a spade ruff seemed the best chance. Hence the opening lead was the ♠Q.
From South's perspective, here was a spade suit with an expected loser, but if the lead was from ♠QJ then the finesse of the ten might be an extra vital trick. So she won the ♠K and set about drawing trumps. It was impossible not to lose to the ♦Q and when West won that card he thought a bit more about the original plan. A heart at this point would be won by partner, but what is likely to happen then? The likely next step is an attempt to cash the ♣A to defeat the contract - and that would be fatal. So West played out a club at this point which declarer ruffed. The last trump was drawn and declarer played a spade to the ♠AT and had to lose a trick to the jack and then then ♥A. Down one.
Notice how without a spade lead, the natural play in the spade suit is for declarer to lead towards the ace, see the queen appear, and then run the ten on the way back - for no spade loser. The intended outcome of the singleton lead was nothing to do with what actually happened!
Declarer should have been a little more suspicious of the opening lead - when an unexpected suit is led, it is surprisingly often a singleton,
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HotD-wed : Summer Teams 6 : 20aug18 : B7 |
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This hand from Monday produced a few surprises ... this was the position at tables 6 and 7 (and possibly others) on the first round of the bidding. What should South do?
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In these days of negative doubles, there isn't much doubt about the answer - South must double in case partner wants to penalise 2♦. The minimal opening bid might worry some, but when there has been a simple overcall and two passes, you really should make a re-opening double with this shape.
Now look at the four hands, and see what you have done! The 2♦ overcall is the heaviest simple overcall we have seen for ages, but anything else looks way too dangerous (eg a takeout double might get a 4♠ response).
The auctions took different paths at the two featured tables from this point. At one West redoubled and then bid 4♦ while the other bid an immediate 4♦. Of course neither pair had prepared the ground on either sequence - so very much uncharted territory in both cases. The dangers emerged when the immediate 4♦ bid got passed out, and the redoduble followed by 4♦ got a raise to game.
As you can see, game makes very easily - in fact slam is only in danger if the hearts break 6-1 and there is a ruff at trick two. Can the slam be bid? It's just about possible; the one sequence which might get you there is 1♥ - 2♦ - P - 3♦, P - 3♥ - P - 3N, P - 6♦. In this sequence the raise to 3♦ looks correct, to ensure that on further bidding partner is happy to lead that suit, the 3♥ bid asks for more information, and the 6♦ jump relies on East's heart stop not being jack high (and the diamonds coming in). A safer end to the sequence might have been some cue bids and a check on key cards. |
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HotD-tue : Summer Teams 6 : 20aug18 : B5 |
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Last night was the final session of the Summer Teams. Allan Sanis had gone into that round leading the table, but scored zero last night; however, his nearest rivals only did a little better so he is this year's Summer Teams Champion.
This hand presented a number of interesting questions. Looking first at the bidding, the 11-count with South is normally the values for an invitation but a six card suit - when it comes in - is often worth extra tricks and being able to make exactly 8 tricks on a hand like this is rare. The odds therefore favour bidding game (which is quite frustrating for West on this occasion). Most people bid game but the session winners last night were somehow the only pair not to - and they stopped in 3♦.
Now to the opening lead. From East's perspective it is going to be West who defeats this game (if anyone does) and the key to successful defence will be finding West's long suit. With South showing no interest in the majors, one of those suits must be the best candidate. Many would choose spades on the basis that partner is more likely to have five of those than five hearts, but in practice five Easts led the ♥2 while only two led a top spade (and one of those was in repsonse to West bidding spades on a different auction from that shown - where North was not playing a weak NT opening).
At some tables the opening lead of the ♥2 completely settled matters with the defence cashing the first five tricks. For some pairs that a difficult thing to do, and they found themselves cashing four hearts after which East was on lead. Should this be avoided? Assuredly - after winning trick one, West should be accutely consicous of the possibility of blockage and return a low heart. West must be careful however - returning the "normal" ♥4 creates a trap for partner; if North had started with ♥ JT65 then the right play for East on the second heart (thinking partner started with ♥A43) is to let the ♥T hold, to preserve an entry for the fourth round. West can remove the trap by returning the ♥3, suggesting to partner that West has only four hearts. This works because it forces East into the winning play of taking the queen and continuing the suit. West must duck the ♥9 and then overtake the next round. [A further trap exists if East were to lead from ♥Q92 when ducking the nine might lose the contract]
A new dilemma was presented to North after the heart suit was blocked and East switched to a spade. There are 8 top tricks but a chance for all the tricks by taking a club finesse. The downside is that a losing club finesse would spell disaster, as it must be taken early and West has all the spades to cash. The two declarers who had the choice went in different directions - the ambitious one finessed the club and ended down four for -400, while the other accepted that a "normal" result was down one and they cashed their tricks. What would you have done?
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HotD-thu : Glos-Avon match : 12aug18 : B25 |
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It is usually the case that obstruction works to the advantage of those making the obstructive bids, but not always.
The common start to the auction was as shown; West has a good hand and is willing to take a chance in game. He felt that the 4♥ bid offered partner the choice of contracts. East thought that diamonds had been rejected and passed. This happened at three tables in the top section, and the heart contract was doomed.
At the fourth table, North looked at the vulnerability and the fact that his opening was in first seat, and went all out with an opening of 3♠ which South raised to 4♠ . Surely this would make life more difficult for East-West? Over the inevitable takeout double from West, East bid 5♦ and there the auction ended. South found the only opening lead to hold the contract to 11 tricks, with ♥ A and a ruff being the only defensive tricks - but that was little consolation when he saw the results at the other tables.
So will you open 2♠ or 3♠ next time you see this North hand?
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HotD-wed : Summer Pairs : 13aug18 : B15 |
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It can be nice to report a slam which every table managed to bid - and we had one here on Monday - but with 36 HCP between you, and with 14 top tricks and another two when the hearts split 3-3, the question is why only two pairs bid the grand slam?
The auction started commonly as shown. The West hand feels strong for 2N as the long clubs are extra tricks and the same 18 HCP on a 3334 hand would also bid 2N and have much less potential. Bidding 3N however seems OTT and likely to go minus at times, unnecessarily. [Would anyone consider a 2N opener on this hand?]
The 2N rebid will of course have surprised East, who can now see that slam is guaranateed and when that happens thoughts should switch to investigasting the grand slam. Key to the grand slam will be having all the top club honours, and the way to find that out is to agree clubs as trumps and then use a key card ask to check. The ideal auction would continue 4♣ (setting trumps) - 4♦ (cue) - 4N (ask) - 5♠ (two and trump Q) - 5N. The last bid is nominally asking for kings, but it also imparts to partner the information that you have all the key cards. What could be easier for West now that to spot two extra tricks in clubs and bid 7N?
[It is worth noting that in the CBC event using the same cards, four of the less experienced pairs only bid to game - slam bidding remains difficult for us all]
LATER : it has been confirmed that the two auctions to the grand slam were 1♣-1♥-2N-7N and 2N-7N, with Roger Jackson & David Hauser making the final bid in those two cases. Only Ben Handley-Pritchard opened 2N.
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HotD-tue : Glos-Avon match : 12aug18 : b22 |
Sunday last saw the first ever friendly match between neighbouring (bridge) counties - Gloucestershire and Avon. Each county provided a team of 8 in three contexts - regular tournament players, regular club players, and newcomers. Members of each team played against the members of the corresponding team from the other county.
This hand was a considerable surprise, in that all the players in 4♠ were allowed to make the contract, despite the availability of four tricks for the defence.
It's worth looking at the bidding first. Over East's inevitable 1♠ opening, South has two options. One is to treat the hand as a two suiter, and bid 2♠ to show hearts and a minor. The other is to treat the hand as a pre-emptvie hand and to make a jump bid in diamonds, This is less descriptive but a 3♦ bid makes it impossible for the next hand to bid 3♣ - and that might be a good thing! In practice some tables chose each option. Whichever is chosen, it seems natural for West to show some spade support and it iproveddifficult for North-South to choose the 5-level over the opponents' 4♠ contract. In practice, some North's were so sure of that, that they doubled the spade game.
South had options again with the opening lead. A weak hand often does best by leading a singleton, but here the lead of the singleton jack can help the opponents, and if you saw dummy's ♣QT983 you would feel pleased not to have led it. But in fact it was led three times against 4♠ and once against 5♠ - and in only the latter case did the defence manage to collect their four tricks. North clearly won trick one, and which North could ever resist playing a top heart next. But what should happen then? It's up to South to signal helpfully. What South knows is that if North has a third heart, then East is going to ruff it - so South should discourage on the hearts, and North will assume no future there and revert to clubs. [Those who played ♥K for count might need to ponder what they actually wanted to know at this point - and the answer is not count!]
The Souths who (like me) led the ♦Q because the club looked so dangerous, had missed an opportunity to beat the game, but felt a lot less embarassed when everyone else got to make game on the ♣J lead!
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HotD-thu : Summer Teams : 6aug18 : B17 |
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It is quite common to see bidding difficulties created by the opposition bidding, but this example from Monday shows that problems are there even without that obstruction. This hand was a case where the only contracts were game and a grand slam - with nobody in the small slam. Here's how some of those came about.
A key differentiator between the auction was if and when the North-South hands bid. In the bidding shown, North was there at the start - pushing the boat out a little, but first in hand is the time to do it. The 2♥ bid meant that East had a natural takeout double, to which West applied a conventional trick. The natural 2N bid in response to the double is given up my most tournament players in favour of 2N acting as a puppet to 3♣, allowing a weak suit response to the double. A useful extension is to make a 4-level bid over 2N into a slam try. So here 4♣ set the trump suit and after cue bids and ace askingWest could bid 5N to tell partner that all the key cards were present and that a grand slam might be possible. East's singleton heart and four trumps enthused him enough to bid the grand slam. Even without the ♠Q appearing the contract was there with three heart ruffs.
The other tables to report saw North pass, allowing East to open 1♦. One of the Souths was undeterred and bid 3♠ at this point, which removed a lot of bidding space from West. West could have doubled to show both suits, but with this level of quality difference and the possibility of further competition, it was best to show the strong suit. After 4♣, East missed the boat and just raised to game, which finished the auction. The whole auction was P-1♦-3♥-4♣-P-5♣-end and the score of +440 was rather a disappointment. East should have cue bid 4♠ over partner's 5♣ and now a slam might be bid.
The third table saw the auction start with P-1♦-P which gave West an easy 2♣ bid (game forcing on their methods), which East raised to 3♣. At this point West contionued with 3♥ and East naturally, with such good spades, bid 3N - and there matters rested. Again it was East who missed the boat; opposite possibly a single heart stop 3N was never going to be certain, but more importantly there had been a chance to jump to 3♥ over 2♣ to show the club support and a short heart. After that splinter it is hard to imagine the slam being missed.
If there is any conclusion, it is that sometimes opposition bidding can make it easier to bid a slam!
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HotD-wed : Summer Teams 5 : 6aug18 : B13 |
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Choosing the right opening lead against a slam is a key moment - what would you lead here from one of Monday's slams?
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HotD-tue : Summer Teams 5 : 6aug18 : B12 |
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The better teams often prefer the less exciting boards, and the reason is that on such boards, they can more reliably pick up imps. This hand from last night is a good example, which started with every North-South pair happily getting to 2♠.
The question is what happened then, and the fact is that the majority of East-Wests let this go, and the defence to beat 2♠ (you have to set up ♣Q as an entry to allow West to play hearts through twice) is too difficult to find - so these defenders all wrote down -110 (or worse).
For the three top teams last night, defending 2♠ was not the preferred option. East, having passed originally, is able to make a limited takeout double, and did so, and what this did in each case was push North into bidding 3♠. The defence to 3♠ was rather easier, and that went one off.
Collecting +5 imps on repeated partscore hands is the way to win matches!
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HotD-thu : Summer Pairs : 30jul18 : B18 |
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This 3N hand from Monday produced a number of different results, and a major cause was the opening lead. Most tables had an East-West silent auction which allowed North to play the hand in 3N.
Across the field the leads were a top spade twice, a heart twice, the ♦K once, and a club twice.
Dismissing the outlier first, we can only assume that West opened the bidding in third seat with a lead directing 1♦ bid, and the result was this fatal lead, after which declarer was able to make 11 tricks (for a joint top) - losing just a heart and a spade en route. Notice how declarer always has three heart tricks as long as West has short hearts with one honour - by running the ♥9.
What about the other leads - with each suit chosen twice?
The auction shown was from table 6 and cannot have been untypical. The case for a spade lead is that it has a "safe" sequence from which to lead, and it might hit partner's strength. The case for a heart is that dummy showed no interest in the majors and might be weak in hearts. The case for a club is that it is your strongest suit.
The case against a heart is that a J432 lead can easily give away a trick. The case against a club is that dummy, with no interest in the majors, might have clubs, and that whichever club you lead has the potential to give declarer an undeserved trick.
When a club or heart gets led, it looks natural for declarer to win and play on spades. When West gets in they will continue partner's suit; in clubs this sets up two tricks for the defence, while in hearts this sets up a trick for declarer. The results should be 9 tricks on a club lead, and 10 tricks on a heart lead. Three tables confirmed to this analysis.
On a spade lead it is less clear what declarer will do. The lead strongly suggests that West holds the king, so it seems right to win ♠J, cash ♠A and play a third spade. On that play West can switch to either hearts or diamonds and the result should always be 10 tricks. The winners on Monday did one trick better; one way this could happen is if declarer plays diamonds at trick two and East wins to continue spades. I shall investigate!
What does all this tell us? The club is the winning lead, although the case for a heart might be better. The spade lead is quite acceptable, but the key is to know when to continue the suit and when to give up on it.
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HotD-wed : Summer Pairs : 30jul18 : B27 |
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The auction shown was that of table 6, where the 1N opener showed 15-17 HCP, and the 3♥ bid - a slight overbid in an attempt to get the shape across - promised short hearts and either three or four spades. The immediate sacrifice in 4♥ showed an unwarranted faith in the North-South bidding, as in fact there is no game which they can make. But this hand is about the play ...
Tony Letts started with a top club - the king to get count from partner and the ♣T (high from odd) marked declarer with a singleton. North looks very much now like a 4153 shape, and the ♦A came next, followed by a diamond to the ♦J and then a third diamond. Declarer ruffed with the ♥9 which lost to the ♥T, and with the ♠A and ♥K to lose that was down three. The other declarers in hearts (3♥x) made six and seven tricks, so they did no better.
We thought at the time declarer could have read the position better; it was very likely that South held the ♥KTx in which case the ♥9 was a losing play. If instead declarer ruffs with the ♥J South can over ruff with the king, and put partner in (with ♠A) to try again but when the fourth diamond comes through declarer ruffs with the ace and can lead the ♥9 through the ♥T5 to make 8 tricks. (Actually there is a guess here as to whether North's singleton is the ten or the eight, so there is also a losing option).
But in fact, the defence can do better - always ensuring six defensive tricks (down 3) no matter what declarer does - can you see how?
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It won't be so clear what is going to happen, but there is a general principle which we recognise from other situations which applies here - and makes the difference.
The general principle is not to over-ruff with a trump trick you will make anyway, and it comes in most clearly on trump promotions when declarer ruffs from AQJ and you are looking at KT9 behind.
When East ruffs with the ♥J, South should discard rather than over-ruff. |
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HotD-tue : Summer Pairs : 30jul18 : B14 |
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This hand from last night offered a number of interesting questions. First on the bidding, you have (on the bidding shown) taken a preference of giving the opposition no space, to one of hearing what the opposition have to say. This can sometimes affect your play of the hand, and in this case, if you had taken it easy, the auction might have been 1♦-1♥-1♠-2♥-3♦-3♥-4♠ -end. The gain from a slow auction is the expectation (or perfhaps confirmation,as it was the most likely scenario) that the hearts are divided 3-6 and North has some values but not a lot.
Everyone played in 4♠ on this hand in the GCBA game last night, and the number of tricks made varied enormously - one table made 9, three tables made 9, two tables made 10 trick and two tables made 12 trick. Here are the questions which come to mind
- How did some people make 12 tricks?
- What is the best line to make 10 tricks?
- What is the best line to adopt at match-point pairs?
As a starting point, we note that there are 11 top tricks. Given lack of a top club lead, we know South will have some club honour(s) so the chances of settign up the ♣Q are few. Given the fact of South bidding, we should expect more high cards with South than with North, so the diamond finesse must count as odds against.
It's now that we wonder whether 3♠ would have been a better choice of final bid - even if the field thought differently.
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Some of these quesitons are easier to answer than others - and it is simplest first.
1. Making 12 tricks clearly needs to involve the diamond suit, and you need 4 diamond tricks. That will necessitate trumping a diamond and that means the only way to get to the long diamonds will be in trumps. You therefore need the trumps to break 2-2, and the winning line is ♥A, ♦A, ♦ruff, spade to ♠7, ♦ruff, spade to ♠A and cash the diamonds. The spades behaving is a 40.7% chance, and the diamonds behaving well enough (3-3 break or doubleton king) is 51.7% ; these odds might be affected by the bidding, but overall your chance of succeeding in making 12 tricks is about 23%.
2. The best line to make 10 tricks is less clear. The line above will make either 12 tricks or 9 tricks, so it represents one option. The simple diamond finesse is another; if we assume that of the three missings kings and the missing ace, that South holds three to North's one, then we would have to rate the finesse as being about a 25% shot. The alternative to a straight finesse is to win the ♥A and run the spade suit. This could create problems for South, particularly if they hold both the top clubs. The diamond finesse can always be taken but there is also a chance of an endplay on South. If we win trick one and cash the spades, we have a 5-card ending but South should see what is happening and they will keep a card to exit to North. The position works better if you duck the first heart - threatening a heart ruff. If South wins and plays a trump we reach a 4-card ending and this might work better. We must have some extra chances from this, so the success rate should be above 30%. A danger arises if the diamond finesse fails, as then we might not get to the ♦A; this will only happen if the opponents divest themselves of enough diamonds, and that might give you a good hint that the finesse is wrong - in which case you can avoid it.
3. At match-points we need to think about both success and failure. We can take the ambituous line to get 12 tricks 23% of the time, or the less ambitious line to get 10 tricks 30% of the time. Your choice will depend on your outlook on life, and your judgement of what others will do. It might also be affected by your estimate of your current score; it is worth noting that the way to get a good score here isn't necessarily to go for the 12 tricks - what you need to do it go for the option not chosen by the others, and to get lucky. It might also be affected by the fact that the day of the event, Monday, was the first day of WISHFUL THINKING WEEK; so it should be no surprise that the ambitious line was the winner! |
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HotD-thu : Ross Swiss Teams : 22jul18 : B48 |
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This was the penultimate hand on Sunday and generated a big swing for the winning team as well as a smaller swing at table 21 where this was the auction.
The bidding looks routine with each hand expressing its strength honestly, but it left East with an awkward lead. In fact it was more than an awkward lead - East was just about end-played at trick one. With everything potentially dangerous, it was natural to choose the ♠A (and indeed 12 of the 14 defending 4♦/5♦ did that). Partner's play of the ♠Q tells you the bad news about he lead, but it does mean that a spade continuation won't give away another trick. So you play a second spade and declarer wins, and leads a small diamond.
When you win the king, you have a repeat of the same problem. Playing a spade gives a ruff and discard, a heart lead round to the queen costs a trick - so does that leave a club as the only choice? At the table the defender chose ♣9; partner won the ace and returned one but declarer got that right, rising with the king and now making the contract.
Was there any way for the defence to succeed after the opening lead? The answer is yes, but you'd never find it - it is to play the ♦K next; the result of doing this is that East never gets endplayed.
You might think declarer's play of the diamonds was curiuous but it was well reasoned. After the opening lead you can be confident that East doesn't have a singleton club, or that would have been a more attractive lead. With the 2♦ bid promising 5-5 majors, that means at most one diamond. If that diamond is the jack or ten, then leading small to the JT/queen and king, allows declarer to pick up the diamonds for one loser by finessing on the way back.
The contract at the winner's table wasn't 4♦ - the winners bid on over that and played in 4♠. The opening lead was the ♦A and, thinking that there was no other source of tricks, North switched at trick two to a club. Decalrer hopped up with the queen and with the heart and spade finesses working, wrapped up 10 tricks. The defence should have done better; when dumy has a singleton it is best for the third hand to make a suit preferenced signal, and here the ♦6 might not be a totally clear signal, but with the ♦32 missing, it is so unlikely to be crying out for a club lead that North will now avoid that switch.
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HotD-wed : Ross Swiss Teams : 22jul18 : B24 |
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This hand came up in the next match, and presented a bidding problem for some - what to do at this point, where 3N is very much in your mind, but to bid it without a diamond stop looks foolish, and bidding 3♣ would be a considerable underbid. Your choice?
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One bid we could consider with a hand too good for 3♣ is to bid 3N, as this also (since 1N/2N covers all the balanced hands) shows long clubs and a good hand. It usually has some semblance of a stopper in the unbid suits, which is true only for one of the suits in this case. But 3N was tried twice, and it succeeded as often as it failed - just depending on the opening lead. Too risky must be the verdict.
Some other tables got to 3N by East after West made an underbid of 3♣ and East compensated with an overbid of 3N. The catch again was the diamond stopper, and here the outcome was worse as South did not have a decent heart alternative. But in fact the majority of 3♣ bids resulted in partner passing and game being missed.
With direct support for spades rather a distortion, the answer which is left is for the West hand to "invent" a reverse bid, trying 2♥. With three card support for spades the danger of partner raising hearts is mitigated by the fact that you can convert any heart call to spades at the same level. Here the 2♥ bid might just get preference to clubs, but over that you can bid 3♠ (forcing) and be confident that if 3N is best partner will bid it, and if not it will be easy for partner to choose the best black suit to be trumps.
In fact 4♠ and 5♣ weren't the only choices made above 3N - there were four pairs bid a slam, two in spades and two in clubs. Both pairs in clubs made the slam (one got a spade lead) but in spades both declarers lost to the trump queen and went one down. |
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HotD-tue : Ross Swiss Teams : 22jul18 : B20 |
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The Ross-on-Wye event managed jointly by Gloucestershire & Herefordshire continues to thrive, and there were 44 teams on the Sunday. This hand came up in match three, and was the most powerful hand held over the day. The majority opened a strong two bid on this, but there was good reason also for opening 1♦, to make sure it was easy to bid the two suits. This was the auction at the table where the eventual winners were sitting North-South. What can North bid now?
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Curiously, the opposition's intervention has actually made it easier rather than more difficult to bid this hand. And that is because - in a cramped auction like this - you need to reserve the 4N bid to show a two suited hand with two unbid suits. So here 4N would promise at least 5-5 in diamonds and hearts. Isn't that handy? If the opponents had not bid 4♠ you would have had room to bid 4♦ but unless partner bids hearts now, the suit is going to be lost. After 4N showing the reds, the decision is for South and whether to settle for game or bid slam is not clear. If you have already shown something with 4♣ you might be inclined to settle for 5♦ but partner's choice to open a strong two rather than open a suit at the 1-level indicates a pretty enormous hand - and your ace plus singleton spade will often be enough for slam.
At the table, of course, it didn't happen like this. South declined to bid clubs at the first chance, and over 4♠, North bid 5♦ and was fortunate that partner wasn't sitting there with short diamonds and long hearts. South's undisclosed features included three trumps, a singleton and an ace - so he was happy to raise to 6♦. In this match that turned out to be a flat board as at the other table West passed over 4♣ and South cue bid spades over North's 4♦, so the slam was bid easily there.
Across the field the slam was bid only 10 times out of 44, and all the successful auctions we know started with a strong two opening. The one known auction which didn't start that way went P-1♦-3♠-P-P-4♥-P-5♦ -end; again generously quiet opponents, but no prizes. |
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HotD-thu : Summer Teams : 16jul18 : B12 |
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As happens so often, this hand was a good slam which nobody bid. The key bid in the auction at table 2 was at this point (3♣ natural and forcing, as weaker hands bid 2N instead). There are two bids to consider here, one is 3N to show the double spade stop, and the other is 4♣ which by default will suggest a sixth club. Each option tends to lose the other.
Is the slam good? The answer has to be yes, as it is
- cold on any 2-2 club break (40% shot, ruffing the fourth diamond in dummy),
- it is also good odds if there is a singleton ♣Q (18% of the time, now drawing trumps and playing ♦ AK9 losing only to QTxx(x) with East - so 85% success).
- finally with a trump loser there is still a chance (42% of the time, it needs diamonds for no loser - for which best odds is a double finesse a 25% shot).
The bottom line is that the slam will make two thirds of the time, without any help from the opposition (and some if often forthcoming).
But for Monday's North-Souths there is, unusually, a happy ending - for if you played 6♣ to best advantage, you would have gone down one!
The auction given above will not have happened often; the key difference is that West - at this vulnerability - should have been in there with an opening bid of at least 2♠ and possibly 3♠. After that start the auction might well just be a 3N bid by North and a pass by everyone else.
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HotD-web : Spring Teams : 16jul18 : B16 |
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This hand from Monday created bidding problems for some, while others got past that hurdle but then stumbled!
The first question is the opening bid from West, which should be 1♠. That looks straightforward but it created a problem for some Easts - as bidding at the two level would not match partner's expectations if playing 2/1 game forcing. When East decided to bid 1N over 1♠, the next bid heard was 3♣ and now the heart suit got introduced. West could have temporised with 3♠ but feared it might be passed and so jumped to 4♠. That was the final bid and the contract went down two.
We mustn't say anything about the pair who played in 5♦ on this hand, but will focus instead on the play in hearts - a denomination with 6 declarers across the 4-level (three), 5-level (two) and 6-level (one). Two declarers were presented with a club lead and had to lose a club trick, but the other four had a diamond lead. The 4♥ contract is always safe but at a higher level it isn't.
The key is how to play the heart suit. Would you have recognised the importance of a safety play here? There is always one loser on a 2-1 break and two losers if there is KQ3 behind the ace. The key case is KQ3 in front of the ace. To avoid losing an extra trick in that case, you must cross to the long hearts and lead towards the AT.
Unfortunately the one player in 6♥ didn't spot this and went one down in a makeable slam (after a diamond lead).
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HotD-tue : Summer Teams : 16jul18 : B10 |
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The results on this hand surprised a little, with 11 tricks in spades and success in 3N suggesting that everyone played the spade suit for no loser.
The way to play the suit for no loser is to start with small to the queen and then cash the ace. Playing in 4♠ this lets you draw trumps, throw a losing diamond on the fourth club, and clock up 11 tricks with two heart losers. Playing in 3N this gives you five spades to go with four clubs and a diamond for 10 tricks there, even on a diamond lead.
Question - is that the best odds play in the spade suit?
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The answer - as you might expect from the fact of the discussion - is no.
It is better odds to leads the jack from West on the first round, and if it is covered to cash the queen next hoping to drop the ten. Does it make much difference? Not a lot - small to the queen works with dodubleton KT or K8/K6/K5 onside, while leading the jack works with KT onside and T8/T6/T5 offside - and there are just as many cases of either. The difference is that leading the jack first also works in the case of singleton ten offside, as you can later cash the 9 and fiensse through North's 86.
One cannot quarrel with success - but next time when everyone leads the jack, the layout will be like this and we will wish we had never learned the "right" answer! |
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HotD-thu : Midlands Bowl : 8jul18 : B29 |
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The Midlands Bowl was won on Sunday by one of the two teams from Warwickshire. Their narrow win could have been extended if they had found the winning line on this hand - see how you get on.
Some thoughts on the bidding first. The open was 19-20 balanced and the 3♣ bid was asking about five-card majors. The initial pass over 3♣ denied a club stop, so that the other hand can tell whether 3N is a sensible contract or not. Any other bid would show a stopper. The redouble now asks North to make the normal response, and this was 3N to show a hand with a five card heart suit. This style of responses is the latest fad, as it enables the 2N opener to be declarer in all major suit contracts. Details can be found on the internet if you search for "muppet stayman".
In response to the lead-directing double, East leads a club and West wins to switch to ♠3 and your jack loses to the ace; back comes the ♠T overtaken by the queen and ducked by you. You now beat the ♠9 with the king as East plays the ♠6. What next?
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You have made one spade trick and expect to make 5 diamonds and two top hearts. There are two choices for the ninth trick - it must come from either clubs or hearts. It is easy to set up a clcub trick by leading the jack, while the ♦K is an entry to dummy, and that was the option chosen, but if you look at all four hands you will see that this simply put West on lead to cash the setting trick in spades.
The alternative, which is of course not guaranteed, is to cash the diamonds first and then play a heart off dummy. When the ♥9 is with West, you can lose safely to East and get a heart trick back on the return. This would lose out if East had the fourth spade.
Can you tell? The only hints are in the play of the spade suit. The return of the ♠T then the play of the ♠6 by East looks so much like AT6 and would be such a strange play from AT86, that we have to vote that you can tell whether the long spade is. So your best bet is to cash diamonds and play hearts, covering whatever West plays. |
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HotD-wed : Midlands Bowl : 8jul18 : B25 |
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The two GCBA teams playing in Sunday's Midlands Bowl ended in the middle of the field. They did have a few chances, and if the odds-against slam bid and made by the winning team had failed, one of our teams would have shuffled up two places in the ranking. This hand was one highlight for that GCBA team in the first half.
There are 12 tricks easy available once declarer has lost a diamond trick to South, so it was a susprise to find that only Garry Watson & Patrick Shields managed to bid this slam. You can make the same tricks in NT but that needs to be played by West or a spade lead could set up two tricks for the defence and beat the slam. (The one team in 6N by East got a heart lead)
The auction would usually start 1♦ -1♠, although there is an argument for 1♦ -2♣ as a start where that immediately sets up a game force (and makes bidding over a diamond rebid more comfortable). East now wants to show extra high cards and good diamonds, but a 3♦ bid did not seem to do justice to the hand. The high card strength would be a 1N opener or rebid, but the good diamonds make the hand rather stronger than most 17 counts, and that made 2N (nominally showing 18-19) the most appealing option.
The 3♠ bid here might look like a mis-print, but it wasn't - it shows clubs! The reason it shows clubs is that on this sequence the pair play all continuations as transfers. This is a recommended option as it allows responder to make both forcing and non-forcing takeouts of 2N. The key bid, however, was the next one - when West raised to 4N.
The jump to 6♦ now seems osbvious and there was nothing in the play. It continues to surprise how difficult slam bidding seems to be.
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HotD-tue : Midlands Bowl : 8jul18 : B8 |
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This opening bid resulted in three choices on Sunday and only Tricia Gilham in one of the Gloucestershire teams made the winning choice. What should it be opened?
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Six card suits are traditionally opened at the two level, seven cards suits at the three level, and eight card suit suits the four level.
One pair playing strong weak twos (8-11 usually) chose a 2♠ opener, hoping that was sufficiently constructive. One other pair opened 2♠. Both partners passed.
The clear majority was to open 3♠ on this hand, and five did and their partners all passed.
The one exception was opening 4♠. The rationale is that a 7411 shape is so much better than a 7222 shape, both in costructive potential and the business case for obstructing - it is crying out ot be opened at the 4-level. The same hand with a small club moved to be a small diamond would clearly open 3♠, and doesn't this hand look to be a trick stronger?
Have a look at the four hands and say where you think the part-score auctions went wrong. |
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HotD-thu : Oxford BC Teams : 4jul18 : B19 |
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This hand from last night's teams event divided the field with half of them making the game and half not. The defenders started off with the ♥8 to the ace. Declarer played the ♣T and ducked South's queen. Inevitably, out came the ♠2. The key - and you have started the right way - is to focus first on your side suit (clubs here). So you win the spade switch with the ace and take a club ruff. Sadly, the ♠4 is over-trumped with the ♠J. Back comes the ♥Q run to your king. What do you discard?
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You have lost two tricks with the ♦A to come, and you still need to set up the clubs. It doesn't look like the ♠6 is going to be big enough, but the fact is what else can you do - you will have to try ruffing the next club and hope for the best.
What does that tell us about the discard? It looks like it doesn't matter but it does. The catch is this - if you discard the fifth club and now ruff a heart to take the club ruff, you will find that the club ruff succeeds. But now if you lead a fourth heart you will allow North a trump promotion, and if you play a diamond, South will win the ace and do the trump promotion for you. Either way is four losers.
There are two ways out of this. One is to play diamonds immediately after winning the second heart. Success now relies on the diamond ace holder not having the third trump. The alternative is to discard a diamond on the second heart, take the ruffs and when you play the fourth heart you let the ♥J win, discarding the diamond queen. This seems the easier option. |
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HotD-wed : Summer Teams : 2jul18 : B29 |
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This slam from Monday was bid by even fewer pairs than bid the slam on board 1, but this slam is nearly rock-solid. Most tables either started with a strong NT or opened a minor and rebid 1N to show 15-17 hcp. The South hand raised to game and there matters rested.
The exception was a table where North opened 1♦ to start with and bid 2N over partner's 1♠ response. This slight overbid (or is it?) galvanised South into action and South drove to the slam.
Do we want to bid the slam - absolutely, as in 6♦ taking one heart ruff gives five trump tricks to go with four major winners and at least three tricks from AQJ6-T3 in clubs. From another perspective, we might want to have 33 hcp to make a slam in NT, but we expect to generate an extra trick from a 4-4 fit, so 6♦ will often make with say 30 hcp between the hands. And we have that (plus one).
Should we be able to bid the slam? That's not so clear as if the clubs were AQJ6-93 then we need the club finesse in order to make the slam - and that won't always work. It is always difficult to tell that a ten is working for you quite so strongly (and more so when partner has the jack). But even without the ♣T the slam is on a finesse, so I'd like to bid it.
Any good ideas on how to bid it - please say!
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HotD-tue : Summer Teams 3 : 2jul18 : B1 |
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The first board of the night offered a "take it or leave it" slam which was bid at two tables. The strong 1N opening from North is very much a minimum hand for that bid, but three good trumps and an AKQ holding are surely valuable cards, and if - as this bidding suggests - partner is short in hearts you wouldn't want to be too discouraging. In practice North tried to sign off and it was optimistic Souths who drove to the slam, and if they hadn't we would have missed this play problem - what's the best apporach after the opposition lead two rounds of hearts?
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There are 11 top tricks and primary chances in clubs, and a faint chance in diamonds for the twelfth. With a free choice the best play in the club suit is to cash the top two, and make whenever the jack falls from a short hand or the suit breaks 3-3, a total of about 54.87%. After you cash two trumps however, you find you haven't got that luxury - for if the jack drops doubleton you will need to cash the ten and then cross to dummy to before cashing the queen, and you have to do that while there is still one trump out.
On that line, to make the contract you need the hand with the ♣J or ♣Jx to have the singleton trump. That takes over 10% off your 55% chance of success.
The alternative to clubs from the top is the straight club finesse - a priori this works 50% of the time (which helps) but when you find that there is a singleton trump with West, the odds increase to 54.55% - rather better than playing from the top. If it had been East with the singleton trump, the odds on the club finesse would actually have dropped to 45.45%.
So what happened? In practice both declarers made 12 tricks, so neither took the club finesse. If you recognise the finesse as the likely best line, it is still worth cashing some spade winners first. In fact, all of the spade winners first. It is only if neither hand discards a club that the finesse remains a favourite. If you see a discard, it's easy to play clubs from the top. In practice - how many Wests are going to resist throwing from 832 when they can see AKQ5 or T97 in dummy?
Very few - BUT - it is surely the right thing to do. Declarer is marked with six spades and needs two top diamonds to justify the bidding, so the clubs are surely a crucial suit. The difficulty is realising that with this holding in dummy, that declarer has options on how to play the suit.
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HotD-fri : Eurooean Championship : R33, B16 |
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The recent European Championship was won by Norway ahead of Israel, but you might not have expected that after 10 days and 33 matches, the outcome would depend on a part-score hand on board 16 of the last match, but that is what happened.
The key decision was at the point shown when Norway played Italy; the Norwegian East passed and Italy then bid up to 3N with their combined 24 hcp. After Boye Brogeland found the lead of the ♠J, declarer won and immediately played hearts, but the one card held on his right was the top heart and a spade through put him down three. At the other tables the Italian East responded with 1N to the opening bid, and North-South did bid up to 3♦ but West persisted with 3♠ and went down two. That was 8 imps to Norway.
In the other key match the auction started the same way with Israel-Hungary. Here the Hungarihe East passed and Israel bid up to 3N, also down three on a spade lead. In the otehr room the Israeli East bid 1N like the Italian, and South played the hand in 3♦ making+2, for a loss of 7 imps to Israel.
These differences made the difference between Gold and Silver medals.
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HotD-wed : European Championships : R4, B28 |
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Not every instance of bridge on show at the Europeans was impressive. This hand was played in the match between England and Ireland, and the auction shown happened at both tables. The result was 5♣+2 twice for a flat board. Could we do better?
When we used this hand in a squad practice, both pairs reached slam and when we look across the field at the European, there were 13/32 played successfully in 6♣; five declarers played 7♣ (and four of them succeeded); three declarers played in 6♦ (and two of them made) while the others all played in game (including one in 3N-1).
Iceland & Switzerland both missed the slam after West passed on the first round, and South could now bid hearts over East's opener. But the majority went for opening with the West hand - it is minimal values but it is always the case that getting in first is best, so with no rebid problems we recommend opening 1♦.
How should the hand be bid after that? The start shown is what we would expect playing traditional Acol, but in the match shown with 2♣ game forcing at both tables, the choice of 3♣ was chosen by those who reserve the splinter into 3♥ for hands with extra values as well as the right shape. In other matches there were a few cases where South bid hearts, and this (as in our squad game) induced West to be much more forthcoming about the heart shortage, for fear no chance would exist to do that later. In effect, South pushed West into the slam!
When Croatia,with a silent South, bid 3♣ over 2♣, the East hand continued with 3♦ which both saved space and highlighted the useful diamond honour. This is the answer, and it allows West - having limited the hand - to jump to 4♥ to show shortage. Now the fitting high cards should induce East to bid the slam. Easy game!
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HotD-tue : European Open Teams : R5 : B8 |
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This was one of the swing hands from an early match (against Estonia). The East-West hands were held by Robson-Forrester and their auction started with a 15-17 NT, with Robson upgrading a 14-count which is just too strong to think of as a weak NT hand. The RF auction became too difficult to decipher shortly after that, but a natural auction based on the same evaluation is shown here. Across the 32 tables in play at that point, the hand was played in a small slam 29 times (once a grand, twice a game). The common leads were diamonds and spades, with occastionally a heart.
Almost half of the declarers went down - can we see what gives them a prpboem?
When England defended, the declarer won the lead and tried a heart to the queen which lost to the ace. Back came a second heart and declarer rose, to allow him to try for breaks in the black suits. That failed and the contract was off. When we played this hand in a squad game, the early play was the same and both our Souths, on winning the heart ace, returned a diamond and declarer could test the black suits before resorting to a (successful) heart finesse. The defence failed to test declarer.
What should have happened? Robson's choice was to start with three top clubs. Once he knew the clubs were not breaking, he had to finesse the heart and duly did to make 6N. Cashing the clubs does set up a second winner for the defence but the odds are against the hand with long clubs also holding the heart ace. Here it made all the difference.
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HotD-thu : European Teams R7, B15 |
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We used this hand from the Europeans in a county top team practice session this week, and a few interesting points emerged. At the European, across 32 tables, there were 15 Easts played in 3N, 10 Wests played in 4♠, 6 Easts played in diamonds (two in 3♦, 2 in 5♦, 2 in 6♦) and one pair played in a part-score (3♠, making).
It doesn't look great to be in 5♦ but, even with only one entry to the West hand, the diamond suit will come in for only two losers 53% of the time,. How that compares with 4♠ isn't clear as only three declarers made the spade game - with the hearts not cashable in time to discard a loser, it could not make without defensive help.
But 3N was the contract of interest - and how does declarer play on the lead of the ♥8? When England led this against the Poles, declarer tried the jack but had to win the king. He tried a diamond towards the nine and when South went up with the jack to crash his partner's king, there was suddenly no defence (declarer got 11 tricks). Germany did the same against France, but when Helgemo for Monaco and Pownall for Wales had this trick two decision, they played small and they managed to get the contract two down.
Paul Lamford sitting East for Wales found the interersting play of the ♦Q at trick two and this induced South to play the ace, with disastrous results. It seemed a curious choice at the time but if you consider how you would play the diamond suit in 5♦ - there are two equally good lines, given the fact that there is only one entry to thre West hand. Two-two breaks dont matter; leading small caters for singleton king or singleton ace with South (you later lead up to the QT), while leading the queen caters for singleton jack in either hand - an even choice.
But as we see from the above - and we saw in our practice - it is possible for the defence to go wrong in either case. The statistics we have, however, are that of the four times declarer led small 50% of defenders played the jack and 50% played small, but of the twice declarer led the queen 100% of defenders erred. That makes the queen the better play!
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HotD-wed : Summer Pairs : 18jun18 : B11 |
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There was only one successful slam bid on Monday and that only made because the opposition failed to cash their two top tricks. This on the other hand was a good slam (almost 70%) which nobody bid.
The key question is how to handle the North hand after partner opens 2N. North cannot decide on the final contract alone, but needs to engage partner. North needs to tell South about shape (being 5-5 majors) and about values (mild slam interest). With that information South can (and should) get enthusiastic about the slam possibilities.
There are two sequences commonly used to show 5-5 shape on the majors over 2N; the more obvious is to transfer to 3♠ and then bid 4♥ (not done with 5-4 shape because you wan to be in 3N when a fit is lacking). The less obvious one is to bid 3♣ first (asking about majors) and if partner denies one - then bidding 4♥ on the next round.
It could be done either way, but most common practice is to use the 3♣-then-4♥ route to show no interst beyond game, and 3♥-3♠-4♥ to show the slam interest. Here after 4♥ SOuth would know there were no minor suit losers and with 10-hcp in the majors it doesn't need too much from partner to make slam decent.
A similar apporach can be applied over a 1N opener, with 2♣ then 4♥ as no interest beyond game, and a transfer sequence (2♥-2♠-3♥-any-4♥) as the slam interest.
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HotD-tue : CBC Pairs League : 13jun18 : B19 |
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This was one of the slam hands from last week on which few had a successful auction. The auction shows is one of those which failed. What went wrong?
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The first bid to question is 4N. Blackwood, we must remember, is not a tool for bidding good slams - it is a tool for avoiding bad slams (those missing two key cards). With no ability to count the tricks, the answer does not tell North what the contract should be, so North should not be invoking this (much abused) convention.
Was that the end of the story - could it have been recovered after 4N-5♥ ?
The answer is yes, it could be recovered. South could not bid the grand slam on this sequence, lest a key card was missing. But North could have told South that this was not the case - how? By bidding 5N. This bid has two functions of which the first is much more important than the second. The first is that it confirms there are no missing key cards (the second is asking for kings). Why that is important is that now South - who can count the tricks (five spades, five diamonds, two aces and partner must have a club control to bid like this) and now bid 7♠.
Does that make it the right sequence - no, because the grand slam is still trivial to make if North lacks the heart ace.
A sensible sequence might be 1♠ - 2N (game forcing spade raise) - 3♥ (shortage) - 3♠ (no shortage) - 4♣ (cue) - 4♦ (cue) - 4♥ (void) - 4♠ (working 12 count, has bid the hand) - 4N (key card ask) - 5♠ (two and trump queen, ignoring heart ace opposite the void) - 5N (king ask++) - 6♣ (club king) - 7♠. It's quite a long sequence but all logical and it is the way to count 13 tricks before bidding the grand. |
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HotD-thu : CBC Pairs League : 13jun18 : B30 |
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The latest run of the CBC Pairs League finished last night with a set of spectacular hands.
B4 : the majority of the field (8 out of 12) bid a 53% slam needing one loser from J76432-A85 but the suit lay badly.
B5 : partner opened and you have ♥4♦AKQ943♣AKJT64, which bids easily, first diamonds and then six clubs, and partner chooses diamonds. Nine tables played 6♦.
B17 : was 16 top tricks in anything but diamonds, but only 6 out of 12 bid the grand slam.
B19 : was 14 top tricks in two suits or in NT but only 3 pairs managed ot bid that one.
B23 : was a slam needing a couple of finesses, but the opening bid from North placed those missing queens, so it rolled home but was bid only once.
B26 : was an excellent 6♠ or 6♥ for North-South but this was bid only once and went off; but 6♦ made easily the other way and was bid at 5 of the remaining 11 tables, and doubled each time.
And so we get to the last board of the competition ... and a lot of the result came down to the opening bid from East. A number of tables opened 3♣ which allowed everone to bid a suit - and where it went 3♦ - 3♥ - 3♠ it was easy to get to the spade game. Not everyone bid as South, and when South passed it went P - 3♥ - P - 4♣ and South now doubled to collect +300.
A few tables opened 5♣ as East after which two tables ended with a double, but one saw it go P - P - 5♠ and South raised to the slam.
Sparks also came when East chose a 4♣ opener; South was not strong enough to overcall and West knew not to bid - so it came down to whether or not North would pass this out. With the 6520 shape it was too difficult to pass, so North tried 4♠ and South, without any sensible way to investigate the grand slam, happily raised to 6♠. West took affront at this and doubled. There were 11 easy tricks on a cross-ruff, but when the smoke cleared North's attempt to make the contract (needing a diamond honour with East or the spades 2-2) resulted in -500, and the league leaders lost 14 imps at each table.
The overall winners were (Div One) Richard Chamberlain & Patrick Shields, (Div Two) John Councer & Mark Rogers, and (DIv Three) Kate & Philip Morgan.
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HotD-wed : NICKO round of 16 : 11jun18 : B18 |
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The last remaining Gloucestershire team played in the round-of-16 of the National Inter-Club Knock Out (NICKO) on Monday, going down to Bristol to play in the West of England club against their top team. Our team started off well but had a few accidents in the second half, and they were 10 imps ahead when this final board was placed on the table.
On this second play of the board, the bidding which took place was P-1♥-2♣-X-P-2♦-P-3N-end. The 2♣ overcall was totally not recommended, and was avoided by our man sitting West. North could have chosen to go for a penalty, and passed it around to partner for a takeout double to convert to penalties. But, with an eye on the vulnerability, our man preferred to be declarer. Playing in 3N the lead was a club, and declarer tried ♥J but West won and switched to diamonds and now there were six clear losers and the contract went down two. Best defence to 2♣-X would have collected +500.
The bidding shown in the diagram happened in the other room, who had played the board earlier in that hour. Robert Colville for W-of-E was declarer and East started with a diamond. Declarer ducked that but won the diamond continuaiton. With only two top tricks and seven trumps, he had to develop a side suit and hearts looked best, so he started with a heart from dummy to the ten-jack-ace. Uncertain as to where the missing ♦6 was, East continued the suit and declarer ruffed. The position in hearts had been noticed by declarer and he continued with a small heart, ducked in dummy to the now singleton king. This set up three heart tricks for declarer but he still needed to make 5 trumps tricks to reach a total of ten.
He succeeded as follows : he won the ♣A and played over to dummy's top spade, ruffed a diamond with a top trump, and continued with two rounds of trumps ending in the South hand. He found that this drew all the trumps and he could now cash the hearts for ten tricks. That was +620 and 13 imps to West-of-England who had now won the match by 3 imps.
The contract can always be beaten, but the defence to do that is not obvious. One way is to for East-West to engineer to ruff one of declarer's winning hearts.
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HotD-tue : Pachabo Cup : 10jun18 : B14 |
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The winners of the County Knock-Out played last weekend in the Pachabo Cup, with the winners of the corresponding competition in other counties. The team - Keith Stanley with Richard Chamberlain, Diana Nettleton, Patrick Shields & Garry Watson - did reasonably well, coming 5th of the 25 teams competing.
This was the strongest hand held by any player over the weekend. How would you bid it? Presumably you open 2♣ because there would be a danger of 1♠-P-P-P. Partner gives you a positive in hearts, and you now show your first suit with 2♠. Partner raises - what now?
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There is clearly only one card which matters - the ♠K - and there is a resaonable chance partner has it. How do you find out?
Some sort of asking bid is needed here; a few contestants tried 4N to ask and heard from partner that they held one of the five key cards. That might have been the ♠K or the ♣A and they were forced to guess. They mostly guess to bid the grand slam.
Other pulled out a little used convention from long ago - often called Josephine - whereby a jump to 5N asks about top trumps. Ideal here and when partner shows one top trump, you know to bid 7♠.
The other parties tried a newer approach, using a 5-level jump, here in clubs, as Exclusion Blackwood - asking about key cards just like 4N but ignoring the ace of the suit being bid. Here a 1-key-card response promised the ♠K and made bidding the grand slam easy.
In the event, only four out of 24 teams stopped in the small slam, but things weren't rosy for all of the other twenty. The form of scoring in the event favours playing in NT, as there are 2 VPs available for the point-a-board result on each hand and playing 7N making when the opponents play in 7♠ making is worth an extra victory point to you. The consequence of this is that four Norths, having heard partner bid 4N and then 7♠, felt sure partner had all the aces (else they could not be confident about the spade king) and converted to 7N. This was a disaster as the hand on lead could double and lead the club ace.
Regular tournament players carry a lot of tools on their convention cards, and some get used very rarely, but having either Josephine or Exclusion Blackwood available when this hand turns up justifies the memory burden. |
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HotD-thu : European Open : England-Romania R2,B18 |
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It wasn't until this board in the second match that England scored above ten imps on any board in the first day of the European Open teams which has just started in Ostende. It's an interesting pair of North-South hands to examine; first glance suggests that you want to bid a slam on this and indeed calculations reveal that there is a 63% chance of the diamond suit providing three tricks, and if that fails then there is the heart finesse to fall back on. When you make an allowance for the spades breaking badly, the success rate of the slam comes to 71% - and in practice the defence often helps a slam along with the opening lead etc - so you do want to bid this slam.
In practice 14/32 tables bid to the slam but there were two cases where East-West played the hand, and that's what we need to investigate. The key question is what does West do after the bidding starts with P-P, at favourable vulnerability with this mottley 4-count? All the books will tell you to pass, but the fact is that giving the opposition a free run is not a winning strategy. When they passed against England, Malinowski & Bahkshi competently bid up to 6♠ and collected +1430.
The answer for at least two pairs was to preempt in clubs. On the record we have a 3♣ opener for Russia, which North naturally doubled, and then it was all up to South. With some values but no cler game to shoot for, he decided that a pass was with the odds. If South was not entirely confident, West was even less confident and he redodubled for rescue. The result of that was he then played in 4♣-doubled, and that cost him 1400 (and he gained 1 imp). It didn't work out so well for the Belgian who also started with 3♣ and then had his partner take him seriously and ended in 5♣-doubled losing 2000 points (his team-mates only bid game).
For England, after P-P, Andy Robson did the right thing - he opened 1♣ and that was enough to make it impossible for the other side to bid the slam. Very little danger in that opening bid, but there is not doubt it takes the edge of any precision in the North-South bidding, and it was rewarded when the Romanians stopped in game. And that was 12 imps to England.
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HotD-wed : Summer Pairs 1 : 4jun18 : B7 |
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The seat in which you are placed can make a difference to your choice of opening - as whether or not partner and opponents have passed can change your perspective on who "owns" the hand. What is your choice of opener here - suppose first it had gone P-P to you ... and then take the actual position where it went P-1♥ and now you had to bid - what are your choices?
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In the first case where they have not opened, you do expect your LHO to have the best hand at the table, but it remains possible that everyone has been dealt 10 hcp. You don't want to give them an easy ride, but nor do you want to bid high and go minus for no reason. We are so used to opening a 7-card suit at the 3-level that this seems to be the hand that opens two levels higher. Does that make it a 5♣ opener?
And now to the real case - in which case the arguments are slightly different, as RHO has declared they have a better hand that your partner. However, even if you allocated 14 hcp to RHO, that leaves 16 hcp to divide between partner and LHO and - since partner can't have 12+ of those - partner's average wil be around the 6 hcp mark.
Does this help us work out how high to bid? Not fully but it says to expect a little from partner. Let's look next at the high cards we have - we have two honours in short suits and the ace of our suit. These are all respectable defensive values, so we must note that it doesn't take much from partner to defeat a game were they to bid one.
The other major factor in these decisions is how we see the bidding develop. Whatever number of clubs we bid we are expecting LHO to make a takeout-ish double. If we bid at the 3-level or 4-level then we expect RHO to bid over that double, but if we bid at the 5-level we expect RHO will more often leave that double in. Which do we want?
It is hard to see Good Things coming from bidding 5♣-X-P-P-P. Could Good Things come from 4♣-X-P-4♥, or 4♣-X-P-4♠? The answer here is more positive, but not quite certain.
In practice nearly everyone bid 5♣, and afterwards they all talked about how they should perhaps only have bid 4♣. It was unusual to see a traveller with -800 as easily the most common score. What do you think?
BTW - the European Open Teams Champiosnhips start today in Ostende and there is extensive coverage on BBO - so lots of bridge to watch! |
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HotD-tue : Summer Pairs 1 : 4jun18 : B3 |
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When you to look at the East-West hands here, your first choice of contract would be either 5♣ or 6♣ - not too difficult to find you might think with 25 hcp and a 9-card fit? Would it surprise you to know that nobody found either of those contracts, and those in clubs only got there reluctantly? With a 3-0 fit in a side suit and a single stopper, would you expect the majority to play the hand in 3N?
This was the auction at table 4 last night. The opening bid weas rather on the heavy side, and most would prefer to start with 1♣, but this choice had one significant advantage - it stopped North from making a 1-level heart overcall. South however, as a passed hand, felt he could not let 3N pass by silently. The only rationale, he argued, for coming in with a double here was as takeout of clubs - and at this vulnerability it might pave the way for a good sacrifice. So he doubled and North passed this around to East. The key deduction from this action - and one that East now needs to pick up - is that the clubs are not breaking well.
It is this bad club break which stops 3N making - it would have been 10 top tricks on an even break but the break kills the game, and the best declarer can do on a heart lead is to play spades and to guess the winning play of pinning the ten, rather than (probably the better odds play) finessing South for the ten. None of those in 3N found this play and they all went two down or more. At the table East did the right thing, escaping to 4♣ and in practice the auction ended there.
West might have reconsidered at this point - given the extra strength of the hand, but there was the prospect of both king and jack of clubs lying badly, so he passed. If he had bid on, he would have been uniquely placed to find the winning play in clubs - cocmcing to hand with a herat ruff and running the club ten on the first round.
Afterwards South was left to regret his action. He had doubled a 3N contract he thought was making, only it was in practice going two down. His partner left it in rather than taking out, and a minute later the opposition were playing in a making part-score instead. :(
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HotD-thu : EBU Online KO : 29may18 : B6 |
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There were only two local teams entered this years on-line EBU Knock Out; one got knocked out in the first round, but the others survived that and have now won four matches to reach the semi-finals. The quarter-final match was on Tuesday against a Guernsey team and they won by just 6 imps (rather a contrast to the 62 imp margin in the previous match). The winners collected only one double figure swing, and it was on this hand.
The different choice of contract came down to the opening bid, and when the other table passed as East it proved impossible for that pair to reach game. The 3N game reached at this table was by no means certain, but after the opening it was difficult to work out that 5♦ was a safer contract. West might have doubled on the second round, but when partner bids 3♦ what else could happen but 3N?
The defence was not testing; North cashed a top spade and then, scared to give away the ninth trick, switched to a heart. Declarer could now take a diamond finesse, losing to the king, and when a second heart came back to repeat that, and when that worked, to claim 11 tricks. Bashing out the spades was not a good enough defence, as then declarer could start diamonds from the top and lose a diamond to South who has no more spades. But if the defence had chosen to give up a spade trick, then it would have been a different story - it gives declarer 8 tricks but there is no route to a ninth.
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HotD-wed : EBU Stratford Swiss Teams : 28may18 : B48 |
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This defensive problem arose at a number of tables on the last round of Monday's Swiss Teams. In respsonse to partner's bid, you lead the ♦J and it holds. What next?
Forgot to say - it went ♦2-♦6-♦5.
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The first thing to work out is the distribution of the diamonds. Partner must surely have a six card suit for bidding then at the 3-level, and declarer must have a stopper. The ducking at trick one tells you declarer started with ♦A5 and partner started wtih ♦KQT763.
The next thing to work out is what else partner has, and the answer - if the 2♣ bid is to be believed - is not very much - in fact, at most one high card outside.
So do we know what to do next? We should! Partner had a choice of three cards to play at trick one, and partner chose the middle one - surely that means a high card in hearts. Look at the hands now, and you will see how fatal was the frequently found club switch. Even switching to the ♣J won't do - declarer will win and play small now towards the ♣8 to set up the ninth trick.
Would you have found the play of the ♥3 (just in case partner had a singleton) at trick two? |
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HotD-tue : EBU Stratford Swiss Teams : 28may18 : B26 |
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It's not often you get as strong a hand as this - but your plans for a nice orderly auction get disrupted when the third hands openes in front of you. What do you bid now?
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There is of course no perfect answer here, and the two common choices were to bid 5♦ and to bid 6♠. The latter was deeemed by those taking it as "practical" but it was surely going to be the final contract for South could only consider raising with a useful ace - so an easy grand slam could be easily missed.
The 5♦ bid is usually taken to shown both majors (at least 5-5 at this level) and it inevitably got a response of 5♥ from partner. The two optimistic Norths then settled for 7♥ but that proved quite impossible. The others tried 6♠ and this ended the auction this time. Was there any chance of bidding the grand when it was right? Only the faintest chance but if South can trust the 5♦ bid to indicate the majors, then correcting to 7♥ when holding five of them is just about possible.
And what about doubling 4♦ - might that have helped partner appreciate ♣Qxxxx? The option was rejected for feat that partner passed the double - a valid choice on a weak balanced hand, perhaps with an honour in diamonds.
Finally, have a look at the third in hand opener. Are there other choices? The answer is yes - at least one joker found a opening of 2N on thsi hand, purporting to be 20-22 balanced! This somehow incited his opponents to bid 7♠ and that worked well for the defence as it could not be made. An opening of 3N showing a solid major also appeals.
Across the 28 tables who played the hand, there were two in 7♥ (down two), four in 7♠ (down one), two who defended diamond contracts (5♦ and 7♦) and the other twenty played in 6♠. |
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HotD-thu : Squad Practice : 23may18 : B6 |
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This hand from the practice game was first played in the Teltscher (Seniors Camrose) last weekend, and the contract was the same at all tables. There was more later in the play, but the first quesiton is what do you lead?
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In practice the answer was nearly always a diamond, and with a sequence like that, it does look safe. Looking at if from declarer's perspective however - sitting with AQJ6 in hand, isn't this the most welcome lead? We had one lead of the ♥2 and one of a spade.
On the diamond lead all Norths we know of bar one played the ♦K (and that did affect what happened later). After winning the opening diamond, declarer tried some hearts and most then played the ♠K. North was helpful in winning this and playing a second spade which forced declarer into successfully finessing the ♠T. At this point declarer had 8 top tricks andd needed only the ♣K for the ninth. There were two choices at this point - they could cross to dummy with the ♥K to lead a club, or they could cash winners outside clubs and put South on lead with the last diamond (or heart) and have South lead away from the ♣A. Of course, they went for the latter line but when South led at the penultimate trick it was over to North's club ace and last spade. So 3N went down.
The defence had succeeded despite there being two points (even after the opening lead) where they had made life easier for declarer. One was in playing the ♦K, and the North who held back the king pushed their declarer into using dummy's heart entry to lead a second diamond - so that the winning option (leading a club then) was not available. The other aid was in winning the spade ace and returning one - this also saved declarer from using a dummy entry to make a trick out of the ♠T.
The Deep Finesse analysis shows that there is only one suit to lead to beat the contract by force, and there is a strong rationale for finding that suit. Looking at the strength of the South hand, one has to conclude that if the contract is going down it is North who will be taking 5 tricks. In order to do that South must attack with North's five card suit - and which is that likely to be? Surely spades, so the ♠6 is the obvoous lead!
We didn't discuss the play in this contract last night, but in our practice game it was 2/3 making 3N while in the Teltscher the internationals managed 1/5 making the game. Were there any good stories in there? |
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HotD-wed : Spring Teams 5 : 21may18 : B33 |
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There were two excellent slams on Monday, one in each direction. The North-South slam on board 18 was bid at all tables bar one, and it looks like they were on their way to a slam when a wheel came off and they stopped in 5N (making). The slam on board 33 proved more difficult and only one pair got to the right contract - and their bidding was as shown.
It was all very natural and could have been replicated by any other pair who were playing a strong 1N opener. The only artificial step was the 2♦ bid which was a game-forcing checkback, which allowed East to show three hearts. The 3♣ bid followed by 4♥ told East that West had interests beyond a simple 4♥ (or it would have been bid on the previous round). An alternative to 3♣ was just to bid 3♥ (in a game forcing situation). Looking at an average point count and a poor shape it might not seem exciting but having two aces when partner is thinking of a slam, and having the QJT of their second suit - these make this hand great and well worth continuing.
After a weak 1N opener people might play 3♥ as hearts and slam interest, or 2♦-2♥-3♥ as hearts and slam interest and both of these lead to the same position as in the bidding shown - East needs simply to appreciate the value of two aces. Note that East doesn't bid the slam, simply indicated to partner the suitability. If neither of these two sequences is available to you, then you need to bid 2♦-2♥-4♣ to show slam interest with a club control. Again slam should be reached.
I am very sorry to have to report that at the other seven tables who played this hand, six stopped in game and the seventh bid 6N (and they escaped a spade lead which would have defeated them).
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HotD-tue : Spring Teams 5 : 21may18 : B8 |
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It's not often you hold a hand as strong as this South hand , and even less often that you hear the opposition open a strong 1N (15-17) in front of you. What can you do but double? What comes as no surprise is that someone takes out the double. With so few HCP, clearly West or North would remove if they had any shape, but it turns out that it is the opener who has more shape and now you are faced with this problem. At the table South chose double and his partner couldn't see any alternative to pass, and the defence duly made 7 tricks for a 300 penalty.
The play was diamond, diamond, club, club, diamond and declarer ruffed. When the ♥ A was knocked out South continued with diamonds but East could discard spades on the last two rounds of that suit and all was well even if the hearts broek 4-2. More testing as a defence is three diamonds first, so that the ♣Q is not a winner yet. If declarer ruffs this the contract will go an extra one down (even with trumps 3-3) - declarer must discard a losing spade or eventually lose trump control.
What is worth considering also is the difficulty some had defending 3N on this hand. After a 1♥ opening by East, there is little South can do but double and then bid 3N in the hope of a stray high card in partner's hand. When West knew to lead a heart (all four defenders did) declarer had no option but to start playing diamonds from the top. Good news emerges when the queen drops and there are now 8 top tricks. The problem is that the defence have 5 tricks.
So how did two tables go wrong? The issue is on the discarding by East. What happened was that East could easily spare two spades but what goes on the thirteenth diamond? Clearly if a heart goes, declarer can knock out the ♠A to make the contract, but with ♣T932 sitting in dummy, a club discard looks equally fatal.
The solution comes from West telling partner about their shape. Here particularly, but so many times, the greatest unknown for the defence is the exact shape of partner's hand, and a system of discards which shows shape will be more informative than one based just on showing or denying high cards. If West can tell partner (with two discards) that their black suits are 4-4, then East can deduce South's shape and find the winning discard of a club. Easy game!
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HotD-thu : County KO FInal : B |
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The final of the County Teams Championship took place last night. The last two teams were led by Keith Stanley (Richard Chamberlain, Diana Nettleton, Patrick Shields, Garry Watson, Alan Wearmouth) and by Mark Rogers (Tricia Gilham, Richard Harris, Roger Jackson, Peter Waggett). The Stanley team crept into a small lead and then extended it, losing points only in the last of the six sets of boards. The biggest swing came from the first board placed on one of the tables. The auction was as shown ...
The 2♦ bid shows clubs and spades, and the 3♥ bid was the first step in showing a good raise to game. West didn't get the chance to do this as North could see the inevitability of bidding 5♥ over the East-West 5♣ bid, and chose to bid 5♣ himself, showing the heart support and short clubs. When the bidding continued with 5♦-5♥ it sounded to South like all partner needed was spade control - so picturing North with ♠T974♥AKJT♦AJ982 it seemed clear for South to bid the slam.
Unofrtunately West fell into the same trap, and thought the slam was making, and sacrificed in 7♣ which quickly went down three. It was not a terrible result as the par contract was 6♣x-3 (it takes an initial spade lead by North to set up a ruff for South to get four tricks), but it was a missed opportunity. For both sides it hinged around having their high card points in the short suits rather than the long suits.
In the other room the cue bid over 1♦ showed the majors, so East had to bid a suit (if at all) and the bidding started 1♦ -1♠ -X(showing hearts) and so over 5♥ West sacrificed in 5♠, duly doubled by North. South however misjudged this and bid on to 6♥ which was doubled and down one. The end result was 12 imps to the Stanley team, who went on to win by 49 imps.
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HotD-wed : Spring Pairs 4 : 14may18 : B5 |
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The winners of the four session Spring Swiss Pairs were Ian Constable & Lesley Harrison. They gained considerably on this board from Monday despite the fact that everyone made the same number of tricks on the board. The key was that they played in NT and not in hearts, and scored just 10 points more than the others, and this was enough to win the board.
The problem of whether to go for no trumps or a known 5-3 major fit is a recurrent puzzle. There are "quacky" hands which will always lose four tricks to aces and kings, and these are clear candidates for 3N rather than the major game, whether playing IMPs or matchpoints, as a plus score is vital for success. The other reason for avoiding four of the major is when the suit quality is limited and you cannot cope with a bad trump break; in these cases you'd rather be in no-trumps, although for no-trumps to succeed without this suit you usually need extra values outside. Having extra values will for this reason often make 3N more attractive.
Otherwise, the key (most importantly in matchpoints), is how many tricks the defence can generate. On this particular hand declarer's tricks are nearly all top tricks, with only one need to give up a trick (the ♠A) en route. If the spade queen had been in the other hand, it might have been different. Declarer would have lost the lead twice in spades to set up the tenth trick, and if the defence can set up either two clubs or two diamonds before that happens, then the NT game will be held to 9 tricks while the heart game makes ten.
As this illustrates, it is very difficult to tell which contract will work out best. Statistical studies over large numbers of hands have similarly landed on the fence, with no conclusive evidence as to which is best, whether playing teams or pairs. At matchpoints playing NT on these hands is a very respectable gamble, and here it payed off well.
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HotD-tue : Spring Pairs 4 : 14may18 : B16 |
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Every bridge hand has the potential to create a new problem, both for declarer and for the defence.
Here the 3N opener shows a long running minor suit and little else. Partner's lead is the standard offering against such an opening bid - always an ace if held so that dummy can be inspected before playing to trick two. (Just think how youd feel if partner led a diamond!) What are you thinking at this point?
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There should be two thoughts in your mind at this time. The first thought to emerge is that "we can beat this contract" - all partner has to do is switch to a spade. The second thought which should also emerge is - can I persaude partner to switch to a spade at trick two?
Here, there is some dependency on your and parrtner's confidence that declarer has very little outside the club suit. If the bidding is honest, partner should know that you have both the heart king and the spade ace. (The presence of the two queens isn't so clear) If you believe that, then there is logic that says that partner should switch to spades at this point - as it cannot harm the defence and it might help. What will happen then? You will win the spade queen and you will be able to cash ♠A and ♥KQ and the contract is one down. Is that good enough?
It is hard to tell. If the bidding is the same at other tables, then some defenders might have led a small heart at trick one (inferior, but it happens) and in that case you will be cashing four or five hearts before playing a spade and that gets more tricks. But if - as happened at the table - North continued at this point with a second heart, you will win three hearts and be forced to cash the ♠A before giving declarer the rest of the tricks. And now 3N makes!
When there is a danger of a minus score, it is often best to settle for a small plus - but there is a chance here of a large plus. Suppose you dropped the ♥Q on the first round of the suit. Partner must surely switch when that happens, as the queen normally denies the king. When you win the first round of spades you can go back to hearts. Will that work? It will work every time partner has the ♥J or if partner has any five hearts (so declarer has doubleton jack). Is that worthwhile? One benefit of doing this is you will gain enormous bragging rights - the vulnerable opposition will have bid 3N and you will have taken the first (on this layout) ten tricks, so you have made 3N+1 in your direction, and scored +600 - just what they hoped to score!
What about the opposition bidding? The 3N opener at this vulnerability does risk a large minus score, but the preemptive effect of doing it in first seat makes it worthwhile. Here the biggest downside is the extent of support for the majors, as it precludes finding a 5-3 major fit which might well exist. But what about East's pass? This was on the dangerous side - as the contract was surely going down. In such circumstances it is always worthwile making it easier for the opposition to bid on - as their contract might go down. You might consider therefore bidding 4♣ on the first round, but the danger there is that it might go down two where 3N was only down one, and when your side has more than half the HCP between the two hands, the opposition might not come in. |
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HotD - Thurs: CBC Pairs League B7 |
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Many of the hands in this feature are in the slam zone. Here is a lowly part-score on which to show your card reading skills. You play in 2♦ after the given bidding and South leads the ♣Q. - plan the play. You have 2 spades and 2 club tricks so 4 trump tricks will bring home the contract and you already have enough information to make success highly probable. North passed his partner's opening bid so will have no more than 4-5 points. Consider what the opening lead tells us. The obvious conclusion is that South has a club sequence headed by the QJ, but you should also consider the negative inferences that arise from this lead. If South had ♥AK he might well have tried a top heart to get a look at dummy. Similarly, South has opened 1♠ and you are missing all the spade intermediates. If South held a decent spade sequence he might well have led a safe spade. The inference you can draw from this is that North is likely to hold an honour in hearts and spades. and can therefore not hold the ♦K. Also it is likely from the lead that South has length in both black suits and hence a diamond shortage. The play is now clear. Lay down the ♦A and continue with a small diamond from hand. This will succeed when South has ♦Kx and also in the actual case when the ♦K falls on the first round as you can later finesse aginst North remaining diamond honour. You just lose one diamond trick and bring home your contract. Several players in last night's event failed in this contract by failing to take the inferences offered by the opening lead and taking an early diamond finesse.
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Hotd - Weds: Cheltenham Congress Teams B26 |
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Board 26 of the Swiss teams at the Cheltenham Congress created double figure imp swings in no less than 16 out of 24 matches and moreover the board was not flat in any match . Contracts ranged from 6♣X by West (losing 1400) to 3♥X by South (losing 1400 the other way). In practice, game is not makable for either side due to bad breaks, although the shape of West's hand would suggest that 4♥ would be a reasonable contract on the combined 23 count. I suspect that much of the problem was caused by East opening the bidding. If East does indeed open 1♠ then South may make an indisciplined heart overcall. E/W can now take a sizeable penalty (having first checked the back of the cards!). If South passes with his poor suit then West is bound to drive to game on what turns out to be a mis-fitting minimum. If East passes in first seat then South will open 1♥ and this will silence West. Now it is likely that N/S will end in a highly dubious contract. Should you open the East hand? - many aggressive players like to open on minimal values but I think a pass is right on this occassion. The hand is sub minimum with half its values in the short suit. Since spades are held you will probably get a chance to get into the auction later if appropriate. If South passes and partner opens, you are well placed to get to the right contract, so I see no need to open this hand. Any stories from those that held these hands? |
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HotD Tue: Cheltenham Congress Pairs B14 |
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Board 14 of the Congress Swiss Pairs caught my eye. As can be seen from looking at the N/S cards, 6♦ is laydown and 7♦ just requires the trumps not to be 4-0. 7♠ also makes on the winning heart finesse. It is therefore somewhat surprising that only 7 pairs out of the 50 that held these cards managed to bid to any sort of slam (no-one was able to bid the grand). How might the bidding go? If East passes originally then N/S will probably get a free run and the auction would start 1♠ - 2♦. South now has an obvious 4♣ bid (splinter) This shows at most a singleton club, at least 4 diamonds, and asks partner to evaluate his hand in the light of this information. North now has an ideal hand with no wasted values in clubs (he expects just one club loser opposite a presumed singleton) and superb red suit controls. Given South's action, it is hard to imagine a hand worse than ♠ AQJxx ♥ Qxx ♦ Qxxx ♣ x opposite so slam will be at worst on a finesse. In reality, the South hand is likely to be better than this minimum holding making the slam virtually certain. RKCB would confirm possession of the A♠ and a small slam should be reached. The splinter does not totally commit N/S to playing in diamonds - if North had bid 2♦ on a hand such as ♠ xxx ♥ KQx ♦ KJxxx ♦ ♣ Ax then he can just return to 4♠ - to play.
If East opens the bidding with 1♣, does this make the slam more difficult to bid? Much will depend upon South's initial action. South appears to have the ideal shape for a take-out double, but is this such a good bid? The South hand is most definitely geared towards spades and a 1♠ overcall is a better description of the South hand. If you double to begin with, there will be auctions when if you bid spades later, you will be showing a much stronger hand than you actually hold. After (1♣) 1♠ then North should bid 2♦ (change of suit forcing) and the bidding can continue as above. In some ways the slam is now more likely to make as if the K♠ is missing, it is likely to be onside.
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HotD-thu : Camrose Apr18 4B : B20 |
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This hand from the recent Camrose series had some interesting points in the bidding. The first bidding decision is actually taken for you here, and the option of 2♣ was the choice of five of the six players faced with the problem. The sixth opened 1♠, which carries a little risk (of being passed out) but only a little risk.
The second bidding decision was South's. It was surprising to find that there were two chosen options - pass and 3♦. Which is preferred? Firstly, it is always right to overcall in these situations if you can do so with reasonable safety; it won't always have an effect but if partner can raise you have hit the jackpot and will seriously disrupt the opposition's dialogue. So we do bid but at what the level? The fact is that 2♦ might have an effect if partner can raise, but at all other times it does not hurt the opposition, and it might help them. The answer has to be 3♦ (and that was the most common choice).
Over this West should do something to show values. One might be tempted by 3N but the hand is a bit strong for that, and 3N - and even more so the alternative of a natural 4N - might well frustrate partner. The choice is therefore (unless you have reversed its meaning with that of pass, as some do) that West doubles to show some values. Two players however chose pass at this point, and when partner bid 4♦ they were in a quandry; one bid 4♥ and there the matter rested, while the other bid 5♥ and fortunately his partner (having forced to game himself already) felt good enough to bid the slam.
After a double, when East cue bids 4♦, West can comfortably bid 4♥ and opposite some values (which, with no kings, is likely to include an ace) East is willing to continue.
The auction where South passed proved straightforward for East-West. West's iniital response was 2♦ but then East got to bid spades and hearts, and finally West raised to 5♥ and East knew to bid the slam (again reasoning that partner wouldn't do this with no ace or king).
In all, four of the six tables in the Home Internationals bid the slam, but two tables missed it. These two were England and Wales.
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HotD-web : Spring Pairs 3 : 30apr18 : B21 |
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This hand offered a faimilar dilemma for pairs players - whether in a 4♠ contract to go for 12 tricks with the risk of making 10, or to settle for 11 tricks. In fact, there seems a reasonable chance of combining the two ...
The bidding shown and the opening lead make it very likely (some might say clear) that South holds the heart ace. So the ruffing heart finesse looks like a good opportunity to set up winners and discard losers. The quickest approach is to cross to dummy with a club, and run the ♥K. South should of course cover, and West will ruff. Back to the club king is the plan, but North ruffs the second club and cashes a top diamond. When the ♠K turns into a trick then declarer is held to ten tricks.
What about the line for a sure 11 tricks? Declarer can bash out the trumps at trick two, losing to the king if necessary, and the defenders will cash a diamond. After that - whatever they try, declarer can draw trumps, ruff out the heart ace, and throw three clubs on the top hearts. This is exchanging the discard of the diamond loser for the discard of an expected (one) club loser which is actually about to turn into two losers.
Can we combine the options and make 12 tricks when the spade finesse is onside? Clearly if the spade finesse loses we will have two losers - the key is to combine the spade finesse with setting up the hearts. How about this line? Win the diamond, cross to the ♣ K and run the ♠T. Carefully dropping the ♠8 underneath that retains a spade entry to dummy, and if the finesse wins you can switch to ruff out the heart ace, or play for a doubleton spade king by leading again to the ace and then back to dummy with the third spade. When you take the spade fiensse early and it loses, they do cash their diamond trick - but that is the end of the party; you can use the spade entry to dummy to ruff out the heatr ace and the club entry to cash the hearts, and you have obtained your expected 11 tricks.
Notice too the opening lead by North. The table where the lead was the ♣7 put rather less pressure on declarer - he could win and try a spade finesse, but still have (a spade entry and) time to to set up the hearts.
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HotD-thu : Squad Practice : 25apr18 : B18 |
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The County team squad have a practice match once most months, and there were 5 slam hands in the 18 boards played last night. This was the last of those and only two tables reached the best contract - one with a decent auction and the other with a guess. But can it be done scientifically and with full confidence?
Think first about what should happen after the bidding shown (there was a strong consensus that this was the right start). At this point slam is clearly the direction for West, and it is hard to imagine a hand for partner which does not give reasonable play for a slam. (Without two out of ♠K, ♥K and ♦A then East will barely have an opening bid, let alone a jump to 4♣) The key question from West's perspective therefore is how to count up to 13 tricks in order to make bidding the grand slam safe.
One option - chosen by some - was to bid 4N, asking for key cards. The first hurdle was overcome when East showed the two missing aces, but how can West continue? One West tried 5N (asking for kings) and after a 6♠ response had no choice but to bid the grand slam. All was well today but if East had held ♠K5432♥AJ52♦A43♣K then the grand would be a very poor contract (needing an even spade break, only a 35% shot). A more sophisticated approach after a 5♥ response to the asking bid would be 5♠ to ask about spades; if West has a response available showing the king and queen (have you?), then you can tell the grand slam is good and bid it. But a sophisticated East would have thwarted that plan by treating the fifth heart (and the known 10-card fit) like a hand with the heart queen, and would have bid 4N-5♠ rather than 4N-5♥. We conclude that 4N was not the ideal choice over 4♣.
The other choice is to cue bid and see what happens. At one table West started this way with a 4♠ cue; East could not sensibly ask for key cards as if partner showed two, it would not be clear whether one of these was the club ace (making a grand slam silly) or not. So East continued on the pattern with a 5♣ cue bid. West was now able to continue the description with 5♦ and at this point East knows that the only two unknowns which matter are the ♥KQ. One relatively old (and today, little used) convention is the 5N bid asking partner how good their trumps are. It's use here should elicit a 7-level response (actually a 6N bid is better) which shows two of the top three honours, this time in hearts. After that East can have an expectation of five top trumps and three ruffs* (8 tricks), three top spades (11) and probably two top diamonds to give 11 tricks. So an ideal auction should finish with 5N-7♥.
[East could almost bid 5N one round earlier but for fear of West holding ♠A♥KQ742♦T982♣AQ which comes with somewhat worse odds]
** This depends on West having three clubs, which is by no means certain and is not true on this hand. Two ruffs and setting up the fith spade will compensate, and then West has only two clubs, the fifth spade becomes a much better prospect.
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HotD-wed : Spring Teams : 23apr18 : B26 |
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There are a number of patterns to play which we think of as "text-book" plays because they appear in bridge books and seem to be too perfectly created to be real. This board was randomly generated (admittedly by a computer) but it was a nice example of a text book play.
After a diamond lead declarer could rush for a club finesse to allow a diamond discard but even if the club queen is onside that needs all the relevant suits to be cashable, and so is not without risk. If we accept that there is a diamond loser, the question is how to avoid losing two hearts and a spade in addition to that. Losing one heart is inevitable, and losing one spade is very likely, so the focus is on the fourth round of hearts. The best solution is to be able to ruff that in dummy. The danger is that the opposition win the third heart, ruff the fourth with a higher trump than dummy has, and you still lose a spade. If instead you draw two rounds of opposition trumps first, then they might win the third heart and draw the last trump and deny you the vital ruff.
Is there an answer? Yes - and the key is when you lose the inevtiable heart loser. The pattern is to cash one top trump and then duck a heart in both hands. You can win the return and only now draw a second trump. That leaves one trump out (all going well) and you can now cash the ♥A and the ♥K and ruff the fourth heart.
In this particular instance, with the long hearts in the same hand as the short spade, you will also make the contract on a variety of other sequences of play, so the results merchants are unlikely to appreciate your play, but it is nice to play correctly.
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HotD-tue : SpringTeams 4 : 23apr18 : B17 |
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Last night's players will not have been impressed by the slam potential of the hands, but when we look over the travellers we find that slams were bid on 7 different hands. On most of these hands this was just way too ambitious, but one was a reasonable slam (board 5, although the sole declarer in 6♦ and most declarers in 5♦ went down) and this one was an excellent slam. It was however bid at only one table.
The East-West pair here had the advantage of playing that over an opening suit bid, a new suit at the 2-level is game forcing (called "2 over 1 GF"). The important consequence on this hand is that West can bid 2♠ on the second round to confitm the trump suit at a low level. Over this East continued by bidding out shape, and at this point in the bidding West can tell that partner's shape is 5341. Looking at holding 15 HCP in partner's three suits, the fit looks ideal for bidding a slam.
From this point it took just a few cue bids and a check on the number of key card held to bid the slam. South started off the defence with the ♣A and a second club, ruffed. There was the prospect of setting up the club suit now to take care of the diamond losers, but declarer spotted that a 4-1 spade break would make that very awkward. The alternative of two diamond ruffs was much safer, so the play proceeded with one round of trumps, two top diamonds and a ruff, then over to ♥J for the last ruff and finally to the ♥A to draw trumps.
If I had any advice for aspriring pairs, it would be to adopt 2-over-1 game forcing.
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HotD-thu : League 10 : 16apr18 : B20 |
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The six person squad led by Mike Lewis won their last league match on Monday rather decisively and put themselves firmly at the top of County League Division Two. They had three double figure swings in their favour - one of which was board 23 reported on Tuesday (when their opponents stopped in 3N and they bid 6N), another was when the opponents bid the slam on B25 and failed to make it, ands the third was this ...
Look at the defensive problem - after you cash two top clubs and you know that declarer has none left - do you switch?
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HotD-wed : League 10 : B6 |
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This little hand from Monday was played in 1N at 13 tables out of 18 in play, and succeeded in making at nine of these. But for some it wasn't so easy to make the contract.
At the table on show North was declarer and East got to lead a five card suit. It is worth pondering after West's pass, that if either East or West is likely to have a five card major to lead it is East, and for that reason you might prefer that South played the hand! Declarer won the heart cheaply, and set about clubs with a club to the queen and king. Back came a heart and declarer tried the ♣J. West ducked this. When declarer now tried a spade East won and cashed the hearts. A diamond came through the ace next and the defence had 7 tricks while declarer had but two in each major and one in each minor.
If we backtrack a little we can see what declarer needed to do to make the contract. With two tricks in each major and the ♦A, the key was for declarer to get two club tricks. If West on the second round had beaten the ♣J with the ace, declarer would have been left with ♣T7 over the ♣92 and would have the required two tricks on winning the diamond switch. How can North stop this ducking play? The answer is the second round of clubs being a club to the queen; this will happen if North had starts clubs with the jack on the first round. Could this have been diagnosed? Not if fulfl detail, but on general pricniples, given either hand might have turned up with the singleton ♣8 or ♣9, starting the club suit with the jack might thave kept options more open at the start (but woudl lose to singleton honour with East).
Three Souths are reported as having a heart lead and surviving; you would think a heart through the ace queen at trick one would be better for the defence. In fact it isn't - or at least it isn't when East wins the king on the first round. East returns the suit but this means that West has no more hearts to play and the suit is never set up. On a heart lead from West, to have any chance East needs to duck the first trick and let declarer win it. After that we are in the same position as described, but declarer is likely to have won the trick in the South hand, and so will start by leading clubs towards the JT73 and that works beautifully because of the position of the ace and king.
It just goes to show how many little, different, influences play into any hand and how easily they can change the result.
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HotD-tue : League 10 : 16apr18 : B23 |
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There were three slam hands in the one set of boards played in the three competitions last night. Board 5 was an excellent small slam, on which you can make 13 tricks, but not one out of the 19 tables managed to bid it. Board 25 was a potential slam in the other direction and was played at different tables in 6♣, 6♦, 6♠ and 6N(twice) - and only the table in the four-four diamond fit managed to bring home the contract. Different from both of those was this hand, on which the majority bid the slam. The auction started as shown at most tables and this is where choices diverged - your preference?
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There is a natural inclination to bid 3♣ on this hand but the fact of the matter is that you are just a little bit strong, as you could easily be making that bid with a certain 6 tricks and a chance of 7, where here you have 8 top tricks. The answer for many is that this is the sort of hand that a 3N rebid shows. With a 1N rebid as 15-17 and 2N as 18-poor20, the 3N rebid isn't needed for anything else, and it describes rather well a willingness to take a chance on making 3N.
What can North do over that? Clearly slam is in the offing but it is very hard to count the tricks, and there is also the queston of how does one check for missing aces - when a 4N bid here sounds like a quantitative raise? Most pairs settled for a pragmatic 6N at this point, but when they saw dummy and what looked like 13 tricks (2 spades, 3 hearts, a diamond and 7 clubs) they were rather annoyed with themselves. When the clubs turned out to break 5-0 (a mere 4% chance), they found that they were in the top scoring contract! The alternative over 3N would be to nominally support clubs with a 4♣ bid, and then be able to use 4N as ace asking on the way to 6N or 7N. Counting the thirteenth trick remains difficult.
Curiously the underbid of 3♣ turns out to be more convenient in a way, as it allows North to bid a forcing 3♦ and check whether that might indeed be the right demonination in which to play. In practice this just gets 3N from partner and the same dilemma as that experienced after a more immediate 3N rebid.
We must express commisseratioons to the one pair (across 18 tables) who did manage to bid the 96% grand slam, only to find that it was unmakeable and they have to lose 17 imps on the board when they would normally have gained 13 imps. They did however still go on to win their match comfortably - so well done to Tricia Gilham & Ricahrd Harris. Their auction, for the record, was 1♣ -1♦ -3♣ -4N(key card ask) - 5♦(3 key cards) - 5♥ (asking about trump queen) - 7♣ (got it and extras) - 7N. |
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HotD-thu : CBC Pairs League : 11apr18 : B29 |
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This hand from last night was the best of the slam hands (B21 being the other contender for a margin above 50%) but it wasn't bid very often. In fact nobody played in the expected 6♠ contract and we had three pairs played in 6N, ostensibly to protect the tenaces in the South hand - but in the case where North has bid 4N en route that plan backfired, and one North ended playing in 6N.
The vast majority played in game in spades, where after the bidding starts 1♠-2♥-3♠ (or even 4♠), you would have expected South holding K-AQ-AQ to make very positive slam tries and North with the extreme shape to cooperate fully.
Would we expect the spade slam to make? Superficially we do need an even spade break (a 68% chance) after which either the heart ace onside, a club finesse, a diamond break or a squeeze, will see the twelfth trick emerge. The odds seeems decently above 50%, so the slam is worth bidding. At different tables all four suits were led against spade games. On a diamond or spade lead against 6♠ declarer is able to test all the stated options, first drawing trumps and then trying a heart to the king, and after that fails testing the diamonds before resorting to a club fiensse. Sad to say these all fail. Sometimes declarer will do best just to run all the trumps, and if they do that here, East must recognise the great importance of a suit headed by the nine, and never throw a diamond. On a club lead declarer loses the chances in that suit to preserve chances in the two other plain suits. This drops the odds on success.
What about the 6N contract to which some Souths converted? One South playing in 6N got a club lead round to the AQ, and we have to presume this West won't ever lead away from a king against 6N in the future. The other 6N declarer sitting South got a diamond lead. In this case East has an easier time recognising the importance of holding onto the diamonds, and declarer cannot try a heart to the king as when it loses the contract is down without a second chance. The play will inevitably be a case of cashing the diamonds and spades ending with North holding a small card in each hearts, diamonds and clubs, while South has ♥K♣AQ. What will West hold at this point? There is no good answer - and if South reads West's distribution correctly then either a heart to the ace will produce an end-play in clubs, or a club to the ace will drop the king. The fact that West did not lead either hearts or clubs but chose instead a short suit gives a pointer in the direction of playing West for both critical cards - so perhaps 6N is the place to be.
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HotD-wed : Spring Pairs 2 : 9apr18 : B17 |
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There were a couple of exceptions, but seven of the nine tables played this hand in hearts on Monday. A number of players managed to trade tricks during the hand, and the first came from the opening lead. The opening bid shown was unappealing to many because of the poor lead directing quality of the bid, and that did sway one of the Norths into opening a weak 1N (to play there, for a reasonable result). No East-West pair managed to find the spade fit, most often because on auctions like that shown South showed spades first.
When partner did open 1♦, the first trade was when some Souths started off with the top diamond, which set up a trick for the king. Curiously against a heart contract, every other suit was also led. The lead of a club was perfect and the choice of a heart by two did no damage, but the fourth choice - the ♠J - was a gift to declarer but wasn't recognised; rising with the ace would have brough in the spade suit for no losers.
After the opening lead it was up to declarer to draw trumps and in due course play the spade suit. Even without the suggestion that South has spades, the percentage play in the spade suit is to run the nine at trick one; when the nine loses to the king, declarer can finesse twice now to pick up the jack and ten. The declarers who played a spade to the queen first, and lost to the king, traded back a trick to the defence.
The optimum defence gets six tricks for the defence but the only instance of that score was not that defence. The optimum requires a small spade lead by South (the only option NOT found) which allows North to win the ♥A, put partner in to get a spade ruff, and still have time to set up a club trick before the ♦ J becomes available for a discard.
Not everyone played the spade suit to best advantage, despite there being a strong hint as to what to do.
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HotD-tue : Spring Pairs 2 : 9apr18 : B8 |
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This contract was the outcome of very natural bidding and it was surprising that this was the contract at only three of the nine tables. The defence started naturally with two top hearts and now North played a third round of the suit. How should West proceed?
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In practice declarer tried to ruff high but South overruffed. After winning the spade return, it was time to draw trumps (in two rounds). When declarer now played the clubs from the top that was five losers and the contract was one off.
There were two chances to improve on this. The first at trick three; with a ruff being almost certain to get an over-ruff, what about throwing a club loser away instead? Now when trumps get drawn there will be a trump left in the East hand with which to ruff a club, and that delivers an extra trick (an over-trick if the clubs break evenly).
The second chance was in the play of the clubs suit. Suppose first that we have gone wrong by ruffing the third heart. After winning the ♠A and drawing trumps, if we look at the bidding, there is an enormous likelihood that North's shape is 3623 and South's is 4234. If that is the case, then we need to think about North's clubs and which doubletons North might have. After a first club gets the ♣6 from North the possibilities of interest are Q6, J6 and T6. If we play the ♣9 from dummy on the six, we cater for them all. The nine will lose but the king next will drop North's second club, and we can finesse South for the remaining high club on the next round. That way we get three club tricks by force.
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HotD-fri : CBC Individual : 3apr18 : B11 |
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This hand from Tuesday presented a small lead problem, and it was interesting to see that exactly one alternative worked and that there is good logic for choosing that. Over the 1N opener it generally pays to bid for three reasons - you might have a decent contract to make, they might have to find a non-obvious contract and you can distupt their bidding, or perhaps just they are too comfortable on 1N and anything else is better for you. Over your 2♥ overcall it is slightly surprising when opener comes back in with a 2♠ bid, but you actually know more about his/her hand now than if it had been a 1♠ opener and 2♠ rebid. All suits are candidates for being led. Your choice?
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The key to most opening leads is having a plan in mind - some likely combination where the choice will work out favourably. Here the case for leading a spade it to cut back on ruffs in dummy (not very likely) or to avoid giving away a trick with the ace lead. The case for a heart is to find partner with short hearts and deliver a ruff; it could give away a trick to the king but that depends on where the king lies. A diamond lead might work if you were to find partner with the king and be able to take a ruff. Finally a club might be a be less commital as even when declarer has the king you might be able to set up some tricks there (and get to them).
We fiurst rule out the spade lead - it feels too dangerous as partner might have a four card holding that you carve by leading one and it fails the test of having a good upside. Leading from any ace has the danger that declarer has the king, but if anything on this bidding you might rate declarer less like to bid 2♠ when they hold the ♥K underneath the bidder, while the other kings would not discourage. This small bias plus the chance of finding partner short in hearts (no support) makes it clear that this is the suit to lead.
And if you lead one, and continue by ruffing out dummy's king, you will be able to collect 6 tricks in defence - and score much better than the -140 and -170 many pairs wrote down! |
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HotD-wed : CBC Individual++ : 3apr18 : B26 |
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This hand from last night (played in both pairs sections as well as in the Individual) proved problematic for many. The auction shown is one of the five instances where pairs bid to the slam missing two aces, and were duly punished. It is difficult to put on the brakes after the first three bids. The contract you want to be in is 4♥ - can you do that? After the start shown it might happen if West bids 4♥ but the hand is quite good for that. Or is it? Assuming you are missing the ♠A, partner will need all of ♥AKQ and ♣AKQ to make slam good. If you cannot stomach 4♥, then a 4♦ cue and passing 4♥ is an option. An alternative for East on the second round might have been a leap to 3♦ to show club support and a shortage there, but it wasn't clear whether that meaning would be understood in an Individual competition with an unfamiliar partner.
But the other contract people ended up in is more interersting - that is 3N. On a diamond lead you have seven top tricks and which ever major you play, the opposition will knock out the second diamond stop and you only have eight tricks. Can you do anything?
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The answer is yes, and it's the same approach as works on a lot of 3N hands. Simply cash your long suit. When you do this you find that the opposition are in real trouble. Whichever hand does not throw a diamond has to give you and extra trick in whichever major they discard. Neat! |
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HotD-tue : Crockford's R3 : B25+ |
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Last week a local team played its third round Crockford's match against the strong Mossop / Hackett combination and came out on top. If they had made one trick less on board 32 it would have swung the match, and this was the hand.
The bidding shown was the bidding in the critical room; it started similarly in the other room although in that case there was some ambiguity over the meaning of the double of 1♠ and East-West focussed on their club fit instead. This let South show hearts on the second round of the bidding and our pair ended in 4♥ which went one off after the two minor suit aces were quickly cashed.
It was the aggressive double of 2♠ (perhaps driven by the fact that his side was behind) which made the difference. Notice how West doubled to show spades, a practice much more necessary in the days when third hand often psyched after a takeout double, and this allowed East to "support" spades on the next round. South started against 2♠ doubled with a trump but he should have known that his partner would have none. Declarer was able to contain his losses to three trumps and two outside tricks and making +670 was a useful 11 imps. Going down one in this contract would have netted -7 imps, and the result of the match would have changed!
Well done to Richard Chamberlain & Patrick Shields, Paul Denning & Richard Plackett.
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HotD-thu : Spring Teams 3 : 26mar18 : B19 |
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Sometimes the traveller on a given hand leaves one quite puzzled, and that is true for this hand from Monday. This is a truly excellent slam, and it was bid by the majority (6/10) of tables on Monday, but at the same time it was missed by a serious number of pairs. That itself is not so curious, as slam bidding is always difficult, but what is strange is that all those in game were recorded as playing in 5♠ with an overtrick. The question is how one gets to the 5♠ level and then stops. I know that at table 9 the reason this happened was because of a wrong response to the key card ask of 4N, which meant they thought they were missing two aces. But could that have also happened at another three tables? Stories please!
You might also be curious to note that board 20 is also an excellent slam, and it was bid at only two tables. Aagain not so unusual except for the fact that one of those tables didn't just bid to the excellent 6♦, they bid on to the impossible-to-make (under ANY layout of the cards) 7N slam - but duly brought it home.
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HotD-wed : Spring Teams 3 : B5 |
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Sometimes the little hands involve more thinking and work than the big hands. On this hand it is very easy to get too high and even the bidding shown has led to an uncomfortable contract, while it is just a part-score with 24 hcp between the two hands. Against 2N, South led a middle club and the club queen won trick one. From declarer's perspective there are two sure tricks in each of clubs, diamonds and hearts, and a very strong likelihood of exactly one trick in spades. Where will the eighth trick come from?
The two prime candidates are an extra in hearts or an extra in diamonds,. The former offers a 50% shot for running the heart jack, while the latter is a 35% chance for finding a 3-3 break. It seems natural to go for the heart finesse, but this loses. Can declarer recover? Curiously yet - and logic gets you there. South should have received an encouraging signal from partner at trick one, and know that it is safe now to continue clubs (ie declarer didn't start with AJx) and declarer should duck this and win the next club.
The ♥T is an eight trick waiting to be reached, and aiming to reach this is better than ducking a diamond, as ducking the diamond will create a sixth winner for the defence (assuming two club losers to go with one heart and the two top spades). So declarer's next move is to cash the top hearts and try a spade to the ten. If either spade honour is with South this will generate an entry, but the ten loses to the king and back comes a diamond. This suggests the clubs are breaking 5-3 and that fact - plus the danger of a sixth defensive trick even if the clubs break evenly - leads declarer to win this with the ace.
Back to spades now and the ♠J, but when South plays small (ie doesn't cash out six tricks), it looks like North has the ace and so overtaking with the queen is pointless. North lets the ♠J win, but declarer continues with a third spade and North is now in trouble. The last three cards for North are ♥8♦Q8 while declarer is down to ♦K96. Leading a heart gives an eighth trick, a small diamond gets king and another, and a top diamond gets ducked.
So declarer always gets eight tricks but only after a lot of work. It's curious to notice that of the declarers in NT, there was one made 11 tricks, two made 10 tricks and three made 9 tricks. Does this offer a hint as to how difficult it is to defend accurately or was there a better line?
An alternative to banking on the heart finesse was to try two top hearts and then go for diamonds if the queen doesn't fall. This does get a better than 50% chance of generating the extra trick, but it also creates a sixth defensive trick too often. Choosing this line today will get four heart tricks and gives declarer time to duck a diamond to get three there also. This could account for making nine tricks, and the lack of entries to the long clubs will allow a tenth.
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HotD-tue : Spring Teams 3 : 26mar18 : B3 |
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This monster hand proved impossible for many to handle last night. The first decision was in fact South's and there were some who opened 1♠ and some who opened 2♠. The choice depends on your style of weak two bids, and where you see the primary role as obstructive when in first seat and non-vulnerable against vulnerable opponents ("at green"), then a hand with such a good suit and two aces is just too strong. There are actually two alternatives to opening 2♠ - one of which we often forget; the difficulty with opening 1♠ is that partner reads more into the bid than the hand contains, but there is always the possibility of PASS. We need to ask ourselves in this context whether we would expect to get to the right contract if partner happened to open the bidding - and clearly we would, and in that case we are barely disadvantaged by passing.
When South opened 2♠ at table 1 North tried a forcing 2N bid, and heard from South that the hand was a maximum with a good suit. This in fact, did not help North at all in determining the right contract. When he now bid 4♥ that was read as a cue bid in support of spades, and it was only by then bidding 5♥ that he was able to set the contract. In this case South was right - when partner bids 2N over your weak two bid, the only options are playing in the suit opened or in NT. If North wants ever to play in a different suit, they need to bid it and not bid 2N! The 5♥ contract went down one.
When South opened 1♠ at table 8 North started by bidding his suits and we heard 1♠ - 2♥ - 2♠ - 3♦ and now South gave preference with 3♥. At this point North settled (unambitiously) for 6♥ but that proved too high when the first round of diamonds was ♦7-♦6-♦Q-♥4, and there were still two diamonds to lose.
Three tables managed to stop in 4♥ . I wonder if any of those were cases when South passed and West opened 2♦, warning North of the problems in that suit and making 4♥ the obvious contract?
Do let us know your stories.
Richard Harris adds : Boring, really, I opened 2S partner bid 4H. Certainly very good for 2S but keep it simple.
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HotD-Thurs: League 9 19Mar18: B13 |
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This is another hand where most matches resulted in a double figure IMP swing. The poular contract was 3NT by South. What should you lead as West? In the past, leading fourth highest of your longest and strongest was the norm, so players would look no further than a low heart. This is not a success on this hand as it gives declarer his ninth trick. Nowadays, the thinking is to avoid conceding tricks on the opening lead, and a heart from such a holding is very likely to do that. At my table, West led his second highest diamond. Now declarer has only eight tricks and will eventually lose a spade to East. A heart through declarer will defeat the contract. However, declarer could see that his contract was safe if West held the ♠A, and if East was dealt this card, he could be put to the test. Winning trick 1 with ♦A, declarer played a low spade from dummy, East played low (wouldn't you?) and declarer had his nine tricks. It is very difficult to go in with the ♠A, but if the bidding has indicated a decent club suit with South, East may reason that declarer is known to have ♦K from partners lead, and a spade trick may be all he needs. Bearing in mind that West may well have a decent heart holding from which he did not lead, then perhaps the indications are there. In the event, all five tables that played in NT scored at least 9 tricks
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HotD-Weds: League 9 : 19Mar18 : B19 |
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This was an interesting play hand from Monday's league game. Quite a few pairs reached major suit games as North after club intervention from East. Suppose first that you play in 4♥. East starts with top clubs and you ruff the second round. Now you might play for one of the major suit Kings with West, and it looks as if playing diamonds is right to give you a ruffing entry to South for a finesse in your chosen major. At trick 3 you lead ♦K which East takes and plays another club, forcing you to ruff again. Now you cannot really afford to ruff a diamond and take the heart finesse for it it loses, a heart return will lock you in hand with no way to take the spade finesse and you finish with 4 losers. Also a winning heart finesse may still leave you with a heart loser if West holds ♥KTx. Hence you are best to abandon the idea of ruffing a diamond and just play ♥A and another. You score the game when the ♥K is singleton or when as here the spade finesses works. Indeed, you could have played trumps in this fashion earlier, without bothering with the diamonds. Everyone in 4♥ duly brought home their contract. Some tables played in 4♠ and this contract invariably failed, even though both majors break and the trump finesse is working! What went wrong? I guess East started in similar vein with 2 clubs and North ruffed. Now knock out the ♦A and take a second club ruff. Trumps are getting thin on the ground, and if you ruff a diamond and take the spade finesse, you eventually lose a heart to East who has minor suit winners to cash - you have lost trump control. The key to the hand is simply to play hearts early, just like the play in 4♥ . You need to set up your heart suit whilst you still have trump control. When East wins the heart, he can force you to ruff again but now you can knock out the diamond, ruff a diamond on table, take the spade finesse and claim 10 tricks.
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HotD-Tue : League 9 : 19Mar18 : B3 |
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Board 3 from last night led to large swings in several matches. I imagine that at most tables the bidding arrived at East after 3 passes. The East hand is very powerful - 22 HCP but with 4 aces and a good 6 card suit. A useful rule of thumb is to add a point when holding 4 aces, so this hand should be treated as a good 23 count and opened accordingly. After a 2C-2D start a 2NT rebid looks normal and most pairs would play transfers after this start so 3D-3H would be the obvious continuation. Now the spotlight falls on West. Partner has not broken the transfer so probably doesn't have prime support. However, the West hand is shapely and shapely hands can produce many tricks if there is a good fit. Here West can continue with a bid of 4D to show a second suit. Remember that West is a passed hand so East will never be playing West for huge values. Over 4D, East would bid 4H with a definite preference, support diamonds with a fit, or bid 4NT to deny interest in the red suits. On the actual hand, a bid of 6D looks obvious and the good slam is reached. Four pairs duly bid to the top spot but 2 pairs got to 6NT and 5 pairs stayed in game (generally in NT). The best score for N/S occurred when they were allowed to play in 4Sx which went for only 300 (well done for competing). How was the auction at
Roger Schofield adds : We reached 6D via a Lucas 2H, 2NT enquiry, 3D, 6D
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HotD-thu : CBC Pairs League : 14mar18 : B1 |
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'The first board in last night;s Pairs League provided a neat option in the play.
On the bidding first, East bid sensibly to the limit here with the 4♦ preempt being justified by the 74 shape. Some who bid 5♦ by themselves were allowed out cheap, losing 300 where they should ahve lost 800, but that does not justify the bid!
Against 4♠ East started with a top diamond. There are occasions where this lead would have caused a headache for West, given the fad for leading the king from both AK and KQ holdings - should West ruff or not? Here the clear lack of any entry to partner for a second ruff means it is clearly best to duck. Declarer wins the ace, and draws trumps and can count 9 top tricks. But where will the tenth come from?
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There are a number of options here which go wrong. If declarer plays a club to the king, West will win the ace and play back a club easily. If declarer plays a heart to the queen then West will win the king and play back the hearts jack. Again no tenth trick.
Paul Denning found a better answer here; after drawing trumps he played a heart to the ♥8. West was endplayed and had to give the tenth trick whichever suit he returned. Neat! |
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HotD-wed : Spring Pairs 1 : 12mar18 : B23 |
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After the slam hands, this was the big swing hand from Monday, with games made in both directions. The key decision was that of North after the bidding shown. The expectation must be high that East-West will find their heart fit, which makes it much better for North to bid 4♠ now rather than wait until later. When North did raise, one East doubled and there the matter rested. This was not a good choice by West, who should have recognised that the double was oriented to takeout - as a defender's strength will more often be outside rather than inside the suit the opponents bid. It was not all over yet, but after the lead of the ♥A it was too late. All declarer needs to do is trump two hearts in the dummy and then lose the top spades and one diamond when the finesse fails. One declarer in 4♠ managed this but the other made a careless ruff of a club with the ♠4 and was over-ruffed with the ♠5 and had to go one down. To beat the spade game by force, West needs to lead trumps.
When North passed the opening bid, it was clear for East to bid - and the choice was between 3N and a takeout double. The shape made the latter more natural but it was possible that 3N was the right contract and if so it would be best played by East. Whichever path was chosen, East-West will soon be in 4♥ and North must bid 4♠ now to give the other side a problem. With an eleven card fit the likely choice is to bid 5♥ and four tables ended up in that contract; two tables ended in 6♥ but why that might happen remains a mystery. Against 5♥ the normal spade lead results in one down. The two pairs defending 4♥ had a more difficult task - and failed. They needed to start with a club ruff to beat it, but didn't find that.
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HotD-Tue : Spring Pairs 1 : 12mar18 : B18 |
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The first session of the Spring Swiss Pairs saw 20 pairs compete and over the first three matches the leaders were Ian Constable & Lesley Harrison. There were three slam hands which the field found difficult to bid, of which this was one. Five pairs were sitting in the "right" direction for these slams - one with 12 tricks decently over 60% and the other two with 13+ tricks on top. Of those five pairs, two bid all three slams, two bid two slams and one pair bid just one slam. But if you were sitting the other way, you still had a role to play.
How easy it is to bid these slams (B12, B18, B21) depends seriously on how much bidding the opponents do. Few East-Wests entered the auction on B12 but the one instance of which we know resulted in North-South reaching the worst of the contracts which were reached (4♥). On B21, there was often a heart bid by East and support by West but these bids took away little bidding space from North-South. The illustrated hand however brought out more effective interference.
The opener by East wasn't found at every table but it should be; at that vulnerability, and with a spade suit, every opportunity to bid should be taken - and if this hand doesn't fit the range of your weak two opening, you need to adjust the range or you will be losing points by not getting into the action when you should. What should South do after a 2♠ opener? The hand is an opening bid but it is in the range for a weak 1N opener and it only one card away from a weak 1N shape. It is therefore a very minimal hand on which to bid. Of the tables we know, two players overcalled 3♥; while honest and somewhat descriptive this bid is considered by some to be a gross overbid - coming in at the 3-level vulnerable on a weak-NT equivalent, and committing to a single suit. A takeout double is preferred.
But the key question is what happened after 3♥. There were two extreme results obtained at the two tables who bid 3♥; at one table North bid 3♠ and then passed partner's 4♥ rebid. It is hard to say why. At the other table North wheeled out an ace asking bid and heard of three aces and bid 7N. Quite different evaluations - making it difficult to say whether or not 3♥ worked on the day! A third table after the same start bid the hand 2♠-3♥-P-6♥-end.
Do we know of any other auctions? We know now of one table which passed as East on the first round and North-Souyth had a smooth auction to 6N which scored very well. Finally there was a table which started the auction with 3♠-X-4♠ ; what should North now do? He settled for 6♣ and wrapped up 13 tricks.
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HotD-thu : CBC Mens/Womens Pairs : 6mar18 : B9 |
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This interesting hand from Tuesday's game highlighted the differences between playing matchpoint pairs and playing teams. The bidding and the opening lead will be the same in both cases; although it is not likely to win, declarer has to try the ♥J at trick one in case the opening leader has the king and the queen. The downside of doing this is that it lets the defenders clarify the heart position to a certain extent. It's not, however, all plain sailing for the defence. After winning the ♥K at trick one, the standard return from the North hand is the ♥5 - which will be either lowest of three remaining or North's only heart. South cannot tell which it is at this points, but East can.
Declarer has 7 top tricks and extra possibilities in spades (2 tricks), diamonds (3 tricks) and clubs (1 trick). There is nothing to say where the missing honours are, and playing matchpoints declarer cannot afford to lose tricks others might make, so it is inevitable that the diamond finesse is taken. When South wins it is not all over; if South continues with ♥Q and another, we find that North wins the fourth round and has no hearts left to play. Declarer wins the black suit return and cashes the remaining tricks to make the contract.
Could the defence have done better? The answer is yes - it is up to North to spot at trick two the danger of a blockage in the heart suit. The return at trick two needs to be the ♥T or the ♥8, and indeed this was found at a few tables. The false-card return deceives partner initially but with five hearts South is never worried.as the suit is still cashing. When South plays a lower heart at trick two (having led fourth best) North knows it is safe to unblock again on the next round,
Could declarer have done better? For that we have to look at the teams game and forget about the overtricks. If the focus is on making the contract, then declarer would do best to try the other options before taking the diamond finesse. The right order is to try first the top spades in case the queen falls, and when that fails to cash the clubs. When the fourth round turns out to be a winner, that too gets cashed, and look at what happens to South! There is no safe discard; the only winning chance for South is to discard a diamond, and to do that smoothly. If declarer now finesses in diamonds the contract will go down two. At the crucial point South might have been tempted to throw the ♠Q, playing partner for the ♠J, but declarer's play in spades makes no sense without the jack, so that can be avoided.
Well done to Allan Sanis who smoothly bared the ♦K against Max Davies-Smith to beat the 3N contract (only one down as the ♠AK had not been cashed), and went on to win the Mens Pairs with Keith Sharp.
Richard Harris adds : South overcalled 2♥, so on the ♥ lead I played the J with more confidence - lost to the K and (I think) 5♥ returned. The ♦K must be wrong now and ♠Q too. Played on Clubs and both defenders discarded ♠ so easy to make 10 tricks, fortunately!
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HotD-wed : CBC Mens/Ladies Pairs : 6mar18 : B1 |
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The first board in these strongly supported events illustrated well the importance of competing. There were two crucial decisions which affected the result.
The opening bid of a weak 2♥ might not be the choice of the purist, but a four card major on the side is no longer a killer for a weak two bid, and with a suit of this quality few would hesitate. The opening comes as somewhat of a surprise to South; clearly a raise is in order, but might a slam be making? The key here is for South to count the missing key cards - and there are four of these missing and even if partner has as many as three, slam might still be no better than a finesse. Clearly there are dangers in the five level, so any investgiation leading to that level is too much. The hand deserves just a raise to game.
Spotlight now on West. The hand is an ideal shape for a takeout double of hearts - but do you do this at the four level just as you would over a 1♥ opener? The answer is that you must - or you will constantly lose out to the world today which is bidding more than ever before. Here a takeout double will get partner to bid 5♦ - which makes 11 tricks when the spade finesse works. In practice, it is likely to lead to the opponents continuing to 5♥, but that's fine too - as you have three tricks to take against it.
I note that in the Mens Pairs 6/11 pairs were allowed to play in 4♥, but in the Womens' Pairs 10/12 were allowed to play in 4♥. Does this tell us anything?
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HotD-thu : Spring Teams 1 : 26feb18 : B19 |
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Sometimes the strangest hands turn out to be the easiest bidding exercises. The North hand here - with its 0166 shape - is not an everyday occurrence, but when the opposition have opened 1N there is a single, simple bid which described the hand quite well - an unusual 2N. With conventional defences to a 1N opener catering for all the major suit related hands, this bid is free and most commonly used as "both minors, or a game forcing 2-suiter". Responder gives preference between the minors and if the strong hand it held, then it bids again over that (suits up the line). In practice, South simply bid 3♣ and there matters rested.
The North hand proved to be more of a bidding problem when East-West were playing a strong 1N opener, and now West opened the bidding with 1♣. The North hand here - withonly one card in the majors - should primarily be concerned about the opponents getting together in a major suit fit, and needs to be taking steps to avoid that happening. The most effective choice would be (risky) 3♦ which would have ended the auction. When at the table North chose 1♦, East was able to double to show both majors and now West bid 1♠, raised by East to 3♠ and there the auction ended.
Neither of the auctions so far described reached the cold game available for North-South. It was however reached on three occasions - do tell if you know how that happened! [Actually one story has emerged, wherein West opened 1♠ and North made a takeout double - but the tale has been deemed as too horrible for publication]
In practice the 1♣ opener did cause a problem here, but it is worth noting that with a lot more people opening 1♣ on all balanced hands outside the 1N range (which means it might only have two clubs), it is becoming common to ignore that suit and treat a 2♣ overcall as showing clubs, and a 2N overcall as showing the minors. Here it would have been just what was wanted over a 1♣ opener.
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Hotd-wed : Spring Teams 1 : 26feb18 : B15 |
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This deal produced a surprising variety of levels for the final contract - with two tables in a part-score, two in game and four in a slam. A number of tables faced this problem on the first round - what do you bid as North?
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Three answers to this question have been reported. There were some who bid 3♣, which, if this is agreed as showing a constructive hand (most people play it as pre-emptive), is indeed a reasonable option. [Did this end in game?]
The two part-scores both arose after North doubled the opening bid. The Norths had looked at the strength of the hand and declined the simple overcall. This was mis-guided; the rational for doubling rather than overcalling is similar to the criterion for opening 2♣ rather than one of a suit; you choose the double if you see a positive danger of the overcall being passed out and you are embarassed by missing game. With just a few extra HCP and with this shape, and with it being easy for someone to bid either red suit, the likelihood of a 2♣ overcall being passed out with game making is really quite remote and the issues if partner leaps in hearts over a double are very real. In practice after the doube, one table proceeded P-2♠-P-3♣-end and the other saw P-2♥-P-3♣-end. In neither case should South have passed 3♣, so they might have survived the double - but that does not excuse it!
And finally to the 2♣ overcall - will this work out well? Take a look at the South hand now. Many will actually have opened the bidding with this, but for those who didn't this must surely represent a maximum pass. With four card support for partner and a singleton, there is just one bid leaping out at us - a 3♠ splinter being a perfect description. It doesn't take much thought now from North to realise that 6♣ is the place to be. The only concern is a possible club loser but you are expecting 10 cards between the two hands, and South is very likely to have an honour in the suit.
Well done to the four pairs who bid the slam and clocked up +1370. |
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HotD-tue : Spring Teams 1 : 26feb19 : B13 |
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The first session of the Spring Teams took place last night. There were 11 teams, with the top four collecting points (8 for the winner) towards the 5-session series. The winning team was Tony Letts & Roger Schofield, playing with Brian Goalby & Keith Sharp. Their biggest gain was when their opposition faced this problem on board 13. The 2♦ opening showed a weak two in a major or a strong (20-22) balanced hand. The East hand is a very decent 14-count with a five card suit - do you come in or do you pass?
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In practice the choice made was to overcall 2♥. This ended the auction and dummy went down with a 5152 shape, and East was left playing in the opener's suit! This went down one while the other table bid and made 4♠ after North had opened an unambiguous 2♥ (so the team gained 13 imps). It was just about impossible for West to recover after partner's overcall, as in this position most partnerships agreed that bidding the other major (expected to be opener's suit) is a cue bid sugesting support for partner - which is clearly not the case here.
This needs to be clocked up as a gain for the North-South system. It created a trap into which East fell. There are times when the ambiguity works against the Mutli-2♦ opener, but most people believe that the gains generally balance the losses.
Could East have avoided this trap? The answer is yes; the key is to consider what you would have done over a 2♥ opening or a 2♠ opening on your right, The answer is both cases is that you would pass - and that argues that you should reists the temptation offered here. |
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HotD-wed : League 8 : 19feb18 : B21 |
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This hand from Monday produced only a few swings but contained some instructive points.
The first decision was what North should lead. With both minors bid by the opposition, it has to be a major and the ♥Q was the preferred choice. More interedstingly, there were some tables where the bidding was 2N-3N and with that bidding also - since responder has shown no interest in the majors and presumably therefore holds the minors - the same lead stands out.
From declarer's perspective there are lots of hight cards, and once the spade ace is gone a clear eight top tricks and chances in either minor for a ninth. There is a danger of the opposition cashing hearts, but with a two way club finesse on offer, there should be a chance of finessing into the safe hand when the time comes.
The one position to avoid is needing to play spades after the hearts have been set up (as you have no control over who will win the trick), so playing spades must come early. The decision on the club finesse can come later. The key is knowing who has the long hearts and here it is vital for declarer to encrouage the opposition to disclose, and to watch carefully. On the lead of the queen, ducked in dummy, South needs to encourage (or North won;t know whether or not it is safe to continue the suit when on lead) and that should locate the ten for declarer. The best choice for declarer is to duck at this point and watch the continuation. When North now plays the jack, the length is surely with South,. If North had the length (either 4 or 5), the continuation would have been a small one.
Having won the king of hearts at trick two, declarer should play on spades, and if declarer is keen to knock out the spade ace, South probably does best to refuse to take it! Ducking twice creates a dilemma for declarer for whom the danger suit switches from hearts to spades. Again reading the opposition shape is vital. If South had won the spade ace earlier (likely) and played a third heart, declarer needs to avoid losing a trick to the long heart hand. On this particular layout you would want to win the heart ace and run the club jack. This loses but you have 9 tricks at this point.
Curiously if you misjudge the heart position and take the finesse the "wrong" way - it works and you are rewarded with more tricks than you would otherwise get. Funny game this!
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HotD-tue : League 8 : 19feb18 : B4 |
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This hand from last night produced a big variety of scores - at least one table played in every denomination! The bidding shown was at table 5 and seems inevitable; but, amazingly, there was no other table in the same contract. The contract looks sensible, but it became more tricky when North led the ♥Q at trick one it was ruffed by South, who returned the ♦K. You win this with the ace, and the next step is to draw trumps; when you play the ace of clubs and over to the king, South shows out. You draw the North's last trump with the jack, and lead a spade. South plays small - what's your choice as West?
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Let's count our tricks first. There are five trumps in the West hand and one ruff in East, plus the two top hearts and the diamond ace - a total of nine. You need two more tricks (from spades).
The key to the answer here is counting out the opponents' shape. North has shown up with 8 hearts and 3 clubs and a diamond, and so has at most one spade. Alternatively, South has only one card in the rounded suits, and has at most 6 diamonds - and so must have at least 6 spades. You only have one trump left with which to ruff a spade in dummy, and you need to make two tricks with spades in order to achieve your game.
If North has the singleton ace of spades your ♠7 or ♠J will force the ace, setting up the king but how can you get a second spade trick? The answer is that you cannot make another trick without South winning the queen - and then the contract is down.
If North has a singleton queen of spades - what can you do? Clearly the spade king is the winner here, dropping the queen and allowing you to set up a trick from the JT as your eleventh trick.
If North has no spades or a small spade - you can win with the ♠T , but what then? It seems very much like you will still lose two tricks to South - but look what happens when you exit with a top spade. South wins and has the choice of leading from the other top spade or leading from the diamond queen. Either option gives declarer the necessary 11th trick.
When you add all this together, you are going to make the contract is all cases but one, and the play which covers all but one of the layouts is to rise with the spade king. Very well done by Tony Letts to find this and make his game. |
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HotD-thu : CBC Pairs League : 14feb18 : B3 |
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There were a few points worth discussion on both the bidding and the play on this hand from the opening session of the Spring run of the popular Pairs League. In the bidding it is important that the opener shows a good fit when partner transfers into spades, and 4♦ does that and highlights the lack of a club control at the same time. It remains a preference that the strong hand is declarer and this is best accomplished by a re-transfer. If the East hand had a heart cue bid to make, the answer is to bid 4♠ if you would be willing to pass that if partner bid it over a cue, and to bid on after 4♥-4♠ to show a cue that wasn't willing to stop. In the play the first question is the opening lead. Into a very strong hand, the key is not to give away any tricks, and the majority found a spade lead. The three who led a club or a heart all ended with 4♠ making. After a trump lead and a second round, declarer can see the potential for two losers in diamonds and two losers in clubs. The first step therefore must be to try the heart finesse, aiming to throw a loser on the third round. When this fails North again has a key choice to make. A heart lead leaves all the work for declarer to do. A diamond lead turns out much the same, although it is not without dangers. A club lead however puts declarer to an immediate test. Since declarer could have on a guess for the club queen (holding say AJ2) nobody ever leads away from the queen in this position, so declarer should place South with the queen and rise with the king, making the contract. So best if North finds a red suit return. After that the best declarer can do is to guess the clubs. There bid nothing useful as a clue. Of the Wests playing in 4♠ on a trump lead just over half made 10 tricks. |
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HotD-wed : Winter Pairs 5 : 12feb18 : B12 |
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The travellers posted on the internet after each of our bridge games regularly produce surprises. Look at this board - where no East is recorded as playing the hand in spades. Whether playing a strong 1N opener or a weak 1N opener, it is surely right to open the West hand with 1♣ and North will pass. It has long been an accepted principle that you bid the higher of two 5-card suits first (to make it easier to bid the other later). Yet it seems that most Easts decided to ignore that and preferred to bid the stronger heart suit, before the higher ranking spade suit.
The difficulty with that approach is evident in one stand-out result on the traveller - the case where South played the hand in 2♦. How could that happen - that East-West miss a 9-card spade fit? Let's look at what happens if East bids 1♥ and South (perhaps not everyone's choice) overcalls 2♦ For West to bid spades at this point is a serious overbid and will get the partnership too high too often. Once West passes it round to East - what can East do? To double will encourage partner to bid too much in clubs, and to bid either hearts or spades now will seriously distort the description of the hand. So both East & West pass - and score -90 instead of +450.
Unfortunately most times that people bend the "rules" and bid the lower suit first, the opposition do not interfere and they manage not to get into trouble. This hand illustrates why you must bid the higher suit first, but I fear that only one pair will have noticed and learned!
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HotD-tue : Winter Pairs 5 : 12feb18 : B10 |
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There were four hands last night wih excellent slams to be bid, but of the 24 opportunities (each board played 6 times) only 8 opportunities were taken up. Across those hands, only one pair had no chance to bid any slams (unlucky for Anne & Peter) but every other pair had at least one chance and the highest success rate goes to Ian & Val Constable bidding two out of three. Bidding a slam last night scored you either 100% or 90% or 70% on the board - never a bad result. Pairs 3 and 10 were unlucky that two slams were bid against them.
Everyone who had the opportunity failed on at least one of the candidate slams. This is not all criminal, as sometimes the bidding of the opposition can work against you, as illustrated by the hand shown. After the bidding starts with either 1♣ or 1N from East and South shows the majors, it is impossible for West to do other than jump to a game in a minor before the North-South players can get together. Indeed the par result comes from North-South sacrificing over whatever minor suit game or slam is bid. It coul dbe that the one pair who bid the slam did so over a 5♥ or 5♠ bid by the opposition.
There was one quite anomalous result - and it is one to learn from. East opened 1♣ which was the system opening on weak NT openers as well as club hands, and over that South bid 2♣ not realising that against such an opener the partnership played 2♣ as natural (usually 2♦ is used fo rthe majors inthese cases). West bid 2♦ and East faced a dilemma. With the clubs sitting over, nothing looked appealing and he guessed a pass. When this was passed out, partner was not pleased! It is not clear who was at fault here, as when the 1♣ opener might be a weak NT, the West hand in these cirumstances needs to be able to make a non-forcing bid at the 2-level in order to compete the part-score. If indeed 2♦ is non-forcing, then West needed to bid 3♦ to ensure that partner bid again. Whether South should have protected after 2♦ - P - P is a question to ponder, but clearly here passing was a winning action.
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HotD-thu : Swiss Teams 5 : 05feb18 : B19 |
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This hand was most commonly played in 4♠ making, but there were many defenders who felt they should have done better (and it was surprising that so many found the spade fit).
The first question is what South should open; if you have a weak 2♦ option this hand seems ideal, and if you haven't then the weakness in the majors, and the quality of the diamonds, makes this an easy 3♦ opener at this vulnerability. Surely over such an opening West will pass and East will find a take-out double. Over that, West needs to consider how the penalty will fare against the potential score for a vulnerable 3N, and one might expect the latter to dominate. You need, however, to factor in the fact that while the diamond contract will surely go down, you wan't always make 3N. If partner is good enough to make 3N easy, then there must be a chance too of collecting +800 (keeping the opener to five trump tricks r four trumps and one outside trick).
Only two pairs defended diamond contracts, and they both lost out to 4♠ making at the other table.
Defending 4♠ there were leads of a small heart from South three times, and a less obvious lead of the ♥A from North twice. After cashing the ace, West continued at table 3 with a heart ruff for partner, but that was ruffing a loser. Declarer won the return of the ♣T and had an easy time - drawing trumps, losing one club and ruffing the fourth heart. With a trump back after the ruff, declarer has a lot more to do. Given the need to draw trumps, declarer can ruff the fourth heart but not the fourth club.
After a heart lead from South at table 13, North won the ♥Q and ♥A, and thought it safest to cash the ♦ A before giving partner the ruff to beat the contract. When the ♦ A was ruffed the defensive ruff disappeared. There are now 9 tricks in sight (club finesse and give up a diamond) but somehow declarer managed 10.
How others made their 10 tricks would be interesting to hear.
Curiously the two tables where East-West's game went down were both in the same match, as were the two tables where East-West played in a part-score. So both of htose matches had a flat board.
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HotD-wed : Swiss Teams 5 : 05feb18 : B16 |
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The opening bid on this hand divided the population on Monday (and half the field ended in a part-score, half in game). The hand is formally in the range for a Weak Two opening (decent 6 card suit, 9 HCP) but at the same time it is a seriously constructive hand (7 losers) and has more potential than many opening bids.
Opening at the one level is possible, the danger being that partner takes you seriously, and pushes to game on a misfitting 12-count.
Opening at the two level faces the danger that partner, with a suitable hand, discounts any chance of game.
Is there an alternative? There is - and it was found at some tables - the alternative being to pass. Coming into the auction later on a hand like this can give you a better chance of honestly reflecting what sort of hand you have. In practice pass led to partner opening the bidding, and then volunteering some spade support in competition while the opposition bid hearts. Isn't it easy to bid game now? That's how it went ...
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HotD-tue : Swiss Teams 5 : 05feb18 : B8 |
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It was no suprise to see all but two tables play this hand in clubs, when North holds such a long and strong suit. The par contract is in fact 5♠ doubled down two, so well done to team 8 who at least got to play the hand in spades. It was curious to see that there were three pairs who stopped in 4♣ and two who bid 6♣. You would have expected those who stopped out of game to regret their decision, and in a way they did, but two cases of 4♣ making an overtrick were in the same matches as 6♣ going down one, so those two teams actually gained 5 imps for stopping in 4♣ on the board!
The opening bid with the North hand deserves some discussion. Three choices are known to have been taken (did anyone open 5♣ as the fourth?). Of the known openers the highest was 3N, which shows a solid running minor and little else. Usually it has a 7-card suit and usually it does not have a king outside, but one can see how keeping the opponents out of the majors was appealing to North. It would have had more appeal first in hand, but has less after one of the opponents has passed. The downside of preempting partner emerged when partner took it out to 4♣ (pass or correct) and that ended the auction; that is how two Souths got to play the hand with eight trumps lying in dummy, but in a part-score.
The lowest opening was of course 1♣ and that is recommended on this hand, You have more HCP that your RHO and you just don't know whether to play in clubs, or to allow partner to play in 3N. Partner in 3N is of course more comfortable that you playing in 3N, as any major suit tenaces will be protected. The auction should start 1♣ - P 1♦ and at that point West is entitled to enter the auction. For most people 1N here, by a passed hand, promises 5-5 in the unbid suits and this looks to be a perfect decsription. Exactly how the auction will continue is far from clear but there should be a strong bid from North and another from South, and it is hard to imagine other than a 5♣ contract at the end.
The final opening bid of which we have news is 2♣. There are two reasons why it is wrong to open with 2♣ on hands like this. The first is that if you do this but also open 2♣ on a 4315 hand with 23 hcp, then partner is going to have enormous difficulty working out what to do later in the auction. The correct rationale for opening at the two level - given hands nearly always bid more clumsily with less space - is that you are scared that your 1-level opening will be passed out and you miss a good game. That is never going to happen on this hand. But there is a second reason this is wrong - and that is because the use of 2♣ or 2♦ to show multiple hand types is restricted, because this is a conventional opening. The restriction is that if the hand might be based on any of the four suits, then the hand must contain 16+ HCP or 5+ controls (A=2, K=1). This hand fails on both counts, and the rules are that when you are found to be using an unlicensed convention your best possible result is -3 imps. It is nice when the regulations actually push you in the direction of good bidding!
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HotD-thu : League 7 : 29jan18 : B2 |
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This hand produced a double figure swing in every match but one on Monday, and in that match it was flat in a slam which might have gone down.
The first quesiton on the hand is how should West respond to a 1♠ opening from partner. Clearly you are going to raise to the spade game, and you will at least splinter on the way - but with two aces and a void, are you too strong to splinter? The reason for asking is that the splinter bid leaves partner in control, so will this hand match expectations? If you would bid the same way with a small heart rather than a void, then the answer is probably no. If you can distinguish between voids and singletons in your raises to game, then you will be able to match expectations. If you are too strong to splinter, you need to start with 2N to show good support (or some other force).
Whatever you choose, North will not resist showing hearts, and indeed some Norths (and this might be over-doing it) introduced the heart suit at the five level. East, with a minimum opener, will attempt to sign off, and that should be the end of it, but in six cases it was not, and - sometimes over a raise to 5♥ by South - West jumped to the slam.
Declarer in a slam is looking at a loser in each minor, and just enough trumps in dummy to ruff the losing hearts. The only answer is to set up a winner in one minor to take care of the loser in the other. The best line in a slam on a heart lead is to ruff, and lead a small diamond away from the ace. Even though the ten loses to the king and the queen is now dropping - the slam is in trouble if South wins the ♦K and plays a club. The reson is that declarer cannot combine taking three heart ruffs with drawing trumps before cashing the ♦J. But there is an answer - declarer needs to win the ♣A, take one heart ruff while drawing trumps, and then run the trumps to squeeze South in the minors. It takes a minor suit lead at trick one from South - ignoring partner's suit - to beat the slam.
Well done to the three who bid and made it. I trust those who bid and and failed did their best.
In the other direction, two pairs got to play in 5♥ doubled, and, despite three losers, both of them made their contract. In each case their +850 combined with a team-mates' +450 for a 15 imp swing.
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County Pairs Board 19 |
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Board 19 from Monday's pairs has some points of interest. The bidding will probably start P-P and North has a decision to make. The North hand would be too strong for a preempt in first or second position, but once partner has passed, anything goes. 4♥ has considerable merit but I guess most people would opt for 3♥. East is minimum for a bid of 3NT but no other option is particularly appealing. A double might work when partner holds spades but does not work very well otherwise and in any case will 4♠ be that great a contract with this flat hand and suits probably not breaking. 2 tables played in clubs going down whilst 2 Easts played in 3NT making. At my table, South decided that it would be too difficult to set up and cash partner's hearts, and opted to lead a diamond. This made it easy to establish 9 tricks. At the other table where 3NT was played successfully, a heart was led and one can only assume that the defense managed to get their wires crossed subsequently - South not finding the spade switch when in with the ♣K. On a heart lead declarer should play the Queen from dummy as this forces North to win the first trick. North wins and returns a heart. Here North has a chance to give a suit preference signal - the ♥J to show spade values and the ♥T with a diamond card. When declarer plays clubs, South can gain more information by ducking the first two rounds of the suit and winning the third. This allows North the opportunity for 2 discards. By discarding 2 diamonds, North is making it very clear that his only possible entry is in spades and a defensive mishap is avoided.
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HotD-thu : League 6 : 15jan18 : B6 |
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This hand was played by all teams in 3N and almost all of them by South. The leads varied and two successes came from diamond leads by West, which we can only begin to justify if rather than bidding 1♦North sensibly treated hearts as more important and bid 1♥ en route to 3N. Of the remainder, there were four heart leads and six spade leads. In either case the key issue is how declarer plays the club suit. One choice seen was to start with small to the queen which lost to the king, and after that the defence had two chances to play spades before declarer could set up a ninth trick. Not a winning choice. Keith Stanley started by winning in South and cashing ♣A before crossing to the North hand before leading a second club. With a choice of playing West for either KJ or JT doubleton, restricted choice tells you to go for the former, and Keith duly did this to pull in five club tricks and his contract. The final option is to start clubs by leading small to the nine. This gains when the jack-ten are sitting under the ace-queen, and still keeps the finesse of the king as an option. When the nine loses to the jack, you win the return and try a second club. You cannot afford two club losers, so you need clubs to break 3-2, and if East follows small you are back to choosing whether West started with KJ or JT, and should get that right. It is more difficult if East plays the ten on the second round; here there are three Jx doubletons to consider against one KJ doubleton, so finessing the queen is indicated but fails. The bottom line is that 3N expects to go down, but it would be very easy for East to miss the vital play and now 3N makes! |
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HotD-wed : League 6 : 15jan18 : B2 |
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This was the problem faced at a number of tables on Monday; would you take out partner's double, as requested, or pass for penalties? |
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Here's the case for passing : your side clearly has the majority of the high card points, and they are at three level. You also have four trumps, and you are expecting a club lead which can hardly do any harm to the defence. What could be easier?
Let's look at the case of bidding : if we disregard our diamonds, then we have a minimum hand (11 HCP) and no fit for the majors partner is suggesting. The only valid option seems to be 3N, but we have a lot of tricks to find outside clubs. Not terribly convincing.
It is no surprise that the majority chose to pass, but should the -670 they wrote down a few minutes later be a surprise?
What we haven't examined yet is the case against passing partner's double : the two major factors we need to ponder are the knowledge which South has of the vulnerability, and what our defensive tricks will be. Being vulnerable against not, South should be thinking of making say seven tricks when they bid 3♦ as any fewer would be embarrassing even if not doubled. If dummy produces just two tricks, say from the major suit kings, then this 3♦ contract might make. From the defensive perspective, we'll surely have at least one club and at least one diamond, but will we have more?
This thinking led a few Easts to bid 3N as the least bad option. Success or failure was then in the hands of South. When a low diamond was chosen, that was declarer's ninth trick (after playing out the ♠ST) and a score of +400 to East-West. |
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HotD-tue : League 6 : 15jan18 : B1 |
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The first board last night was an uncommon shape, but was amazingly amenable to a very accurate description. You might wonder first how often a 7600 shape comes up. The answer is one hand in 17970, which means that in Cheltenham Bridge Club, playing 200+ deals every week, we should see perhaps three of these in an average year. They won't all be as strong as this hand, and it might be that you are not in the seat which holds this hand (and nobody gets to all sessions). When you open up this hand as North, there is only one thing you want to know - if partner has the club king I want to be in a grand slam, and if not then I want to try playing 6♦ (not 100% guaranteed but a decent chance). Despite the strength of the hand, the best approach on hand like this is to start by bidding your longest suit. Opening 1♦ and bidding 6♣ on the next round gets you to the right level, but will partner know what to do? You would not bid like this without 12 tricks, and so you must have only one loser. If that loser was an ace then you would have opened 4N to ask partner for specific aces. So partner will know that the major suit aces are of no value, but if looking at the club king, partner will know that this is the loser held by North, and will produce a raise to the grand slam. If the loser was elsewhere, then North would have taken another route to slam, as you could never jump to 6♣ with only five of them. Sometimes bidding is easier than it looks! |
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