SpadeHeart 
Dorking Bridge Club
 DiamondClub
Release 2.19n
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Play Ideas
What Suit Distribution Can I Expect?

This link from Bridge Hands shows what the probabilities one can expect for different suit distributions. This allows you to decide whether to finesse or play for a drop of an honour.

The most common saying is "Eight Ever, Nine Never" and here is a link from bridgbums on the subject.

Whilst the statistics are important they need to be considered with:

  • Any bidding by the opposition.
  • What have you found out about the card distribution. If you have a key finesse or drop can you find out more about the distribution in other suits first?
  • Is it safe to finesse in a certain direction?
  • Can you combine your chances by playing for a drop in one suit first and then finesse in another?